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How safe are we ?

245

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  • philcafc
    philcafc Posts: 3,928
    Not yet safe i'm afraid we have some "winnable" looking home games to come but our home form is so bad that we can't be trusted. Fortunately we have been very good away so far but with a string of tough games to come we can't guarantee that will continue.
  • stonemuse
    stonemuse Posts: 34,218
    We are not going down ...will not happen
  • Bedsaddick
    Bedsaddick Posts: 24,959
    No chance of going down - unless your ooh Ahh who will tell you it's a 46% chance and that we are all doomed.
  • Oggy Red
    Oggy Red Posts: 44,990
    edited February 2013
    AFKABartram said:

    Uboat said:

    We played well today.


    We've played well the last three games.

    Sometimes in football it just doesn't go for you.

    Thankfully, a bit of common sense.


    All you people crapping yourselves that we're in a relegation struggle. We've got 15 games to get a dozen points.

    12 points = 3 wins and 3 draws. Or any combination you like.



  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 64,284
    edited February 2013
    http://www.sportsclubstats.com/England/ChampionshipLeague.html

    This was before today's game.

    22nd = 1% chance
    23rd = 0%
    24th = 0%
    (BIG R = 1.6%)

    I'd suggest it's a bit tighter, especially after today with maybe 5-10% chance, but this is a pretty good estimator. :-)
  • Oggy Red
    Oggy Red Posts: 44,990
    edited February 2013
    Oakster said:

    A 6 point cushion with 15 games to go is nothing at all.

    There's a block of a dozen teams separated by about 5 points.
    Typically, they've been taking points off each other - and will continue to do so.


    We might be 15th ..... but the team in 7th place (who we beat comfortably away 3 games ago), has only 3 points more.
    Yep, Blackburn are only 9 points away from a relegation place.

    I don't feel Blackburn will be thinking, "Jeez, a 9 point cushion with 15 games to go is nothing at all".
  • crookester
    crookester Posts: 1,362
    The thing is, there is no point in looking at the fixtures and saying we won't get any points from this game and that game. We have taken 7 points out of 9 against the top three and lost to Sheff weds and Barnsley. We will get the points we need but probably not in the way we would predict.
  • Swisdom
    Swisdom Posts: 14,980
    The annoying thing is that over the last fortnight we've thrown away 8 points. If we had those points we'd be in the playoffs!

    Crazy tight in the middle of the division
  • Leuth
    Leuth Posts: 23,494
    Cardiff are 10 points clear. The limited, distinctly mediocre even, team that let us walk 5 goals past them. We'll be fine. I'm judging this on performances rather than results. That said, there are a lot of teams in a similar position to us this year - it might be the most homogenous British professional league in a long, long time
  • killerandflash
    killerandflash Posts: 70,407
    Not safe, but then that applies to most teams in this crazy league! It's certainly closing up, and I wouldn't like to predict who'll end up relegated this season.

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  • Mrbacon
    Mrbacon Posts: 220
    If we play like we did today bar finishing we'd win the league.
  • msomerton
    msomerton Posts: 3,094
    We are the midtable team that gets dragged into relegation late in the season, Yep where going down.
  • Off_it
    Off_it Posts: 29,010
    We've had it. We're down. The white flag has gone up again on Charlton Life.

    Bloody glad I'll never have to fight in the trenches with some of you pussies.
  • Rob62
    Rob62 Posts: 1,200
    edited February 2013
    Just to put things in perspective - there are 6 teams below us that are not in the relegation places. For us to go down we would have to be on worse form than all 6 of them and one of the teams in the bottom three between now and the end of the season.

    If we had won today we would have been in 4th place in the form table over the last 6 games. As it is we are 8th. People do like to overreact!
  • ShootersHillGuru
    ShootersHillGuru Posts: 50,676
    Things change very quickly. Millwall are one point more than us having lost four on the spin. I doubt their fans are either calling for Jacketts head or worrying about relegation.
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,260
    Off_it said:

    We've had it. We're down. The white flag has gone up again on Charlton Life.

    Bloody glad I'll never have to fight in the trenches with some of you pussies.

    Try reading the thread.
  • MayoAddick
    MayoAddick Posts: 72
    ShootersHillGuru said:

    Things change very quickly. Millwall are one point more than us having lost four on the spin. I doubt their fans are either calling for Jacketts head or worrying about relegation.

    Maybe they should be worrying they have been bottom of the form table of the last 3 week
  • nolly
    nolly Posts: 12,122
    Doubt anyone is saying we're going down offy on this thread I think we're stay up ... Wow
  • Off_it
    Off_it Posts: 29,010
    Uboat said:

    Off_it said:

    We've had it. We're down. The white flag has gone up again on Charlton Life.

    Bloody glad I'll never have to fight in the trenches with some of you pussies.

    Try reading the thread.
    I have thanks. Adult blokes wetting themselves. Embarrassing really.
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,260
    Off_it said:

    Uboat said:

    Off_it said:

    We've had it. We're down. The white flag has gone up again on Charlton Life.

    Bloody glad I'll never have to fight in the trenches with some of you pussies.

    Try reading the thread.
    I have thanks. Adult blokes wetting themselves. Embarrassing really.
    Try reading it again, a bit more slowly.

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  • Off_it
    Off_it Posts: 29,010
    Uboat said:

    Off_it said:

    Uboat said:

    Off_it said:

    We've had it. We're down. The white flag has gone up again on Charlton Life.

    Bloody glad I'll never have to fight in the trenches with some of you pussies.

    Try reading the thread.
    I have thanks. Adult blokes wetting themselves. Embarrassing really.
    Try reading it again, a bit more slowly.
    Tell you what, why don't you read it for me - then you can tell me what to think afterwards.
  • Off_it
    Off_it Posts: 29,010
    nolly said:

    Doubt anyone is saying we're going down offy on this thread I think we're stay up ... Wow

    I don't think "laugh a minute Mike" is confident nolly.
  • Sillybilly
    Sillybilly Posts: 9,253
    I think there is a real chance we will get drawn into a relegation scrap although I do not believe we will actually go down. The saving grace despite our propensity to piss points up a tree at the moment is that we are actually playing quite well.
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,260
    Off_it said:

    Uboat said:

    Off_it said:

    We've had it. We're down. The white flag has gone up again on Charlton Life.

    Bloody glad I'll never have to fight in the trenches with some of you pussies.

    Try reading the thread.
    I have thanks. Adult blokes wetting themselves. Embarrassing really.
    Try reading it again, a bit more slowly.
    Off_it said:

    Uboat said:

    Off_it said:

    Uboat said:

    Off_it said:

    We've had it. We're down. The white flag has gone up again on Charlton Life.

    Bloody glad I'll never have to fight in the trenches with some of you pussies.

    Try reading the thread.
    I have thanks. Adult blokes wetting themselves. Embarrassing really.
    Try reading it again, a bit more slowly.
    Tell you what, why don't you read it for me - then you can tell me what to think afterwards.
    Okay. Almost no-one thinks we're going down, so you need to get a grip and stop over-reacting.
  • Off_it
    Off_it Posts: 29,010
    I thought that's what Charlton Life was for Uboat - over reactions.

    Anyway, what exactly am I supposed to be getting a grip on? Can you tell me please?
  • MayoAddick
    MayoAddick Posts: 72
    Sillybilly said:

    I think there is a real chance we will get drawn into a relegation scrap although I do not believe we will actually go down. The saving grace despite our propensity to piss points up a tree at the moment is that we are actually playing quite well.

    we are playing quite well I think if we had a consistent striker who could finish games off we would be sitting in the play offs .

  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,260
    Off_it said:

    I thought that's what Charlton Life was for Uboat - over reactions.

    Anyway, what exactly am I supposed to be getting a grip on? Can you tell me please?

    It's a saying, a turn of phrase, an idiom. It essentially means to regain your mental and emotional equilibrium.
  • Off_it
    Off_it Posts: 29,010
    Cheers Uboat. I hadn't actually realised I'd lost my mental and emotional equilibrium, but I think I'd best go and look for it now.

    Maybe Mike has nicked it?
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,260
    Off_it said:

    Cheers Uboat. I hadn't actually realised I'd lost my mental and emotional equilibrium, but I think I'd best go and look for it now.

    Maybe Mike has nicked it?

    That seems unlikely, to say the least.
  • Norfolk_Addick
    Norfolk_Addick Posts: 2,289
    Bare safe.

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