Home games:
Rotherham (H) 02/04
Scunthorpe (H) 14/04
Blackburn (H) 28/04
Away games:
Northampton (A) 30/03
Bristol Rovers (A) 07/04
Wimbledon (A) 10/04
Shrewsbury (A) 17/04
Portsmouth (A) 21/04
Rochdale (A) 05/05
How many more points do we need from these nine games to get into the playoffs?
This season, after 38 games, sixth place has 57 points- the final total needed for sixth will be ???
Last season, after 38 games, sixth place had 60 points - the final total needed for sixth was 73 points
In 2015/16, after 38 games, sixth place had 59 points - the final total needed for sixth was 74 points
In 2014/15, after 38 games, sixth place had 56 points - the final total needed for sixth was 66 points
In 2013/14, after 38 games, sixth place had 58 points - the final total needed for sixth was 68 points
We'd have to be very unlucky to miss out on 70-74 points but that has happened to a team (Southend 16/17, Scunthorpe 15/16) in each of the last two seasons.
Charlton sit on 55 points currently so to ensure a play-off place in each of the last four years, we need 19 more points from 9 games.
Our home games are against much tougher opposition overall but I suspect we still need 6-7 points from those games to give us a chance at getting the remaining 12 or so points that we would need from the six away games.
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Comments
Scunthorpe (H) 14/04 - 1 point
Blackburn (H) 28/04 - 0 points
Away games:
Northampton (A) 30/03 - 3 points
Bristol Rovers (A) 07/04 - 3 points
Wimbledon (A) 10/04 - 1 point
Shrewsbury (A) 17/04 - 1 point
Portsmouth (A) 21/04 - 0 poinrs
Rochdale (A) 05/05 - 1 point
Giving an extra 13 points. It will be too little too late. Of course I hope I'm wrong...
If we play like we did on Saturday, we'll win the majority and make the play offs.
If we play like we did in the last few weeks under KR we'll struggle to end up top half.
I don't see why we would fear Rotherham or Scunthorpe, neither are in form at the moment. The Pompey match looks crucial though
Scunthorpe (H) 14/04 - 3 points just did a Parky esque sacking, expect them to now fall away.
Blackburn (H) 28/04 - 0 points
Away games:
Northampton (A) 30/03 - 3 points
Bristol Rovers (A) 07/04 - 3 points
Wimbledon (A) 10/04 - 1 points
Shrewsbury (A) 17/04 - 0 points
Portsmouth (A) 21/04 - 1 point
Rochdale (A) 05/05 - 3 points
17 points...
Every win, every strong performance helps gain the momentum necessary for a successful play-off campaign. I don't just want to finish 6th or above - I want promotion!!
The team that finishes 3rd deserves to go up, but it doesn't always work that way.
Just better than the 4 teams above us!
Don't even think about losing them .... right, Bow?
It's not even about how many points we might need.
We just need 1 more point than the team in 7th place (or a better GD)
In reality all we need to think about is 3 points at Northampton.
And make sure we get them.
Right now, nothing else matters.
#onegameatatime
It might have been 20 years ago
Position: 8th in table, 9 matches to play
Win 8 of them without conceding a goal.
Don't lose the final match against playoff rivals.
Playoffs: Win both Semi-finals
Win the Wembley final, whatever it takes.
It's as simple as that!
This season (and life generally) is racing by
Their remaining fixtures:
Oxford away - need a win before getting sucked into relegation battle. Robinson first home game, think they’ll get a result.
Plymouth home - big game and another six pointer. Plymouth are a good honest team. Another tough one.
Wimbledon away - will desperately need the points in their battle of trying to survive.
Charlton away - if we pick up any kind of positive result from the ones leading up to this one, I think we will beat them.
Walsall home - should get 3 points in that one.
MK Dons away - picked up form of late getting a few decent results, could need the points to make sure they don’t go down.
Bradford home - fallen away and by this point could be a dead rubber.
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For us, if we play anything like we did on Saturday. Add in Mavididi, Dasilva, Kashi, Konsa, Magennis to the squad. Get behind the team and hopefully Bowyer is still in charge. I would expect something like this from the remaining 9.
Home games:
Rotherham (H) 02/04 - 3 points
Scunthorpe (H) 14/04 - 3 points
Blackburn (H) 28/04 - 1 point
Away games:
Northampton (A) 30/03 - 3 points
Bristol Rovers (A) 07/04 - 1 point
Wimbledon (A) 10/04 - 3 points
Shrewsbury (A) 17/04 - 0 points
Portsmouth (A) 21/04 - 1 point
Rochdale (A) 05/05 - 3 points
Very optimistic I know and understand. But 73 points and we actually finish 5th. Play Rotherham in the play-offs. Blackburn finish 3rd and play Peterborough who finish 6th.
One of my favorite Charlton matches in the last ten years was the home win against Dirty Leeds under Parky in the play off season. If we can get to Blackburn at home and still have the chance to make the play offs, I could expect a big turnout and huge day to start rebuilding the club (Dependant on Roland leaving).
I think we will fall just too short, but hopefully we can build some proper momentum into next season.
Cannot wait for Northampton on Friday. A huge must win match for both sides. We owe them for last years embarrassment. Plus Rotherham play Posh on Friday, so we could have a proper chance to bring Rotherham back in to the pack.
It doesn't really matter how many points you accrue, its who you accrue them against. Much better beating Scunny & Pompey and losing to Northampton & AFC Wimbledon than beating Northampton & The Dons and losing to the 2 we are in direct competition against.
I still see that there are 5 teams competing for the last 2 places (realistically I don't see us catching Rotherham even though we still have to play them). Us, Scunny, Peterborough, Plymouth & Pompey. Win our game in hand over the 3 teams above us (which for the sake if this argument I'm saying Wimbledon) then we are in the box seat. Beat Scunny & then we don't have to win the extra game in hand we have over them (Shrewsbury, which I've mentally written off as a loss). Then we just have to match them game for game.
Looking at the stats in the OP I would say 72 points - so 17 points needed. 5 wins & 2 draws, allowing us to lose against Shrews & Blackburn . As long as the 5 wins include Scunny, Pompey & the game in hand against Wimbledon then I reckon we have a good chance.
Bowyer reckons so too.