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Playoffs Guaranteed Minimum - Good Friday

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  • It is good that the winner avoids us and gets the 6th placed side. They both have an incentive to win.
  • edited May 3
    Been doing a bit of a look back as there has been talk and discussion about the team finishing 3rd, team finishing 6th, team having most momentum - who goes up via the playoffs. Well, the last 6 games momentum look pretty crucial. Points gained in brackets:

    2018/19:
    3rd Charlton (15)
    4th Portsmouth (11)
    5th Sunderland (5)
    6th Doncaster (10)

    Promoted: Charlton

    2019/20: Ignored due to season ending early because of Covid. Playoffs did take place but hard to say momentum was a factor when they were played.

    Promoted: Wycombe, who "finished" 3rd.

    2020/21:
    3rd Blackpool (12)
    4th Sunderland (6)
    5th Lincoln City (8)
    6th Oxford (15)

    Promoted: Blackpool

    2021/22:
    3rd MK Dons (10)
    4th Sheff Wed (13)
    5th Sunderland (14)
    6th Wycombe (14)

    Promoted: Sunderland

    2022/23:
    3rd Sheff Wed (15)
    4th Barnsley (8)
    5th Bolton (13)
    6th Peterborough (10)

    Promoted: Sheff Wed

    2023/24:
    3rd Bolton (12)
    4th Peterborough (10)
    5th Oxford (13)
    6th Barnsley (2)

    Promoted: Oxford

    So in 4 of the past 5 fully completed seasons the team with the most points in the last 6 games has been promoted. Blackpool are the only exception in 2020/21, and they were second in the form table.
    Points in the past 5 games with 1 to play:

    3rd Stockport (13)
    4th Wycombe (6)
    5th Charlton (10)
    6th Orient (15)
    7th Reading (10)

    The last team to get promoted via the playoffs in League One with less than 12 points in their final 6 games was Millwall in 2016/17 with 10.

    Edit:
    Final totals after today's games:

    Stockport (16)
    Charlton (13)
    Wycombe (6)
    Orient (18)

  • So... Wycombe lost their last 3 games of the regulation season... against the 3 other playoff teams.
  • So... Wycombe lost their last 3 games of the regulation season... against the 3 other playoff teams.
    They’re nailed on to win the playoffs then ;)

    ’It’s a funny old game Saint’
  • So... Wycombe lost their last 3 games of the regulation season... against the 3 other playoff teams.
    They’re nailed on to win the playoffs then ;)

    ’It’s a funny old game Saint’
    Yeah, nothing is to be ruled in or out when it comes to the playoffs. Annoyingly, it is a statistic perfectly set up for one of those ironic playoff wins.
  • So... Wycombe lost their last 3 games of the regulation season... against the 3 other playoff teams.
    I might be way out of touch, but have never heard this saying before. 
  • I may be the one out of touch - happy to be put right. Regular would have been a better word.
  • So... Wycombe lost their last 3 games of the regulation season... against the 3 other playoff teams.
    I was just thinking, there can’t be many occasions where one team that qualifies for the playoffs plays the other three qualifying teams in their final three games of the league season?
  • I may be the one out of touch - happy to be put right. Regular would have been a better word.
    League season is probably the best way to describe the two.
  • I may be the one out of touch - happy to be put right. Regular would have been a better word.
    League season is probably the best way to describe the two.
    Regular season will go into common usage, it's the American way of saying it, just like playoffs were an American idea. 
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  • edited May 4
    I may be the one out of touch - happy to be put right. Regular would have been a better word.
    League season is probably the best way to describe the two.
    Regular season will go into common usage, it's the American way of saying it, just like playoffs were an American idea. 
    Doesnt help though that Play-Offs have a different meaning in the States - Regular season is just a different phase of the season as a whole in America, it doesnt / cant end up with a team winning something.
  • I may be the one out of touch - happy to be put right. Regular would have been a better word.
    League season is probably the best way to describe the two.
    Regular season will go into common usage, it's the American way of saying it, just like playoffs were an American idea. 
    Doesnt help though that Play-Offs have a different meaning in the States - Regular season is just a different phase of the season as a whole in America, it doesnt / cant end up with a team winning something.
    Apart from winning league pennants and the like
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