I caught the second half of Bournemouth vs Brighton on Friday night and when Brighton went a goal up, I thought thinks could really get tricky for them if they went 5 defeats in a row.
They turned it round. This year could be so very tight. Immediately, huddersfield and Brighton have been written off, but both have had a win (or two) and with the form of Palace (that's a shame), who knows.
There's also so many teams like Bournemouth that although they have been in the division for a couple of years now, survival should still be their main aim. Will Watford and Southampton's constant changing of managers come back to trip them up. It can't work every year. Sides like Burnley will also be in consideration
So, as it stands, I think
18th Huddersfield
19th Brighton
20th Palace
0
Comments
Bournemouth could well be down there themselves which surprises me; Swansea might fall into difficulty same with Leicester... that final relegation spot could go right down to the wire with nearly the whole of the bottom half in trouble come May (probably wont now I've said that) - Said at the start of the season that with Aston VIlla and Sunderland gone there is a lack of safety for anyone now!!
Palace are deffo gone this year, it will be 8 games, 8 defeats soon, whether or not they score a goal.
Brighton unfortunately will join them as they don't have enough about them.
My third choice is West Ham. They will have a mini run of defeats before Christmas and get rid of Bilic. Harry will then come in, stripe them up for a few million and drop through the trap door into oblivion.
But if they lose their next three as is likely zero points from 8 games will leave them with a mountain to climb.
So it's palarce plus two others for me.
Apart from them I'd like to see West Ham drop but I think you have to wait 10 games for a realistic prediction.
I think Brighton are nailed on, but I can't see two other teams letting Palace out of jail this time.
Roy will get Palace organized and functional and they'll end up with something like 40 points. They're not a great squad, they're not particularly deep, but I fear they'll have enough.
Will be sad to see Brighton drop but look forward to playing them next season in the Championship. They have some quality but not quite good enough at the back and not good enough going forward.
Bournemouth kind of got away with other teams being terrible last year. Eddie Howe has done a great job there but they aren't quite good enough and they haven't really looked to evolve this year.
Swansea: Think Clement is a decent manager, but they don't have goals or creativity in the side. It's been sad to watch them deteriorate from such a great possession based team who had such great continuity of management AND who had fan representatives on the board. But since the partial acquisition by the Americans things seem to have gone downhill.
Roy will get them solid at the back and they will rely on Zaha and Puncheon etc to feed off Benteke.
They may well lose the next 3 (I bet they don't) but we are not even out of September yet so plenty of season to grind their way back up.
Obviously I hope I am wrong
Brighton HA
C Palace
Three from Brighton, Huddersfield, Burnley, Bournemouth and Newcastle.
As Curbs used to say the 'league within the league' will be key.
As for others, I had an antipost bet on Saints as I don't think the churn of players and managers can go on working forever.
Last one, sadly won't be CP imo, and Wagner seems to know what he's doing too. I can't spilt Swansea or Brighton at this early stage.
Swansea
Brighton
Brighton
Swansea
Palarse
Huddersfield
WBA
19. Palace
20. Brighton
Palace
Watford
if,as seems likely, Palace have a max of 3 points after 10 games (they have the next 3 that are well know, but then Newcastle away and Wham at home to complete the 10.
That means they have to get 37 points from 28 games to get to the magical 40 points - i cant see them averaging almost 1.5 points per game from thereon in tbh - most of the teams above them will be at least 7 points away by then anyway.
I can see the likes of Cabaye,Benteke,Sakho not having the guts/willingness for a relegation fight and wanting a move in the Jan window.
Palace
West ham
End of
Move on
Millwall will stay up.
Even if they get 0 from the first 8, at the rate the other sides are going they might only be 8-9 points off safety. Over 30 games, that's doable.
Maybe they're the Sunderland of this year, after years of flirting with danger they finally are so bad they just get cut adrift. But I'm a superstitious man and don't want to get my hopes up.
Bournemouth look far too weak as a squad to survive.
Hope the Hamsters go with them but unfortunately think it will be Brighton.