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Savings and Investments thread
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redman said:seriously_red said:SantaClaus said:golfaddick said:Carter said:cantersaddick said:golfaddick said:Diebythesword said:hoof_it_up_to_benty said:Diebythesword said:hoof_it_up_to_benty said:Huskaris said:First read about "Henry's" in a great article in The Economist, Standard have done a good article below. I find this area and this group of people fascinating.
https://www.standard.co.uk/lifestyle/henrys-high-earners-not-rich-yet-london-struggling-b1238642.html
If this is the biggest problem in your life you don't have too much to worry about.
No easy answer I'm afraid. Average income is around £32k pa so anyone affected by the reduction in the PA is earning 3x the average.
And it will get worse. Taxes need to rise. No idea where Rachel Reeves will go to next but I suspect it wont be from the low paid.
I'll say it again if average wages increased with purchasing power since 1980 it would be £85k. If the higher rate of income tax threshold had risen with inflation it would be £162k. We have a low pay problem in the UK.
It's not an arguement its fact.
That was an interesting juncture. Sterling fell immediately after those payouts and the governments borrowing costs rose. I don't think Reeves or the government have ever really recovered from that smack of fiscal reality.
GDP growth 2019-24 under the Tories 3% or 0.6% PA... mid August will see the ONS release for June / Q2 2025 which is likely to show growth under Labour at around 1.2% - that's double the last Gov't.
BoE base rate was 5.25% but now 4.25% and tipped to come down twice more this year. That impacts mortgage holders, Gov't debt costs and the business environment.
Pay rises at 5% have outstripped inflation leading to more household income, a higher tax take and perhaps a reduction in benefits? Certainly the increase in the minimum wage should be felt on the high street.
It's incredibly hard to discern what happens next but one outcome is that this Labour Gov't trades through the various headwinds as rates come down, GDP growth continues AND increased tax receipts associated with both growth and freezing various allowances.
With such a massive majority in Parliament, one would hope for a far bigger impact on NHS waiting lists, failing water companies, electricity generation and planning etc. Time will tell whether the various deals with India, Europe etc and various ideas will make a tangible difference over the next year. We should at least hope that the BoE end quantitative tightening and perhaps even consider QE later in this cycle because our country needs massive investment in infrastructure, health and education, not to mention the housing stock.
Therefore the Gov't should be able to afford the latest NATO commitments, not least because billions spent on housing asylum seekers under the last government is rapidly reducing with far more asylum cases processed as well as rejected appelants being deported.
In a few weeks time we will see the ONS numbers for Q2 GDP growth which completes a full year under this government. There are known challenges across the board, a budget coming up in the autumn and a definite trend for interest rates to fall. This isn't about politics so much as macro... BoE rates are certainly coming down, wages are outstripping inflation, but household consumption is somewhat flat.
Aggregate demand relies upon growth in business, gov't and household as well as FDI & exports. It remains to be seen as to whether our service economy will grow at 1.2%+ PA over the foreseeable. And given that there's no currency risk, this feels like a decent hold for me right now!0 -
I've always preferred "labour value of that commodity". It was good enough for Adam Smith and strips out rentier type stuff.
But what's more important is why we've ended up here. We might then have a chance of turning it around.
25 years of cheap money inflated assets and left wages in the dust. Made asset holders richer, reduced the incentive to take business risks to improve productivity and instead leverage up and live off rents. That in turn led to a very poor allocation of capital chasing ever lower returns. Thousands who would have invested in businesses were now landlords
We don't have cheap money any more but it's taken years for firms to work off that debt. Households still have a way to go and governments are getting worse.
Then you have mass importation of cheap labour that has suppressed wages and reduces the incentives to automate.
But the Yanks have much of that and still have doubled their average wage compared to us in real terms. Partly because they still take risks but also, they have a lot less red tape, a lower tax burden, and, except briefly, no interference in market pricing like energy caps and green subsidies inflating the price of energy.
And then everyone wonders why we haven't had productivity increases in that same time period and why we all feel poorer.
Time to bring back another ghost from the 1970s, capital controls, or an exit tax, as they're now calling it. That's the answer!2 -
I absolutely hate with a passion Andrew Tate, but this clip about Gary's Economics actually did tickle me and find I agreed with about half of it! Not just me who thinks he's on the pay role!
https://youtube.com/shorts/butoZ1YG3jw?si=1e4snddZhCuuPNLC
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Rob7Lee said:I absolutely hate with a passion Andrew Tate, but this clip about Gary's Economics actually did tickle me and find I agreed with about half of it! Not just me who thinks he's on the pay role!
https://youtube.com/shorts/butoZ1YG3jw?si=1e4snddZhCuuPNLC4 -
Friend Or Defoe said:Rob7Lee said:I absolutely hate with a passion Andrew Tate, but this clip about Gary's Economics actually did tickle me and find I agreed with about half of it! Not just me who thinks he's on the pay role!
https://youtube.com/shorts/butoZ1YG3jw?si=1e4snddZhCuuPNLC0 -
WishIdStayedinthePub said:golfaddick said:Rob7Lee said:golfaddick said:To relieve the tension on here I'll put in my guess for the FTSE100 at the end of December........
9101
The one we've been waiting forobviously rates wishidstayedinthepub who chose the same!
Good enough reason than any other.3 -
golfaddick said:WishIdStayedinthePub said:golfaddick said:Rob7Lee said:golfaddick said:To relieve the tension on here I'll put in my guess for the FTSE100 at the end of December........
9101
The one we've been waiting forobviously rates wishidstayedinthepub who chose the same!
Good enough reason than any other.12 -
WishIdStayedinthePub said:
Time to bring back another ghost from the 1970s, capital controls, or an exit tax, as they're now calling it. That's the answer!1 -
All the waffle ans statistics quoted above re average salary seems to ignore the actual reality. A person on average salary has a higher standard of living than someone in the 1970's (evidence holidays, cars, household appliances, clothes).
It's a bit like the quote an ex boss of mine used to quote "works in theory but will it work in practice"2 -
Rob7Lee said:LargeAddick said:Rob7Lee said:Diebythesword said:Excellent analysis of why a wealth tax simply wouldn’t work:
https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2025/07/22/uk-wealth-tax-anti-growth/
That's very different to say someone who has £35m of gold, that value per troy ounce is set and you could sell some to pay the 2%, you can't really sell a bit of a private company to pay a wealth tax.
I don't imagine a wealth tax will be introduced in this country in the short term, although it's not like in the past the government are against doing stupid things!Retirement in Cyprus is looking ever more appealing!
Jokes aside I think it's certainly more considered now than 20 years ago, one of my friends recently moved/retired early to the IoM and is becoming a resident/tax resident, not solely for tax reasons but it was certainly a contributing factor. A maximum 21% tax rate (there's an allowance and a 10% rate) and no IHT. I think there's an overall tax cap as well, but not sure what that is, he mentioned something about it being over a 5 year period that he was applying for. Not sure I could live in the IoM though!
Spent a few days on the Isle of Man last week. What's not to like ?
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@Chaz Hill NSFW Please!2
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The Government have now released their update regarding IHT on Pension pots after their consultations with the industry. No major changes & they confirm that they still intend it to come into force in April 2027.
Interestingly they forecast the revenue from this will raise £640 million in 27/28, £1,340 million in 28/29 and £1,460 million in 29/30. This will affect around 38,500 Estates in 27/28 with the average IHT increase being around £34k
The big change however is that reporting of any IHT will be down to to the Estate's representatives and NOT the pension companies as was their original idea. So it seems the pension companies have had their input & told the Government to sod off.
So, good luck to all the Trustees & beneficiaries who will have to go round collecting all the pension info & calculating any Tax due. Hope the Government think it's worth it for a measly extra £1.5 bn a year.2 -
golfaddick said:The Government have now released their update regarding IHT on Pension pots after their consultations with the industry. No major changes & they confirm that they still intend it to come into force in April 2027.
Interestingly they forecast the revenue from this will raise £640 million in 27/28, £1,340 million in 28/29 and £1,460 million in 29/30. This will affect around 38,500 Estates in 27/28 with the average IHT increase being around £34k
The big change however is that reporting of any IHT will be down to to the Estate's representatives and NOT the pension companies as was their original idea. So it seems the pension companies have had their input & told the Government to sod off.
So, good luck to all the Trustees & beneficiaries who will have to go round collecting all the pension info & calculating any Tax due. Hope the Government think it's worth it for a measly extra £1.5 bn a year.
The administration of it is one thing, but the principle of pension pots being included in the estate is absolutely correct in my opinion. It's an asset of the deceased and I'm not sure why it was ever excluded.6 -
Anyone else getting adverts by Richard Branson and others asking you to invest £200 and you will make thousands.
Surely a scam.0 -
blackpool72 said:Anyone else getting adverts by Richard Branson and others asking you to invest £200 and you will make thousands.
Surely a scam.Yes, a scam.https://www.which.co.uk/news/article/which-exposed-a-global-ai-scam-quantum-ai-a6E3T4Y5WHVc
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bobmunro said:golfaddick said:The Government have now released their update regarding IHT on Pension pots after their consultations with the industry. No major changes & they confirm that they still intend it to come into force in April 2027.
Interestingly they forecast the revenue from this will raise £640 million in 27/28, £1,340 million in 28/29 and £1,460 million in 29/30. This will affect around 38,500 Estates in 27/28 with the average IHT increase being around £34k
The big change however is that reporting of any IHT will be down to to the Estate's representatives and NOT the pension companies as was their original idea. So it seems the pension companies have had their input & told the Government to sod off.
So, good luck to all the Trustees & beneficiaries who will have to go round collecting all the pension info & calculating any Tax due. Hope the Government think it's worth it for a measly extra £1.5 bn a year.
The administration of it is one thing, but the principle of pension pots being included in the estate is absolutely correct in my opinion. It's an asset of the deceased and I'm not sure why it was ever excluded.Had a few people ask if I am not pi$$ed off with what Labour have done now. Absolutely not. My family will still benefit in a way never before possible and, hopefully, quite significantly. I’ve no issue with it now included for tax in the estate.I am a bit puzzled by the pension companies not simply reporting direct to HMRC and releasing the net pension to the estate. Seemed a simple process. That said, hopefully it means they can’t use it as an excuse to raise more fees 😉1 -
bobmunro said:blackpool72 said:Anyone else getting adverts by Richard Branson and others asking you to invest £200 and you will make thousands.
Surely a scam.Yes, a scam.https://www.which.co.uk/news/article/which-exposed-a-global-ai-scam-quantum-ai-a6E3T4Y5WHVc0 -
Sorry to repeat, IHT is an absolute piss take, raking money off people who have worked hard and have already been taxed on that money so they can invest and arrange their own finances and not live off the state. I have never claimed a penny in my life but paid plenty in.6
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red10 said:Sorry to repeat, IHT is an absolute piss take, raking money off people who have worked hard and have already been taxed on that money so they can invest and arrange their own finances and not live off the state. Never claimed a penny in my life but paid plenty in.6
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Diebythesword said:red10 said:Sorry to repeat, IHT is an absolute piss take, raking money off people who have worked hard and have already been taxed on that money so they can invest and arrange their own finances and not live off the state. Never claimed a penny in my life but paid plenty in.
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Diebythesword said:red10 said:Sorry to repeat, IHT is an absolute piss take, raking money off people who have worked hard and have already been taxed on that money so they can invest and arrange their own finances and not live off the state. Never claimed a penny in my life but paid plenty in.Spot on. The Fabian Society sum it up nicely:‘Looked at in this light, the idea that a large gratuitous receipt should
not be taxed seems absurd: It would mean that the person who works,
gives up leisure, and contributes to economic life must share in society’s
collective burdens, while the person who gains a windfall without
doing anything need not.’Leave it to charity (no IHT) or gift it early to your kids when they need it most. Or spend it! If none of those then taxing it is appropriate.
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bobmunro said:Diebythesword said:red10 said:Sorry to repeat, IHT is an absolute piss take, raking money off people who have worked hard and have already been taxed on that money so they can invest and arrange their own finances and not live off the state. Never claimed a penny in my life but paid plenty in.Spot on. The Fabian Society sum it up nicely:‘Looked at in this light, the idea that a large gratuitous receipt should
not be taxed seems absurd: It would mean that the person who works,
gives up leisure, and contributes to economic life must share in society’s
collective burdens, while the person who gains a windfall without
doing anything need not.’Leave it to charity (no IHT) or gift it early to your kids when they need it most. Or spend it! If none of those then taxing it is appropriate.
On the one hand advocating you shouldn’t inherit tax free but it’s ok to gift tax free?
IHT can be harsh I think we all agree but excluding pensions from the pot doesn’t really make sense.0 -
valleynick66 said:bobmunro said:Diebythesword said:red10 said:Sorry to repeat, IHT is an absolute piss take, raking money off people who have worked hard and have already been taxed on that money so they can invest and arrange their own finances and not live off the state. Never claimed a penny in my life but paid plenty in.Spot on. The Fabian Society sum it up nicely:‘Looked at in this light, the idea that a large gratuitous receipt should
not be taxed seems absurd: It would mean that the person who works,
gives up leisure, and contributes to economic life must share in society’s
collective burdens, while the person who gains a windfall without
doing anything need not.’Leave it to charity (no IHT) or gift it early to your kids when they need it most. Or spend it! If none of those then taxing it is appropriate.
On the one hand advocating you shouldn’t inherit tax free but it’s ok to gift tax free?
IHT can be harsh I think we all agree but excluding pensions from the pot doesn’t really make sense.
As long as the benefactor lives for another seven years then some gifts to your children (when they are starting out on life's journey) are fine with me - that's part of parenting. The benefactor still has to live so it's likely to be a relatively small percentage of net wealth. Parents can already leave up to £1 million to their kids without there being any IHT - anything more then I'm fine with it being taxed.2 -
bobmunro said:valleynick66 said:bobmunro said:Diebythesword said:red10 said:Sorry to repeat, IHT is an absolute piss take, raking money off people who have worked hard and have already been taxed on that money so they can invest and arrange their own finances and not live off the state. Never claimed a penny in my life but paid plenty in.Spot on. The Fabian Society sum it up nicely:‘Looked at in this light, the idea that a large gratuitous receipt should
not be taxed seems absurd: It would mean that the person who works,
gives up leisure, and contributes to economic life must share in society’s
collective burdens, while the person who gains a windfall without
doing anything need not.’Leave it to charity (no IHT) or gift it early to your kids when they need it most. Or spend it! If none of those then taxing it is appropriate.
On the one hand advocating you shouldn’t inherit tax free but it’s ok to gift tax free?
IHT can be harsh I think we all agree but excluding pensions from the pot doesn’t really make sense.
As long as the benefactor lives for another seven years then some gifts to your children (when they are starting out on life's journey) are fine with me - that's part of parenting. The benefactor still has to live so it's likely to be a relatively small percentage of net wealth. Parents can already leave up to £1 million to their kids without there being any IHT - anything more then I'm fine with it being taxed.1 -
bobmunro said:valleynick66 said:bobmunro said:Diebythesword said:red10 said:Sorry to repeat, IHT is an absolute piss take, raking money off people who have worked hard and have already been taxed on that money so they can invest and arrange their own finances and not live off the state. Never claimed a penny in my life but paid plenty in.Spot on. The Fabian Society sum it up nicely:‘Looked at in this light, the idea that a large gratuitous receipt should
not be taxed seems absurd: It would mean that the person who works,
gives up leisure, and contributes to economic life must share in society’s
collective burdens, while the person who gains a windfall without
doing anything need not.’Leave it to charity (no IHT) or gift it early to your kids when they need it most. Or spend it! If none of those then taxing it is appropriate.
On the one hand advocating you shouldn’t inherit tax free but it’s ok to gift tax free?
IHT can be harsh I think we all agree but excluding pensions from the pot doesn’t really make sense.
As long as the benefactor lives for another seven years then some gifts to your children (when they are starting out on life's journey) are fine with me - that's part of parenting. The benefactor still has to live so it's likely to be a relatively small percentage of net wealth. Parents can already leave up to £1 million to their kids without there being any IHT - anything more then I'm fine with it being taxed.The question is arguably at what level IHT should kick in. Is £1m right or too generous?
What is a threshold for ‘done f***all’ to kick in ?
It’s very subjective of course but when it’s not inflation linked it does feel somewhat an arbitrary figure currently.0 -
redman said:All the waffle ans statistics quoted above re average salary seems to ignore the actual reality. A person on average salary has a higher standard of living than someone in the 1970's (evidence holidays, cars, household appliances, clothes).
It's a bit like the quote an ex boss of mine used to quote "works in theory but will it work in practice"0 -
cantersaddick said:redman said:All the waffle ans statistics quoted above re average salary seems to ignore the actual reality. A person on average salary has a higher standard of living than someone in the 1970's (evidence holidays, cars, household appliances, clothes).
It's a bit like the quote an ex boss of mine used to quote "works in theory but will it work in practice"2 -
I can see both sides on the pension IHT, normally agree with Bob on this sort of thing (especially the spend it, 100%!) and whilst although it has changed my tax planning i'm ok with it, especially as the pension has been tax free to build. Just can be annoying when you make certain plans and then the goal posts get moved considerably. However some people lose parents very young, before they are able to hand it down and for them the tax is payable partly due to the earlier deaths.
You then have the north south property divide, my sister lives in a huge house in Nottingham (about 6,600 sq ft), value, at a push is £650k. She and her civil partner will be fine to keep under the £1m. My house (about half the size) is currently likely £1.25m ish, so bar trading down will be almost impossible to keep under the £1m for my wife and I.
I've certainly learnt as I age it's very difficult to predict when your time is to come, and due to that it's almost a certainty that we'll leave some pension cash behind, hopefully very little!
I've never been IHT's biggest fan, i'd rather it was removed completely and the extra collected via income (and other) tax as we go through life, but that's not likely to happen any time soon.
I'll take a view in a few years time as to what suits us best, but one things for sure, i'm going to have a damn good old go at spending as much as I humanly can and giving away ample to hopefully leave the tax man a big fat nothing! Ideally I croak it (or likely will be my wife after me) leaving as near to £1m as possible. There's options for that, all will mean moving home, either somewhere else in the Uk or abroad (or most likely a combination of both). I currently quite like the idea of a London flat we can lock up and leave plus a place in the sun.........1 -
can we all just get back to posting what we got in the monthly premium bonds draw as this is all completely above my head.2
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northstandsteve said:can we all just get back to posting what we got in the monthly premium bonds draw as this is all completely above my head.2