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World Cup 2026 - USA/Canada/Mexico
Comments
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Because the two statements are not linked
They are individual stats2 -
Yeah obviously if we got a South American side in pot 2 then the pot 3 probabilities would be redistributed to others as Paraguay would drop to 0%.Would massively up the chances of Panama and other sides like Scotland.1
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Anyone got a draw simulator that now includes the top 4 seeds being kept apart0
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Got an email today from the England Supporters Travel Club confirming that people looking to go to the knockout games (including the Final at about $2,500 minimum) will need to pay FIFA for such tickets in February - even without the knowledge about whether England will even make it that far.
You get it refunded back to you if they get knocked out, but of course that comes with a fee!
And its also been confirmed that the supporters club tickets are likely to be up in the gods (as the most expensive ones will be closer to the pitch). So no proper away end behind the goal.
I'm planning on going out there for the Group Stages and have also made plans for the Final in case we make it. But the whole thing is an absolute nightmare logistically to plan.
Complete opposite to Qatar where I managed 15 games in 10 days and didn't travel more than an hour from my hotel.
I'm thinking of using Chicago as a hub, purely because it is so well connected for domestic flights and the fact that its not a host city (so it might not sting so much price wise). But even just doing what I plan to do will easily cost around 6-8k if doing it as cheap as possible.
Thankfully we have a UK tournament in 2028.4 -
So let’s be clear: FIFA are profiting from ticket touting. Do I misunderstand something here? Are they really that big a bunch of crooks?TelMc32 said:Leroy Ambrose said:
How long have you got?Killarahales said:
What a ****ing joke. How much worse can things get with FIFA?Chunes said:From BBC Sport:
"Cristiano Ronaldo will be able to play for Portugal in their opening game at next summer's World Cup finals despite his red card against the Republic of Ireland.Violent conduct normally carries a three-match ban but Ronaldo has had the second and third matches suspended for a year."Below was posted up on Substack this morning. It’s a screenshot from the official FIFA resale site. $105 tickets being touted now for $1,200!!! From a piece I read before, I understand that FIFA take a 15% fee from the seller and another 15% from the buyer! It’s just one huge grift 🤬
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I think that you’d have to cancel Paraguay out if we drew one of those 3 most likely Pot 2 teams. If however we drew, for example, Japan (being only 4% less likely) from Pot 2 then Paraguay from Pot 3 would be accepted.ForeverAddickted said:
How can our most likely Pot 3 opponent be Paraguay then, if our Pot 2 opponent comes from South AmericaCallumcafc said:
Posted by a user on Reddit who ran 1 million World Cup draw simulations.
England’s most likely Pot 2 opponent: Uruguay / Colombia / Ecuador
England’s most likely Pot 3 opponent: Paraguay / Panama
England’s most likely Pot 4 opponent: Iraq / Bolivia / Suriname
Anyway, we’re bound to get a boring but tough European team from Pot 2 (only 3% less likely) . France hopefully will get Switzerland from Pot 2.
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How the fuck is this legal
so FIFA will probably have sth like $1.15bn worth of money for final tickets alone (12,000 x 2,000$ x 48 countries) in their banks accounts for 6 months
when 1.10bn$ of those will definitively be refunded
and that’s just the final
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Unlikely there will be an allocation of 12,000 per fanbase. Usually it’s about 8% of capacity, so maybe 5-6k.paulsturgess said:How the fuck is this legal
so FIFA will probably have sth like $1.15bn worth of money for final tickets alone (12,000 x 2,000$ x 48 countries) in their banks accounts for 6 months
when 1.10bn$ of those will definitively be refunded
and that’s just the final
And also doubt there will be that many people from all 48 countries committing that money, as most can’t afford it and probably don’t expect to get anywhere near the Final anyway.It wouldn’t surprise me if the biggest take up on it was from England tbh. Our travel club has 30,000 paid up members desperate to see us win a World Cup for the first time in many people’s lifetimes.0 -
Very prettyCallumcafc said:
Posted by a user on Reddit who ran 1 million World Cup draw simulations.
England’s most likely Pot 2 opponent: Uruguay / Colombia / Ecuador
England’s most likely Pot 3 opponent: Paraguay / Panama
England’s most likely Pot 4 opponent: Iraq / Bolivia / Suriname0 -
I agree it’s visually appealing, but as it’s perfectly symmetrical, the top right half is unnecessary.Off_it said:
Very prettyCallumcafc said:
Posted by a user on Reddit who ran 1 million World Cup draw simulations.
England’s most likely Pot 2 opponent: Uruguay / Colombia / Ecuador
England’s most likely Pot 3 opponent: Paraguay / Panama
England’s most likely Pot 4 opponent: Iraq / Bolivia / Suriname
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One thing I can’t find online:
How are they going to ensure the rules of confederations being separated?
There are articles by FIFA and others explaining what some of the constraints and procedures are - for example, it seems they’re going to have 4 pots of 12 teams, separation of top 4 seeds, USA, Canada and Mexico being in pre-agreed groups, one team per confederation (except UEFA where 4 groups will have 2 from UEFA) etc.
But if a team is drawn but can’t be placed in that group due to a restriction, what will they do? Move it to the next allowed group? Put the ball back and redraw? How have they ensured that the last balls drawn aren’t forced into a group that’s not allowed?
I’m sure they have it worked out because they put a lot of thought into these things, but I’m just curious to see the algorithm. Anyone seen this?0 -
The easy bit is that they’ll move the drawn team along into the next available group.I have to imagine, for the more complex ones, they’ll have some kind of software that will keep track of it all. No idea what that looks like, probably some kind of Python script.0
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Best simulator I’ve found so far. Seems to have all the constraints, including keeping England apart from Spain, France and Argentina.
wc2026.app0 -
Yes I know but you’re splitting hairs. I’ve also only allowed to 2,000 usd in that and more importantly that is only for final… semis… quarterscafctom said:
Unlikely there will be an allocation of 12,000 per fanbase. Usually it’s about 8% of capacity, so maybe 5-6k.paulsturgess said:How the fuck is this legal
so FIFA will probably have sth like $1.15bn worth of money for final tickets alone (12,000 x 2,000$ x 48 countries) in their banks accounts for 6 months
when 1.10bn$ of those will definitively be refunded
and that’s just the final
And also doubt there will be that many people from all 48 countries committing that money, as most can’t afford it and probably don’t expect to get anywhere near the Final anyway.It wouldn’t surprise me if the biggest take up on it was from England tbh. Our travel club has 30,000 paid up members desperate to see us win a World Cup for the first time in many people’s lifetimes.
taking loads of people’s money for something that for the overwhelming majority will never actually occur it’s like bloody fyre festival!
unreal they are allowed to get away with this1 -
Its actually been this way with FIFA going back to either 2002 or 2006. Its not a new policy. UEFA don't do it for their tournaments.paulsturgess said:
Yes I know but you’re splitting hairs. I’ve also only allowed to 2,000 usd in that and more importantly that is only for final… semis… quarterscafctom said:
Unlikely there will be an allocation of 12,000 per fanbase. Usually it’s about 8% of capacity, so maybe 5-6k.paulsturgess said:How the fuck is this legal
so FIFA will probably have sth like $1.15bn worth of money for final tickets alone (12,000 x 2,000$ x 48 countries) in their banks accounts for 6 months
when 1.10bn$ of those will definitively be refunded
and that’s just the final
And also doubt there will be that many people from all 48 countries committing that money, as most can’t afford it and probably don’t expect to get anywhere near the Final anyway.It wouldn’t surprise me if the biggest take up on it was from England tbh. Our travel club has 30,000 paid up members desperate to see us win a World Cup for the first time in many people’s lifetimes.
taking loads of people’s money for something that for the overwhelming majority will never actually occur it’s like bloody fyre festival!
unreal they are allowed to get away with this
There is no justifiable reason that they need to do it whatsoever - beyond it just being a money making exercise for them. They get to make interest off the money, and off of the 'refund fee'. Plus the exchange rate can even result in people losing money.
It is sickening but unfortunately they'll get away with it as enough people will pay.2 -
I'll probably just do one game at those prices. Hoping we get an interesting city for our group stage at least.0
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Hasn’t realised that. But yes, they will get away with it , mugs like me will paycafctom said:
Its actually been this way with FIFA going back to either 2002 or 2006. Its not a new policy. UEFA don't do it for their tournaments.paulsturgess said:
Yes I know but you’re splitting hairs. I’ve also only allowed to 2,000 usd in that and more importantly that is only for final… semis… quarterscafctom said:
Unlikely there will be an allocation of 12,000 per fanbase. Usually it’s about 8% of capacity, so maybe 5-6k.paulsturgess said:How the fuck is this legal
so FIFA will probably have sth like $1.15bn worth of money for final tickets alone (12,000 x 2,000$ x 48 countries) in their banks accounts for 6 months
when 1.10bn$ of those will definitively be refunded
and that’s just the final
And also doubt there will be that many people from all 48 countries committing that money, as most can’t afford it and probably don’t expect to get anywhere near the Final anyway.It wouldn’t surprise me if the biggest take up on it was from England tbh. Our travel club has 30,000 paid up members desperate to see us win a World Cup for the first time in many people’s lifetimes.
taking loads of people’s money for something that for the overwhelming majority will never actually occur it’s like bloody fyre festival!
unreal they are allowed to get away with this
There is no justifiable reason that they need to do it whatsoever - beyond it just being a money making exercise for them. They get to make interest off the money, and off of the 'refund fee'. Plus the exchange rate can even result in people losing money.
It is sickening but unfortunately they'll get away with it as enough people will pay.0 -
I enjoyed the dead parrot sketch but not sure how its relevant.Callumcafc said:The easy bit is that they’ll move the drawn team along into the next available group.I have to imagine, for the more complex ones, they’ll have some kind of software that will keep track of it all. No idea what that looks like, probably some kind of Python script.0 -
Isn't it that there are balls within balls? Outer shell ball shows confederation. If wrong one, put it back in. If acceptable within clash constraints, open it.lordromford said:One thing I can’t find online:
How are they going to ensure the rules of confederations being separated?
There are articles by FIFA and others explaining what some of the constraints and procedures are - for example, it seems they’re going to have 4 pots of 12 teams, separation of top 4 seeds, USA, Canada and Mexico being in pre-agreed groups, one team per confederation (except UEFA where 4 groups will have 2 from UEFA) etc.
But if a team is drawn but can’t be placed in that group due to a restriction, what will they do? Move it to the next allowed group? Put the ball back and redraw? How have they ensured that the last balls drawn aren’t forced into a group that’s not allowed?
I’m sure they have it worked out because they put a lot of thought into these things, but I’m just curious to see the algorithm. Anyone seen this?1 -
Maybe, I don’t know though!Siv_in_Norfolk said:
Isn't it that there are balls within balls? Outer shell ball shows confederation. If wrong one, put it back in. If acceptable within clash constraints, open it.lordromford said:One thing I can’t find online:
How are they going to ensure the rules of confederations being separated?
There are articles by FIFA and others explaining what some of the constraints and procedures are - for example, it seems they’re going to have 4 pots of 12 teams, separation of top 4 seeds, USA, Canada and Mexico being in pre-agreed groups, one team per confederation (except UEFA where 4 groups will have 2 from UEFA) etc.
But if a team is drawn but can’t be placed in that group due to a restriction, what will they do? Move it to the next allowed group? Put the ball back and redraw? How have they ensured that the last balls drawn aren’t forced into a group that’s not allowed?
I’m sure they have it worked out because they put a lot of thought into these things, but I’m just curious to see the algorithm. Anyone seen this?
Thats the thing - I’m not sure why I can’t find anything explaining it in more detail. It can’t be a secret, surely?0 -
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All these elaborate draws, you just want them to complete it then realise there's one ball left over.6
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The draw on Friday is taking place in Washington DC....An interesting location considering its not a host city for the tournament and it doesn't exactly scream 'razzmatazz'.
But then it comes out that FIFA plan to present their very first 'FIFA Peace Prize' at the event.
Now I wonder which resident of Washington DC might be lined up to receive that in return for his involvement with the draw.....?6 -
Just booked flights to Canada for a couple of weeks. Probably won’t get any tickets for live games but will at least be more or less in the right time zone for a bit of it.2
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Two peas in a pod.cafctom said:The draw on Friday is taking place in Washington DC....An interesting location considering its not a host city for the tournament and it doesn't exactly scream 'razzmatazz'.
But then it comes out that FIFA plan to present their very first 'FIFA Peace Prize' at the event.
Now I wonder which resident of Washington DC might be lined up to receive that in return for his involvement with the draw.....?3 -


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those bullshit headlines are a joke , put a ticket up for sale for a billion pounds , doesn't mean that's the price they're going for2
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Regardless, this is an official resale site. They should be limited to face value, plus fees incurred at the very most. The fact that FIFA are also helping themselves to a further 30% fee is nothing short of a disgrace. Infantino truly has become the apprentice turned master…of the grift!oohaahmortimer said:those bullshit headlines are a joke , put a ticket up for sale for a billion pounds , doesn't mean that's the price they're going for
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They were telling us that a beer would cost £80 in Qatar, that the infrastructure would melt on day one and that half the England supporter base would get locked up. All a load of bollocks.Raith_C_Chattonell said:
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Trump is saying he might take matches away from sone cities as they aren't safe. Coincidentally all in Democrat areas.1
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cafctom said:
They were telling us that a beer would cost £80 in Qatar, that the infrastructure would melt on day one and that half the England supporter base would get locked up. All a load of bollocks.Raith_C_Chattonell said:

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