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Play off form

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Comments

  • golfaddick
    golfaddick Posts: 33,999
    MuttleyCAFC said:

    75 always gets you in the play offs - .

    Not this year it wont. The top FIVE are only 10 points off that at the moment. I think you'll need 82 points to get into the play offs this year.
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 64,071
    edited March 2015
    Here are the percentages:

    1. Win all ten games and we've got a 70% chance.
    2. Win 9 and draw 1, we'd have a 27% chance.
    3. Win 9 and lose 1 gives us a 13% chance.
    4. Win 8, draw 2 gives us a 6% chance.
    5. Win 8, draw 1 and lose 1 & we'd have a 2% chance.
    6. Win 7, draw 3 / win 8, lose 2 & we've got a 1% chance.

    Anything less than that leaves it so unlikely that it isn't worth considering.
  • Dave2l
    Dave2l Posts: 8,880
    Callumcafc said:

    Here are the percentages:

    1. Win all ten games and we've got a 70% chance.
    2. Win 9 and draw 1, we'd have a 27% chance.
    3. Win 9 and lose 1 gives us a 13% chance.
    4. Win 8, draw 2 gives us a 6% chance.
    5. Win 8, draw 1 and lose 1 & we'd have a 2% chance.
    6. Win 7, draw 3 / win 8, lose 2 & we've got a 1% chance.

    Anything less than that leaves it so unlikely that it isn't worth considering.

    You've done ya home work.

    I'd say pull the curtains on it already, shame though.

    Next season, if we keep our key squad and best players whilst improving on what we've already got, I can see us flirting with promotion end of 15/16.

    It is 46 games. Little glimpses here and there is not enough.
  • stonewallpenalty
    stonewallpenalty Posts: 3,842
    It would have to be run away with the league and win it by christmas form.
  • Addickted2U
    Addickted2U Posts: 3,104
    Blackburn had to work hard for a replay today and might have one eye on that next Saturday. So I reckon that's another 3 points. Blackpool should then be routinely dispatched and Reading also got a chance of Wembley. That's March, then bring on the Spanners. Good times!
  • wmcf123
    wmcf123 Posts: 5,843
    JonnyK said:

    Keeping and then improving the current squad for 15/16 sounds easy but we don't have a clue as to what Roly has in mind for next season.

    Kets just enjoy the rest of this season!

    Spot on, on all counts! COYA!
  • The_President
    The_President Posts: 14,280
    tangoflash said:

    Looking forward to our next defeat, just so we can stop all this silly dreaming............

    What a load of bollox.
    you are the typical lidl ol Charlton fan.
  • cafctom
    cafctom Posts: 11,381
    MuttleyCAFC said:

    75 always gets you in the play offs - average low total is just under 73. So that means 9 wins out of 10 - too big an ask if we play like we did yesterday, but given that we don't play any top teams until our final game at home against Bournemouth, I think it is doable. We have to go for victory in every game and if we win our next four it will get interesting. Let's win those and see how it all looks.

    9 wins out of the next 10 would mean that we win 14 games out of 16..........Not in a million years is that going to happen.

    Just enjoy the rest of the season and the football we're playing.

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