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The General Election - June 8th 2017

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  • edited May 2017
    Rob7Lee said:

    Rob7Lee said:

    A good point and I think you will find that has been built in to the calculations. The estimates on the money the tax rises will bring in have been purposely conservative - if you can excuse the pun!

    Good Pun!

    We'll have to disagree on that one Mutley, some of their costing document specifically states they haven't taken into account the behavioural impact. On income tax they have taken the Inland Revenue figures and only made an allowance for Scotland who has independence on that.

    Myself alone they have calculated i'll pay £10k more in income Tax, in reality it'll be £2k maximum they collect extra. On the assumption that people would have spent at least a proportion of what they will now pay in tax they haven't allowed for a lower amount of VAT collected. On corporation tax where companies can and it's more efficient they'll do business elsewhere, if my company pays on average £20m in corporation tax per annum I'd guess within 5 years that'll be down to a few million at best.

    Even those companies who don't do anything, will they pay lower bonuses to staff and therefore the tax take will be less?

    There are so many unknowns in Labours manifesto costs/expenses, just like there are in the conservatives, the difference is the huge additional spend in Labours.
    There is a line in the costings document covering behavioural changes - they have costed £3.9 billion. I would encourage people to read it - if they do that and think the policies are not deliverable - fair enough!
    Agreed at £3.9bn line which is less than 7.5%,

    So comes down to do you believe even of the direct 40.5bn (19.4bn Corp Tax, 6.4bn Income Tax, 1.3bn Pay Levy, 1.6bn offshore property, 6.5bn Tax avoidance, 3.7bn IHT etc, 1.6bn Private school fee's) will yield all of that bar 3.9bn? i.e. they'll achieve over 90% tax take? Personally I think they'll be lucky to get anywhere near 50%. It simply won't happen.
    McDonnell was on Marr yesterday and said they would adopt the Dilcot proposals.

    The conservative manifesto has £40 billion of extra spending commitments, not a single penny costed. Everything is coming from growth and efficiency saving, neither of which they have done very well in 7 years of government.

    While it is true to say neither fully costed it also paints a completely disingenuous picture. On one had you have one of the most comprehensively costed manifestos in British political history, on the other hand a manifesto completely uncosted.

    I not really sure what your acid test would be to be honest, you seem to be asking for a level of detail never given before from only one party. Even the ONS have come out and said Labour's manifesto is cost neutral.
  • I was at a very pro Corbyn dinner party this weekend. The faithful are taking the Hebden Bridge and Tranmere rallies as the first sign that he's turning the tide and seem genuinely positive.

    In the US election of 1956 a Democratic voter approached her candidate, the erudite Adlai Stephenson.

    "Oh Adlai! ," she exclaimed, " Good luck tomorrow, every thinking American will be voting for you."

    "Won't be enough," he said.
    I put across views that weren't dissimilar to the believers. IMHO Corbyn's coalition is just too narrow to win this election simply because the policies that enthuse metropolitan types in the south east won't fire up enough voters elsewhere.
  • It was part of the £48bn sub total - your homework is to read it again. What has been betaryed is the fact that you haven't read it - and you are lecturing people who have! Read it, then your position carries more weight.

    The Tory party manifesto is a load of tosh, even tory party members are saying so. But the Labour manifesto has been lauded by independant economists - I find it amazing they produced this comprehensive document with full costings on one side of the balance sheet and full costings on the other and the Tories who called the snap election seemed to have wrote theirs on the back of a fag packet!

    Rob7Lee - it is clearly going to cost you smome money if Labour get it - it may cost me - but it won't cost most people and when you consider the dementia tax and if you have a son or daughter who may have aspirations of further education, you will get some if not all of it back. And you will be living in a better Britain. If more people have more money, I know my business will thrive.


    I'm not concerned what it would cost me if Labour got in (ive always said happy to pay more tax) but as net effect is I'd be substantially better off if they could really afford all they say, hence why in the main I don't think it's remotely possible. The dementia tax is debatable as Labour haven't said what they'd do.

    My daughters (1st one Sep 18) would save me £30k each in uni fee's alone. On the broad assumption that my father wouldn't have to pay for his care that's over £40k per annum. My tax in reality would be £2k more.....
  • Got a job offer from an agency in LA that I am keeping ticking over for as long as possible. Want to see how this election goes - if there is any chance that this taxation of jealousy comes in then I want to keep my options open.

    I cant believe that people think a party verging on socialism is really the way to get this country booming again or at least heading on a better direction.

    You clearly have not studied Keynes, but I reckon he knew a bit more about economics than you do. It is how you spend the money that is important I will agree on that. That is why the social elements are covered by taxation and the capital elements are covered by borrowing - as that is how you become wealthier. Well, maybe not you personally, but the country.
    TBF its up to me. If I want to protect more of my income to go towards my own kids, then that's what I will do. Agree on covering points by taxation. Naturally if my income and contribution I can make towards my kids is hit, I aint gonna like it. And rather than sit there moaning about it, if I have the chance to get off my arse and do something then I will consider it.

    It is no surprise that Labour's taxation plans have landed positively with 75% of voters. Most people in the UK don't earn more than £80k so of course they are going to like it. Fair enough.
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  • What he was doing as well was paying 40% more for his care than people receiving the same care with no savings! Effectively subsidising them becuase he was ill. Some people seem perfectly ok robbing a person who has demetia in this way, I want to cry out of frustration. It is being done in my name!
  • edited May 2017

    What he was doing as well was paying 40% more for his care than people receiving the same care with no savings! Effectively subsidising them becuase he was ill. Some people seem perfectly ok robbing a person who has demetia in this way, I want to cry out of frustration. It is being done in my name!

    Not in my name, Mutts.

    But, I was reminded on the radio this morning of Mark Twain's quote:

    If voting made a difference - they wouldn't let us do it!
  • cabbles said:

    Social care funding is a nettle that no politician wants to fully grasp. It's a time bomb. It's obvious that this latest attempt by the conservatives is not either popular or adequately thought through.

    Why the cost can't be catered for from general taxation where the burden is shared equally I can't understand. Nobody will like being asked to pay more but it's essential that politicians are honest and clear with the people and tell the truth.

    Fat chance.

    I don't understand either. Especially as we're talking about something that has the potential to hit everyone. My aunt's partner passed away of dementia last year. I think he was in care for 4 years. Luckily he had the funds to pay for the care, but I think it was in the hundreds of thousands by the time he died.

    Not everyone who lives in a £500k property say in London is necessarily rich and using my aunt's partner as an example, someone who had 4 years of care, that could potentially be the value of your estate wiped out down to the last £100k. It's not fair. I really can't see why people would begrudge this being an additional taxation for the benefit of all, as we don't know who it will hit. It could be any of us. Seems like a 'fair' taxation to me.

    That is exactly how Damien Green on Andrew Marr described £100k as though, fair.
  • Got a job offer from an agency in LA that I am keeping ticking over for as long as possible. Want to see how this election goes - if there is any chance that this taxation of jealousy comes in then I want to keep my options open.

    I cant believe that people think a party verging on socialism is really the way to get this country booming again or at least heading on a better direction.

    You clearly have not studied Keynes, but I reckon he knew a bit more about economics than you do. It is how you spend the money that is important I will agree on that. That is why the social elements are covered by taxation and the capital elements are covered by borrowing - as that is how you become wealthier. Well, maybe not you personally, but the country.
    TBF its up to me. If I want to protect more of my income to go towards my own kids, then that's what I will do. Agree on covering points by taxation. Naturally if my income and contribution I can make towards my kids is hit, I aint gonna like it. And rather than sit there moaning about it, if I have the chance to get off my arse and do something then I will consider it.

    It is no surprise that Labour's taxation plans have landed positively with 75% of voters. Most people in the UK don't earn more than £80k so of course they are going to like it. Fair enough.
    Protect your income by all means but I suggest you don't get dementia and then squeal that your children won't benefit from your self protectionism.

  • Chizz said:
    Yet another U turn from our whirling dervish of a Prime Minister.

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  • Both these clips are interesting, possibly more than entirely relevant.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1loF4nxzLHw

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jc3vTUzGMYw
  • Chizz said:
    Yet another U turn from our whirling dervish of a Prime Minister.


    Back tracking, quicker than Michael Jackson doing a moonwalk

  • .
    Rob7Lee said:

    It was part of the £48bn sub total - your homework is to read it again. What has been betaryed is the fact that you haven't read it - and you are lecturing people who have! Read it, then your position carries more weight.

    The Tory party manifesto is a load of tosh, even tory party members are saying so. But the Labour manifesto has been lauded by independant economists - I find it amazing they produced this comprehensive document with full costings on one side of the balance sheet and full costings on the other and the Tories who called the snap election seemed to have wrote theirs on the back of a fag packet!

    Rob7Lee - it is clearly going to cost you smome money if Labour get it - it may cost me - but it won't cost most people and when you consider the dementia tax and if you have a son or daughter who may have aspirations of further education, you will get some if not all of it back. And you will be living in a better Britain. If more people have more money, I know my business will thrive.


    I'm not concerned what it would cost me if Labour got in (ive always said happy to pay more tax) but as net effect is I'd be substantially better off if they could really afford all they say, hence why in the main I don't think it's remotely possible. The dementia tax is debatable as Labour haven't said what they'd do.

    My daughters (1st one Sep 18) would save me £30k each in uni fee's alone. On the broad assumption that my father wouldn't have to pay for his care that's over £40k per annum. My tax in reality would be £2k more.....
    And there-in lies the problem. You said earlier that Labour's proposals would increase your tax bill by £10k, but you'd then rearrange you finances so you only paid £2k. Yet you're more than happy to take the potential £40k in saving. Can you not see the massive moral problem with that stance? You are offered up to £30k per year (40-10), but your greed drives you to say "no, I want £38k, and I'll do whatever it takes to make sure I don't get just £30k".

    You'll reply that the £40k is all potential that may not happen, whilst the £8k tax saving you'd make is very real. And you're right to a certain extent, but it is that attitude that will guarantee the money to make those saving happen isn't paid.

    Truly the tragedy of the commons, everybody worse off because they can't see beyond the end of their nose.
  • Both these clips are interesting, possibly more than entirely relevant.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1loF4nxzLHw

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jc3vTUzGMYw

    The top video is possible the most level headed discussion I have seen about the rise of Corbyn.

    I feel a little part of me has died after finding myself in agreement with Hitchins, Gove and Farage though. B)
This discussion has been closed.

Roland Out Forever!