I thought we would need 3 wins and a draw or two max going into the last 9. Such has been the form of most of the sides in the bottom 8, I think 4 wins and a draw (in total from 9) should be just about enough with so many having to play one another.
With 2 from 9 played, I think that Huddersfield, Hull and Barnsley will drop, Luton will swerve it too.
Charlton: Beat QPR 1-0 Cardiff (A) L Millwall (H) W Brentford (A) L Reading (H) D Birmingham (A) L Wigan (H) L Leeds (A) W
Post-restart form: WWLWLDLLW Final Points: 52
Wigan: Beat Blackburn 2-0 Stoke (H) W Brentford (A) L QPR (H) W Barnsley (A) W Hull (H) W Charlton (A) W Fulham (H) L
Post-restart form: WWLWWWWL Final Points: 62
Stoke: Lost to Middlesbrough 0-2 Wigan (A) L Barnsley (H) W Leeds (A) L Birmingham (H) D Bristol (A) W Brentford (H) L Forest (A) L
Post-restart form: DLWLDWLL Final Points: 50
Huddersfield: Lost to Notts Forest 1-3 Bacuna sent off Birmingham (A) L Preston (H) L Reading (A) D Luton (H) W Sheffield Wednesday (A) D West Brom (H) L Millwall (A) W
Post-restart form: LLLLDWDLW Final Points: 50
Middlesbrough: Beat Stoke 2-0 Hull (A) W QPR (H) D Millwall (A) W Bristol (H) L Reading (A) D Cardiff (H) L Sheffield Wednesday (A) W
Post-restart form: LWDWLDLW Final Points: 52
Hull: Drew with Birmingham 3-3 Middlesbrough (H) L West Brom (A) L Bristol (A) L Millwall (H) D Wigan (A) L Luton (H) D Cardiff (A) L
Post-restart form: LDLLLDLDL
Final Points: 44 - Relegated 23rd
Barnsley: Drew with Millwall 0-0 Blackburn (H) W Stoke (A) L Luton (A) D Wigan (H) L Leeds (A) L Forest (H) L Brentford (A) L
Post-restart form: WDWLDLLLL
Finak Points: 42 - Relegated 24th
Luton: Beat Swansea 1-0 Leeds (A) L Reading (H) D Barnsley (H) D Huddersfield (A) L QPR (H) D Hull (A) D Blackburn (H) D
Post-restart form: DWLDDLDDD Final Points: 44 - Relegated 22nd
Those are my wildly inaccurate predictions
While it would be great to have 3 teams surrender meekly, I think Luton and Barnsley will do a LOT better than your forecast
This is shaping up to be one of those seasons where unfortunately no team has their fate entirely in their own hands and it is going to be who gets the best form/luck of the draw relative to everyone else. Everyone has to play like their survival depends on it, because it probably does. Two of the three relegation places probably will be resolved before the very last day but the final spot I can definitely see being between two or three teams and down to the wire. Hopefully we won't be one of those but I'm not counting on anything until survival is mathematic fact.
I would love to see Huddersfield and Stoke go down, after they both had a poor start of the season and then the pair of them found some form and thought they were going to finish high up the table. Now they have started this mini season the way they started the main season and are right back in it. Hull or boro to take the third spot.
I would love to see Huddersfield and Stoke go down, after they both had a poor start of the season and then the pair of them found some form and thought they were going to finish high up the table. Now they have started this mini season the way they started the main season and are right back in it. Hull or boro to take the third spot.
Would be quite something if all 3 of last season's promoted teams survived in the end.
Only 7 losses out of 24 games. 4 of those against relegation rivals. Madness
What/who are you talking about?
I think op is saying that out of all the games played by the bottom 8 teams only 7 have been losses, with 4 being 6-pointers. Not something you would expect at the back end of a season.
Only 7 losses out of 24 games. 4 of those against relegation rivals. Madness
What/who are you talking about?
The 8 teams above have lost a total of 7 games out of 24 played since lockdown. 4 of those were played against relegation rivals - the form of these teams is mad.
Comments
With 2 from 9 played, I think that Huddersfield, Hull and Barnsley will drop, Luton will swerve it too.
Two of the three relegation places probably will be resolved before the very last day but the final spot I can definitely see being between two or three teams and down to the wire. Hopefully we won't be one of those but I'm not counting on anything until survival is mathematic fact.
Beat QPR 1-0
Draw with Cardiff 1-1
Millwall (H)
Brentford (A)
Reading (H)
Birmingham (A)
Wigan (H)
Leeds (A)
Post-restart form: WWD
Wigan:
Beat Blackburn 2-0
Beat Stoke 3-0
Brentford (A)
QPR (H)
Barnsley (A)
Hull (H)
Charlton (A)
Fulham (H)
Post-restart form: WWW
Stoke:
Lost to Middlesbrough 0-2
Lost to Wigan 0-3
Barnsley (H)
Leeds (A)
Birmingham (H)
Bristol (A)
Brentford (H)
Forest (A)
Post-restart form: DLL
Huddersfield:
Lost to Notts Forest 1-3 Bacuna sent off
Beat Birmingham 3-0
Preston (H)
Reading (A)
Luton (H)
Sheffield Wednesday (A)
West Brom (H)
Millwall (A)
Post-restart form: LLW
Middlesbrough:
Beat Stoke 2-0
Lost to Hull 1-2
QPR (H)
Millwall (A)
Bristol (H)
Reading (A)
Cardiff (H)
Sheffield Wednesday (A)
Post-restart form: LWL
Hull:
Drew with Birmingham 3-3
Beat Middlesbrough 2-1
West Brom (A)
Bristol (A)
Millwall (H)
Wigan (A)
Luton (H)
Cardiff (A)
Post-restart form: LDW
Barnsley:
Drew with Millwall 0-0
Beat Blackburn 2-0
Stoke (A)
Luton (A)
Wigan (H)
Leeds (A)
Forest (H)
Brentford (A)
Post-restart form: WDW
Luton:
Beat Swansea 1-0
Drew with Leeds 1-1
Reading (H)
Barnsley (H)
Huddersfield (A)
QPR (H)
Hull (A)
Blackburn (H)
Post-restart form: DWD