Today looks set fair with the weather forecast, you just know we will be 4 down before lunch, but I still expect cap'n Stokes to get us over the line, but you never know with these pesky dodgy Ausies.. Wouldn't it be nice to see them get hit everywhere for once and we get there for 0,... wipe the smirky sickly grin off their ugly mugs...ooh I hate those down unders...☝
My biggest fear is that today witnesses the birth of a new #goat. Not this time, Todd
I think that if Murphy does become a goat then it could be argued that his "birth" was his very first bowling stint for Australia - figures of 47-12-124-7 in India out of the home side's total of 400. Lyon's figures were 49-13-126-1 by comparison.
I hope that we can hit him out of the attack. He does seem to have the control though it remains to be seen whether there is enough turn and bounce for him to counteract any assault.
Winviz has us at 75%. I wouldn't go that far tbh. 60/65% would be my guess.
Winviz percentages are laughable. I'd have it as 52/48, with England marginally ahead, but not more.
Why is it laughable? Just because you don't agree with it, doesn't make it laughable.
How many people genuinely (with their heads) would make England clear favourites, which is what the 75% figure states?
1) It's a low scoring match, so 251 is higher than all but Australia's 1st innings, and even that was only because Marsh was dropped by Root 2) High quality Australian attack, and the conditions while better than yesterday are still helpful for bowling 3) An England batting lineup that's consistently cocked it up this summer
Winviz has us at 75%. I wouldn't go that far tbh. 60/65% would be my guess.
Winviz percentages are laughable. I'd have it as 52/48, with England marginally ahead, but not more.
Why is it laughable? Just because you don't agree with it, doesn't make it laughable.
How many people genuinely (with their heads) would make England clear favourites, which is what the 75% figure states?
1) It's a low scoring match, so 251 is higher than all but Australia's 1st innings, and even that was only because Marsh was dropped by Root 2) High quality Australian attack, and the conditions while better than yesterday are still helpful for bowling 3) An England batting lineup that's consistently cocked it up this summer
Winviz has taken your points into account and make england favourites. The bookies don't just pluck odds out of the air.
how was your 52/48 calculated? Plucked out of the air?
england may have cocked up batting this series but they've cocked up scoring 300+ instead of 400 +. That's a massive plus for me
Winviz has us at 75%. I wouldn't go that far tbh. 60/65% would be my guess.
Winviz percentages are laughable. I'd have it as 52/48, with England marginally ahead, but not more.
Why is it laughable? Just because you don't agree with it, doesn't make it laughable.
How many people genuinely (with their heads) would make England clear favourites, which is what the 75% figure states?
1) It's a low scoring match, so 251 is higher than all but Australia's 1st innings, and even that was only because Marsh was dropped by Root 2) High quality Australian attack, and the conditions while better than yesterday are still helpful for bowling 3) An England batting lineup that's consistently cocked it up this summer
Winviz has taken your points into account and make england favourites. The bookies don't just pluck odds out of the air.
how was your 52/48 calculated? Plucked out of the air?
england may have cocked up batting this series but they've cocked up scoring 300+ instead of 400 +. That's a massive plus for me
3) An England batting lineup that's consistently cocked it up this summer
There's some depth in this particular England line up - Moeen and Chris Woakes have made Test hundreds and will be batting at 7 and 8, for that matter Stuart Broad has one as well but that was more of an outlier. Plus Brook, Root and Bairstow are playing on their home ground. If all that fails Robinson and Wood can knock the ball about neither are nervous batsmen.
We'll have to see what the bowling conditions are like - it looks like being better to bat today.
The Aussie batsmen rarely see the kind of swing and seam movement that we had yesterday. Before the T20 era a lot of them would come over and play a season or two in the leagues and/or have experience playing County cricket in the spring and autumn when the ball moves about. These days that doesn't happen quite as much and too many played like rabbits in the headlights, no feet movement or anything to mitigate the swing. The Aussies who do play in England have a WhatsApp group called "Stevo's gonna get ya" based on how often medium fast swing bowlers like Darren Stevens would scythe through opposition batting in those sort of bowling conditions.
England's batsmen have a bit more experience at playing the moving ball, seeing off Cummins and Starc is going to be the key though.
Comments
I think that if Murphy does become a goat then it could be argued that his "birth" was his very first bowling stint for Australia - figures of 47-12-124-7 in India out of the home side's total of 400. Lyon's figures were 49-13-126-1 by comparison.
I hope that we can hit him out of the attack. He does seem to have the control though it remains to be seen whether there is enough turn and bounce for him to counteract any assault.
1) It's a low scoring match, so 251 is higher than all but Australia's 1st innings, and even that was only because Marsh was dropped by Root
2) High quality Australian attack, and the conditions while better than yesterday are still helpful for bowling
3) An England batting lineup that's consistently cocked it up this summer
how was your 52/48 calculated? Plucked out of the air?
england may have cocked up batting this series but they've cocked up scoring 300+ instead of 400 +. That's a massive plus for me
There's some depth in this particular England line up - Moeen and Chris Woakes have made Test hundreds and will be batting at 7 and 8, for that matter Stuart Broad has one as well but that was more of an outlier. Plus Brook, Root and Bairstow are playing on their home ground. If all that fails Robinson and Wood can knock the ball about neither are nervous batsmen.
We'll have to see what the bowling conditions are like - it looks like being better to bat today.
The Aussie batsmen rarely see the kind of swing and seam movement that we had yesterday. Before the T20 era a lot of them would come over and play a season or two in the leagues and/or have experience playing County cricket in the spring and autumn when the ball moves about. These days that doesn't happen quite as much and too many played like rabbits in the headlights, no feet movement or anything to mitigate the swing. The Aussies who do play in England have a WhatsApp group called "Stevo's gonna get ya" based on how often medium fast swing bowlers like Darren Stevens would scythe through opposition batting in those sort of bowling conditions.
England's batsmen have a bit more experience at playing the moving ball, seeing off Cummins and Starc is going to be the key though.
Strap yourselves in boys and girls it's gonna be exiting whatever the result.
Had a laugh at this, Chris Broad got reprimanded by the ICC after sharing about Stuarts record with Warner...😂
Brook looks a better batsman at four anyway.
Still ahead of the wickets per runs equation. 25 runs per wicket (just about)
81-2 off 18, 170 more required.
Crawley 40 (52)
Root 7 (10)
Hopefully today will be the day he does keep going