You’re all looking at this completely the wrong way. Consolidationism calls for 5 draws and 4 defeats. And in memory of the father of consolidationism (Russell Slade), I would like nothing more than for our season to peater out in such fashion. I will go to Walsall next season, nothing will stop me
It’s gonna be tough and no mistake. If only Robinson had walked a week earlier, before Blackpool and Fleetwood, then we could be an extra three points at least better off and then things would look a lot rosier. I think it’s going to be touch and go but ultimately we will fall a point or two short. Hope I’m wrong but I fear Robinson has left us to much to do.
Right, lets get this right, we all know how this ends, we will be in 6 place on last game of the season and miss out on a playoff spot in the last minute of injury time. It's Charlton !!!
We need 19 points minimum, as i think 74 points should be enough.
Circumstances of the games at this time of year come massively into play as well.
For example, we need to hope Blackburn are already promoted by the time they come to the Valley then they'll hopefully already be on holiday and will roll over. Likewise on the last day, it'd be a huge bonus for us if Rochdale are already safe or already relegated. If they need points to survive it makes our game much more difficult.
We need 19 points minimum, as i think 74 points should be enough.
Circumstances of the games at this time of year come massively into play as well.
For example, we need to hope Blackburn are already promoted by the time they come to the Valley then they'll hopefully already be on holiday and will roll over. Likewise on the last day, it'd be a huge bonus for us if Rochdale are already safe or already relegated. If they need points to survive it makes our game much more difficult.
Can work the other way round - Rochdale alreeady down so they play with freedom & no pressure. Much prefer them needing something - 0-0 with 10 to go then they may have to go all out for a win leaving them exposed at the back.
Tough run in would say 50/50 at mo whether we make it, have to win a couple at home at least. Away games a few more winnable, reckon 15 points should do but who knows, just get us to the play offs in reasonable form and we can dream!
It’s gonna be tough and no mistake. If only Robinson had walked a week earlier, before Blackpool and Fleetwood, then we could be an extra three points at least better off and then things would look a lot rosier. I think it’s going to be touch and go but ultimately we will fall a point or two short. Hope I’m wrong but I fear Robinson has left us to much to do.
Sadly, I have to agree. Too much to expect everything will fall nicely for us, but we have to battle on and hope the Gods are looking favourably on us.
Tough run in would say 50/50 at mo whether we make it, have to win a couple at home at least. Away games a few more winnable, reckon 15 points should do but who knows, just get us to the play offs in reasonable form and we can dream!
Other teams around us have some tough runs in too ..... and they have to play us
Rotherham (H) 02/04 - 3 points - Another poor side that we must beat Scunthorpe (H) 14/04 - 3 points - An unknown quantity after the sacking. Blackburn (H) 28/04 - 1 point - Was very unimpressed with them when they beat us, if we play like we did at the weekend i fancy us to get something
Away games:
Northampton (A) 30/03 - 3 points - Must Win Bristol Rovers (A) 07/04 - 3 points - We always seem to beat Bristol Rovers Wimbledon (A) 10/04 - 3 points - Must Win Shrewsbury (A) 17/04 - 0 points - Can't see us getting any change here Portsmouth (A) 21/04 - 1 point - Keep Pittman quiet and this is easily winnable Rochdale (A) 05/05 - 1 point - Was actually very impressed with Rochdale when they came to the Valley, could be trickier than expected
Rochdale could be a case of there playing to stay up and were playing for a playoff spot, as they have 2 games in hand around most in that part of the table win those 2 and could be in a serious shout of staying up.
Reckon we'll do a Millwank, scrape into playoffs and end up going up
You forget... this is Charlton so we do the opppsite, means we'll either miss out on the Play-Offs at the last minute or end up losing in the Final thanks to an 85th min goal!!
One concern I have looking at that table is Peterborough's goal difference, don't think we can cover that ground so we can't have a fight for 6th with them
One concern I have looking at that table is Peterborough's goal difference, don't think we can cover that ground so we can't have a fight for 6th with them
Rochdale could be a case of there playing to stay up and were playing for a playoff spot, as they have 2 games in hand around most in that part of the table win those 2 and could be in a serious shout of staying up.
Rochdale have no wins in their last 4 matches, I'd be amazed if they weren't down by the time they play us, they've only won 7 games all season
Fleetwood are the team in form, having won 2 matches since their draw with us, while MKD are also on a good run. I think Northampton are in trouble, on a bad run and with a terrible GD of -27
Reckon we'll do a Millwank, scrape into playoffs and end up going up
You forget... this is Charlton so we do the opppsite, means we'll either miss out on the Play-Offs at the last minute or end up losing in the Final thanks to an 85th min goal!!
granted Saturday was a good result but aren't some getting a bit carried away, that a team of under performers for 3/4 of the season are suddenly going to go on a 9 match unbeaten run.
If we win the next two games then I will start to truly believe we can take that 6th spot, whatever happens though it is nice that the belief exists again that this season is not over for us.
granted Saturday was a good result but aren't some getting a bit carried away, that a team of under performers for 3/4 of the season are suddenly going to go on a 9 match unbeaten run.
minimum 4 out of the next 2.
I agree but its difficult not to think that its possible, most of the teams in this league (Wigan & Shrewsbury aside) are pony and easily beatable
Comments
Thanks Karl, thanks Roland!
We've got Bowyer & Jacko, and Curbs & Peacock watching from the Director's Box.
Home games:
Rotherham (H) 02/04 - 3 points
Scunthorpe (H) 14/04 - 3 points
Blackburn (H) 28/04 - 3 points
Away games:
Northampton (A) 30/03 - 3 points
Bristol Rovers (A) 07/04 - 3 point
Wimbledon (A) 10/04 - 3 points
Shrewsbury (A) 17/04 - 3 points
Portsmouth (A) 21/04 - 3 point
Rochdale (A) 05/05 - 1 point
"It was 20 years ago today,
That Curbs got Charlton to play
Winning 8 games on the spin,
Without letting a goal in.
So may I introduce to you
The act you've known all these years
Oggy Red's La-La Land."
Circumstances of the games at this time of year come massively into play as well.
For example, we need to hope Blackburn are already promoted by the time they come to the Valley then they'll hopefully already be on holiday and will roll over. Likewise on the last day, it'd be a huge bonus for us if Rochdale are already safe or already relegated. If they need points to survive it makes our game much more difficult.
One game at a time - and see where we are after that.
It's in our own hands, isn't it?
We then just need to ensure we match the results of Peterborough / Plymouth / Portsmouth
Scunthorpe (H) 14/04 - 3 points - An unknown quantity after the sacking.
Blackburn (H) 28/04 - 1 point - Was very unimpressed with them when they beat us, if we play like we did at the weekend i fancy us to get something
Away games:
Northampton (A) 30/03 - 3 points - Must Win
Bristol Rovers (A) 07/04 - 3 points - We always seem to beat Bristol Rovers
Wimbledon (A) 10/04 - 3 points - Must Win
Shrewsbury (A) 17/04 - 0 points - Can't see us getting any change here
Portsmouth (A) 21/04 - 1 point - Keep Pittman quiet and this is easily winnable
Rochdale (A) 05/05 - 1 point - Was actually very impressed with Rochdale when they came to the Valley, could be trickier than expected
18 points should be enough this season
Fleetwood are the team in form, having won 2 matches since their draw with us, while MKD are also on a good run. I think Northampton are in trouble, on a bad run and with a terrible GD of -27
minimum 4 out of the next 2.