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Guess tonights attendance game

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  • kigelia
    kigelia Posts: 2,583
    It's a book by someone with a very difficult to spell surname. It basically presents evidence why the opinion of the many can be better than that of the few. A lot of the examples were along the lines of:

    1. get group of people to predict the outcome of some future event
    2. To the average of those predictions

    The average was generally pretty close to the actual outcome. It was an interesting read but I wasn't particularly convinced. I tried it once with the score predictions on netaddicks. The average was 100% wrong for every single game.
  • Salad
    Salad Posts: 10,189
    These are the Prem managers people are saying could be first to leave:

    Warnock (7)
    Pearce (6)
    Jol (3)
    Dowie (5)
    Coleman (7)

    So, using "The Wisdom of the Crowd" I can confidently predict that the first manager to go will have a 6 letter surname beginning with "K".
  • kigelia
    kigelia Posts: 2,583
    Keegan's screwed then. Doesn't even have a job and he's going to be the first one sacked.
  • Salad
    Salad Posts: 10,189
    [align=center]LOL[/align]
  • Henry Irving
    Henry Irving Posts: 85,489
    Cheers K. Surely would only work with large spread of numbers where you could get a mean average as with tonight crowd and not people's names or goal scores.

    Then again Ibsen said "the majority is always wrong"
  • DA_6
    DA_6 Posts: 124
    [cite]Posted By: Henry Irving[/cite]cheers. looks like da6 is mr average


    That's exactly what my missus tells me Henry....
  • Salad
    Salad Posts: 10,189
    Obviously not names in the way I did, but should work a bit with scores
  • Charlton_Charlie
    Charlton_Charlie Posts: 1,430
    I was down the box office about an hour ago and they reckoned we had sold just under 5,000...so probably a new low this evening...

    Also, the Carlisle coach was there...surely that's a bit early for them to arrive? What on earth are they going to do for the next five hours? Go for a walk down Makro??
  • Henry Irving
    Henry Irving Posts: 85,489
    5000 is pretty good as I Imagine many, like me, will pay on the night. 10,021.
  • StanmoreAddick
    StanmoreAddick Posts: 4,150
    edited September 2006
    Sky sports say attendance was 8190- not me obviously!

    Looking forward to the reviews from the real fans who were there!

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  • BlackForestReds
    BlackForestReds Posts: 17,952
    Attendance seems to have been poor at all the games tonight, not just Charlton.
  • Salad
    Salad Posts: 10,189
    Crowd was 8190, comapred to guess average of 8307 - only 117 out!
    Pretty impressive.
  • StanmoreAddick
    StanmoreAddick Posts: 4,150
    Just shows that the peeps on here have their collective fingers on the pulse!

    Guess we all get AFKA's prize

    :-))
  • AFKABartram
    AFKABartram Posts: 58,157
    And DA6 gets to sit on top of our tree !

    Tik a boo son, as Andy Gray would say.
  • Henry Irving
    Henry Irving Posts: 85,489
    Goes to show that maybe there is something in K's Wisdom of Crowds theory although having sat thru that last night I think the 15k who didn't bother showed more wisdom
  • DA_6
    DA_6 Posts: 124
    [cite]Posted By: AFKA Bartram[/cite]And DA6 gets to sit on top of our tree !

    Tik a boo son, as Andy Gray would say.

    I'm proud as punch !!
  • CrayAddick
    CrayAddick Posts: 3,915
    Sell out for the last game?

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