75 points won't be enough to secure a play off spot, it'll be closer to 80.
It might be closer than you think...
The top four spots are signed and sealed. That leaves two spots in the top six left up for grabs.
Take the six game form of Derby, Peterborough and Pompey and extrapolate it out and they all land right around the 74-76 mark. Bolton are in a dreadful run of form and would like end up around 71-72 points if that continues.
Started the year: 50 points required from 23 games = 2.17ppg
Currently: 38 points from 18 games = 2.11ppg required
Achieved: 12 points from our first 5 games of this year = 2.40ppg obtained
We're ahead of the run rate... just have to keep it up for another 18 games. :-)
12 points from 6 = 2.00 ppg
Required: 38 from 17 = 2.38 ppg
Unfortunately yesterday’s loss was a big blow and we’ve fallen behind the required rate with a tough run of fixtures coming up. We’re going to have to spring a few surprises to keep our season alive heading into March.
75 point target:
15 points from 7 in 2023 = 2.14ppg
35 required from 16 = 2.18ppg
15/8 = 1.88ppg
35/15 = 2.33ppg
15/9 = 1.66ppg
35/14 = 2.5ppg
16/10 = 1.6ppg
34/13 = 2.62ppg
16/11 = 1.45ppg
34/12 = 2.83ppg
Off the back of a decent start to the year, we needed a respectable number of points from the last four games against Derby, Sheff W, Peterborough and Plymouth. We got one point.
Started the year: 50 points required from 23 games = 2.17ppg
Currently: 38 points from 18 games = 2.11ppg required
Achieved: 12 points from our first 5 games of this year = 2.40ppg obtained
We're ahead of the run rate... just have to keep it up for another 18 games. :-)
12 points from 6 = 2.00 ppg
Required: 38 from 17 = 2.38 ppg
Unfortunately yesterday’s loss was a big blow and we’ve fallen behind the required rate with a tough run of fixtures coming up. We’re going to have to spring a few surprises to keep our season alive heading into March.
75 point target:
15 points from 7 in 2023 = 2.14ppg
35 required from 16 = 2.18ppg
15/8 = 1.88ppg
35/15 = 2.33ppg
15/9 = 1.66ppg
35/14 = 2.5ppg
16/10 = 1.6ppg
34/13 = 2.62ppg
16/11 = 1.45ppg
34/12 = 2.83ppg
Off the back of a decent start to the year, we needed a respectable number of points from the last four games against Derby, Sheff W, Peterborough and Plymouth. We got one point.
17/12 = 1.42ppg
33/11 = 3.00ppg
20/13 = 1.54ppg
30/10 = 3.00ppg
23/14 = 1.64ppg
27/9 = 3.00ppg
24/15 = 1.6ppg
26/8 = 3.25ppg
Still have no idea what this means, but if its suggesting we need 75 points for the play offs then 3.25 points per game is, errrr, not possible I'm afraid.
Like I said months ago. No.
Likely to finish on 62-64 points and around 14th place.
The Tread title should be: Will we make the playoffs 23/24 ?
For 22/23 season: As soon as the window shut last August, the chances were very slim. It would've needed:
Aneke to have played 36 matches at least and emulated his 1 goal every 100 minutes. Didn't happen. Stockley to adapt to playing in a 3 as the central striker and scoring 15 to 20 goals. Didn't happen. A good left footed left back who can attack as well as defend. Didn't happen. Mistakes to the bare minimum at the back and our CB's to be ball playing defenders, especially under Garner. Didn't happen. Correy Blackett-Taylor to be more consistent and stay fit. Didn't happen (still had an impact in certain games TBF to Corey) Kirk to show why he was given a 4 year contract. Didn't happen. Sessegnon to stay fit and play most games. Didn't happen.
Won't go through every player but we looked like a mid table League 1 team at the beginning of the season who were underachieving and we have reached our middling position since Dean took over.
The relationship between Garner and TS broke down by September and Dean Holden has at least put us in the no man's land of mid table; similar to JJ last campaign.
Big pluses in Leaburn, Ness, AMB, Campbell and Kanu will step up IF he can play nearer to Leaburn, or at least be on the field at the same time, and I still feel Deji can kick on with his career over the next year. (Maybe not at Cafc)
The answer to the Q. Will we make the Playoffs next season is extremely unlikely, unless Sandgaard changes from an ego maniac into a John Berylson at Millwall who has not only pumped multi millions into the infamous South London club but appears to let the Manager and coaches decide the football tactics.
The Tread title should be: Will we make the playoffs 23/24 ?
For 22/23 season: As soon as the window shut last August, the chances were very slim. It would've needed:
Aneke to have played 36 matches at least and emulated his 1 goal every 100 minutes. Didn't happen. Stockley to adapt to playing in a 3 as the central striker and scoring 15 to 20 goals. Didn't happen. A good left footed left back who can attack as well as defend. Didn't happen. Mistakes to the bare minimum at the back and our CB's to be ball playing defenders, especially under Garner. Didn't happen. Correy Blackett-Taylor to be more consistent and stay fit. Didn't happen (still had an impact in certain games TBF to Corey) Kirk to show why he was given a 4 year contract. Didn't happen. Sessegnon to stay fit and play most games. Didn't happen.
Won't go through every player but we looked like a mid table League 1 team at the beginning of the season who were underachieving and we have reached our middling position since Dean took over.
The relationship between Garner and TS broke down by September and Dean Holden has at least put us in the no man's land of mid table; similar to JJ last campaign.
Big pluses in Leaburn, Ness, AMB, Campbell and Kanu will step up IF he can play nearer to Leaburn, or at least be on the field at the same time, and I still feel Deji can kick on with his career over the next year. (Maybe not at Cafc)
The answer to the Q. Will we make the Playoffs next season is extremely unlikely, unless Sandgaard changes from an ego maniac into a John Berylson at Millwall who has not only pumped multi millions into the infamous South London club but appears to let the Manager and coaches decide the football tactics.
I agree with all of this apart from the last paragraph.
The only way we will make the play offs next season is if TS is not here & we have a new owner. Not only that, the new owner has to spend money to build a proper balanced squad - including a left footed left back, creative midfielders (preferably not on loan ) and strikers who can score. Then he needs to take a step back & not get involved with playing style or playing guitar.
Wont happen so mid table mediocrity beckons again.
Started the year: 50 points required from 23 games = 2.17ppg
Currently: 38 points from 18 games = 2.11ppg required
Achieved: 12 points from our first 5 games of this year = 2.40ppg obtained
We're ahead of the run rate... just have to keep it up for another 18 games. :-)
12 points from 6 = 2.00 ppg
Required: 38 from 17 = 2.38 ppg
Unfortunately yesterday’s loss was a big blow and we’ve fallen behind the required rate with a tough run of fixtures coming up. We’re going to have to spring a few surprises to keep our season alive heading into March.
75 point target:
15 points from 7 in 2023 = 2.14ppg
35 required from 16 = 2.18ppg
15/8 = 1.88ppg
35/15 = 2.33ppg
15/9 = 1.66ppg
35/14 = 2.5ppg
16/10 = 1.6ppg
34/13 = 2.62ppg
16/11 = 1.45ppg
34/12 = 2.83ppg
Off the back of a decent start to the year, we needed a respectable number of points from the last four games against Derby, Sheff W, Peterborough and Plymouth. We got one point.
17/12 = 1.42ppg
33/11 = 3.00ppg
20/13 = 1.54ppg
30/10 = 3.00ppg
23/14 = 1.64ppg
27/9 = 3.00ppg
24/15 = 1.6ppg
26/8 = 3.25ppg
Still have no idea what this means, but if its suggesting we need 75 points for the play offs then 3.25 points per game is, errrr, not possible I'm afraid.
Like I said months ago. No.
Likely to finish on 62-64 points and around 14th place.
I love that it winds you up. As I said a few weeks ago, I’ll keep posting even when the ppg required number goes above 3…
Started the year: 50 points required from 23 games = 2.17ppg
Currently: 38 points from 18 games = 2.11ppg required
Achieved: 12 points from our first 5 games of this year = 2.40ppg obtained
We're ahead of the run rate... just have to keep it up for another 18 games. :-)
12 points from 6 = 2.00 ppg
Required: 38 from 17 = 2.38 ppg
Unfortunately yesterday’s loss was a big blow and we’ve fallen behind the required rate with a tough run of fixtures coming up. We’re going to have to spring a few surprises to keep our season alive heading into March.
75 point target:
15 points from 7 in 2023 = 2.14ppg
35 required from 16 = 2.18ppg
15/8 = 1.88ppg
35/15 = 2.33ppg
15/9 = 1.66ppg
35/14 = 2.5ppg
16/10 = 1.6ppg
34/13 = 2.62ppg
16/11 = 1.45ppg
34/12 = 2.83ppg
Off the back of a decent start to the year, we needed a respectable number of points from the last four games against Derby, Sheff W, Peterborough and Plymouth. We got one point.
75 points won't be enough to secure a play off spot, it'll be closer to 80.
75pts looking closer and closer to the mark week by week. Derby lose again this afternoon...
The collapse in form is unbelievable by those teams hovering around 6th , I never thought it would be this low going back a few weeks or so I’d have thought it would be the other side of 80 again but will be around the 75ish area by the looks of it
75 points won't be enough to secure a play off spot, it'll be closer to 80.
75pts looking closer and closer to the mark week by week. Derby lose again this afternoon...
The collapse in form is unbelievable by those teams hovering around 6th , I never thought it would be this low going back a few weeks or so I’d have thought it would be the other side of 80 again but will be around the 75ish area by the looks of it
Bolton have just gone through a spell of playing all the top clubs. They now have a very easy run in.
Run in for Wycombe is also pretty simple too. Think the lower play off teams will start to pick up more points now most of their tougher games are behind them.
For me, Bolton will be fine and it is just who gets 6th. I am hoping it is Peterborough as I have them in an accy where them finishing 6th could be the difference to me winning or losing!
Started the year: 50 points required from 23 games = 2.17ppg
Currently: 38 points from 18 games = 2.11ppg required
Achieved: 12 points from our first 5 games of this year = 2.40ppg obtained
We're ahead of the run rate... just have to keep it up for another 18 games. :-)
12 points from 6 = 2.00 ppg
Required: 38 from 17 = 2.38 ppg
Unfortunately yesterday’s loss was a big blow and we’ve fallen behind the required rate with a tough run of fixtures coming up. We’re going to have to spring a few surprises to keep our season alive heading into March.
75 point target:
15 points from 7 in 2023 = 2.14ppg
35 required from 16 = 2.18ppg
15/8 = 1.88ppg
35/15 = 2.33ppg
15/9 = 1.66ppg
35/14 = 2.5ppg
16/10 = 1.6ppg
34/13 = 2.62ppg
16/11 = 1.45ppg
34/12 = 2.83ppg
Off the back of a decent start to the year, we needed a respectable number of points from the last four games against Derby, Sheff W, Peterborough and Plymouth. We got one point.
Started the year: 50 points required from 23 games = 2.17ppg
Currently: 38 points from 18 games = 2.11ppg required
Achieved: 12 points from our first 5 games of this year = 2.40ppg obtained
We're ahead of the run rate... just have to keep it up for another 18 games. :-)
12 points from 6 = 2.00 ppg
Required: 38 from 17 = 2.38 ppg
Unfortunately yesterday’s loss was a big blow and we’ve fallen behind the required rate with a tough run of fixtures coming up. We’re going to have to spring a few surprises to keep our season alive heading into March.
75 point target:
15 points from 7 in 2023 = 2.14ppg
35 required from 16 = 2.18ppg
15/8 = 1.88ppg
35/15 = 2.33ppg
15/9 = 1.66ppg
35/14 = 2.5ppg
16/10 = 1.6ppg
34/13 = 2.62ppg
16/11 = 1.45ppg
34/12 = 2.83ppg
Off the back of a decent start to the year, we needed a respectable number of points from the last four games against Derby, Sheff W, Peterborough and Plymouth. We got one point.
17/12 = 1.42ppg
33/11 = 3.00ppg
20/13 = 1.54ppg
30/10 = 3.00ppg
23/14 = 1.64ppg
27/9 = 3.00ppg
24/15 = 1.6ppg
26/8 = 3.25ppg
Think it’s safe to do this week’s update
27/16 = 1.69ppg
23/7 = 3.29ppg
27/17 = 1.59ppg
23/6 = 3.83ppg
This thread has gone on so long I don’t know what the 27/17 and 23/6 means 😭
Comments
The top four spots are signed and sealed. That leaves two spots in the top six left up for grabs.
Take the six game form of Derby, Peterborough and Pompey and extrapolate it out and they all land right around the 74-76 mark. Bolton are in a dreadful run of form and would like end up around 71-72 points if that continues.
26/8 = 3.25ppg
Not a fucking chance!
Like I said months ago. No.
Likely to finish on 62-64 points and around 14th place.
Will we make the playoffs 23/24 ?
For 22/23 season:
As soon as the window shut last August, the chances were very slim. It would've needed:
Aneke to have played 36 matches at least and emulated his 1 goal every 100 minutes. Didn't happen.
Stockley to adapt to playing in a 3 as the central striker and scoring 15 to 20 goals.
Didn't happen.
A good left footed left back who can attack as well as defend.
Didn't happen.
Mistakes to the bare minimum at the back and our CB's to be ball playing defenders, especially under Garner.
Didn't happen.
Correy Blackett-Taylor to be more consistent and stay fit.
Didn't happen (still had an impact in certain games TBF to Corey)
Kirk to show why he was given a 4 year contract.
Didn't happen.
Sessegnon to stay fit and play most games.
Didn't happen.
Won't go through every player but we looked like a mid table League 1 team at the beginning of the season who were underachieving and we have reached our middling position since Dean took over.
The relationship between Garner and TS broke down by September and Dean Holden has at least put us in the no man's land of mid table; similar to JJ last campaign.
Big pluses in Leaburn, Ness, AMB, Campbell and Kanu will step up IF he can play nearer to Leaburn, or at least be on the field at the same time, and I still feel Deji can kick on with his career over the next year. (Maybe not at Cafc)
The answer to the Q. Will we make the Playoffs next season is extremely unlikely, unless Sandgaard changes from an ego maniac into a John Berylson at Millwall who has not only pumped multi millions into the infamous South London club but appears to let the Manager and coaches decide the football tactics.
The only way we will make the play offs next season is if TS is not here & we have a new owner. Not only that, the new owner has to spend money to build a proper balanced squad - including a left footed left back, creative midfielders (preferably not on loan ) and strikers who can score. Then he needs to take a step back & not get involved with playing style or playing guitar.
Wont happen so mid table mediocrity beckons again.
75pts looking closer and closer to the mark week by week. Derby lose again this afternoon...
Run in for Wycombe is also pretty simple too. Think the lower play off teams will start to pick up more points now most of their tougher games are behind them.
For me, Bolton will be fine and it is just who gets 6th. I am hoping it is Peterborough as I have them in an accy where them finishing 6th could be the difference to me winning or losing!
12 points off with 7 games remaining.
23/6 = 3.83ppg