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2017/18 Betting Thread

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Comments

  • clb74
    clb74 Posts: 10,824
    Surely depends on the cash out they are offering
  • RaplhMilne
    RaplhMilne Posts: 4,601
    Ajose will sort him with the Bury goal. I'd be hedging big time. But you need the money to do it.
  • PolzeathNick
    PolzeathNick Posts: 332
    Yes...you can work out what your expected value should be. In the unlikely event that the cash out was above that you would be better to do so....but it wouldn't be!
  • clb74
    clb74 Posts: 10,824
    I love a cash out tbh
    And hardly any have gone on to win
    What's this bloke got running on it at moment £21000 I'd cash out at £18000
  • Sage
    Sage Posts: 7,278
    So what's everyone doing for this offer on bet365 tonight? I really fancy Arsenal and BTTS but not sure how things work in the bet itself to guarantee some kind of return.

    Also have a big 12 fold for the weekend games, £1200 if it comes in.
  • clb74
    clb74 Posts: 10,824
    Another
    £20 @5/1 us promotion
    £25 7/4 us top 6
    £10 16/1 us win league
  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    I like the "big 6" to win their first games this weekend in the PL
    8/1
  • PolzeathNick
    PolzeathNick Posts: 332
    66/1 Reading to finish last in Championship is my biggest bet of season so far, along with them to go down at 17/1.
  • AFKABartram
    AFKABartram Posts: 57,825
    PolzeathNick said:

    66/1 Reading to finish last in Championship is my biggest bet of season so far, along with them to go down at 17/1.

    Bet left field after a good season. What's your logic?
  • PolzeathNick
    PolzeathNick Posts: 332
    Their shot stats last year were dreadful...only had Rotheram behind them. Had a lot of penalties. Basically all stats point to the fact should've been operating at other end of table.

    Sure, there are some things stats can't cover, but at prices was happy to chance that things catch up with them. Made them more of a 5/1, 6/1 shot to go down and 16s to be last so value in price.... probably be a value loser but cheap enough to find out!
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  • PolzeathNick
    PolzeathNick Posts: 332
    Also got a bit of injury crisis to kick off season....only fielded six subs last weekend.
  • Nicholas
    Nicholas Posts: 7,627
    Bet365 haven't offered me sod all for today's game. Shitbags
  • clb74
    clb74 Posts: 10,824
    Nicholas said:

    Bet365 haven't offered me sod all for today's game. Shitbags

    Told ya
  • covered_end_junior
    covered_end_junior Posts: 4,521
    edited August 2017
    Leicester to beat Arsenal 2-1, 20/1 with paddy power.

    Danny Simpson to score anytime 180/1.
  • Nicholas
    Nicholas Posts: 7,627
    Just found out I'm now not entitled to the offer because I self excluded myself from the casino and their stupid games they do. I do that with most sites so I dont get tempted to play them. The amount I have deposited with them over the last year is unreal which they have had no problem with me doing. and they dont want to offer me a promotion cos of the casino exclusion. Wankers
  • cafc4life
    cafc4life Posts: 4,632
    Nicholas said:

    Just found out I'm now not entitled to the offer because I self excluded myself from the casino and their stupid games they do. I do that with most sites so I dont get tempted to play them. The amount I have deposited with them over the last year is unreal which they have had no problem with me doing. and they dont want to offer me a promotion cos of the casino exclusion. Wankers

    Is that true? I noticed I couldn't access the offer either, assume the same reason as you that I had self excluded from casino etc. Plus I'd also won £400 from it twice last season. What absolute wankers
  • Nicholas
    Nicholas Posts: 7,627
    Yes just been on the live chat with them. They have obviously been so concerned about my welfare they must have forgotten to say anything about the amount of money i bet with them.
  • clb74
    clb74 Posts: 10,824
    Nicholas said:

    Just found out I'm now not entitled to the offer because I self excluded myself from the casino and their stupid games they do. I do that with most sites so I dont get tempted to play them. The amount I have deposited with them over the last year is unreal which they have had no problem with me doing. and they dont want to offer me a promotion cos of the casino exclusion. Wankers

    F@ck em mate
    Every week Ladbrokes credit my casino account with 10 pound.
    I done bet victor 10 pounds free casino but you can easily get sucked in.
  • Sage
    Sage Posts: 7,278
    Won my Arsenal and BTTS, happy days.
  • up_the_valley
    up_the_valley Posts: 4,186
    Sage said:

    Won my Arsenal and BTTS, happy days.

    well done. How much?
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  • Sage
    Sage Posts: 7,278
    up_the_valley said:

    Sage said:

    Won my Arsenal and BTTS, happy days.

    well done. How much?
    £30, not loads but still happy with that.
  • Blinkant
    Blinkant Posts: 598
    Another good day on the betting front thanks to late wins from arsenal and sporting lisbon.

  • IdleHans
    IdleHans Posts: 10,966
    Villa, Bolton, Reading and Fleetwood on a lucky 15.
  • IdleHans
    IdleHans Posts: 10,966
    PolzeathNick said:

    Yes...you can work out what your expected value should be. In the unlikely event that the cash out was above that you would be better to do so....but it wouldn't be!

    My calcs indicate it's normally about 20% they knock off, though it varies. In my experience cashing out is more often than not the wrong thing to do.
  • cafcnick1992
    cafcnick1992 Posts: 7,413
    Bristol city to beat Birmingham away
    Brentford to beat Forest at home
    Fulham to beat Reading away
    Hull to beat Burton Albion at home
    Southend to beat Rotherham away

    £5 returns £290
  • cafcnick1992
    cafcnick1992 Posts: 7,413
    Palace to beat Huddersfield at home
    Everton to beat Stoke at home
    Middlesbrough to beat Sheffield United at home
    Charlton to beat Plymouth away
    Millwall to beat Bolton at home

    £5 returns £170
  • RaplhMilne
    RaplhMilne Posts: 4,601
    Blackburn & Orient £28
    Swindon & Aldershot £22 and £8 all Four

    Charlton & Chelmsford double £40
  • MrLargo
    MrLargo Posts: 7,989
    Sheffield Weds
    Leeds
    Portsmouth
    Rotherham

    Trebles and four fold.
  • Nicholas
    Nicholas Posts: 7,627
    Everton
    Leeds
    CAFC - stupid decision backing us, when will I learn
  • IdleHans
    IdleHans Posts: 10,966
    Nicholas said:

    Everton
    Leeds
    CAFC - stupid decision backing us, when will I learn

    Yep, stupid. But I agree with you - i think we'll win.

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