Based on the one game played so far, England's goal attempt stats are better than many winning teams - and comfortably better than all the losing teams. With 18 shots at goal and 5 shots on target, we look to be on one of the most dangerous teams if you believe statistics. I don't have the stats for periods of the game, but my feeling was that Italy closed the game down very effectively in the last 25-30 minutes during which period we probably had few attempts.
Cause for optimism? Clutching at straws? Or, will Uruguay and Costa Rica be different games?
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As I said on the England v Italy thread:
"This group is now set up for that rare beast - a team loses the first two games and still goes through.
Just needs:
Uruguay to beat England by 1,
Italy win their 2 remaining games,
England beat Costa Rica by 2
Not beyond the realms of possibility. Sorted.
:-)"
Meanwhile in France's group for example, we have Switzerland at 6th, France at 17th, Ecuador at 26th and Honduras at 33rd.
So, how did the seeding for the draw work out? How did we end up in a group with 3 of the top ten teams in it when there really ought to be no more than two groups with two of the top ten and the rest having just one?
Why are there 6 South American countries in the finals when they are only 10 teams in their qualification process? Whereas in Europe we have 53 teams competing for only 13 places. How does that work?
Defensively though I'd say we're a worry and its what'll send us out of the World Cup if we're not careful... Trouble is its not been a World Cup for Defenders:
- Brazil conceeded a silly own goal and never looked great at the back
- Spain conceeded five goals
- Argentina never looked brilliant at the back
- England of course let in the two silly goals
- Uruguay looked terrible at the back against Costa Rica and were lucky it wasnt more.
So far only Italy (Apart from turning off briefly when we scored), Holland and France have been secure in Defence
- If Uruguay beat us they go to three points
- If Italy beat Costa Rica they'll go to six points... Uruguay beating Italy would also take them to six points
- Then you've got Costa Rica... Even if they lose to Italy they can beat us go to six points
Dont think there is a Group where there are going to be two standout teams this year... there will be three teams (and in some Groups all four teams) with a chance of getting through
To be fair, I'm not saying I think it will happen, just that it could happen.
As for other teams - you could argue Holland were shite up until the 40th minute - then it was an exhibition of attacking play and Spain in self-destruct mode.
France looked good last night. I can't wait for Germany vs Portugal today as I think the Germans are going to go well in this tournament.
But I think Italy are. They were excellent on Saturday. My feeling is that by the end of the tournament a fairly close 2-1 loss to them won't look too bad...
Their centre-back pairing is made up of two out of position players. One attached to a Championship club, the other recently released by one.
Plus Insigne, Cassano, Immobile and Cerci all look like exciting options off the bench.
We clearly had a shoot on sight policy, and I would say created only 1 exceptional goalscoring opportunity - the goal itself. Rooney's chance was a good opening, and Sturridge (I think?) had a nice run in the first half but beyond that the shots from distance were fairly comfortable saves.
Long distance shots does not mean that we were close to scoring. Our shooting stats might look impressive but that's because Italy were happy to sit back and let us fire long shot after long shot either wide or straight at the keeper.