If we have to settle for the play offs, there are 4 teams in them so that should mean a 25% chance of promotion. But we have to beat 2 teams so technically are there not 3 teams in it from our perspective as one will get knocked out without playing us, so does that mean our chances are 33.3333% ? I'll just get an aspirin.
Mathematically each game is a 1/2 chance. Multipied by two that makes a 1/4 chance. You need to play more board 🎲 games ;-
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You need to play more board 🎲 games ;-