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The Takeover Thread - Duchatelet Finally Sells (Jan 2020)

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  • 1:06PM edited 1:09PM
    Musing over our problem in the shower this morning & wondered whether there is any way we could uncover the "hidden debt" which some think may be the real reason that potential buyers walk away ( shaking their heads) once they have conducted due diligence. 

    We know that the Rat was highly negligent in his haste to get his hands on a prime piece of London land. And as such, could barely control his excitement when shaking on the deal with the Spivs....

    To uncover what he failed to find  & share it with the press ( and potential buyers if there are still any out there) would surely hurt him substantially both in the business world and as far as his ego is concerned.

    What better way to embarrass him AND ensure that those potential buyers are cognisant of the true financial implications of purchasing our famous football club ?

    ( OOps ! Should have posted this on the Sale of Charlton thread!) 
  • Addickted said:
    Hex said:
    Agreed. He believes his view is absolutely rationale from the standpoint of a business model and the rest of the world has gone mad. He is probably right but anyone buying a football club should go into it expecting they will likely lose money unless they are in the Premier League.

    The problem is, he wants out but appears to expect any potential buyer to pay for the ongoing errors made on his watch in terms of management rotations, poor player acquisitions, handling of outgoing player valuations and as he moved up the learning curve on English football economics. As has been said, he had the option to get out as soon as he realised the EFL had moved the goalposts as regards FFP. However, if he can keep the club on life support by breaking even, despite relegations back to League 1 or even 2, at least it isn’t costing him money.

    Whilst I concede having a reasonable level of current operating costs to outline  to potential buyers is good, they will have their view on their appetite for annual losses over the near term. They are however more likely to be interested in a reasonable upfront purchase price and what might be considered reasonable for a Championship club is unlikely to be considered reasonable the further down the leagues the club goes.

    Promotion back to the Championship was probably his best chance of extricating himself with a reasonable price to defray some of his investment and it looks like he is closing the window on that.

    It may not make any difference in terms of changing his stubbornness but I think in the Fans Forum, CAST communications, interaction with the press etc there has to be continued emphasis on his quotes above and the fact that he has no footballing ambition for the club and that he is living in cloud cuckoo land if he is holding out for a price that covers his aggregate losses for the past 5 years. It would be good if any of the buyers who have walked away would reveal the exact price they had offered.
    I don't totally agree with this as it may be considered too commercially sensitive and may not be the real problem as a price seems to get agreed.  However, it would be interesting to know what he uses to increase the price.  Eg does he throw in a percentage of the sale price of any youngsters in the academy ?  
    Yes, commercially sensitive, with NDAs still Potentially binding if a deal not finally agreed. 
    This is the bit I don't understand.

    You approach RD to buy the Club, part of the negoatiations is to agree a NDA.

    You pull out of the deal due to the irrational behaviour of the seller, so surely the NDA becomes null and void. The seller cannot prevent you from telling the World about your approach, offer and reasons for withdrawing.

    Does Mrs RD have to sign a NDA when they're discussing what to have for dinner tonight?
    Your guess is as good as mine. I was really just hypothesising that buyers may have been asked to sign an NDA that is binding regardless of whether or not a deal is concluded. You would think some snippets would leak but not really so far.
    Under an NDA there is normally a clause which states the buying party are legally obliged to keep the information they find out private for 2 years (some 1 year but 2 years is standard). 

    Source - my job working in mergers & acquisitions. 

    Also trust me I've joked to my partners constantly to try get us involved with the sale for the last 11 months (since I started) and they saw our Business Plan before Roland acquired the club and said there was some dodgy debt he'd stay a mile away from
    Debt that was exposed in the Jimenez v Khakshouri case.
    https://www.theguardian.com/football/2018/feb/09/charlton-khakshouri-jimenez-cash-modern-football
  • Is there really “hidden debt” that nobody on here has managed to identity before ? If that’s the case and we really do owe a significant sum to person or persons unknown apart from the rat then we really could be completely screwed. We definitely need to get to the bottom of this.
  • cafc_se7 said:
    In fairness, and this in no way whatsoever sticking up for the rat, purely from the playing side of things....Luton won the league and they cashed in on their main men and have only replaced with frees. We are not the only ones and off the pitch we are in by far a worse position to them!
    but we are not moving to a new stadium soon
  • According to a non Aussie source, anyone buying Charlton would be around £90m in the hole, if all debts, loans and cost of club & Valley etc included. Apparently there is interest to pay on the loans, but they don’t technically need to be repaid. 
  • Not sure why you needed to repost that again @PragueAddickbut I don't think you can pick and choose quotes from Roland to suit arguments. Its been proven he's bonkers and many feel tells lies, half truths and twists on situations, so i wouldn't equally accept a quote that suits your agenda as being factually correct.

    Equally, your view is influenced by what you are told by the Standard Socios, who will naturally not downplay their involvement.

    When Roland eventually does sell the club on, those who have been active in protesting in Belgium will say it is down to their actions, those active in protesting in the UK will say its down to them. Jim White will say it was the pressure he put on Roland, Dreisen will say it was on his recomendation etc...We've been protesting in the UK for 4 years and in Belgium for 3 1/2 years. As further time goes on while there is no sale, no slashing of demands (let alone desperation to exit), the less and less credibility any of those claims will hold.

    Of course they add to the backdrop and create publicity and difficulty to him, but my key point is that absolutely none of that publicity or difficulty has led to him attempting to escalate his exit in any way over the last couple of years (even less so if the rumours of raising the price are true). i don't understand why that view is perceived as contraversial.  

    So we can all bang the drum and engage in 'we will fight them on the beaches' rally-rousing stuff about previous 'fan victories', it can serve a purpose in lifting those engaged and providing them hope and it can give off the view of Charlton fans being passionate, creative, determined and many other positive things.

    But if you evaluate the last four years its clear he is a steely determined individual only ever influenced by his own mindset, which in his mind rarely wrong. And while other aspects clearly succeed in annoying him and in many cases provoke a reaction, it has never steered him any nearer to hastening his exit by making the sale more viable. Worryingly, no one can categorically say either that everytime Charlton fans annoy him in some way it doesn't make him more determined in his own mind to ensure he doesn't concede on his stance, can they?

    What do i think his mindset is saying? Who knows with him. My best interpretation is that he seperates this into three categories, potentially four; the club, the assets, the directors debt and potentially his own debt.

    In his mind, he is giving the club away. The problem is the accumulation of the valuation of the assets, and the other debt take the acquisition away from what is a viable fair value for a purchaser. But he just can't see that, as he sees land value as something he should not have to haircut. Why should he sell a house for less than its worth? He can't discount the club any further as he's attaching no valuation to it, and probably accepts he's not going to get all his debt back (how much his red line is on this is anyone's guess).

    But in my mind that land value is key and why i have had so little confidence over the last two years of a sale as i can't see anyone willing to pay that to take on a loss-making club and i can't see him lowering. I thought there was a chance in the immediate weeks following Wembley of either an interested party biting the bullet and raising it a bit more, or Roland seeing that opportunity to get out while the focus and interest was there, but neither happened and it was clear weeks ago that this window of opportunity had now sadly passed.

    So your belief is that if there had been no protests whatsoever he would have acted in exactly the same way throughout, Fraeye would have been removed in January 2016, British managers culminating in Bowyer would have been appointed, Meire would still have left and he would have moved from his 2017 position that the club was not for sale to negotiating with a whole stream of interested parties while spending hundreds of thousands on professional fees?

    Reminds me of the late Bill Treadgold, who argued that the Valley campaign had no impact on the return to The Valley because the directors were always going to bring the club back anyway, a view which just happened to justify his do-nothing position as chairman of the supporters' club.
    Top post!

  • Posted earlier by @clive - I wonder if the long drawn out process has anything to do with the promise implicit in there for a future share of any land deal.
    It might be that a certain time period must elapse - or there will be a price to pay....just a thought.

  • JamesSeed said:
    According to a non Aussie source, anyone buying Charlton would be around £90m in the hole, if all debts, loans and cost of club & Valley etc included. Apparently there is interest to pay on the loans, but they don’t technically need to be repaid. 
    So roughly:

    £1 for the club
    £30 Million for the ground and Sparrows lane and the cost that Roland paid for the club in the first place
    £59,999,999 to cover Roland's own debt debt

    Lovely
  • JamesSeed said:
    According to a non Aussie source, anyone buying Charlton would be around £90m in the hole, if all debts, loans and cost of club & Valley etc included. Apparently there is interest to pay on the loans, but they don’t technically need to be repaid. 
    £60m+ owed to RD, interest on top, former directors loans and club, The Valley and training ground valued at around £20 to £30m or so.

    Sounds about right, but no one will pay £30m as well as taking on or paying off Roland’s loans and interest.

    He needs to agree a deal that works for a buyer and not just himself.
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  • edited July 2019
    @AFKABartram

    Final point. Yeah, I've got an "agenda". It is to not just sit at my keyboard moaning about Duchatelet but to work with others to get him out, as soon as possible. If you have a superior alternative plan to smart well thought out activities in Belgium then, trust me I will drop my "agenda" in a heartbeat and get behind it in any practical way.
    To be fair, he didn't accuse you of having an "agenda", he said he didn't think it was suitable to pick RD quotes and apply to them your agenda i.e. your argument or POV. Seemed harmless to me.
  • Scoham said:
    JamesSeed said:
    According to a non Aussie source, anyone buying Charlton would be around £90m in the hole, if all debts, loans and cost of club & Valley etc included. Apparently there is interest to pay on the loans, but they don’t technically need to be repaid. 
    £60m+ owed to RD, interest on top, former directors loans and club, The Valley and training ground valued at around £20 to £30m or so.

    Sounds about right, but no one will pay £30m as well as taking on or paying off Roland’s loans and interest.

    He needs to agree a deal that works for a buyer and not just himself.
    Lot of double counting in there. He paid for the assets in 2014 (-and took on the mortgage) and left that figure in as debt, so it’s all part of the £60m+, which will be £65m plus now. The debt figure already includes the accumulated interest.

    So let’s say £65m plus the £7m. There might be something to add around the training ground, which I guess can’t be left in limbo indefinitely.
  • Scoham said:
    JamesSeed said:
    According to a non Aussie source, anyone buying Charlton would be around £90m in the hole, if all debts, loans and cost of club & Valley etc included. Apparently there is interest to pay on the loans, but they don’t technically need to be repaid. 
    £60m+ owed to RD, interest on top, former directors loans and club, The Valley and training ground valued at around £20 to £30m or so.

    Sounds about right, but no one will pay £30m as well as taking on or paying off Roland’s loans and interest.

    He needs to agree a deal that works for a buyer and not just himself.
    Lot of double counting in there. He paid for the assets in 2014 (-and took on the mortgage) and left that figure in as debt, so it’s all part of the £60m+, which will be £65m plus now. The debt figure already includes the accumulated interest.

    So let’s say £65m plus the £7m. There might be something to add around the training ground, which I guess can’t be left in limbo indefinitely.
    Fair enough. What about the “hidden debt”? Or is that just a nonsense rumour?
  • JamesSeed said:
    According to a non Aussie source, anyone buying Charlton would be around £90m in the hole, if all debts, loans and cost of club & Valley etc included. Apparently there is interest to pay on the loans, but they don’t technically need to be repaid. 
    I think someone is yanking your chain, or your source is Napa!
  • What is the "hidden debt"?  

    My guess - the fee from the FA for engraving the FA Cup in 1947. 

    Anyone else..?
  • cafcwill said:
    JamesSeed said:
    According to a non Aussie source, anyone buying Charlton would be around £90m in the hole, if all debts, loans and cost of club & Valley etc included. Apparently there is interest to pay on the loans, but they don’t technically need to be repaid. 
    So roughly:

    £1 for the club
    £30 Million for the ground and Sparrows lane and the cost that Roland paid for the club in the first place
    £59,999,999 to cover Roland's own debt debt

    Lovely
    This is the delusional figure.  Until he accepts this is down to his stupidity of mismanagement and decides to walk away or remove it, he will own the club.  
  • edited July 2019
    Scoham said:
    Scoham said:
    JamesSeed said:
    According to a non Aussie source, anyone buying Charlton would be around £90m in the hole, if all debts, loans and cost of club & Valley etc included. Apparently there is interest to pay on the loans, but they don’t technically need to be repaid. 
    £60m+ owed to RD, interest on top, former directors loans and club, The Valley and training ground valued at around £20 to £30m or so.

    Sounds about right, but no one will pay £30m as well as taking on or paying off Roland’s loans and interest.

    He needs to agree a deal that works for a buyer and not just himself.
    Lot of double counting in there. He paid for the assets in 2014 (-and took on the mortgage) and left that figure in as debt, so it’s all part of the £60m+, which will be £65m plus now. The debt figure already includes the accumulated interest.

    So let’s say £65m plus the £7m. There might be something to add around the training ground, which I guess can’t be left in limbo indefinitely.
    Fair enough. What about the “hidden debt”? Or is that just a nonsense rumour?
    Hard to see what it is. The high-interest loans were exposed in the Khakshouri case, discussed here:

    http://www.votvonline.com/home/the-2017-18-blogs/22-12-how-jimenez-schemed-to-leave-the-valley/

    We know Khakshouri had been settled and I don't see McGlynn being current. In any case they weren't made to Baton, the UK holding company, but to the BVI entity. Always been suggested to me that undisclosed debts were more likely to relate to foreign transfers, but nothing specific.
  • He's not really interested in selling. It'll be up to his heirs to take the inevitable haircut, by then the debt could reach Eddie Davies' Bolton levels and they will be in a hurry to offload. 
  • Chizz said:
    DOUCHER said:
    Yesterday felt pretty depressing but I’ve been convinced for s while now that he ain’t selling. I wonder whether Bowyer and Gallen laying the stark financial realities on the line to him prompted his appearance on talksport  - I’m not sure how he can claim to be a socialist yet know that 10,000 fans are going to suffer a miserable season if he doesn’t release  a small proportion of his vast wealth in order to give us half a chance next season - a socialist when it suits.
    Glossing over the bit about him claiming to be a socialist (where on earth does that come from?) were you convinced that he isn't selling when "someone at the club" told you a few days ago that the Muir was in negotiation with the ex-directors?  Or did you only become convinced when that turned out not to be true?   
    I said I didn't believe it and that view was reinforced by airmans post of bob whitehands comments - do keep up
  • Ahem ... Where’s @happyvalley 1959 was an important year for Mama and Papa Dick 
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  • 1959, Juke Box Jury is first shown.
  • Hidden debt.
    That's what the Lookman trench was dug for,  to hide it.
  • From Guardian, Justice Green found that neither Jimenez nor Cash actually owned Charlton. Intereesting!
  • I've soothed myself with the following dilemma to put a positive slide on things.


    Which would you rather. And you can only have one. No Mish mashing

    Roland goes. New owners in. Bowyer asked to leave before the ink has dried. They've got their man and have had this on the back burner for years?

    Roland stays. Bowyer does to. He gets pretty much what he needs in additional loans and we crack on?
    I'll take option B please Carly.

    Option A is Roland in disguise. NOBODY with any sense would sack a successful manager this soon after their latest success.
  • edited July 2019
    From Guardian, Justice Green found that neither Jimenez nor Cash actually owned Charlton. Intereesting!

    The article goes on to report: "And in that sense," Jiminez's solicitor concluded, "it's not about who actually owns Charlton, it's about the friends we've all made along the way. The defence rests your Honour."
  • From Guardian, Justice Green found that neither Jimenez nor Cash actually owned Charlton. Intereesting!
    then who did? Was it actually Jiminez and Cash's to sell? Maybe this is the problem. 
  • Agree there is no evidence to show that any protests have influenced the valuation or Duchâtelet’s acceptance of compromise one way or another.

    i think there is a fair amount of evidence they have influenced his actions (sack Slade, try to appoint Willder, agree to sell out of football totally, make wild comments through website and talk to talkshite) with the exiting being very directly linked to the timing of the actions.

    Unfortunately we cannot know the full reasons why a sale has not taken place. It does seem like the balance of evidence suggests there are issues on up front cash consideration and later conditional consideration.

    If Duchâtelet wanted to sell at any price, it would be done ages ago. If he wanted to sell at a reasonable price it would also likely be done by now unless there’s a lot we don’t j is in the background. 

    The main conclusion seems to be that despite everything he holds onto a price well in excess of what any reasonable buyer would agree to. 

    Unfortunately I agree with AFKA, I struggle to see how anything we do will get this to change. 
This discussion has been closed.

Roland Out Forever!