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Three out of four now
Weegie Addick
Posts: 16,662
Not sure we'll drag anyone else into it now - five points plus far better GD now to Brum, even with three games in hand, that looks a stretch. Home v Yeovil and Barnsley even more massive now.
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We should reinstate Powell, all have our picture taken and say sorry4
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Agree Weegie0
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Looks that way. 4 very poor teams at the bottom.Weegie Addick said:Not sure we'll drag anyone else into it now - five points plus far better GD now to Brum, even with three games in hand, that looks a stretch. Home v Yeovil and Barnsley even more massive now.
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Most sensible thing you've ever said on here, @PL54 ...1
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I tend to agree but wins bring 3 points which can change things quickly.
Teams at the bottom can pick up some cheap wins at the end of the season. The best that one can see of the bottom three is to get, say, 4 wins and 2 or 3 draws from their last 9/10 games. This makes the target 46/47 points. Brum could still struggle but the rest don't need to scrape much together.
It could certainly be 3 from 4 in a week's time.1 -
If Brum lose at Millwall on Tues then they could be pulled in. Likewise the loser of Yeovil v Barnsley next Sat (if it isn't a draw) will be pretty much doomed. 6 pointers coming up thick & fast.1
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Don't believe it's 3 from 4 just yet.
If Millwall beat Birmingham on tuesday then the likes of Doncaster and Birmingham are dragged back into it.
The winner of Bolton v Blackpool on tuesday is probably safe.
Assuming Barnsley lose midweek then if they also lose at Yeovil then they're as good as down.
As we've known for a while, our hopes rest on the home games with Yeovil, Barnsley and Bolton.
With games coming thick and fast it's going to change weekly. Any side down there picking up 6 or 7 points from 3 games in a week can pull well away.0 -
Where on earth will we find three goals to even have a chance of winning those three games.1
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Opposition own goals?ShootersHillGuru said:Where on earth will we find three goals to even have a chance of winning those three games.
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Would you rather Millwall win Tuesday to perhaps bring Birmingham into it or a Brum win to keep Millwall below us but that would almost guarantee it being a '3 from 4' situation?0
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Yeovil have the best form of the bottom 5 - where on earth are our goals coming from?0
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doncaster hti form at the right time. brum could definately be sucked into it. millwall are probbaly most likely to go down because they have no spirit really. we have a great defence, yeovil and barnsley have great spirit and brum have some real quality.0
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Three out of four is fine. The other three will have to go down.0
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Birmingham to win (or at the very least, a draw) midweek please. We just need three teams worse than us (not five or six) and the less points that Yeovil, Barnsley and Millwall get from now until the end of the season, the better.
Going by sportsclubstats data (I enjoy that site a little bit too much), as of today we have a 35.2% chance of being relegated. A Millwall win on Tuesday adds an extra 3% to our relegation chances. A draw at the Den would take 1% off our relegation chances while a win for Birmingham would take 2% from our chance of relegation.
(Yeovil winning at Leicester would add 7% to our chance of relegation. A draw at the King Power would add 1% to our relegation chances while a home win would result in a 1.5% swing in our favour.)4 -
Have to go for a second city winstackitsteve said:Would you rather Millwall win Tuesday to perhaps bring Birmingham into it or a Brum win to keep Millwall below us but that would almost guarantee it being a '3 from 4' situation?
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So who are going down then?jackmasterflash said:doncaster hti form at the right time. brum could definately be sucked into it. millwall are probbaly most likely to go down because they have no spirit really. we have a great defence, yeovil and barnsley have great spirit and brum have some real quality.
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All you hear each week as we tread water and sink is Blackpool/ Bolton/Doncaster/Birmingham/whoever are sinking fast and will get sucked in .....erm err they don't tho !
Or Yeovil and Barnsley are gone, well 1 and 3 points behind us is hardly gone !
The lack of creativity is pathetic and with pathetic finishing we need a miracle turnaround
With Stephens and Kermo sold , when basically they were the only two who consistently looked to gamble and create something in the final third we have no guile
still our fucktard fans would rather Forrest Gump run around like a headless chicken as long as he gives 100%12 -
Absolutely spot on mate.
The transfer business Roland our Saviour did at the end of Jan sealed our relegation, sacking Powell just confirmed it.
And even Southend are going to choke and not go up...3 -
I'd say three out of five. The current bottom three, us and Birmingham. Yeovil are the ones to watch. Their goal difference isn't too bad and had they held on yesterday they'd be out the bottom three and we'd be in it. It could still be Charlton and Millwall that go down. I think Barnsley are doomed.1
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Suppose it saves us a day out on the Essex coastSouthendaddick said:Absolutely spot on mate.
The transfer business Roland our Saviour did at the end of Jan sealed our relegation, sacking Powell just confirmed it.
And even Southend are going to choke and not go up...0 -
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How about this scenario?
West Ham, Palace and Fulham relegated.
QPR (& Watford) miss promotion.
Us and Millwall safe.
Orient promoted.
Our away following next season would even satisfy Oohaa1 -
Wishful thinking on your scenario and our support for next season2
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Brentford promoted too.adrian said:How about this scenario?
West Ham, Palace and Fulham relegated.
QPR (& Watford) miss promotion.
Us and Millwall safe.
Orient promoted.
Our away following next season would even satisfy Oohaa0 -
Still in our hands. As things stand winning our games in hand will put us clear. What we don't want is having to win them all to stay in touch. Barnsley have surely gone if not mathematically then that 94th minute goal they conceded yesterday would have hit them hard.
Forest are currently appalling. Can we take advantage of that on Tuesday?1 -
All our home games are winnable except we can't score.
By the time we play Bolton Blackburn and Watford they'll have nothing to play for so hopefully that might help us1 -
Yeovil will stay up.
The day Yann and Stephens left I accepted that we are going down. Don't look like scoring at all. A pathetic attempt to stay up and will be relegated with Millwall.0 -
Barnsley, Millwall and Charlton for me. Miller and Hayter will score the goals to save Yeovil. Anything but 9 points from the Yeovil, Barnsley and Bolton home matches and it's goodnight nurse for s.0
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5 more wins will be enough3
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Three teams that will have a key influence on the run in are Blackburn, Brighton and Middlesbrough:
Blackburn play us, Millwall and Yeovil between now and the end of the season,
Brighton play us, Yeovil and Barnsley &
Middlesbrough play Millwall, Yeovil and Barnsley (COME ON THE BORO!!)
Incidentally, as of today: the only team in our run in that has no games against the other three teams below us is Sheffield Wednesday. This game, Barnsley (H) and Reading (H) should be treated as our games in hand.0 -
Yeovil have never been relegated.3
