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Savings and Investments thread
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PragueAddick said:Several people have rightly pointed out that uncertainty is what spooks markets. One of the reasons for this uncertainty is the lack of global leadership, by which is meant leaders with the maturity to reach out to other leaders and agree on co-ordinated measures. Trump is of course the worst example of this, and his speech yesterday and his complete lack of a strategy up to now is what has driven the markets down today. He is basically panicking because he seems to think that high- riding markets are key to his re-election. We are all now paying the price for having this oaf as head of the world’s most powerful country.
If something like this happens once a decade we're all going to be 10 - 20 % worse off than we thought. Not just share values but GDP, wages, everything will simply be not as good as expected.
With populations and their leaders determined to "make their own countries great again", I don't really see how the global economy can function effectively and steer round real problems. Climate change will probably be the next biggie!
We'll all just have to get used to being a bit poorer.
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stevexreeve said:PragueAddick said:Several people have rightly pointed out that uncertainty is what spooks markets. One of the reasons for this uncertainty is the lack of global leadership, by which is meant leaders with the maturity to reach out to other leaders and agree on co-ordinated measures. Trump is of course the worst example of this, and his speech yesterday and his complete lack of a strategy up to now is what has driven the markets down today. He is basically panicking because he seems to think that high- riding markets are key to his re-election. We are all now paying the price for having this oaf as head of the world’s most powerful country.
If something like this happens once a decade we're all going to be 10 - 20 % worse off than we thought. Not just share values but GDP, wages, everything will simply be not as good as expected.
With populations and their leaders determined to "make their own countries great again", I don't really see how the global economy can function effectively and steer round real problems. Climate change will probably be the next biggie!
We'll all just have to get used to being a bit poorer.0 -
PragueAddick said:Several people have rightly pointed out that uncertainty is what spooks markets. One of the reasons for this uncertainty is the lack of global leadership, by which is meant leaders with the maturity to reach out to other leaders and agree on co-ordinated measures. Trump is of course the worst example of this, and his speech yesterday and his complete lack of a strategy up to now is what has driven the markets down today. He is basically panicking because he seems to think that high- riding markets are key to his re-election. We are all now paying the price for having this oaf as head of the world’s most powerful country.
I put the blame on the traders - and before I get my wrist slapped again, I know most trading is carried out automatically these days - who come into work and come out with stuff like "we didn't feel confident today" and then seemingly are content to sit and watch as their programmes crash the market and wipe out years of growth in days. Maybe market falls don't matter to them as they just sell shares and buy them back more cheaply but to ordinary investors like me, it makes me wonder why I bother.0 -
Fortune 82nd Minute said:PragueAddick said:Several people have rightly pointed out that uncertainty is what spooks markets. One of the reasons for this uncertainty is the lack of global leadership, by which is meant leaders with the maturity to reach out to other leaders and agree on co-ordinated measures. Trump is of course the worst example of this, and his speech yesterday and his complete lack of a strategy up to now is what has driven the markets down today. He is basically panicking because he seems to think that high- riding markets are key to his re-election. We are all now paying the price for having this oaf as head of the world’s most powerful country.
I put the blame on the traders - and before I get my wrist slapped again, I know most trading is carried out automatically these days - who come into work and come out with stuff like "we didn't feel confident today" and then seemingly are content to sit and watch as their programmes crash the market and wipe out years of growth in days. Maybe market falls don't matter to them as they just sell shares and buy them back more cheaply but to ordinary investors like me, it makes me wonder why I bother.
Very depressing if this continues..
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@Fortune 82nd Minute Damn right I am no fan of Trump, and nor do I apologise for “introducing politics” into the thread. Anyone who does not understand that politics influences markets, needs to stick to Premium Bonds.
I am on a train with a variable signal, so I cannot find it to post so easily but on Twitter there are loads of posts charting the fall of the S&P in line with the progress of his speech. Are you aware that he appeared to suggest at one point that the ban would extend to goods as well as people? They had to quickly come out and confirm that he “misspoke”, in modern parlance. Can you imagine the effect that had on investors? This is the President of the USA , FFS! And of course no one has come up with a sensible explanation for his exemption for the UK and Ireland. If it was based on low number of cases, he should have exempted Bulgaria. What was it? The Special Relationship? Someone better inform the virus then. Now, his hotel biz only has European interests in the UK and Ireland. That could not possibly be it, could it? But what else is it? This is the Leader of the Free World, I repeat. If you are a global investor, of course you sre gojng to be spooked, since it looks like the Free World is being led by a self- interested idiot.
All that said, I will still be feeding in a bit more cash when I get back. You keep looking for culprits among the traders, but they have to trade. Where has the money gone? It hasnt gone into a cash ISA, has it? It will just take longer to return- but to talk about a return to 7600 is to display a sense of self-entitlement ( although I am sure you didn’t mean to, and I dont mean to be personally harsh) . Lets say this time next year it has returned to 7000, then the money you had invested in 2016 will still be showing much better returns than if you had it in a cash deposit. The people I feel sorry for are those who need to access their pensions in the next 12 months. Not that Trump gives a flying one about them, unless they have a US vote.3 -
Fortune 82nd Minute said:Since this round of postings have started since the FTSE has started collapsing, I have really not understood why anyone thinks this is just a temporary blip that will quickly correct itself. The Coronavirus scare plus the economic slowdown it is now certain to cause means we are in unchartered water. With seemingly no-one able to stop the selling - traders all now disliking the uncertainty and not feeling confident, poor dears - who know where the FTSE is going to bottom out. Personally, I can see the FTSE going through the 5000 barrier in the next few days - the question is how far will it drop? Your guess is as good as mine - I'm hopeful the 4500 mark might see the bottom, but I wouldn't argue against the 3700 called by @hoof_it_up_to_benty
Falls of this magnitude are madness. Years and years of slow, careful growth wiped out in days. This is not investing, it is casino madness.
Nor do I understand those who say "The falls don't matter. Just stay invested etc". Falls like this matter for everyone who has their money invested for pension or other savings purposes. It could take years to get back to the 7600 level - and for anyone whose pensions become payable in the next few years it will wreck their payouts. It makes people feel considerably less wealthy (even if the losses are only on paper). They will stop people spending.
@golfaddick asked a few pages back why people preferred to leave their savings in accounts paying miserly interest rather than giving their money to him to invest. Well the last 14 days or so might provide some explanation! (I know, history shows that investments in the stock market always out-perform money held in cash over time!)
I desperately hope I am wrong. I hope the experts are right. But this looks to me like one of these occasions when the trough is going to be so low, it will take years to climb back to the peak.0 -
Fortune 82nd Minute said:Since this round of postings have started since the FTSE has started collapsing, I have really not understood why anyone thinks this is just a temporary blip that will quickly correct itself. The Coronavirus scare plus the economic slowdown it is now certain to cause means we are in unchartered water. With seemingly no-one able to stop the selling - traders all now disliking the uncertainty and not feeling confident, poor dears - who know where the FTSE is going to bottom out. Personally, I can see the FTSE going through the 5000 barrier in the next few days - the question is how far will it drop? Your guess is as good as mine - I'm hopeful the 4500 mark might see the bottom, but I wouldn't argue against the 3700 called by @hoof_it_up_to_benty
Falls of this magnitude are madness. Years and years of slow, careful growth wiped out in days. This is not investing, it is casino madness.
Nor do I understand those who say "The falls don't matter. Just stay invested etc". Falls like this matter for everyone who has their money invested for pension or other savings purposes. It could take years to get back to the 7600 level - and for anyone whose pensions become payable in the next few years it will wreck their payouts. It makes people feel considerably less wealthy (even if the losses are only on paper). They will stop people spending.
@golfaddick asked a few pages back why people preferred to leave their savings in accounts paying miserly interest rather than giving their money to him to invest. Well the last 14 days or so might provide some explanation! (I know, history shows that investments in the stock market always out-perform money held in cash over time!)
I desperately hope I am wrong. I hope the experts are right. But this looks to me like one of these occasions when the trough is going to be so low, it will take years to climb back to the peak.My own market holding is now 28% down. So I’m a little lost how the claim is that pension funds will have lost 5% or 10% at worst. I am no idiot and whilst over weight in Lloyds 62000 shares, I’m reasonably balanced in other area, with holdings in Euro, Asia, Bonds, global and USA funds. With the FTSE down from around 7500 to 5230 which is 30% , I doubt these 5% -10% can be accurate in even the most balanced of portfolios. Unless we are looking at something heavily cash based.
I think many pension holdings will be suffering far bigger drops than 5-10%. Obviously those that have moved into later years safer investments may be lesser impacted. But, others could be severely hit and suffering big losses. Glad I didn’t move my Final Salary pension into cash and go for drawdown. I’m happy knowing that’s not impacted.0 -
RaplhMilne said:Fortune 82nd Minute said:Since this round of postings have started since the FTSE has started collapsing, I have really not understood why anyone thinks this is just a temporary blip that will quickly correct itself. The Coronavirus scare plus the economic slowdown it is now certain to cause means we are in unchartered water. With seemingly no-one able to stop the selling - traders all now disliking the uncertainty and not feeling confident, poor dears - who know where the FTSE is going to bottom out. Personally, I can see the FTSE going through the 5000 barrier in the next few days - the question is how far will it drop? Your guess is as good as mine - I'm hopeful the 4500 mark might see the bottom, but I wouldn't argue against the 3700 called by @hoof_it_up_to_benty
Falls of this magnitude are madness. Years and years of slow, careful growth wiped out in days. This is not investing, it is casino madness.
Nor do I understand those who say "The falls don't matter. Just stay invested etc". Falls like this matter for everyone who has their money invested for pension or other savings purposes. It could take years to get back to the 7600 level - and for anyone whose pensions become payable in the next few years it will wreck their payouts. It makes people feel considerably less wealthy (even if the losses are only on paper). They will stop people spending.
@golfaddick asked a few pages back why people preferred to leave their savings in accounts paying miserly interest rather than giving their money to him to invest. Well the last 14 days or so might provide some explanation! (I know, history shows that investments in the stock market always out-perform money held in cash over time!)
I desperately hope I am wrong. I hope the experts are right. But this looks to me like one of these occasions when the trough is going to be so low, it will take years to climb back to the peak.My own market holding is now 28% down. So I’m a little lost how the claim is that pension funds will have lost 5% or 10% at worst. I am no idiot and whilst over weight in Lloyds 62000 shares, I’m reasonably balanced in other area, with holdings in Euro, Asia, Bonds, global and USA funds. With the FTSE down from around 7500 to 5230 which is 30% , I doubt these 5% -10% can be accurate in even the most balanced of portfolios. Unless we are looking at something heavily cash based.
I can't even bring myself to look at my pension funds at present. I'm by nature a pessimist but not in my wildest dreams did I think the markets would tank so spectacularly. I thought initially the FTSE would bottom out at 5000 but can now see 3700 as a possibility. Some serious money to be made if you have cash to invest but sadly I don't.0 -
RaplhMilne said:Fortune 82nd Minute said:Since this round of postings have started since the FTSE has started collapsing, I have really not understood why anyone thinks this is just a temporary blip that will quickly correct itself. The Coronavirus scare plus the economic slowdown it is now certain to cause means we are in unchartered water. With seemingly no-one able to stop the selling - traders all now disliking the uncertainty and not feeling confident, poor dears - who know where the FTSE is going to bottom out. Personally, I can see the FTSE going through the 5000 barrier in the next few days - the question is how far will it drop? Your guess is as good as mine - I'm hopeful the 4500 mark might see the bottom, but I wouldn't argue against the 3700 called by @hoof_it_up_to_benty
Falls of this magnitude are madness. Years and years of slow, careful growth wiped out in days. This is not investing, it is casino madness.
Nor do I understand those who say "The falls don't matter. Just stay invested etc". Falls like this matter for everyone who has their money invested for pension or other savings purposes. It could take years to get back to the 7600 level - and for anyone whose pensions become payable in the next few years it will wreck their payouts. It makes people feel considerably less wealthy (even if the losses are only on paper). They will stop people spending.
@golfaddick asked a few pages back why people preferred to leave their savings in accounts paying miserly interest rather than giving their money to him to invest. Well the last 14 days or so might provide some explanation! (I know, history shows that investments in the stock market always out-perform money held in cash over time!)
I desperately hope I am wrong. I hope the experts are right. But this looks to me like one of these occasions when the trough is going to be so low, it will take years to climb back to the peak.My own market holding is now 28% down. So I’m a little lost how the claim is that pension funds will have lost 5% or 10% at worst. I am no idiot and whilst over weight in Lloyds 62000 shares, I’m reasonably balanced in other area, with holdings in Euro, Asia, Bonds, global and USA funds. With the FTSE down from around 7500 to 5230 which is 30% , I doubt these 5% -10% can be accurate in even the most balanced of portfolios. Unless we are looking at something heavily cash based.0 -
LargeAddick said:Fortune 82nd Minute said:Since this round of postings have started since the FTSE has started collapsing, I have really not understood why anyone thinks this is just a temporary blip that will quickly correct itself. The Coronavirus scare plus the economic slowdown it is now certain to cause means we are in unchartered water. With seemingly no-one able to stop the selling - traders all now disliking the uncertainty and not feeling confident, poor dears - who know where the FTSE is going to bottom out. Personally, I can see the FTSE going through the 5000 barrier in the next few days - the question is how far will it drop? Your guess is as good as mine - I'm hopeful the 4500 mark might see the bottom, but I wouldn't argue against the 3700 called by @hoof_it_up_to_benty
Falls of this magnitude are madness. Years and years of slow, careful growth wiped out in days. This is not investing, it is casino madness.
Nor do I understand those who say "The falls don't matter. Just stay invested etc". Falls like this matter for everyone who has their money invested for pension or other savings purposes. It could take years to get back to the 7600 level - and for anyone whose pensions become payable in the next few years it will wreck their payouts. It makes people feel considerably less wealthy (even if the losses are only on paper). They will stop people spending.
@golfaddick asked a few pages back why people preferred to leave their savings in accounts paying miserly interest rather than giving their money to him to invest. Well the last 14 days or so might provide some explanation! (I know, history shows that investments in the stock market always out-perform money held in cash over time!)
I desperately hope I am wrong. I hope the experts are right. But this looks to me like one of these occasions when the trough is going to be so low, it will take years to climb back to the peak.
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PragueAddick said:@Fortune 82nd Minute Damn right I am no fan of Trump, and nor do I apologise for “introducing politics” into the thread. Anyone who does not understand that politics influences markets, needs to stick to Premium Bonds.
I am on a train with a variable signal, so I cannot find it to post so easily but on Twitter there are loads of posts charting the fall of the S&P in line with the progress of his speech. Are you aware that he appeared to suggest at one point that the ban would extend to goods as well as people? They had to quickly come out and confirm that he “misspoke”, in modern parlance. Can you imagine the effect that had on investors? This is the President of the USA , FFS! And of course no one has come up with a sensible explanation for his exemption for the UK and Ireland. If it was based on low number of cases, he should have exempted Bulgaria. What was it? The Special Relationship? Someone better inform the virus then. Now, his hotel biz only has European interests in the UK and Ireland. That could not possibly be it, could it? But what else is it? This is the Leader of the Free World, I repeat. If you are a global investor, of course you sre gojng to be spooked, since it looks like the Free World is being led by a self- interested idiot.
All that said, I will still be feeding in a bit more cash when I get back. You keep looking for culprits among the traders, but they have to trade. Where has the money gone? It hasnt gone into a cash ISA, has it? It will just take longer to return- but to talk about a return to 7600 is to display a sense of self-entitlement ( although I am sure you didn’t mean to, and I dont mean to be personally harsh) . Lets say this time next year it has returned to 7000, then the money you had invested in 2016 will still be showing much better returns than if you had it in a cash deposit. The people I feel sorry for are those who need to access their pensions in the next 12 months. Not that Trump gives a flying one about them, unless they have a US vote.
FWIW, I don't understand how UK residents have been exempted from the ban either. But I will say that in my opinion even if the saintly Obama was still President, it would have made little difference to the huge falls seen on the Dow this last couple of days. These falls are driven by fear and blind panic (and greed?) and nothing would have stopped them.
BTW, I don't understand the dig about "talking about a return to 7600 is to display a sense of self-entitlement". All I've been saying is that to get back to the level the FTSE was before this crash started could take a long time - there's no obvious reason at all why it should rebound quickly. And my own personal opinion is that with the hits the world economies are about to take, you are very optimistic thinking the index will be back to 7000 this time next year. But I hope you are right and I am wrong!0 -
golfaddick said:LargeAddick said:Fortune 82nd Minute said:Since this round of postings have started since the FTSE has started collapsing, I have really not understood why anyone thinks this is just a temporary blip that will quickly correct itself. The Coronavirus scare plus the economic slowdown it is now certain to cause means we are in unchartered water. With seemingly no-one able to stop the selling - traders all now disliking the uncertainty and not feeling confident, poor dears - who know where the FTSE is going to bottom out. Personally, I can see the FTSE going through the 5000 barrier in the next few days - the question is how far will it drop? Your guess is as good as mine - I'm hopeful the 4500 mark might see the bottom, but I wouldn't argue against the 3700 called by @hoof_it_up_to_benty
Falls of this magnitude are madness. Years and years of slow, careful growth wiped out in days. This is not investing, it is casino madness.
Nor do I understand those who say "The falls don't matter. Just stay invested etc". Falls like this matter for everyone who has their money invested for pension or other savings purposes. It could take years to get back to the 7600 level - and for anyone whose pensions become payable in the next few years it will wreck their payouts. It makes people feel considerably less wealthy (even if the losses are only on paper). They will stop people spending.
@golfaddick asked a few pages back why people preferred to leave their savings in accounts paying miserly interest rather than giving their money to him to invest. Well the last 14 days or so might provide some explanation! (I know, history shows that investments in the stock market always out-perform money held in cash over time!)
I desperately hope I am wrong. I hope the experts are right. But this looks to me like one of these occasions when the trough is going to be so low, it will take years to climb back to the peak.0 -
what I don’t get is why were all markets not suspended for a few months or is that too simplistic?0
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LargeAddick said:what I don’t get is why were all markets not suspended for a few months or is that too simplistic?0
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Fortune 82nd Minute said:PragueAddick said:@Fortune 82nd Minute Damn right I am no fan of Trump, and nor do I apologise for “introducing politics” into the thread. Anyone who does not understand that politics influences markets, needs to stick to Premium Bonds.
I am on a train with a variable signal, so I cannot find it to post so easily but on Twitter there are loads of posts charting the fall of the S&P in line with the progress of his speech. Are you aware that he appeared to suggest at one point that the ban would extend to goods as well as people? They had to quickly come out and confirm that he “misspoke”, in modern parlance. Can you imagine the effect that had on investors? This is the President of the USA , FFS! And of course no one has come up with a sensible explanation for his exemption for the UK and Ireland. If it was based on low number of cases, he should have exempted Bulgaria. What was it? The Special Relationship? Someone better inform the virus then. Now, his hotel biz only has European interests in the UK and Ireland. That could not possibly be it, could it? But what else is it? This is the Leader of the Free World, I repeat. If you are a global investor, of course you sre gojng to be spooked, since it looks like the Free World is being led by a self- interested idiot.
All that said, I will still be feeding in a bit more cash when I get back. You keep looking for culprits among the traders, but they have to trade. Where has the money gone? It hasnt gone into a cash ISA, has it? It will just take longer to return- but to talk about a return to 7600 is to display a sense of self-entitlement ( although I am sure you didn’t mean to, and I dont mean to be personally harsh) . Lets say this time next year it has returned to 7000, then the money you had invested in 2016 will still be showing much better returns than if you had it in a cash deposit. The people I feel sorry for are those who need to access their pensions in the next 12 months. Not that Trump gives a flying one about them, unless they have a US vote.
FWIW, I don't understand how UK residents have been exempted from the ban either. But I will say that in my opinion even if the saintly Obama was still President, it would have made little difference to the huge falls seen on the Dow this last couple of days. These falls are driven by fear and blind panic (and greed?) and nothing would have stopped them.
BTW, I don't understand the dig about "talking about a return to 7600 is to display a sense of self-entitlement". All I've been saying is that to get back to the level the FTSE was before this crash started could take a long time - there's no obvious reason at all why it should rebound quickly. And my own personal opinion is that with the hits the world economies are about to take, you are very optimistic thinking the index will be back to 7000 this time next year. But I hope you are right and I am wrong!1 -
To make some of you who are sitting on big losses feel a bit better... my employer bans me buying shares in any company except itself (outside of windows and with relevant consents given of course). As such all eggs in one basket and that basket sits 50% down today. 🙁. If I was allowed to buy elsewhere I would be very tempted but would probably hold back to Monday to allow bad news Fridays out the way!0
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Athletico Charlton said:To make some of you who are sitting on big losses feel a bit better... my employer bans me buying shares in any company except itself (outside of windows and with relevant consents given of course). As such all eggs in one basket and that basket sits 50% down today. 🙁. If I was allowed to buy elsewhere I would be very tempted but would probably hold back to Monday to allow bad news Fridays out the way!
FWIW for anyone wanting to invest, i've gone in on Go Ahead Group, £10.550 -
Rob7Lee said:Athletico Charlton said:To make some of you who are sitting on big losses feel a bit better... my employer bans me buying shares in any company except itself (outside of windows and with relevant consents given of course). As such all eggs in one basket and that basket sits 50% down today. 🙁. If I was allowed to buy elsewhere I would be very tempted but would probably hold back to Monday to allow bad news Fridays out the way!
FWIW for anyone wanting to invest, i've gone in on Go Ahead Group, £10.55
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Rob7Lee said:Athletico Charlton said:To make some of you who are sitting on big losses feel a bit better... my employer bans me buying shares in any company except itself (outside of windows and with relevant consents given of course). As such all eggs in one basket and that basket sits 50% down today. 🙁. If I was allowed to buy elsewhere I would be very tempted but would probably hold back to Monday to allow bad news Fridays out the way!
FWIW for anyone wanting to invest, i've gone in on Go Ahead Group, £10.550 -
iaitch said:Rob7Lee said:Athletico Charlton said:To make some of you who are sitting on big losses feel a bit better... my employer bans me buying shares in any company except itself (outside of windows and with relevant consents given of course). As such all eggs in one basket and that basket sits 50% down today. 🙁. If I was allowed to buy elsewhere I would be very tempted but would probably hold back to Monday to allow bad news Fridays out the way!
FWIW for anyone wanting to invest, i've gone in on Go Ahead Group, £10.550 - Sponsored links:
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The FT at least seems to be having a good Friday so far.0
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checked my SIPP, down 50k this month, roughly 13%. Happy Days :-((
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LargeAddick said:checked my SIPP, down 50k this month, roughly 13%. Happy Days :-((1
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Rob7Lee said:LargeAddick said:checked my SIPP, down 50k this month, roughly 13%. Happy Days :-((
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13% loss across the board for me and my wife as well, still they will bounce back.0
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LargeAddick said:checked my SIPP, down 50k this month, roughly 13%. Happy Days :-((
Not lost anywhere near as much in my investment ISA though, which, granted isn't as diverse but is predominantly led by two funds: AXA Framlington and a Fidelity Global one.0 -
hoof_it_up_to_benty said:The FT at least seems to be having a good Friday so far.
Suck a few people in who think things have turned, then crash the market again. Doubles all round!0 -
Fortune 82nd Minute said:hoof_it_up_to_benty said:The FT at least seems to be having a good Friday so far.
Suck a few people in who think things have turned, then crash the market again. Doubles all round!
Uncertainty continues....0 -
Mind the gap at 5733 and also roughly a classic fib level for a wave 4.
If it gets past that, could be a nice v-shaped recovery. If not, will be the start of the final sickener leg down.1 -
WishIdStayedinthePub said:Mind the gap at 5733 and also roughly a classic fib level for a wave 4.
If it gets past that, could be a nice v-shaped recovery. If not, will be the start of the final sickener leg down.1