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General Election 2015 official thread

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  • Some interesting perspectives on this thread.

    Also a lot of regurgitated bollocks, and grown men squabbling like over-tired 5 year olds.

    Get a grip guys, it's just embarrassing.
  • Sorry, just copied them over. Didn't realise they'd all come out so big.

    Can't find smaller versions...

    Is that £61m figure correct?

  • Chizz said:

    Sorry, just copied them over. Didn't realise they'd all come out so big.

    Can't find smaller versions...

    Is that £61m figure correct?

    I took it to be so. It's from the documentary "Emperor's New Clothes" that's just been released so I'd hope they have their numbers spot on!
  • Davo55 said:

    Some interesting perspectives on this thread.

    Also a lot of regurgitated bollocks, and grown men squabbling like over-tired 5 year olds.

    Get a grip guys, it's just embarrassing.

    You're mean... I'm telling!! Nerrnerr Nerner nerr :tongue:
  • Sorry, just copied them over. Didn't realise they'd all come out so big.

    Can't find smaller versions...

    Argh Callum I just had to scroll past those in a room full of people. They probably all think i'm a lefty now.
  • sorry m8
  • Be interested in the same figures paid and cut in the last government term

    Genuinely interested not a pop
  • "A good post indeed, but from seriouslyred not from me"
    Apologies.
  • edited April 2015
    Chizz said:

    Stig said:

    Yeah, personally I'm sick of disbaled people just looking for hanbdouts :wink:

    Is that "people who do not like Gareth Bale"?
    No, they're strawmen

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  • Sorry Callum, we "gave" the banks precisely nothing.

    First "we" as in the Govt. acquired the shares in certain banks, that is nationalised or part nationalised them. The Govt. paid for those shares. Since then, the Govt, has made about £500mn profit by selling Lloyds shares for more than they paid for them. That pretty much balanced out the loss the Treasury made offloading Northern Rock - but that's another story really). There's more profit to come. The Treasury (as in the civil servants not whoever wins the election) is also determined to NOT make a loss on the RBS shares when they are sold.

    Aah, perhaps that nice bright colourful poster with very big very misleading words is referring to quantitative easing? But that can't be correct either because we "gave" the banks £375bn NOT £141bn!
    The only thing is that the full name for quantitative easing is quantitative easing asset purchases. So, when the BoE printed more money to hand to the banks, it was effectively paying for the securities, in the main government securities, that the banks were holding as assets. In effect swapping one liquid asset for another less liquid asset. In due course the QE will unwind and things will be back to where they were. In the meantime, on our behalf, the BoE is making shed loads of money by way of dividend payments on the bonds it is holding. Which, of course, it's handing back to Govt.

    As demonstrated by your posters things are not always black and white. :smile: For example, I've no idea if the bankers bonus figure is correct. If it is, a nice hefty slice - £24bn - will have come to the Govt. in tax which will have helped certain things no end.
  • Someone said on here earlier ,can't remember who,that Labours promise on immigration was more stringent than the Tories.
    Well I've had a read through and I'm sorry, but that clearly isn't the case.
  • Chizz said:

    Sorry, just copied them over. Didn't realise they'd all come out so big.

    Can't find smaller versions...

    Is that £61m figure correct?

    I took it to be so. It's from the documentary "Emperor's New Clothes" that's just been released so I'd hope they have their numbers spot on!
    What am I missing? Surely there have been more than £61m of cuts since the last election?
  • Chizz said:

    Chizz said:

    Sorry, just copied them over. Didn't realise they'd all come out so big.

    Can't find smaller versions...

    Is that £61m figure correct?

    I took it to be so. It's from the documentary "Emperor's New Clothes" that's just been released so I'd hope they have their numbers spot on!
    What am I missing? Surely there have been more than £61m of cuts since the last election?
    I think it is more like £61 billion as they made 10billion + to council services alone.
  • Chizz said:

    Chizz said:

    Sorry, just copied them over. Didn't realise they'd all come out so big.

    Can't find smaller versions...

    Is that £61m figure correct?

    I took it to be so. It's from the documentary "Emperor's New Clothes" that's just been released so I'd hope they have their numbers spot on!
    What am I missing? Surely there have been more than £61m of cuts since the last election?
    I think it is more like £61 billion as they made 10billion + to council services alone.
    That's what I was thinking...

    Callum?
  • Chizz said:

    Chizz said:

    Chizz said:

    Sorry, just copied them over. Didn't realise they'd all come out so big.

    Can't find smaller versions...

    Is that £61m figure correct?

    I took it to be so. It's from the documentary "Emperor's New Clothes" that's just been released so I'd hope they have their numbers spot on!
    What am I missing? Surely there have been more than £61m of cuts since the last election?
    I think it is more like £61 billion as they made 10billion + to council services alone.
    That's what I was thinking...

    Callum?
    Honestly, b does make more sense compared to m. And given the second sentence, 61b would make much more sense in the context.
  • The day before the election, I reckon we should have a no holds barred, get it off your chest, political viewpoint thread. You can say what you want, stereotype to the max, offend to the hilt, and relieve that pent up tension. No flags allowed, and thread sunk post election day.

    Be fecking hilarious as well.

    Piss off


    Sorry, have I got the date wrong ?
  • aliwibble said:

    To lighten the mood a little: "15 Malcolm Tucker Quotes That Perfectly Explain The 2015 Election" (contains lots of NSFW language)

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/robinedds/you-sounded-like-a-nazi-julie-andrews#.fq9jnk9zx

    (personal favourite is the Shapps one I think)

    #11 is a great quote.

  • I find the whole election thing a real issue tbh, I really want to see the great things and people we have in this country get back something tangible that they can feel has made this place better,

    For me I really want to see young people not being misled and in a situation where they dont see that the world goes round due to people starting life sometimes at the bottom of the career path and fighting and trying to reach up that ladder, instead they become so disenchanted so led to believe that having to do the tasks and jobs that are not full of prestige and kudos are not worthwhile, and as such seemingly give up at around 13-14 and take the option of benefits and lack of aspiration to feel a sense of pride and self respect in doing the best job no matter what and give life a go

    I want to see the seeds of recovery in the financial situation and stability to not de rail that

    I want a party that represents people that work and reward getting yourself self sufficient and living within your means, not encouraging you to risk it through irresponsible borrowing, I want there to be a better security blanket for those that fall off that path and assist them to get back on

    I want a country that has a military strength that is something that others need to be aware of and fearful of if you piss it off

    I want hardline laws on anyone who is willing to cause terror and fear through hatred of any kind whether that be racial or religion

    I want rapists murders and child sex offenders never free to walk amongst us,

    If someone came along with all those I'd vote for them,

    So right now I have to pick from who can give some of those things

    And those that I think are the most important now

    That's financial stability and consistent attention to what has grown the economy so far

    Getting people into work and any kind of work

    Not supporting those that can work but don't and making their lives more financially difficult until they have to change for themselves


    To me that only can allow me to vote tory and that's how I will vote but remembering that the decision has been heavily influenced by the decisions and actions of the last government who had sole control and a hell of a long time to make a difference, I guess I just don't trust them regardless of what they put in their manifesto as they have still never accepted or taken responsibility for their mistakes and not in the indirect way they word any of their statements

    Do I think that they will make the whole country feel that they are doing the right thing no it can never happen


    This!
    Two types of people - progressive, love the country and want the best...
    And those who blame x,y and z for problems with their life, their club, their country.

    I might write it in a different way but I want our country to aspire to that which you articulate above. I have no allegiance to Labour but right now I see their policies of raising living standards of the many as the best way to grow the country and reduce tensions.
    And I have a fundamental belief that the EU followed by the Euro is the biggest and most successful peace project seen in the last century. It's leadership, structures and policies may be opaque but the success of Europe and particularly the Mediterranean countries is crucial to our prosperity.

    Those countries and those to the East are our frontline for ISIS, immigration, Putin and the middle east.We simply have to find common ground with the Germans, French, Spanish and Italian governments and people to drive this forward...

    The alternative is Farrage, Berlusconi and Marine Le Pen. Make no mistake if the Euro and EU falls over then that is the biggest single threat to our prosperity so I have absolutely no time for the little Englanders in the blue corner!

    Raising the minimum wage is the most striking policy from the red corner - the original introduction was opposed. The thing is that a large chunk of the benefits bill is for the working poor - our government is basically subsidising wages which are below a living wage and many of these jobs are provided by big corporations who can afford a slightly higher hourly rate. I could research it but my guess is workers in retail, cleaning and hotels / restaurants are on minimum wage. All of these activities add value to the property where the activities happe. And these are owned by the richer people - none will close because costs rise marginally.

    And people on low wages spend every penny so it goes around again in local economies.

    Plus the red party are proposing a cut in tuition fees - another path for our youth. Perhaps apprenticeships are on the agenda too but I've not looked?

    I like what you are saying and respect that you are a floating voter so you have your take on the various offerings. And that you've struck out on your own...But perhaps I have a different view of 1997-2010? An era where the first four years were run on surplus ( to rectify the reputatational damage from the 1970s). A time where we trod water during a potential crash due to the .com bubble and other events... A time when employment went up and NHS waiting lists went down. And when global interest rates halved which in turn fuelled cheap credit. Totally up to the individual what they did with that but we all had the chance to borrow money and invest in business and property.

    Iraq was a complete disaster and paying GPs a fat contract to work 9-5 was not the best use of money. And I am appalled at the number of public sector managers earning > £100k+ pa even though there is no risk and no entrepreneurial reward for the stakeholders. Not to mention their six figure pension payouts which they take aged 55!

    Where I fundamentally disagree with Labour is that I believe they should sell / privatise any mature asset to raise cash as politicians are simply not good operational managers... Trains, tracks, banks, houses etc. Sell the lot and then use the money to build more stuff! Creating jobs and supplying affordable housing to cut the housing benefit bill.

    But the Tories are further right than the Tea Party and their rhetoric is divisive and irritating to our partners. Their economics is particularly misleading as I've posted higher up the thread. In the front page of the Times today they are criticised for suggesting an implied £30bn cut to Welfare and other budgets which is NOT in their manifesto.

    Just as they said no change to the NHS then reformed it six months after entering power.

    Let's see what happens in the run in - perhaps we might even have a second election if deals can't be done?
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  • perhaps we might even have a second election if deals can't be done?

    Will that mean we get another thread?

    ;-)
  • IA said:

    And just space to squeeze in one basic economics point about the deficit: As long as we have growth and a small amount of inflation, then the government can run a deficit because a sound UK economy will always create a market for lenders to buy government debt. Talking down the UK economy is not what a Prime Minister should be doing! Unless the overall debt: GDP ratio goes sailing above 100% or the underlying deficit climbs way above 3% per annum, (and stays there) then there is no crisis. Basically as old debt matures it can be replaced with new debt... Forever! The idea that a deficit is "bad" and that the overall debt must be paid down is simply a neocon myth used to campaign to reduce government spending, and reduce social expenditure designed to keep peeps out of the gutter. The fact that this is the message while simultaneously cutting corporation tax by 1/3 is disingenuous at best.

    .

    A good post from Seth SR but I would urge caution with this point of view. Financing debt relies on an imbalance between nations, those with a net surplus and those with a net deficit which tends to be developed nations borrowing from newly developing nations. There is only so much wealth being created in the World and the more developing nations develop, the less will be the imbalance between nations and the less capital will be available to be lent to nations who spend more than they earn.

    It's no different for companies that suddenly have a burst of new business and need to invest to meet demand, but the Bank refuses to lend, they go bust and everyone says "but the company was doing so well...". Same with countries, you can over commit to spending and no matter how confident you are in growth and low inflation, that confidence may not be shared by those you are expecting to lend you the cash. A big danger is assuming tomorrow will look like today.

    The illusion of the magic money tree is starting to be challenged, but when it suits, all the politicians talk as if it exists.

    There will always be a national debt, it provides the liquidity for transferring wealth from one generation to the next. The size of the debt as a proportion of GDP is relatively stable for most nations but at different levels. Ours is in the low 30s and Germany is in the mid 60s. The implication being that the youth of Germany were happy to finance the spending by Germany to unite the old East and West, which is why it is so high.

    Whether the national debt should be reduced is more important to the generations that follow than the current generation. Arguably the young generation should engage more in the decision, because we don't care as long as we get what we want now.

    Engagement by the younger generation might mean less attraction for borrowing if they don't like the idea of their parents or the State spending, in advance, the wealth they will be creating. It might lead to education focussing on how to best prepare for working in the real world to create wealth and less about how good you are at passing exams.

    So absolute debt, and increasing or reducing it, can be a distraction for older voters, but it shouldn't be a distraction for the youth of today if they want to be involved in what really affects their future.
    I thank you sir for the clarity. In my lengthy contribution I was attempting to juxtapose debt with services for the next generation. If they are paying for their own higher education and the retirement age rises then why should they have to pay for those currently aged 40-60 too?

    Either a major party will kop on to this ( and it won't be the blue one because of their demographic being older than the East stand!) or a new political force will emerge. Imagine UKYP (y for youth) but instead of blaming immigrants they will blame the over 65s. If the governments of the day across Europe ignore youth unemployment then a political force will be unleashed. And it might not be as democratic as the older generation like.

    I think this stuff should go on a different thread, but it's something I'm very interested in. I think pensions will be a massive issue in about 15-20 years' time, in a similar way to benefits fraud is a big issue right now, and likely with similar language. The effects would be even stronger if the UK did decide to leave the EU and seal the border, and will grow the more that state pensions are protected (eg triple-lock).

    Ironically, the generation likely to feel the brunt of this will be people who are in their 40s now. I say ironically, because this is the first generation in 200 years or so to have real incomes lower than their parents' generation.

    The accumulation of debt (using future generations' incomes to pay for stuff now) may be linked in to the above, but I think pensions are much easier to understand as an issue.
    We could easily have separate threads for:
    The union and the SNP
    The deficit and tax / spending
    Europe and the Euro
    The value and costs of immigration
    And the vision for 2030 as you suggest.

    Here's the thing: we are in an election and there is more clarity and hyperlinks here than I see anywhere else. Surely today's politicians should be painting a picture for 2030? Nobody is likely to win an outright majority.

    Then again all three losing leaders are likely to be out of a job the morning after and Farage and Clegg might not even be elected. So what do they care about unsustainable pension and health expenditure?!

  • Chizz said:

    perhaps we might even have a second election if deals can't be done?

    Will that mean we get another thread?

    ;-)
    Hooray!
  • edited April 2015
    On a lighter note, there's a website for building your Fantasy Front Bench. You can create it from as many parties as you want and I believe even MPs that should be outgoing are included for some reason, as well as all the candidates standing this year.

    Anyway, I present my Trollalition...

    If you were wondering about some of my choices...Bercow as Welsh Sec would be sent to Wales, far away from his London penthouse.

    Boris Johnson as Health Sec for the inevitable Carry On Nurse/Benny Hill style antics we would see.

    Since Ed Miliband enjoys riding in First Class so much, he can spend as much time as he wants making sure all trains have good enough first class and champagne as Transport Sec

    Plus I found a good brief for Ed Davey, it'll be fairly quiet so plenty of time to be in his constituency office to listen to the plight of his constituents such as being probed by border control at Ebbsfleet ;-)

    All the others were largely picked to either annoy those affected by the brief, the country as a whole, or just the person who has picked up the brief. Bet Diane Abbott would love touring some warzones.

    I'd like to see who other Lifers would pick.
  • Sorry, just copied them over. Didn't realise they'd all come out so big.

    Can't find smaller versions...


    Big is just fine.

  • I still can't believe that Churchill led us through our toughest hours and then promptly got voted out for a Labour majority government.
  • edited April 2015
    Then in 1950 and into 51 it all swung the other way again. What the feck was going on poltically in those post war years?

    Looking at the policies that got Labour in after the war - lots of new jobs, social housing, helping people get back on their feet. They are core left wing policies that are still being debated back and forth today. Many Tories / centre - rights place more emphasis on self improvement and giving people opportunity to better themselves. I guess after a gruelling war the nation was feeling justified in getting as much help from the government as they could - based on the sacrifices made.

    It is that age old balance of how much you do for yourself, how much you do based on opportunity created for the nation, and how much assistance you get from the government. Post war - the final point seems to have carried more strength but ran out of steam once people were back on their feet.
  • edited April 2015
    I think they wanted a fairer society - Churchill was always seen as a hero and loved. It is wrong to say what you have about people after the war. They didn't want help in the way you imply they wanted a fair society. If you study the war, Churchill was a national hero, but Attlee was Deputy Prime minister and both parties worked together like they never did and never will again. He was a hero too. But the biggest heroes were the British people. Those that gave their lives and those that sacrificed all for victory. Churchill would not have disagreed with that and it is wrong to suggest they wanted help from the government after the war. Fairness isn't help.

    What you have to consider is what changes the Conservatives had to make after that victory. Supporting a NHS for instance is not Tory instinct but they do, or have said they do, since it's introduction.
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