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Will we win the play offs?

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  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,804
    edited May 2018
    SE23 said:

    25% chance. Simple as that.

    Not really as only have to win 2 games in theory so higher than a 25% chance.
    Same for everyone else though. Technically three draws could be enough.
  • NapaAddick
    NapaAddick Posts: 4,657
    edited May 2018
    SE23 said:

    25% chance. Simple as that.

    Not really as only have to win 2 games in theory so higher than a 25% chance.
    Four teams. One makes it. 1/4 = 25%.

    I am putting this in your Christmas stocking this year.
    image

    PS- I am just teasing you!image
  • Redrobo
    Redrobo Posts: 11,332
    Yeah Gods. So little faith.

    Look at it from the other way round, who are the team that are head and shoulders above us that are going to win? All four are capable which is why they are up there. We have under performed all season so are at least equal to the others. We also have the bollocks to perform when needed.

    Just believe and get out there and support the team. We can beat them all.

  • LenGlover
    LenGlover Posts: 31,661
    Not according to Clinton Morrison.
  • JamesSeed
    JamesSeed Posts: 17,381
    edited May 2018

    25% chance. Simple as that.

    It's not a 25% chance. It's not like drawing one raffle ticket from four in a hat.
    The bookies won't have all teams on equal odds.
  • aliwibble
    aliwibble Posts: 26,438
    No. If we do I'll be ecstatic, if we don't we'll still have finished better than I expected at the start of the season, and hopefully with more reasons to be positive long term.
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,804
    edited May 2018
    JamesSeed said:

    25% chance. Simple as that.

    It's not a 25% chance. It's not like drawing one raffle ticket from four in a hat.
    The bookies won't have all teams on equal odds.
    Might as well be. For what it's worth, best odds available roughly have:

    Rotherham: 30%
    Charlton: 25%
    Scunthorpe: 23%
    Shrewsbury: 22%

    Why Rotherham are the slightly favourites and Shrewsbury the outsiders, especially given League positions, I'm not sure.
  • Briston_Addick
    Briston_Addick Posts: 11,741
    LenGlover said:

    Not according to Clinton Morrison.

    His opinion doesn't count for anything.

    Shay Given's the man to listen to.
  • Aethelstan
    Aethelstan Posts: 542
    JamesSeed said:

    25% chance. Simple as that.

    It's not a 25% chance. It's not like drawing one raffle ticket from four in a hat.
    The bookies won't have all teams on equal odds.
    Bookies' odds are determined by other factors besides the teams' relative chances, like how much money is being staked on each team.

    I think 1 in 4 for each of the teams is near enough in this case.

    What are the bookies offering, then?

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  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,804

    JamesSeed said:

    25% chance. Simple as that.

    It's not a 25% chance. It's not like drawing one raffle ticket from four in a hat.
    The bookies won't have all teams on equal odds.
    Bookies' odds are determined by other factors besides the teams' relative chances, like how much money is being staked on each team.

    I think 1 in 4 for each of the teams is near enough in this case.

    What are the bookies offering, then?
    Rotherham 9/4
    Charlton 3/1
    Scunthorpe 100/30
    Shrewsbury 7/2
  • Manicmania
    Manicmania Posts: 1,594
    Don't know if anyone else has noticed but that is also the exact chronological order each team were last in the championship (or English second tier for pedants)
  • JamesSeed
    JamesSeed Posts: 17,381

    JamesSeed said:

    25% chance. Simple as that.

    It's not a 25% chance. It's not like drawing one raffle ticket from four in a hat.
    The bookies won't have all teams on equal odds.
    Bookies' odds are determined by other factors besides the teams' relative chances, like how much money is being staked on each team.

    I think 1 in 4 for each of the teams is near enough in this case.

    What are the bookies offering, then?
    The bookies make a book based on what their specialist think, and then the odds change as people place bets. Someone has given the current odds above. I’m happy to have taken 16/1 when we were in a slump.

    Maybe they are four equal-ish teams, and it all depends who performs on the day. But I think if Bowyer has them fired up we have a slightly better than 25% chance personally. 35 or even 40% maybe?
  • RaplhMilne
    RaplhMilne Posts: 4,603
    Bowyer fucked it up tonight !

    I fear he could fuck it up I the playoffs. Any manager who lets Kaikai anywhere near his first team, is completely of his fecking trolley !
  • Yes,
  • JamesSeed
    JamesSeed Posts: 17,381

    Bowyer fucked it up tonight !

    I fear he could fuck it up I the playoffs. Any manager who lets Kaikai anywhere near his first team, is completely of his fecking trolley !

    Bowyer Out!
  • JamesSeed
    JamesSeed Posts: 17,381
    Bring back Seed!
  • RaplhMilne
    RaplhMilne Posts: 4,603
    JamesSeed said:

    Bring back Seed!

    So you James you think he warrants a first team place , in any charlton team ?
  • EdgeleyAddick
    EdgeleyAddick Posts: 939
    Palatial Wembley = Charlton win, but will they get that far???? Its all in the balance. Come on you Reds.
  • Covered End
    Covered End Posts: 52,030

    Bowyer fucked it up tonight !

    I fear he could fuck it up I the playoffs. Any manager who lets Kaikai anywhere near his first team, is completely of his fecking trolley !

    Bowyer did not. He played Zyro and Kaikai in order to rest Magennis and Ajose. It's not rocket science.

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  • Daarrzzetbum
    Daarrzzetbum Posts: 1,236
    All depends on Thursday, a good solid 2 0 win will result in a Wembley match where we'd win (fingers and toes crossed) :wink:
  • oohaahmortimer
    oohaahmortimer Posts: 34,173
    Semi final losers 30%
    Final losers 35%
    Promoted from this shit heap of a league 35%

    100% Roland Out
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,200

    Palatial Wembley = Charlton win, but will they get that far???? Its all in the balance. Come on you Reds.

    Is that a crossword clue?
  • thenewbie
    thenewbie Posts: 11,007

    JamesSeed said:

    Bring back Seed!

    So you James you think he warrants a first team place , in any charlton team ?
    Personally... Yes. If it means our actual form/quality players don't go into a much tougher and more significant match carrying fatigue/injuries then by all means he should be playing.
  • RedRyan
    RedRyan Posts: 911
    15/1 at the start of the season. Wish I'd had the balls to put more than £1 on it!
  • JamesSeed
    JamesSeed Posts: 17,381

    JamesSeed said:

    Bring back Seed!

    So you James you think he warrants a first team place , in any charlton team ?
    We need his goals and his ingenuity, not to mention his familial good looks!
  • andynelson
    andynelson Posts: 1,951
    If Fosu plays, then yes.
  • blackpool72
    blackpool72 Posts: 23,695

    If Fosu plays, then yes.

    This.
    Fosu makes all the difference
  • JamesSeed
    JamesSeed Posts: 17,381
    I'm worried about our fire power. I thought for a couple of games that Zyro might be the answer - he scored more goals per minute than our other options, and looked to be decent, and improving. But after his last few performances it seems he isn't.

    That leaves dear old Josh, who we know will try hard, and Ajose who is still something of an enigma. Neither are what you would call prolific.

    I guess it's a great opportunity for them to put their partnership properly on the map. Let's hope they rise to the occasion(s).
  • alan dugdale
    alan dugdale Posts: 3,078
    SE23 said:

    Wow some people have a very simple sad life. One second after posting and due to an unfortunate auto spell check there are hundreds of train spotters jumping on it! Hahah!

    Never spotted a train, not simple, not sad. It’s called piss taking which is much better when received with less sensitivity. Haha.
    As for the play offs, I think we’ll WIN them.