Playoffs Guaranteed Minimum - Good Friday

MuttleyCAFC said:

A few games ago we were fighting for one place, now it is two and if we continue to put a run together it could be three! Of course it can go the other way if we don't. Wycombe could go on a terrible run for instance. They didn't look like a team of world beaters to me. My underlying impression of them was they were a bit dirty. Also we know the damage losing a player like Jones can do, they lose one or two and they could stop winning. There is still around half a season to go.

A lot of dreamers on here.

I can confirm dreams do come true and at the ripe old age of 15 and 3/4 a lifetime for me the impossible happened and we made it to the top flight of English football and that was never going to happen but it did (caveat cos it’s Charlton , we were playing at shithurst park) 

The overall quality of the league is poor again this season so it's possible but I just don't get a play off vibe from the squad. We don't seem to have any real leaders, there isn't much dynamism in the team let alone a player I'd describe as talismanic and I don't trust us to consistently grind out results when we're not on our game.

MuttleyCAFC said:

When Bowyer first came in we went on a run that took us into the play offs. These things can happen especially if we are lucky with injuries and Leaburn keeps getting better.

Wouldn't really have called that a run mate, we won 6 out of 10 and lost 3 of them. 

I think the key was we beat Plymouth at home which closed the gap and then we beat Pompey away which took them out of the running. It was in their hands until their form cost them.

It would require something similar this season, when we go away to the other top6 or top6 hopefuls (Wrexham, Stockport, Bolton, Mansfield, Orient) we are going to have to beat them. Not only beat them but hope they have a few poor results, cause we will undoubtedly lose a handful or more in the next 23.

A draw away won't cut it, left ourselves too much work to do. We are going to have to win about 16 games minimum and need a few of those wins to be against the teams mentioned (depending on their form).

I think we need 80 points minimum, it looks like that kind of season. So 46 from 23, 2 points per game. 

We can probably safely say we will lose at least 5-8 games. So if we got best case and it's 5, take that away from the 23 which leaves us 18 games to get 46. 

We'd need to win at least 10 of those and draw the other 8 just to get 38 points. Which leaves us 8 shy of the 80 target on 72. 

So realistically for play-offs, we need an absolute minimum of 14 wins from the 23, that gives us 42 points and allows space for some draws with the leftovers to hit the 80 target.

And still have to hope those wins are against the other hopefuls, and those teams above us drop points. When you break it down like that, it just doesn't seem at all likely tbh. 

I rhink 76 might snatch 6th. But who knows?

Scoham said:

Braziliance said:

MuttleyCAFC said:

When Bowyer first came in we went on a run that took us into the play offs. These things can happen especially if we are lucky with injuries and Leaburn keeps getting better.

Wouldn't really have called that a run mate, we won 6 out of 10 and lost 3 of them. 

I think the key was we beat Plymouth at home which closed the gap and then we beat Pompey away which took them out of the running. It was in their hands until their form cost them.

It would require something similar this season, when we go away to the other top6 or top6 hopefuls (Wrexham, Stockport, Bolton, Mansfield, Orient) we are going to have to beat them. Not only beat them but hope they have a few poor results, cause we will undoubtedly lose a handful or more in the next 23.

A draw away won't cut it, left ourselves too much work to do. We are going to have to win about 16 games minimum and need a few of those wins to be against the teams mentioned (depending on their form).

If you won 60% of your games over a season that’s over 80 points. Add in 10 or so draws and that’s more than 90 points. That was definitely a good run under Bowyer. It’s better to win one and lose one than draw two.

Agree with we’d need a lot of wins, including against clubs in and around the top 6.

It was good, but we were fortunate that Plymouth and Portsmouth lost their arse. Portsmouth won one in their last six. Completely folded.

I think we are going to need that kind of luck again and do the same in beating those teams around us. 

Just to be clear I don't think we were lucky to beat Plymouth and Portsmouth at the time, we were better in both games. Just fortunate they were part of that fixture list, and their forms dipped.

I’m going for 6th spot being around if not lower than 75 points 
The league is dross, most teams can beat each other and that will drag it close for 5th and 6th Reading and Stockport have shot their beans early I reckon .
Its all to play for , may the freakiest club win 

If we can be halfway lucky and avoid key injuries 5th or 6th is quite attainable. Keep the Wembley playoff date free folks 😜 

We need a good scout to get in some top loan players 

Mezza07 said:

We need a good scout to get in some top loan players 

I'd like to know who our scouting network is.

carly burn said:

Next 4 league fixtures should tell us. All very winnable.
Take 10 points from them and I will start to believe.

Agree the next 4 will be a good indication, unfortunately, I don't think they're all that winnable. 

Bolton in our last 10 we have won twice, last 8 times away there we have won once, Rotherham will be tough, they've been showing some fight lately, same as Shrewsbury, lost 1 in last 5, as for Bristol Rovers, proper dodgy team for us atm, lost 5 in a row vs them lot. 

10 points would be nice, and keeps us on target, but the next 4 are genuinely quite tough for us.

I also think the sleeper team this year is Leyton Orient, I don't know what's been put in their porridge, but they're doing very well recently 

No

Brum
And any 1 from 3 to go up in 2nd

Wycombe
Wrexham
Huddersfield

That's the top 4

Barnsley for me 5th

Then we have to overcome

Orient (I mean jesus Orient! 5 wins from 5)
Bolton
Stockport
Mansfield (4 wins from 5)
Reading


I don't see us overtaking them all to make 6th

cafc_se7 said:

Barnsley are not that good! Plus we have to play them at home!

They have 8 more points than us and sit in 5th place, I wish we weren’t that good