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Roland's intentions - are we absolutely 100% sure.....

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  • cafcfan said:

    RD hasn't got READY access to anywhere near that sort of money "in the bank". Someone like a Russian oligarch or oil- rich sheikh would have. RD has got businesses and shareholdings in businesses that someone somewhere has valued in the hundreds of millions of Euros. His money, apart from the loose change, like whatever dividends he pays himself, is tied up and not easily liquidated. So the sort of cash he is likely to have knocking around is likely to be whatever he got flogging Standard Leige and whatever he can find down the back of the (fans') sofa. I don't see him doing the property development thing unless he can get a nice little loan from a friendly banker or some sort of joint enterprise with another party.
    Fair point. I was just trying to get a handle on a possible mindset and how he might view the "project". I still wonder if he is able to be far enough removed from any "failure" of CAFC that he can treat it a bit like some sort of metaphorical train set laid out in his loft. ( the dream of every spotter Addick admittedly) He puts on the old station master outfit and dabbles with timetables and rolling stock. If it goes wrong, he just shrugs because it is only a bit of fun, a distraction. He can try it all again tomorrow.
    Of course I know ( well I imagine) he treats CAFC much more seriously than that, but the plan for the club remains unfathomable and unknown to most of us. As does his reason for buying CAFC in the first place. Which is a shade odd considering he has been here a while now.
    Just my penniworth. I don't think it counts in Duch's world at all. Why would it? It's his train set.

  • I thought it was worth reposting something I posted earlier in our adventure with Duchatelet.....

    It's possibly a mistake to think that his 'motives' in creating a network of football clubs need make any more sense or will prove to be any more successful than his previous political activities.

    He obsessively persisted in pursuing his somewhat eccentric and contradictory political ideas over more than a decade despite derisory results (i.e. a guaranteed 'Basic Income' for all citizens while simultaneously reducing state spending by 30%):

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roland_Duchâtelet

    And he appears to have embarked on the creation of his football 'network' scheme about the same time as he seems to have withdrawn from politics:

    http://deredactie.be/cm/vrtnieuws.english/sports/1.1817955
  • edited October 2015
    In this picture Roland demonstrates to Guy how to stay in control of events.

    image
  • seth plum said:

    In this picture Roland demonstrates to Guy how to stay in control of events.

    image

    Fact for the day: As of this week, Back to the Future is entirely in the past.
  • If re location is somewhere at the back of RD's mind then he needs to act pdq. The land available on the peninsula is finite and being bought up at a pace. Relocating elsewhere in the Borough pointless and further afield suicidal.

    On that basis I'm out of the conspiracy theory surrounding re location.
  • Except that they have now been promoted back to the top flight and are doing rather well
    And Liege are not - we need to be careful what we wish for.
  • I still think the most plausible plan is that he believes that the Academy will churn out players like Gomez that can be sold on for big bucks, although I think he may be overoptimistic in terms of this cancelling out the day to day running costs of a loss making club in the Championship. If he can generate more income from expanding the commercial use of the ground, he will, but I don't really think that the property development plan fits into a supportable hypothesis based on what we have seen so far. However, the fella is pretty inscrutable, so you never know!

    I honestly think that the football itself is just an incidental concern to him (not least because he has admitted that he has no passion for the game) and he just hopes that he can get lucky and get promotion on the cheap....if not, I don't think he's bothered - unless we get relegated, of course, because that would depreciate the value of our Academy products and hole his plan below the water line. I think it is obvious that sees any spending above minimum levels to keep the team ticking along as denting his would be profits from his, erm, 'plan'.....and hence we are where we are....it's easier to fire managers and bring in cheapo imports and hope that fixes the problem, rather than spend on proven quality to ensure that we stay in the division, so I can't see his masterplan changing, I'm afraid.
  • Wouldn't put anything past the ruling clique in Greenwich, frankly. But they've generally played other ACVs reasonably fairly (with the possible exception of Woolwich Grand Theatre).

    As part of the team that discussed the ACV with the RBG, they reffered the matter back to cabinet. I think part of this was that the nomination process was new, and the officers involved had not really dealt with a nomination of this size in Greenwich. As CAFC supported the nomination, as well as the great majority of MP's, councillors, and even Boris, as well as the FA.
    This of course did not stop Cllr Roberts delaying the whole process out of the time frame that councils have to decide applications. Although the petition, and local support made a critical factor, the first two ACV's were nodded through, and in fact applied after our own. Since then the White Swan has been nominated. Up to the trust board to renew the ACV. I would be surprised if RBG were to withdraw this, as so many clubs have no followed this path, but then we are talking about RBG so cannot be taken as 100%.

  • As part of the team that discussed the ACV with the RBG, they reffered the matter back to cabinet. I think part of this was that the nomination process was new, and the officers involved had not really dealt with a nomination of this size in Greenwich. As CAFC supported the nomination, as well as the great majority of MP's, councillors, and even Boris, as well as the FA.
    This of course did not stop Cllr Roberts delaying the whole process out of the time frame that councils have to decide applications. Although the petition, and local support made a critical factor, the first two ACV's were nodded through, and in fact applied after our own. Since then the White Swan has been nominated. Up to the trust board to renew the ACV. I would be surprised if RBG were to withdraw this, as so many clubs have no followed this path, but then we are talking about RBG so cannot be taken as 100%.

    If I remember rightly Ken we were one of the first to go through the ACV process in the borough (wasn't there a rugby pitch that went before us or something?) so I'm not sure if any other community assets have been renewed so I doubt RBG have a process for dealing with renewals, should make things fun !
  • When is the date to start the renewal application?

    We got ours around October 2013? So that's good until October 2018. However, Am sure all would agree that CAST should be applying for renewal at the first permitted opportunity
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  • The council really doesn't have a lot of discretion over ACVs. Having accepted it once they would really struggle to drop it. I wouldn't worry about it.
  • Good to hear
  • We are all assuming that he has a plan. He could be just not quite playing with a full set despite being rich. That would explain a lot.
  • Everyone should read the Trust News interview with him by the Belgian journalist. Don't worry if you read it and think, am I thick or what? It's not you, it's him.

    But somewhere in there you can see he wants to do "good" . For him being rich is not enough. He s looking for some kind of recognition.

    I'm neither defending nor knocking him ( re this article) I'd love to hear more from him though. Read it and decide for yourselves.
  • Everyone should read the Trust News interview with him by the Belgian journalist. Don't worry if you read it and think, am I thick or what? It's not you, it's him.

    But somewhere in there you can see he wants to do "good" . For him being rich is not enough. He s looking for some kind of recognition.

    I'm neither defending nor knocking him ( re this article) I'd love to hear more from him though. Read it and decide for yourselves.

    Yes, that's true and kudos to him for that - but it's beginning to get rather confusing when It comes to us.
  • He plans a commercial development at Jena similar to the one at St Truiden. There is plenty of space to do it though, it will result in a more noisy stadium, and the guys @GlassHalfFull and I spoke to were all for it. And he only owns 49% of Jena. So I see this as merely him thinking that a footie ground should make the most commercial use of its space. He's built a new stand at Alcorcon too.

    On top of that, when another consortium that was intent on playing the Peninsula card approached him, soon after he'd taken control, he brushed them off, saying that wasn't what he was interested in.

    None of which is to say we should not be on our guard, and I for one didn't realize the ACV is only valid to 2017. That seems a rather pointless scheme if so. If it is an ACV, it surely doesn't stop being one within five years?

    Not quite correct there on what was relayed back to the other consortium.

  • The Chinese are currently hoovering up real estate along the Thames as we speak.
  • I'm not really surprised at his willingness to spend on ground improvements, facilities and developing players as an asset, but not "invest" in players and staff.

    It's just how a regular asset based business is run. Apart from high cash generating businesses, you accumulate value through improving asset value. What we see as "investing" in a player is not an investment it is paying for the means of production through a depreciating asset (with a possible short term increase in value). You only increase production costs if it will generate profits that are big enough to also pay for its inevitable replacement.

    If your preoccupation is in asset value, and you don't make a profit, you make sure you don't make a loss as it will be met by selling assets.

    If you make a profit you choose whether to take the cash, convert it to assets or increase your costs of production to increase profits (more players). The latter is a gamble.

    That's how RD probably thinks, that CAFC is the same as all his other businesses. If his objective is to grow and protect asset value he will be reluctant to gamble by increasing his cost of production, i.e players and staff and put his assets at risk.

    Getting promotion will be down to luck and the skill of his management, not increasing his costs, which is why he has no reticence in changing management. So I don't see him changing anything unless it's consistent with conventional business rules.

    I sense he is immune from the danger of taking emotional decisions.

    But the only real asset he has is the land at floyd road and sparrows lane, unless someone else wants to buy the football buildings for their current and only use.
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  • kentred2 said:

    But the only real asset he has is the land at floyd road and sparrows lane, unless someone else wants to buy the football buildings for their current and only use.
    the 'asset' is the players not the land
  • We are just another of his social experiments that he likes to carry out.

    There is no correct outcome .

    When he's finished he will sell up and move on to someone else.

    He is like the nutter doctor from Human Centipede.
  • Assuming his intentions are to relocate and assuming that talks began now. What sort of time frame are we looking at? 6 or 7 years maybe? For a man nearly 70 that appears to be a long term strategy with quite a high risk attached. I don't think that is his play but that's not to say he doesn't have some other motive in mind.
  • cafc1263 said:

    Not quite correct there on what was relayed back to the other consortium.

    Well that's what I recall Steve telling me. Happy if you want to correct me, it's all water under the bridge now, right?

  • Everyone should read the Trust News interview with him by the Belgian journalist. Don't worry if you read it and think, am I thick or what? It's not you, it's him.

    But somewhere in there you can see he wants to do "good" . For him being rich is not enough. He s looking for some kind of recognition.

    I'm neither defending nor knocking him ( re this article) I'd love to hear more from him though. Read it and decide for yourselves.

    A kind of football philanthropist?
  • Well that's what I recall Steve telling me. Happy if you want to correct me, it's all water under the bridge now, right?

    Not quite ?

  • And..?
  • edited October 2015
    MrLargo said:

    The following was posted by a Sint-Truidense supporter shortly after RD took us over. I've highlighted the bits specifically about the stadium.

    I don't think RD wants to knock The Valley down and turn it into flats or anything of that nature, but there's some worrying stuff here, particularly the comment about no longer owning their own ground.

    A few remarks: Tubize AFC was broke and needed 400000€ cash. It was actually Standard Liège that gave them the money. Standard Liège is a club tied to corrupt politicians and the maffia. If someone would write a book or an article about it ... they'll find him 20 years later in his car on the bottom of the river Meuse. RD recently lost about 100 million euro's. One of his three main firms was over- evaluated on the stock exchange. It's now corrected and he now stands at an estimated capital of 1.2 billion euro. He was the only one in the top 20 of richest Belgians to drop down a bit ... If only he would spend half of that into his football hobby ...
  • Wouldn't put anything past the ruling clique in Greenwich, frankly. But they've generally played other ACVs reasonably fairly (with the possible exception of Woolwich Grand Theatre).

    This.
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Roland Out Forever!