Winviz has us at 75%. I wouldn't go that far tbh. 60/65% would be my guess.
Winviz percentages are laughable. I'd have it as 52/48, with England marginally ahead, but not more.
Why is it laughable? Just because you don't agree with it, doesn't make it laughable.
How many people genuinely (with their heads) would make England clear favourites, which is what the 75% figure states?
1) It's a low scoring match, so 251 is higher than all but Australia's 1st innings, and even that was only because Marsh was dropped by Root 2) High quality Australian attack, and the conditions while better than yesterday are still helpful for bowling 3) An England batting lineup that's consistently cocked it up this summer
Today is exactly why the overnight 75% figure was nonsense, and nothing that's happened today has been a surprise.
even if we win this, we've limped to the finish. Was a great opportunity to wrestle the momentum of the series from the aussies in the series. Feel like that's gone now. Aussies will feel they got close now.
Comments
If we lose a wicket before we get to 200 then we're done I reckon. No backbone.
The Aussies must be favourites now.
Winviz still has England at 53%
60% of wickets fallen
A wicket every 25 runs.
We are still ahead of the target. Only problem is that we have only the bowlers to come.
Still thinks England are playing Ireland !
We have had the best of the conditions in this match so nothing to do with luck IF we lose again.
51 needed, four wickets in hand