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Will we make the playoffs?

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  • CAFCsayer
    CAFCsayer Posts: 10,231
    We can and we will
  • cafctom
    cafctom Posts: 11,372
    It definitely has the feeling of the 2010/11 season where we couldn’t make the playoffs due to early form but we finished the season with Powell and a good feeling about the future.

    I do think next season will be the one, but then again I felt something similar last year after Adkins great run after taking over.
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,788
    edited December 2021
    We need automatic promotion form to make it happen. We have had that form over the last eight games, even with the Morecambe/Shrewsbury results included. Keep it going for another 25 and we’re in.



    Let’s go with the eight game blocks. One down, three to go. Our next eight from which we need 16 points:

    Cambridge (H)
    Plymouth (A)
    Wimbledon (A)
    Gillingham (H)
    Wycombe (H)
    Cheltenham (A)
    Fleetwood (H)
    Portsmouth (A)

    We should expect wins from Cambridge, Gillingham and Fleetwood. That leaves us needing seven points from Plymouth, Wimbledon, Wycombe, Cheltenham, Portsmouth.
  • Oggy Red
    Oggy Red Posts: 44,957
    I'll be happy with mid table and playoffs will be a bonus. We've stopped the rot and can build from here.
    We're already mid-table. Jacko won't let us now stagnate for the rest of the season.

    Onwards and up the League we go! :wink:




  • golfaddick
    golfaddick Posts: 33,647
    No.

    We will finish between 8th & 10th
     
  • Oggy Red
    Oggy Red Posts: 44,957
    I can't see the teams above us dropping enough points for us to catch up with them. But if there is a chance I think this team, under Jackson, can do it.
    All those teams still have to play us again.
    As it stands, they are all 6-pointers. Win those games and we progress up the table.

    Teams fall away at the top. And dark horse sides come from the depths of the division go on a run to nick a playoff spot.
    It happens every single season.


  • Oggy Red
    Oggy Red Posts: 44,957
    yes we will and then get another Wembley win
    I've just looked at the tea leaves in the bottom of my cup .... and see us at Wembley.
    We play Sunderland, of course! :smile:


  • A lot depends on how other side's get on. Some of challengers need to falter and we need promotion form for the rest of the season. It could happen, and if it does I reckon we would be favourites to win through and get promoted. First thing is for JJ to be appointed permanently, which has really reached no-brainer status now.

    One thing's for certain now IMHO - we ain't getting relegated.
  • MuttleyCAFC
    MuttleyCAFC Posts: 47,737
    I think there are a few players who have to stay fit, then if that happens, yes absolutely. And I would expect to win them too.
  • bobmunro
    bobmunro Posts: 20,852
    Chizz said:
    We will fail to make the playoffs. It will be despite a late downturn in form towards the back end of the season. 

    The poor run off results will be due to fixture congestion due to cup semi finals and finals. 

    But the run won't be so dramatic that we fall out of the top two. As a result we will only have two trips to Wembley this season. 
    Don't be such a pessimist - we'll win the Pizza Cup too.

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  • Oggy Red
    Oggy Red Posts: 44,957
    BTW ..... Stockley in his interview last night reckoned the play offs are the aim - and it's still achievable.

    If that mentality and belief is in the squad, then we give ourselves every chance of making up the gap.

  • MuttleyCAFC
    MuttleyCAFC Posts: 47,737
    There is a lot of the season to go. 
  • Rob62
    Rob62 Posts: 1,200
    se9addick said:
    No I don’t think we will and, if we were to, I think the exertion required to get there would give us little chance of winning the playoffs. 
    If we do make it we'll be the form team in the league and I'd be confident that we'd win it.
  • Oggy Red
    Oggy Red Posts: 44,957
    There is a lot of the season to go. 
    Indeed. And that's why we still have a chance.

    But in any case, we can only play one game at a time. The next game is the one we need to win.
    Jacko himself says this often.

    If it's his mentality too, then we know that's where the focus is.


  • Clarky
    Clarky Posts: 582
    Not with the amount of injuries we seem to get, 1 point from Morcombe/Shrewsbury shows how easy it is to drop points in this league when key players are missing. In saying that on our day we can beat anybody in this league and if we continue to close the gap and with a couple of additions in January then we could creep over the line. Odds are against but it is now possible since JJ has turned things around.
  • Todds_right_hook
    Todds_right_hook Posts: 10,885
    edited December 2021
    .

    if anyone saw that, it was meant for a google search. Luckily it wasn't porn related or embarrassing 😳 
  • Need 48 points from 25 games. Title form for the rest of the season (and we've already been on that form since Jacko took over). Quite a big ask so unlikely, I don't think we're good enough, but not impossible. If we can get a few more wins in by Jan and then add to squad, never know. 
  • SE10Addick
    SE10Addick Posts: 2,964
    After how crap we were under Adkins, I'm just pleased that we can even think about asking this question.
  • Valley11
    Valley11 Posts: 12,001
    Pizza cup and 8th
    Champs next year if JJ is given the gig now. 
  • ValleyGary
    ValleyGary Posts: 37,987
    Beginning to remind me of the season Keane took over at Sunderland. They had 30 points after 21 games and won the league. History suggests its doable to get into the playoffs from this position.

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  • Oggy Red
    Oggy Red Posts: 44,957
    edited December 2021
    We all remember last season how Blackpool rose from the bowels of the division to comfortably take a play off position.
    And won at Wembley, promoted.

    Okay, so ..... I had a little look to see where they were after they beat us at home 0-3 last season, Feb 27th.
    Before that game they had been sitting on 40 points, after 26 games, 9 points behind 6th place. 

    They beat us comfortably and rose to 13th position, albeit with 1 or more games in hand on most clubs. Nevertheless, they were still 6 points behind an ailing Doncaster in 6th who'd played 1 game more.

    Bowyer's Charlton dropped to 12th, having played 31 games with 44 points.

    Both Portsmouth, then 8 points clear of us (4th, 52 points) and Doncaster (6th, 49pts) failed to finish the season in the play off positions.
    Indeed, we finished the season 2 points ahead of Portsmouth (having made up 10 points on them in 15 matches) subsequently missing playoff qualification only on goal difference.

    Blackpool finished on 80 points, despite a little late wobble themselves.
    While history is no guarantee of the future (as the small print always says), it does indicate what is possible.

    If you want to achieve anything in life, you have to believe it is possible.
    As Henry Ford famously once said, "If you think you can't, then you can't."
    But if you think you can, you can!"

    Last year Blackpool believed it was possible - and achieved it.
    Stockley last night reckoned our squad believe it's still possible - and the playoffs are the aim.

    Let's see how it unfolds. All to play for!



  • Oggy Red
    Oggy Red Posts: 44,957
    .

    if anyone saw that, it was meant for a google search. Luckily it wasn't porn related or embarrassing 😳 
    Oh, no ..... I missed it. :anguished:


  • MuttleyCAFC
    MuttleyCAFC Posts: 47,737
    I think we have the best midfield in the league by some distance and you could make a decent case for the defence and attack too. Where there is an issue is if say Stockley got injured or one of Dobson, Gilbey and Lee. We do have January to shore things up, but some are not easily replaced
  • If current top 6 teams carry on getting the same points per game they have so far then we would need 83 points for play offs this season.  That would mean 19 wins from our last 25 games.  No chance.

    Of course that number of points for 6th has never been needed before but I think this season sees a two tier league with top teams significantly better than the rest meaning a very high points level for 6th in comparison to previous years.  
  • MuttleyCAFC
    MuttleyCAFC Posts: 47,737
    edited December 2021
    I said a couple of months ago, get within 7 points by the new year and it is on. 7 points becomes four points when you beat the team above you. It is very doable and we have the team to do it. 
  • There’s always a team who goes on a run from about where we are now into the playoffs through the second half of the season. No reason it shouldn’t be us.
    Curbs used to say the same line talking about cup runs...  :)
  • Oggy Red
    Oggy Red Posts: 44,957
    If current top 6 teams carry on getting the same points per game they have so far then we would need 83 points for play offs this season.  That would mean 19 wins from our last 25 games.  No chance.

    Of course that number of points for 6th has never been needed before but I think this season sees a two tier league with top teams significantly better than the rest meaning a very high points level for 6th in comparison to previous years.  
    I don't believe we should worry about how many points are needed ...... nobody has a scooby, no idea at all.
    At this stage of the season it's irrelevant.

    BTW ..... the one certainty is that not all the current top 6 teams will carry on averaging 2 points a game.
    Some will undoubtedly, but you can bet a couple of teams will fall away.

    Their places will be taken by teams that do put the points on the table.
    No reason at this stage as to why it can't be us.

    Last season 74 points + superior goal difference was enough for Oxford to finish 6th.
    It'll probably, give or take a couple of points, be much the same total needed for 6th place this season.



  • AndyG
    AndyG Posts: 5,911
    12 game ago I said I didnt think we would lose more than 5 games the rest of the season. I still firmly believe that I just cant see any teams other than Rotherham that I wouldnt think we will beat before the game. Sure we will get the odd Shrewsbury result as you always do but not that many I dont think. Play offs definitely on the cards for me
  • MuttleyCAFC
    MuttleyCAFC Posts: 47,737
    edited December 2021
    In the position we are in, you don't look at the table but the next game and things will look after themselves.
  • NapaAddick
    NapaAddick Posts: 4,657
    No.