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General Election Result predictor (no comments, just your forecasts, please)

1235

Comments

  • eastterrace6168
    eastterrace6168 Posts: 22,525
    Seems like a lot of people going into Labour...👶
  • Karim_myBagheri
    Karim_myBagheri Posts: 12,719
    Labour one hundred and eighty 
  • Chizz
    Chizz Posts: 28,335
    Four-way dead heat tie.  Labour, LibDem, Plaid Cymru, Green. 
  • Reform 8
  • redman
    redman Posts: 5,285
    Labour 232
  • C_A_F_C
    C_A_F_C Posts: 3,866
    Labour 110
  • Chaz Hill
    Chaz Hill Posts: 5,217
    Labour 102 (but hope it is higher).
  • Nug
    Nug Posts: 4,623
    Labour 127

    new prime minister within 2 years

    Farage leader of the Tories within a month
  • SELR_addicks
    SELR_addicks Posts: 15,446
    Labour 115. 

    Nervous and feel like the polling has been indirectly suppressing the Labour vote by telling them it's already over. 
  • ME14addick
    ME14addick Posts: 9,762
    Labour 192
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  • MrBurns
    MrBurns Posts: 1,285
    Reform 20 
  • PragueAddick
    PragueAddick Posts: 22,145
    So, at just before 19.00 BST we now have 117 predictions. All but four predict Labour win, 3 predict Reform, but I have doubts about the extent to which they are having a laugh.

    The average predicted Labour majority has eased back to 169, the median 173. In the latest batch of predictions we have both a new high-300 and a new low- 50. 

    Right I'm off up the pub, where the only difficult discussion I'll face will be about England at Euro 24...
  • ForeverAddickted
    ForeverAddickted Posts: 94,318
    So, at just before 19.00 BST we now have 117 predictions. All but four predict Labour win, 3 predict Reform, but I have doubts about the extent to which they are having a laugh.

    The average predicted Labour majority has eased back to 169, the median 173. In the latest batch of predictions we have both a new high-300 and a new low- 50. 

    Right I'm off up the pub, where the only difficult discussion I'll face will be about England at Euro 24...
    I feel like my prediction for Count Binface isn't being taken seriously!! 
  • PragueAddick
    PragueAddick Posts: 22,145
    So, at just before 19.00 BST we now have 117 predictions. All but four predict Labour win, 3 predict Reform, but I have doubts about the extent to which they are having a laugh.

    The average predicted Labour majority has eased back to 169, the median 173. In the latest batch of predictions we have both a new high-300 and a new low- 50. 

    Right I'm off up the pub, where the only difficult discussion I'll face will be about England at Euro 24...
    I feel like my prediction for Count Binface isn't being taken seriously!! 
    I feel you did not answer the predictor question😉

    But them neither did @Chizz so you are in good company. And as for the jokers who voted twice….
  • ME14addick
    ME14addick Posts: 9,762
    So, at just before 19.00 BST we now have 117 predictions. All but four predict Labour win, 3 predict Reform, but I have doubts about the extent to which they are having a laugh.

    The average predicted Labour majority has eased back to 169, the median 173. In the latest batch of predictions we have both a new high-300 and a new low- 50. 

    Right I'm off up the pub, where the only difficult discussion I'll face will be about England at Euro 24...
    I feel like my prediction for Count Binface isn't being taken seriously!! 
    I feel you did not answer the predictor question😉

    But them neither did @Chizz so you are in good company. And as for the jokers who voted twice….
    I've just realised that I voted twice. I noticed that my number was sitting as a draft  so assumed I hadn't sent it. Apologies!
  • LenGlover
    LenGlover Posts: 31,651
    Labour 75
  • Gary Poole
    Gary Poole Posts: 1,874
    Labour 146
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,765
    BBC/ITV/Sky exit poll predicts: Labour 176
  • killerandflash
    killerandflash Posts: 69,847
    What's the prize for the right prediction? A signed photo of Macauley Bonne?
  • IdleHans
    IdleHans Posts: 10,968
    What's the prize for the right prediction? A signed photo of Macauley Bonne?

    Silly. What makes you think he can write?
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  • PragueAddick
    PragueAddick Posts: 22,145
    BBC/ITV/Sky exit poll predicts: Labour 176
    I‘m watching C4 , they are saying the majority would be 170. Mind you C4 has Nadine Dorries on, and I‘m not sure how much more I can take 🤣
  • redman
    redman Posts: 5,285
    So, at just before 19.00 BST we now have 117 predictions. All but four predict Labour win, 3 predict Reform, but I have doubts about the extent to which they are having a laugh.

    The average predicted Labour majority has eased back to 169, the median 173. In the latest batch of predictions we have both a new high-300 and a new low- 50. 

    Right I'm off up the pub, where the only difficult discussion I'll face will be about England at Euro 24...
    I feel like my prediction for Count Binface isn't being taken seriously!! 
    I feel you did not answer the predictor question😉

    But them neither did @Chizz so you are in good company. And as for the jokers who voted twice….
    Apologies for mine being in there twice. Not sure how it happened. Wasn't on Charlton Life when the second one went on. 
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,765
    edited July 2024
    BBC/ITV/Sky exit poll predicts: Labour 176
    I‘m watching C4 , they are saying the majority would be 170. Mind you C4 has Nadine Dorries on, and I‘m not sure how much more I can take 🤣
    With 410 predicted seats, 170 would be the right number. BBC said 176, I can only assume they are taking into account MPs who might not take their seats..?

    Either that or Kuenssberg’s maths isn’t very good.
  • PragueAddick
    PragueAddick Posts: 22,145
    What's the prize for the right prediction? A signed photo of Macauley Bonne?
    Well at the moment you are the winner….
  • robroy
    robroy Posts: 4,426
    redman said:
    So, at just before 19.00 BST we now have 117 predictions. All but four predict Labour win, 3 predict Reform, but I have doubts about the extent to which they are having a laugh.

    The average predicted Labour majority has eased back to 169, the median 173. In the latest batch of predictions we have both a new high-300 and a new low- 50. 

    Right I'm off up the pub, where the only difficult discussion I'll face will be about England at Euro 24...
    I feel like my prediction for Count Binface isn't being taken seriously!! 
    I feel you did not answer the predictor question😉

    But them neither did @Chizz so you are in good company. And as for the jokers who voted twice….
    Apologies for mine being in there twice. Not sure how it happened. Wasn't on Charlton Life when the second one went on. 

    You wasn’t on the other forum was you? 
  • se9addick
    se9addick Posts: 32,037
    BBC/ITV/Sky exit poll predicts: Labour 176
    I‘m watching C4 , they are saying the majority would be 170. Mind you C4 has Nadine Dorries on, and I‘m not sure how much more I can take 🤣
    With 410 predicted seats, 170 would be the right number. BBC said 176, I can only assume they are taking into account MPs who might not take their seats..?

    Either that or Kuenssberg’s maths isn’t very good.
    Yeah I think they normally deduct the nationalist MPs from NI when calculating majorities.
  • PragueAddick
    PragueAddick Posts: 22,145
    So, at just before 19.00 BST we now have 117 predictions. All but four predict Labour win, 3 predict Reform, but I have doubts about the extent to which they are having a laugh.

    The average predicted Labour majority has eased back to 169, the median 173. In the latest batch of predictions we have both a new high-300 and a new low- 50. 

    Right I'm off up the pub, where the only difficult discussion I'll face will be about England at Euro 24...
    I feel like my prediction for Count Binface isn't being taken seriously!! 
    I feel you did not answer the predictor question😉

    But them neither did @Chizz so you are in good company. And as for the jokers who voted twice….
    I've just realised that I voted twice. I noticed that my number was sitting as a draft  so assumed I hadn't sent it. Apologies!
    I only registered one from you. You‘re in the clear😉
  • LenGlover
    LenGlover Posts: 31,651
    I displayed far too much optimism for a Charlton fan with my prediction. From my point of view of course.
  • shirty5
    shirty5 Posts: 19,229
    shirty5 said:
    Labour - 295
    Mis read the question. Went for how many more seats Labour would get than the Conservatives 🤦
  • Rob7Lee
    Rob7Lee Posts: 9,595
    Rob7Lee said:
    Labour 101

    Come on, don't let me down!