Around, yes, but I doubt 5 points from March would leave us in the bottom three. Five points would put us on 44 points at the end of the month. To reach 44 points, the teams below us would need:
Stoke - 5 points from 4 games
Middlesbrough - 7 points from 5 games
Barnsley and Luton - 10 points from 4 games
Hull above us would need 3 points from 4 games to reach 44 points, and they've only managed 2 points from their last 10.
This is all without considering goal difference (admittedly much less in our favour after yesterday).
Whilst I think we will lose at Cardiff as they are a big team who utilise Vaulks long throw, they play Sunday Wednesday as opposed to our Saturday and Tuesday. Could work in our favour if they are a bit flat.
Comments
Gonna go for seven points:
Wins: Middlesbrough | Queens Park Rangers
Draw: Hull City
Defeat: Cardiff City
Wins: Middlesbrough | Hull
Draw: QPR
Defeat: Cardiff City
7 points.
Win: Boro
Draws: Hull, QPR
Defeat: Cardiff
Hull (a) draw
QPR (h) Draw
Cardiff (a) Loss
Which will probably see us in the bottom three.
Hull (1)
QPR (1)
Cardiff (0)
5 Points.
I am going for 7-9, sod it 8 and unbeaten.
So probably 5 and the relegation battle drags on into April.
5 points