Attention: Please take a moment to consider our terms and conditions before posting.

Playoffs Guaranteed Minimum - Good Friday

16768697072

Comments

  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,781
    With Wycombe and Stockport playing each other on the final day, it’s possible that this coming weekend we can guarantee ourselves a home leg in a playoff semi final if either of them lose and we win.
  • MuttleyCAFC
    MuttleyCAFC Posts: 47,730
    I think if you get promoted with young players on the up, who knows what you will do. You could do very well.
  • CAFCTrev
    CAFCTrev Posts: 5,978
    The game at Reading at the start of the season was an odd one. It was a bit of a nothing game with neither team dominating, but Reading put away the two half chances that fell to them. 
  • JustFloydRoad
    JustFloydRoad Posts: 1,625
    Some of us had faith earlier than others…. !


    Playoff one should be settled now
  • swordfish
    swordfish Posts: 4,234
    edited April 23
    With Wycombe and Stockport playing each other on the final day, it’s possible that this coming weekend we can guarantee ourselves a home leg in a playoff semi final if either of them lose and we win.
    Not if it's Wycombe that lose and Stockport win, unless our goal difference is better than Wycombe's by the time we finish our game with Wrexham, because if they then draw with Stockport and we get nothing against Burton, both Wycombe and Stockport would finish above us. 

    Edit - actually that still wouldn't guarantee it as Burton might thrash us to wipe out any positive GD over Wycombe 
  • Wycombe don't dwell on defeats for long. Previous defeats this season. League matches only.

    Lost at Wrexham 3-2 - lost next game to Birmingham
    Lost home to Birmingham 3-2 - won the next 1, unbeaten in 19
    Lost at Charlton 2-1 - won the next 1, unbeaten in 2
    Lost home to Huddersfield 1-0 - won the next 1, unbeaten in 7
    Lost at Birmingham 1-0 - won the next 1, unbeaten in 2
    Lost home to Wrexham 1-0 - won the next 2, unbeaten in 3
    Lost at Reading 1-0 - won the next 3, unbeaten in 3
    Lost home to Charlton 4-0 - ???
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,781
    So Monday was the first time Wycombe have lost by more than a single goal this season? Nice.
  • Chris_from_Sidcup
    Chris_from_Sidcup Posts: 36,024
    So Monday was the first time Wycombe have lost by more than a single goal this season? Nice.
    Correct, the last time they lost by more than 1 goal was to Portsmouth in March 2024.
  • cantersaddick
    cantersaddick Posts: 16,944
    Wycombe don't dwell on defeats for long. Previous defeats this season. League matches only.

    Lost at Wrexham 3-2 - lost next game to Birmingham
    Lost home to Birmingham 3-2 - won the next 1, unbeaten in 19
    Lost at Charlton 2-1 - won the next 1, unbeaten in 2
    Lost home to Huddersfield 1-0 - won the next 1, unbeaten in 7
    Lost at Birmingham 1-0 - won the next 1, unbeaten in 2
    Lost home to Wrexham 1-0 - won the next 2, unbeaten in 3
    Lost at Reading 1-0 - won the next 3, unbeaten in 3
    Lost home to Charlton 4-0 - ???
    I put this on the Wrexham thread but relevant here: 

    Reading Wycombs forum the negativity there has really taken over. They hate Dodds and the way he sets up. Plenty saying whatever happens he shouldn't be in charge next season. Lots of rumours the players are unhappy with him. The prevailing view seems to be that they had been lucky to grind out 1-0 wins in the weeks leading up to playing us and that was papering over the cracks.

    Can really see them falling apart from here. Definitely a scenario where they lose both games
  • crookester
    crookester Posts: 1,329
    Wycombe don't dwell on defeats for long. Previous defeats this season. League matches only.

    Lost at Wrexham 3-2 - lost next game to Birmingham
    Lost home to Birmingham 3-2 - won the next 1, unbeaten in 19
    Lost at Charlton 2-1 - won the next 1, unbeaten in 2
    Lost home to Huddersfield 1-0 - won the next 1, unbeaten in 7
    Lost at Birmingham 1-0 - won the next 1, unbeaten in 2
    Lost home to Wrexham 1-0 - won the next 2, unbeaten in 3
    Lost at Reading 1-0 - won the next 3, unbeaten in 3
    Lost home to Charlton 4-0 - ???
    Losing 4-0 at home to a promotion rival could be major though. We shall see.
  • Sponsored links:



  • Three installments today, how's our luck?

    Early kickoffs -
    Wycombe beaten - puts 3rd place in our own hands
    Reading beat Bristol Rovers - gives Burton the chance to be effectively safe today

    3 o'clockers -
    Burton beat Cambridge (real 6 pointer!) - this result + the Rovers defeat makes their game at ours a dead rubber for them
    Stockport beaten - we can guarantee finishing top 4 winning either of our remaining games

    Evening -
    The big one
  • Stig
    Stig Posts: 29,029
    Oh it's exciting. It feels like the World Cup being a three match day.
  • Garrymanilow
    Garrymanilow Posts: 13,173
    This 5.30 kick off is not good for my blood pressure. That's my whole Saturday gone on stress pacing
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,781
    Equation is simple:

    Win both games & Wrexham drop points at Lincoln.
  • Equation is simple:

    Win both games & Wrexham drop points at Lincoln.
    Exactly!

    Wrexham's equation is simpler - win and they're up.

    Stockport & Burton up next to answer a few more of the what-if scenarios.
  • cantersaddick
    cantersaddick Posts: 16,944
    Three installments today, how's our luck?

    Early kickoffs -
    Wycombe beaten - puts 3rd place in our own hands
    Reading beat Bristol Rovers - gives Burton the chance to be effectively safe today

    3 o'clockers -
    Burton beat Cambridge (real 6 pointer!) - this result + the Rovers defeat makes their game at ours a dead rubber for them
    Stockport beaten - we can guarantee finishing top 4 winning either of our remaining games

    Evening -
    The big one
    Both earlys achieved.
  • Chizz
    Chizz Posts: 28,341
    Equation is simple:

    Win both games & Wrexham drop points at Lincoln.
    Winning the next two might be enough.

    If not, winning the following three will be. 
  • Stockport 2-0 down at HT.

    If it stays like that, 1 win from our final 2 games means lowest we can finish is 4th.
  • golfaddick
    golfaddick Posts: 33,635
    Stockport 2-0 down at HT.

    If it stays like that, 1 win from our final 2 games means lowest we can finish is 4th.
    They turn it around to win 3-2.

    Assuming we dont do similar then its looking like 5th for us.

    If we beat Burton we will have 85 points. Stockport & Wycombe draw then they will both have 85 points and better GD. Unless we score 6 without reply against Burton as Stockport & Wycombe have both scored 5 more than us.

    A win against Burton & a win for Stockport or Wycombe would mean 4th.   

    A draw or defeat next week means 5th. 


  • CHG
    CHG Posts: 4,529
    Both Wycombe and Stockport will want to avoid Charlton, there will be a winner in that game..
  • Sponsored links:



  • fenaddick
    fenaddick Posts: 11,164
    CHG said:
    Both Wycombe and Stockport will want to avoid Charlton, there will be a winner in that game..
    They’ll also want to show they can beat each other 
  • Er_Be_Ab_Pl_Wo_Wo_Ch
    Er_Be_Ab_Pl_Wo_Wo_Ch Posts: 1,788
    edited April 26
    So... we're almost certainly 4th or 5th.

    Assuming we sign off our regulation season with a regulation win against Burton...

    We'll play the loser of Wycombe/Stockport, away leg first.
    If they draw we'll have Wycombe, home leg first.

    If we don't beat Burton the same applies, but our first leg will be at home.

    Our first leg will be on Saturday 10th May (19.45), and second leg on Thursday 15th May (20.00).

    We'd need a Wycombe/Stockport draw and us to beat Burton by at least 6, probably 7, to finish 3rd and have different playoff dates. That ain't happening.
  • fenaddick
    fenaddick Posts: 11,164
    2 weeks for those injured players to recover. I wouldn’t be proactively resting players next against Burton but I certainly wouldn’t be risking Jones or Berry
  • fenaddick said:
    2 weeks for those injured players to recover. I wouldn’t be proactively resting players next against Burton but I certainly wouldn’t be risking Jones or Berry
    Yep, agreed. We have a clear best eleven. Whoever starts against Burton and whatever the outcome, it won't be changing that best eleven.
  • DessieValley
    DessieValley Posts: 340
    100% anyone with a knock of some sort has to rest. Would be tempted to rest one of TC or Godden as well - or at least take them off at h/t.
  • soapboxsam
    soapboxsam Posts: 23,231
    We need Small, Ramsey, Jones, TC, Gillesphey, Godden and Edwards all fit for the play offs which is more important than if we are home or away first. Anyone who needs the rest should've it as the auto's long shot has gone but we need to regroup and go again.
  • Rob
    Rob Posts: 11,800
    I would add Berry to that as well. 
  • golfaddick
    golfaddick Posts: 33,635
    We need Small, Ramsey, Jones, TC, Gillesphey, Godden and Edwards all fit for the play offs which is more important than if we are home or away first. Anyone who needs the rest should've it as the auto's long shot has gone but we need to regroup and go again.
    Rest them all. 
  • EastTerrace
    EastTerrace Posts: 3,961
    Most of them had a rest today
  • valleynick66
    valleynick66 Posts: 4,891
    Given the Chuks appeal outcome we will likely get fined for fielding an under strength team 😆