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Weather Forcasts

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  • killerandflash
    killerandflash Posts: 69,866
    I tend to rely on the Google weather widget built into Google on my phone, though I do look at the BBC weather App as well

    Visually they might say the same thing, but display it differently. For example I was looking at the forecast for last Friday md afternoon and was surprised to see a light rain cloud on the Google App but not on the BBC one, but when I dug down both had a 15-20% chance of a light shower at 3pm, but showed it differently.
  • eaststandmike
    eaststandmike Posts: 14,956
    Gribbo said:

    Already posted above 😉
  • Gribbo
    Gribbo Posts: 8,490
    eaststandmike said:
    Gribbo said:

    Already posted above 😉
    Oh yeah lol
  • ME14addick
    ME14addick Posts: 9,765
    edited August 12
    I use the BBC app as well as the Met Office app, they often vary.

    I also use rainfall radar tracking with Wundermap and My Lightning Tracker.

    https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap?lat=51.27&lon=0.519&zoom=8&pin=&rad=1&rad.type=00Q&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=0&hur=0

    The difficulty with weather forecasting to a local level was demonstrated yesterday. I was following the rainfall radar and there were plenty of showers around, however no rain fell where I am in Maidstone. I watched the rain on the radar and it bypassed us, but only a short distance away, rain was falling. The same happened a couple of weeks ago when some areas of Kent had torrential rainfall, but we had very little.
  • Sheepie1985
    Sheepie1985 Posts: 483
    DamoNorthStand said:
    My mate works for the met office and says Accuweathers 45 day forecast is almost entirely pointless. It is impossible to say what the weather is going to be like a month in advance, and even 7 days out is tough.
    Yep, have a degree in meteorology and can confirm it's nonsense. The UK happens to be in one of the most unpredictable positions for forecasting as our weather systems can come from 4 different directions. A 7 day forecast gives you a rough idea but to be honest, no point looking further than 3 days ahead for certainty  
  • Hex
    Hex Posts: 1,888
    ME14addick said:
    I use the BBC app as well as the Met Office app, they often vary.

    I also use rainfall radar tracking with Wundermap and My Lightning Tracker.

    https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap?lat=51.27&lon=0.519&zoom=8&pin=&rad=1&rad.type=00Q&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=0&hur=0

    The difficulty with weather forecasting to a local level was demonstrated yesterday. I was following the rainfall radar and there were plenty of showers around, however no rain fell where I am in Maidstone. I watched the rain on the radar and it bypassed us, but only a short distance away, rain was falling. The same happened a couple of weeks ago when some areas of Kent had torrential rainfall, but we had very little.
    The radar display is an interpretation of the data received from the radar signal so isn’t always correct.  Eg some rain dies out before it reaches the ground.  Also, as the radar points slightly upwards, the further you are from a radar station the less accurate it can become.
  • Hex
    Hex Posts: 1,888
    edited August 12
    Sheepie1985 said:
    DamoNorthStand said:
    My mate works for the met office and says Accuweathers 45 day forecast is almost entirely pointless. It is impossible to say what the weather is going to be like a month in advance, and even 7 days out is tough.
    Yep, have a degree in meteorology and can confirm it's nonsense. The UK happens to be in one of the most unpredictable positions for forecasting as our weather systems can come from 4 different directions. A 7 day forecast gives you a rough idea but to be honest, no point looking further than 3 days ahead for certainty  
    Isn’t it a general rule that, every 10 years, the accuracy of a forecast x days ahead becomes x+1 days ahead.  AI may be changing this, though.
  • killerandflash
    killerandflash Posts: 69,866
    killerandflash said:
    I tend to rely on the Google weather widget built into Google on my phone, though I do look at the BBC weather App as well

    Visually they might say the same thing, but display it differently. For example I was looking at the forecast for last Friday md afternoon and was surprised to see a light rain cloud on the Google App but not on the BBC one, but when I dug down both had a 15-20% chance of a light shower at 3pm, but showed it differently.
    It's currently raining in Golders Green. The Google App has rain in its forecast, whereas the BBC App has bright sunshine all afternoon and 0% rain.
  • Covered End
    Covered End Posts: 52,013
    BBC weather forecast is very poor.
    If I'm indoors the ITV forecast is extremely accurate.

    Today in Bromley the sun disappeared around 10am and it's been cloudy ever since, getting increasingly thundery.

    But the BBC weather still has 100% sunshine even though it's updated hourly.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/br1 
  • Leuth
    Leuth Posts: 23,326
    Covered End said:
    BBC weather forecast is very poor.
    If I'm indoors the ITV forecast is extremely accurate.

    Today in Bromley the sun disappeared around 10am and it's been cloudy ever since, getting increasingly thundery.

    But the BBC weather still has 100% sunshine even though it's updated hourly.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/br1 
    Yeah it's fuckin hopeless. I use accuweather radar when I need to know (cricket) 
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  • Curb_It
    Curb_It Posts: 21,229
    Full sun? Rubbish… can barely see Tower Bridge from the office!


  • McBobbin
    McBobbin Posts: 12,051
    eaststandmike said:
    Gribbo said:

    Already posted above 😉
    Different stone so probably different weather 
  • swords_alive
    swords_alive Posts: 4,271
    edited August 14
    ShootersHillGuru said:
    Gribbo said:
    Look out the window
    That’s only helpful if you want to know what’s happening right now. If I want to plan a day out or eg a picnic it would be good to know what’s predicted. My gripe here is that BBC are not just a bit wrong but 100% wrong and it’s a common occurrence.
     72% chance that tomorrow's weather will be the same as today, which is close to saying look out the window to get a fairly good probability of what's coming- if i recall correctly!

     If you go outside and activate more senses than just sight, temperature and wind aspects can also be better estimated, probably.

    (The figure of 72% is probably lower these days with influences of climate change).
  • Hex
    Hex Posts: 1,888
    Mswords_alive said:
    ShootersHillGuru said:
    Gribbo said:
    Look out the window
    That’s only helpful if you want to know what’s happening right now. If I want to plan a day out or eg a picnic it would be good to know what’s predicted. My gripe here is that BBC are not just a bit wrong but 100% wrong and it’s a common occurrence.
     72% chance that tomorrow's weather will be the same as today, which is close to saying look out the window to get a fairly good probability of what's coming- if i recall correctly!

     If you go outside and activate more senses than just sight, temperature and wind aspects can also be better estimated, probably.

    (The figure of 72% is probably lower these days with influences of climate change).
    If I wanted to know the temperature I wouldn’t ask a human (unless they were looking at a thermometer) !

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