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Gavin Carter "It's a long-term project"

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  • Davo55
    Davo55 Posts: 7,872
    A top half competitive squad in three years? So the PL in what, 10 years?
    We should have stuck with Sandgaard, we would have won the Champions League by 2028  ;)
  • carly burn
    carly burn Posts: 19,853
    edited March 19
    Not read it.
    Anything said about the ownership group touting for new investment and how it's going?
  • Crispywood
    Crispywood Posts: 1,479
    Not read it.
    Anything said about the ownership group touting for new investment and how it's going?
    There looking for new investment but want to make sure they get the right partners opposed to taking money from anyone that comes along. 
  • Sword65pf
    Sword65pf Posts: 1,542
    well  I’m sorry Gavin, we all want success NOW!!!
    And also long term!!,😂
  • He’s wrong in saying that expanding the play offs increases chances of promotion.  It just changes the chances.
    It only makes things harder than before if you finish 5th or 6th . 

    York City may disagree with that after least season.
  • RonnieMoore
    RonnieMoore Posts: 4,933
    It’s all guff and bollocks, it’ll never happen, the owners will bail……haven’t read it, mind you…
    Why would they we are know it’s a 4/5 year project said that from day one .. 
  • Weegie Addick
    Weegie Addick Posts: 17,022
    This is an interesting read - Eisner on Pompey finances and the Championship. 

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/articles/ce3g3ygjkjvo
  • jimmymelrose
    jimmymelrose Posts: 10,059
    edited March 20
    WSS said:
    He’s wrong in saying that expanding the play offs increases chances of promotion.  It just changes the chances.
    So if only 3 teams went up automatically and there were no PO places, it wouldn't decrease the chances of promotion?
    No, of course it wouldn’t. With automatic promotion the third place team gains the percentage chance off the other teams, raising their percentage from 25% to 100%. The chances of promotion remain the same, it just the share of that chance that changes.
    The more play off places you offer, the more teams are in it but the lower their chance of winning it becomes. It’s currently 25% for qualifying teams but next season will be 17.5%. These percentages are all things being equal but can be adjusted for teams’ strength. Therefore the third place team’s chances will probably actually fall from currently approximately 30-35% to 25%. The eighth place team, currently with 0% chance, next year probably has a chance, not of 17.5% but 10-15% according to strength. 
  • jimmymelrose
    jimmymelrose Posts: 10,059
    He’s wrong in saying that expanding the play offs increases chances of promotion.  It just changes the chances.
    It only makes things harder than before if you finish 5th or 6th . 
    Yes. You can adjust what I said according.  Perhaps 3rd and 4th’s chances remain the same, it’s 5th and 6th’s chances that decrease to the benefits of 7th and 8th.

    Saying that chances of promotion overall increase is a nonsense. Teams who finish 5th and 6th will definitely regret voting for the change.
  • Stu_of_Kunming
    Stu_of_Kunming Posts: 17,223
    WSS said:
    He’s wrong in saying that expanding the play offs increases chances of promotion.  It just changes the chances.
    So if only 3 teams went up automatically and there were no PO places, it wouldn't decrease the chances of promotion?
    No, of course it wouldn’t. With automatic promotion the third place team gains the percentage chance off the other teams, raising their percentage from 25% to 100%. The chances of promotion remain the same, it just the share of that chance that changes.
    The more play off places you offer, the more teams are in it but the lower their chance of winning it becomes. It’s currently 25% for qualifying teams but next season will be 17.5%. These percentages are all things being equal but can be adjusted for teams’ strength. Therefore the third place team’s chances will probably actually fall from currently approximately 30-35% to 25%. The eighth place team, currently with 0% chance, next year probably has a chance, not of 17.5% but 10-15% according to strength. 
    But everyone has an increased chance at the start of the season, by having two more spaces.

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  • Crispywood
    Crispywood Posts: 1,479
    End of the day we’re more likely to finish 7-8th in the future than we are 5-6th. Increases Charltons chances of promotion which end of the day is all we should care about. I will 100% be calling it a disgrace if we do end up finishing 5th/6th though 
  • cafcfan
    cafcfan Posts: 11,311
    End of the day we’re more likely to finish 7-8th in the future than we are 5-6th. Increases Charltons chances of promotion which end of the day is all we should care about. I will 100% be calling it a disgrace if we do end up finishing 5th/6th though 
    Championship play-off winners 

    * The seventh placed team featured once in 1990/91 season.

    So, unsurprisingly the team that finishes third has the best chance of making it through the play-offs. Presumably because they are a little bit better. I am not expecting the 7th and 8th placed teams to have a very good success rate in the future especially as they will be playing away in a single-leg tie. In addition the winners of the eliminator ties will have played an extra game compared to the others.
  • jimmymelrose
    jimmymelrose Posts: 10,059
    WSS said:
    He’s wrong in saying that expanding the play offs increases chances of promotion.  It just changes the chances.
    So if only 3 teams went up automatically and there were no PO places, it wouldn't decrease the chances of promotion?
    No, of course it wouldn’t. With automatic promotion the third place team gains the percentage chance off the other teams, raising their percentage from 25% to 100%. The chances of promotion remain the same, it just the share of that chance that changes.
    The more play off places you offer, the more teams are in it but the lower their chance of winning it becomes. It’s currently 25% for qualifying teams but next season will be 17.5%. These percentages are all things being equal but can be adjusted for teams’ strength. Therefore the third place team’s chances will probably actually fall from currently approximately 30-35% to 25%. The eighth place team, currently with 0% chance, next year probably has a chance, not of 17.5% but 10-15% according to strength. 
    But everyone has an increased chance at the start of the season, by having two more spaces.
    But it’s an increased chance of qualifying not of winning!

    By your logic, why not go down the table even further?
  • Crispywood
    Crispywood Posts: 1,479
    cafcfan said:
    End of the day we’re more likely to finish 7-8th in the future than we are 5-6th. Increases Charltons chances of promotion which end of the day is all we should care about. I will 100% be calling it a disgrace if we do end up finishing 5th/6th though 
    Championship play-off winners 

    * The seventh placed team featured once in 1990/91 season.

    So, unsurprisingly the team that finishes third has the best chance of making it through the play-offs. Presumably because they are a little bit better. I am not expecting the 7th and 8th placed teams to have a very good success rate in the future especially as they will be playing away in a single-leg tie. In addition the winners of the eliminator ties will have played an extra game compared to the others.
    You can argue they’re more match sharp though us against Pompey was a good example of that. 

    I don’t disagree that 7th/8th would have a low success rate but say they knock out 5th/6th in a one off game you could argue they may have given the team they play in the semis an automatic by to the final and ln addition knocking out a side who has a decent shot of winning it without the preliminary game. 

    It’s a really tough decision to call whether it’s been a good or bad move guess we will only know with time
  • oohaahmortimer
    oohaahmortimer Posts: 34,678
    Sounds like a very sensible, dull and boring plan … wouldn’t have it any other way 
  • KiwiValley
    KiwiValley Posts: 3,484
    cafcfan said:
    End of the day we’re more likely to finish 7-8th in the future than we are 5-6th. Increases Charltons chances of promotion which end of the day is all we should care about. I will 100% be calling it a disgrace if we do end up finishing 5th/6th though 
    Championship play-off winners 

    * The seventh placed team featured once in 1990/91 season.

    So, unsurprisingly the team that finishes third has the best chance of making it through the play-offs. Presumably because they are a little bit better. I am not expecting the 7th and 8th placed teams to have a very good success rate in the future especially as they will be playing away in a single-leg tie. In addition the winners of the eliminator ties will have played an extra game compared to the others.
    Just about the roll of a die isn't it? Only slightly loaded to 3rd place
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 65,803
    WSS said:
    He’s wrong in saying that expanding the play offs increases chances of promotion.  It just changes the chances.
    So if only 3 teams went up automatically and there were no PO places, it wouldn't decrease the chances of promotion?
    No, of course it wouldn’t. With automatic promotion the third place team gains the percentage chance off the other teams, raising their percentage from 25% to 100%. The chances of promotion remain the same, it just the share of that chance that changes.
    The more play off places you offer, the more teams are in it but the lower their chance of winning it becomes. It’s currently 25% for qualifying teams but next season will be 17.5%. These percentages are all things being equal but can be adjusted for teams’ strength. Therefore the third place team’s chances will probably actually fall from currently approximately 30-35% to 25%. The eighth place team, currently with 0% chance, next year probably has a chance, not of 17.5% but 10-15% according to strength. 
    But everyone has an increased chance at the start of the season, by having two more spaces.
    But it’s an increased chance of qualifying not of winning!

    By your logic, why not go down the table even further?
    Yeah, the percentage chance of promotion can only ever equate to 300% across the entire league (3 places multiplied by 100%).

    The chance of playoffs is what increases, from 400% shared across the league to now 600%. 

    Once the top eight are decided, 200% is taken by the automatically promoted teams, leaving 100% to share between four (now six) teams.

    I think the share of percentage for teams in 3rd and 4th will not change significantly - they are already guaranteed a place in the semi final, same as it was before.

    The majority of the difference will be made up by lowering the chances of the teams in 5th and 6th who now have to deal with an extra game to reach that point.
  • Stig
    Stig Posts: 29,575
    edited 7:24AM
    WSS said:
    He’s wrong in saying that expanding the play offs increases chances of promotion.  It just changes the chances.
    So if only 3 teams went up automatically and there were no PO places, it wouldn't decrease the chances of promotion?
    No, of course it wouldn’t. With automatic promotion the third place team gains the percentage chance off the other teams, raising their percentage from 25% to 100%. The chances of promotion remain the same, it just the share of that chance that changes.
    The more play off places you offer, the more teams are in it but the lower their chance of winning it becomes. It’s currently 25% for qualifying teams but next season will be 17.5%. These percentages are all things being equal but can be adjusted for teams’ strength. Therefore the third place team’s chances will probably actually fall from currently approximately 30-35% to 25%. The eighth place team, currently with 0% chance, next year probably has a chance, not of 17.5% but 10-15% according to strength. 
    But everyone has an increased chance at the start of the season, by having two more spaces.
    But it’s an increased chance of qualifying not of winning!

    By your logic, why not go down the table even further?
    Yeah, the percentage chance of promotion can only ever equate to 300% across the entire league (3 places multiplied by 100%).

    The chance of playoffs is what increases, from 400% shared across the league to now 600%. 

    Once the top eight are decided, 200% is taken by the automatically promoted teams, leaving 100% to share between four (now six) teams.

    I think the share of percentage for teams in 3rd and 4th will not change significantly - they are already guaranteed a place in the semi final, same as it was before.

    The majority of the difference will be made up by lowering the chances of the teams in 5th and 6th who now have to deal with an extra game to reach that point.
    The chances of promotion aren't anything like 300% (even if that was a mathematical possibility). They are 12.5%, i.e. 3 in 24.
  • AddicksAddict
    AddicksAddict Posts: 16,186
    bobmunro said:
    sam3110 said:
    ct_addick said:
    Scoham said:
    Gates up, retail up, hospitality up which is all good and yes you'd expect that after promotion.  I wonder if we'll see hard figures as in a previous directors brief (hopefully not missing out a financial year.

    Steady progress and no grand promises.  I always prefer under promise, over deliver to the alternative.

    "progressive" signings in the window doesn't tell us much so as ever WIOTOS.
    All well and good but they have to invest in the squad to stay up….otherwise we will be back in the shit League One with a big drop in income 
    Which was mentioned
    Almost like people just spout off rubbish without even listening to the video...

    Reminds me of when Mary Whitehouse (yes I'm that old) back in the 70s campaigned to stop an Andy Warhol documentary being aired. When asked had she seen it she replied "No - I'm not watching that filth". Not surprisingly it had a huge audience when it was aired but disappointment for this spotty faced teenager when the only thing vaguely pornographic was a 3 second shot of a bare breast.
    Like the people who wanted to ban Monty Python's Life of Brian without watching it, saying it was blasphemous, which of course it wasn't.  Heretical, yes, but there's nothing wrong with that.  It was banned in Norway so Sweden marketed it as "The film that's too funny for Norway".
  • AddicksAddict
    AddicksAddict Posts: 16,186
    This is an interesting read - Eisner on Pompey finances and the Championship. 

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/articles/ce3g3ygjkjvo
    There's a link in that article to Millwall announce £300,000 loss in annual accounts.  I guess their sales stopped that being a lot, lot more.

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  • castrust
    castrust Posts: 544
    Members of CAST Board recently met with Gavin Carter. Write-up here:

    https://www.castrust.org/2026/03/cast-meeting-with-gavin-carter/
  • Henry Irving
    Henry Irving Posts: 85,900
    "The club do wish to achieve Category 1 status for the Academy, which also requires investment but this should pay back over two to three years. Steve Avory is helping with the lengthy application process."

    Great news, hope it happens soon.
  • valleynick66
    valleynick66 Posts: 5,280
    We ‘like’ spending less than the moneybags teams?
  • jimmymelrose
    jimmymelrose Posts: 10,059
    We ‘like’ spending less than the moneybags teams?
    = ’appreciate the frugality’ I suppose
  • fenaddick
    fenaddick Posts: 17,164
    We ‘like’ spending less than the moneybags teams?
    Why wouldn’t you like achieving more by spending less? That’s exactly what Charlton have always done
  • Diebythesword
    Diebythesword Posts: 704
    All sound constructive, tier 1 academy and aiming to get the wage bill up to compete with other teams. 
  • valleynick66
    valleynick66 Posts: 5,280
    fenaddick said:
    We ‘like’ spending less than the moneybags teams?
    Why wouldn’t you like achieving more by spending less? That’s exactly what Charlton have always done
    We haven’t achieved more though. 

    It’s presumptive to say we like it. If we had a moneybags investor we’d all probably like that. 

    More accurate to say we understand / accept it. 
  • fenaddick
    fenaddick Posts: 17,164
    fenaddick said:
    We ‘like’ spending less than the moneybags teams?
    Why wouldn’t you like achieving more by spending less? That’s exactly what Charlton have always done
    We haven’t achieved more though. 

    It’s presumptive to say we like it. If we had a moneybags investor we’d all probably like that. 

    More accurate to say we understand / accept it. 
    I much prefer it this way, little old Charlton currently overachieving our wage budget by 5 or so places 
  • valleynick66
    valleynick66 Posts: 5,280
    fenaddick said:
    fenaddick said:
    We ‘like’ spending less than the moneybags teams?
    Why wouldn’t you like achieving more by spending less? That’s exactly what Charlton have always done
    We haven’t achieved more though. 

    It’s presumptive to say we like it. If we had a moneybags investor we’d all probably like that. 

    More accurate to say we understand / accept it. 
    I much prefer it this way, little old Charlton currently overachieving our wage budget by 5 or so places 
    The novelty of trying it the other way might be fun for a change though.