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Whats really sent us down this season.....
Comments
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42 would have been enough last season.Missed It said:
The average points score to avoid relegation the last 5 years has been 46, which includes Peterborough who went down on 54. Right now, we are on schedule for 37 points which will see us relegated every time.queensland_addick said:Win 5, draw 5, lose 5 should do us, 44 points.
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41 was enough in 2012. Our luck isn't that good though!queensland_addick said:
42 would have been enough last season.Missed It said:
The average points score to avoid relegation the last 5 years has been 46, which includes Peterborough who went down on 54. Right now, we are on schedule for 37 points which will see us relegated every time.queensland_addick said:Win 5, draw 5, lose 5 should do us, 44 points.
As an aside, I don't think we'd be in the bottom 3 now if it wasn't for Nick '5 hole' Pope and M. Duchatelet's refusal to carry an experienced back-up keeper.1 -
When we go down (which must surely happen now) it'll be the owner's fault, but having Kashi in the side would have made a big difference. He was brilliant in the first two home games and I believe we'd be mid table now if he had stayed fit. I guess he'll be too good to play for us in Div 1 next season.0
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Ooh that's harsh on Pope!Missed It said:
41 was enough in 2012. Our luck isn't that good though!queensland_addick said:
42 would have been enough last season.Missed It said:
The average points score to avoid relegation the last 5 years has been 46, which includes Peterborough who went down on 54. Right now, we are on schedule for 37 points which will see us relegated every time.queensland_addick said:Win 5, draw 5, lose 5 should do us, 44 points.
As an aside, I don't think we'd be in the bottom 3 now if it wasn't for Nick '5 hole' Pope and M. Duchatelet's refusal to carry an experienced back-up keeper.
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Whereas Pope did look shaky at times early on the season- I can only think of a few points that he personally cost us - Soft goal at home to Hudds, arguably cost 1 point in a 1-2 defeat. Soft goal v Fulham cost 2 in a 2-2 draw.Missed It said:
41 was enough in 2012. Our luck isn't that good though!queensland_addick said:
42 would have been enough last season.Missed It said:
The average points score to avoid relegation the last 5 years has been 46, which includes Peterborough who went down on 54. Right now, we are on schedule for 37 points which will see us relegated every time.queensland_addick said:Win 5, draw 5, lose 5 should do us, 44 points.
As an aside, I don't think we'd be in the bottom 3 now if it wasn't for Nick '5 hole' Pope and M. Duchatelet's refusal to carry an experienced back-up keeper.
Hendo has made as many mistakes if not more this season.3 -
Agree - 50+ needed in my view.Airman Brown said:0 -
Stop that, there's no place for reasoned arguments here...LouisMend said:
Whereas Pope did look shaky at times early on the season- I can only think of a few points that he personally cost us - Soft goal at home to Hudds, arguably cost 1 point in a 1-2 defeat. Soft goal v Fulham cost 2 in a 2-2 draw.Missed It said:
41 was enough in 2012. Our luck isn't that good though!queensland_addick said:
42 would have been enough last season.Missed It said:
The average points score to avoid relegation the last 5 years has been 46, which includes Peterborough who went down on 54. Right now, we are on schedule for 37 points which will see us relegated every time.queensland_addick said:Win 5, draw 5, lose 5 should do us, 44 points.
As an aside, I don't think we'd be in the bottom 3 now if it wasn't for Nick '5 hole' Pope and M. Duchatelet's refusal to carry an experienced back-up keeper.
Hendo has made as many mistakes if not more this season.
Go, take your factual analysis, and sit in the corner.2 -
No way do you need 50 points this season. 46 will probably be enough.simonmatthews said:
Agree - 50+ needed in my view.Airman Brown said:0 -
Agreed. Just for context, in the previous ten seasons, a club has needed 50 points or more to survive on only two occasions.Covered End said:
No way do you need 50 points this season. 46 will probably be enough.simonmatthews said:
Agree - 50+ needed in my view.Airman Brown said:
2012/2013 Peterborough relegated on 54 points, Barnsley survived on 55.
2007/2008 - Leicester relegated on 52 points, Coventry survived on 53.
In both of those seasons, the bottom placed club after 31 games already had over 30 points.
I haven't worked out the average over that period, but 46 looks be there or thereabouts.0 -
Hope you're (both) right0
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It might be hard to argue with a mad absentee owner but it's even harder to argue with maths like this. It doesn't look good. Regardless, I want 3 points this weekend. Even if we have to mug them for it.0
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Even more unlikely to actually happen, in mineAirman Brown said:
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No point in looking too far ahead in terms of points required. We just need to try to close the gap ASAP to put some pressure on teams above. If we can make up 3 points within the next 5 or so games it will make things very interesting heading into the final 10 games.0
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Was thinking the other day that this thread (well the title) is going to be damned awkward if we stay up0
