Attention: Please take a moment to consider our terms and conditions before posting.
Betting Dilemma
Choice
Posts: 2,863
On Monday I placed the following bet
CHARLTON/CHARLTON HT/FT
MILLWALL/MILLWALL HT/FT
ROTHERHAM TO WIN
MORECOMBE TO WIN (very lucky)
CARDIFF TO WIN (90mins)
£10 acc pays £720
Just wondering about betting now on the draw and a blackpool win (after 90mins). If I do £100 on both of those then i would be looking at £520 if cardiff won, and getting roughly about £100 on the draw and blackpool winning (thats taking into account the additional £200 laid out, thus guaranteeing i would get a return plus £125 in free bets with 2 different online bookies (tote and bet365). Alternatively i could open a bet 365 account and place £200 on the draw at 90mins and get a £200 free bet which would give me £520 on a cardiff win or about £300 on the draw again taking into accont the £200 laid out plus id have the £200 free bet, if blackpool won then im screwed.
Your opinions...what would you do. Im tempted to let it ride on cardiff and go for the draw as a back up and pray blackpool dont do it in 90mins...discuss please
CHARLTON/CHARLTON HT/FT
MILLWALL/MILLWALL HT/FT
ROTHERHAM TO WIN
MORECOMBE TO WIN (very lucky)
CARDIFF TO WIN (90mins)
£10 acc pays £720
Just wondering about betting now on the draw and a blackpool win (after 90mins). If I do £100 on both of those then i would be looking at £520 if cardiff won, and getting roughly about £100 on the draw and blackpool winning (thats taking into account the additional £200 laid out, thus guaranteeing i would get a return plus £125 in free bets with 2 different online bookies (tote and bet365). Alternatively i could open a bet 365 account and place £200 on the draw at 90mins and get a £200 free bet which would give me £520 on a cardiff win or about £300 on the draw again taking into accont the £200 laid out plus id have the £200 free bet, if blackpool won then im screwed.
Your opinions...what would you do. Im tempted to let it ride on cardiff and go for the draw as a back up and pray blackpool dont do it in 90mins...discuss please
0
Comments
-
Good bet.
I would personally play in play on Saturday, see how the game goes.0 -
my head hurts!0
-
Swindon won the 2nd half vs us though didn't they?
Anyway if you've won money already take it and run, bookies will always win in the end0 -
Pretty sure it means winning at HT/FT BRE, not winning each half.[cite]Posted By: BigRedEvil[/cite]Swindon won the 2nd half vs us though didn't they?
Anyway if you've won money already take it and run, bookies will always win in the end0 -
[cite]Posted By: WSS[/cite]
Pretty sure it means winning at HT/FT BRE, not winning each half.[cite]Posted By: BigRedEvil[/cite]Swindon won the 2nd half vs us though didn't they?
Anyway if you've won money already take it and run, bookies will always win in the end
correct0 -
I'd put bigger bets on the draw and Blackpool winning, bringing it up to a point where you're guaranteeing £300 or so no matter what the result is. Maximise the earnings and get rid of all risk. Free money.
Nice bet, by the way0 -
Good idea, I'd go with that.[cite]Posted By: IA[/cite]I'd put bigger bets on the draw and Blackpool winning, bringing it up to a point where you're guaranteeing £300 or so no matter what the result is. Maximise the earnings and get rid of all risk. Free money.
Nice bet, by the way0 -
If a bookie thinks they are in for a big hit then they'll lay some bets off...
Makes sense for you to cover your options too...
You've already got the Cardiff win covered and you know the potential returns so you can use some of those 'winnings' to place more bets....
Of course any further outlay reduces your winnings but at least you'll have a profit....0 -
Great bet mate. You've got to lay some off and 'green up' to guarantee yourself a payout.
You'd be kicking yourself if Blackpool did win (and there's no reason why they won't).
Alternatively simply open a Betfair account and lay Cardiff for £200 or so?0 -
Why don't you lay Cardiff on Betfair, think they can be layed at 2.44 so ton on that still leaves with around £500 should they win and £100 if they don't0
-
Sponsored links:
-
I'd bet £100 Cardiff to win in full time, no other bets
That way you have profited £620 regardless of the outcome rather then hingeing it all on the one game as theres bound to be a bet you havent covered or which wont work out aswell, likewise if you fancy blackpool do £100 for them to win
Cardiff will win 2-0nil, hope they dont though0 -
[cite]Posted By: colthe3rd[/cite]Why don't you lay Cardiff on Betfair, think they can be layed at 2.44 so ton on that still leaves with around £500 should they win and £100 if they don't
If it was a draw he would lose all0 -
Definitely cover yourself for all eventualities. Absolutely DO NOT assume that Blackpool won't do it and then you're completely done over. Both league games between the two finished 1-1 so there's no reason why Blackpool can't nick it, especially after what they did to Forest.
I'd put £100 or so on the draw and the same amount on a Blackpool win.0 -
[cite]Posted By: GRAY9[/cite][cite]Posted By: colthe3rd[/cite]Why don't you lay Cardiff on Betfair, think they can be layed at 2.44 so ton on that still leaves with around £500 should they win and £100 if they don't
If it was a draw he would lose all
Doesn't sound right.
Lay at betfair. Best odds and very simple0 -
[cite]Posted By: johnnybev1987[/cite]I'd bet £100 Cardiff to win in full time, no other bets
That way you have profited £620 regardless of the outcome rather then hingeing it all on the one game as theres bound to be a bet you havent covered or which wont work out aswell, likewise if you fancy blackpool do £100 for them to win
Eh? Betting on a Cardiff win is exactly the bet he doesn't need to make as he's already got them covered in his accumulator0 -
[cite]Posted By: Chris_from_Sidcup[/cite]Definitely cover yourself for all eventualities. Absolutely DO NOT assume that Blackpool won't do it and then you're completely done over. Both league games between the two finished 1-1 so there's no reason why Blackpool can't nick it, especially after what they did to Forest.
I'd put £100 or so on the draw and the same amount on a Blackpool win.
Whats the return for a Blackpool win from a ton?0 -
Blackpool +1 is 4/6 with BetFred.
You could have £300 on that then:
If Cardiff win you're £410 up
Any other outcome £190 up0 -
Blackpool are 9/4 with Betfred so £100 will return you £325.0
-
[cite]Posted By: Chris_from_Sidcup[/cite][cite]Posted By: johnnybev1987[/cite]I'd bet £100 Cardiff to win in full time, no other bets
That way you have profited £620 regardless of the outcome rather then hingeing it all on the one game as theres bound to be a bet you havent covered or which wont work out aswell, likewise if you fancy blackpool do £100 for them to win
Eh? Betting on a Cardiff win is exactly the bet he doesn't need to make as he's already got them covered in his accumulator
sorry i didn't quite get that at first glance, thought it was money he already won so ignore please
on that note just keep the bet what it is and reckon you will have won
) 0 -
[cite]Posted By: GRAY9[/cite]Blackpool +1 is 4/6 with BetFred.
You could have £300 on that then:
If Cardiff win you're £410 up
Any other outcome £190 up
this is probably the best option if you want to gurantee bet, however still will be down on initial £720 you could win which is looking likely imo. basically stick to what you got and hope for the best in the final match, all or nothing0 -
Sponsored links:
-
He would win because you are laying a cardiff win, basically you are acting as bookmaker, if someone backs Cardiff to win the bookie lays them at a price, therefore if Blackpool win or if its a draw the bookie wins. To me this seems the most sensible thing to do as it covers all bases.[cite]Posted By: GRAY9[/cite][cite]Posted By: colthe3rd[/cite]Why don't you lay Cardiff on Betfair, think they can be layed at 2.44 so ton on that still leaves with around £500 should they win and £100 if they don't
If it was a draw he would lose all0 -
My only consolation from Monday is I lumped on Swindon to get to Wembley.
Very scant though :(0 -
Lay cardiff for £295 and you're guaranteed £295-3000
-
[cite]Posted By: johnnybev1987[/cite][cite]Posted By: GRAY9[/cite]Blackpool +1 is 4/6 with BetFred.
You could have £300 on that then:
If Cardiff win you're £410 up
Any other outcome £190 up
this is probably the best option if you want to gurantee bet, however still will be down on initial £720 you could win which is looking likely imo. basically stick to what you got and hope for the best in the final match, all or nothing
Johnny, no offence mate but your advice is rubbish. Ending up with nothing is precisely what he doesn't want and is why he started this thread in the first place! So far you've told him to bet on Cardiff when he already has, and now you're telling him to stick with it when he could end up without a penny! Are you his bookie?0 -
[cite]Posted By: Chris_from_Sidcup[/cite][cite]Posted By: johnnybev1987[/cite][cite]Posted By: GRAY9[/cite]Blackpool +1 is 4/6 with BetFred.
You could have £300 on that then:
If Cardiff win you're £410 up
Any other outcome £190 up
this is probably the best option if you want to gurantee bet, however still will be down on initial £720 you could win which is looking likely imo. basically stick to what you got and hope for the best in the final match, all or nothing
Johnny, no offence mate but your advice is rubbish. Ending up with nothing is precisely what he doesn't want and is why he started this thread in the first place! So far you've told him to bet on Cardiff when he already has, and now you're telling him to stick with it when he could end up without a penny! Are you his bookie?
No mate just merely stating what i would do, didnt realise first so apologise but that example was excluded. the reason i am saying go for it as im pretty confident cardiff will win and i like the bet and how gutted would he be if cardiff do win as he has not maximised his profit? still each to their own a safe bet is to do what gray9 has suggested if not just leave it. but thats only my opinion whether wrong or right!0 -
[cite]Posted By: Chris_from_Sidcup[/cite][cite]Posted By: johnnybev1987[/cite][cite]Posted By: GRAY9[/cite]Blackpool +1 is 4/6 with BetFred.
You could have £300 on that then:
If Cardiff win you're £410 up
Any other outcome £190 up
this is probably the best option if you want to gurantee bet, however still will be down on initial £720 you could win which is looking likely imo. basically stick to what you got and hope for the best in the final match, all or nothing
Johnny, no offence mate but your advice is rubbish. Ending up with nothing is precisely what he doesn't want and is why he started this thread in the first place! So far you've told him to bet on Cardiff when he already has, and now you're telling him to stick with it when he could end up without a penny! Are you his bookie?
lol precisely
my gut feeling is that if cardiff dont win in 90mins this game could go to extra time and the offer of the £200 free bet with bet365 is attractive which is why i considered eliminating the blackpool win but the whole point is to cover all bases really. am hoping a lot of money goes on cardiff today affecting the blackpool price0 -
[cite]Posted By: Southendaddick[/cite]My only consolation from Monday is I lumped on Swindon to get to Wembley.
Very scant though
I had £250 on Millwall at 9/4 to win play offs (as an insurance policy for all the stick I will get). I'm also thinking of laying this off and backing Swindon to get promoted at 7/5.0 -
Yeah he would be really gutted if he just won £500. You are the bookies perfect customer[cite]Posted By: johnnybev1987[/cite][cite]Posted By: Chris_from_Sidcup[/cite][cite]Posted By: johnnybev1987[/cite][cite]Posted By: GRAY9[/cite]Blackpool +1 is 4/6 with BetFred.
You could have £300 on that then:
If Cardiff win you're £410 up
Any other outcome £190 up
this is probably the best option if you want to gurantee bet, however still will be down on initial £720 you could win which is looking likely imo. basically stick to what you got and hope for the best in the final match, all or nothing
Johnny, no offence mate but your advice is rubbish. Ending up with nothing is precisely what he doesn't want and is why he started this thread in the first place! So far you've told him to bet on Cardiff when he already has, and now you're telling him to stick with it when he could end up without a penny! Are you his bookie?
No mate just merely stating what i would do, didnt realise first so apologise but that example was excluded. the reason i am saying go for it as im pretty confident cardiff will win and i like the bet and how gutted would he be if cardiff do win as he has not maximised his profit? still each to their own a safe bet is to do what gray9 has suggested if not just leave it. but thats only my opinion whether wrong or right!0 -
go with IA's suggestion personally, cover the draw and Blackpool win to guarantee yourself a few hundred quid whatever the outcome.
great bet btw0 -
[cite]Posted By: colthe3rd[/cite]
Yeah he would be really gutted if he just won £500. You are the bookies perfect customer[cite]Posted By: johnnybev1987[/cite][cite]Posted By: Chris_from_Sidcup[/cite][cite]Posted By: johnnybev1987[/cite][cite]Posted By: GRAY9[/cite]Blackpool +1 is 4/6 with BetFred.
You could have £300 on that then:
If Cardiff win you're £410 up
Any other outcome £190 up
this is probably the best option if you want to gurantee bet, however still will be down on initial £720 you could win which is looking likely imo. basically stick to what you got and hope for the best in the final match, all or nothing
Johnny, no offence mate but your advice is rubbish. Ending up with nothing is precisely what he doesn't want and is why he started this thread in the first place! So far you've told him to bet on Cardiff when he already has, and now you're telling him to stick with it when he could end up without a penny! Are you his bookie?
No mate just merely stating what i would do, didnt realise first so apologise but that example was excluded. the reason i am saying go for it as im pretty confident cardiff will win and i like the bet and how gutted would he be if cardiff do win as he has not maximised his profit? still each to their own a safe bet is to do what gray9 has suggested if not just leave it. but thats only my opinion whether wrong or right!
Probably, but not if cardiff win ;o) i may lump some on cardiff now as im debating it lol0
