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Will We Win the Playoffs?

With the question of “will we make the playoffs?” definitively answered, I thought it’d be worth starting a new thread to discuss runners, riders, and results in the post season. 

League form can go out of the window in the famously unpredictable EFL promotion playoffs, but if you’re looking for something to provide a bit of a confidence boost - here is a mini league table based on the 2024/25 regular season matches between the four playoff teams. It looks even better when you consider some of these matches happened before the Northampton epiphany. 


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Comments

  • Think we've got as good a chance as anyone. I like your stats above. I think we're also fortunate with the draw. Wycombe have definitely got the jitters and won't fancy against a team that so comprehensively demolished them in recent weeks. If we get to Wembley, I think the fans could give us an edge.  We'll pack our allocation out. I think Orient might too, but I'm not sure Stockport could. Not sure Wycombe could either, but if they do it won't be against us.
  • We have a core starting eleven that has shown they are more than capable and which when substitutions are made during the game those other players have slotted in well. It’s when we’ve had to make those changes to the starting eleven that it’s not worked quite as well and a couple of such times such as Peterborough and Wrexham it’s not gone well at all. If Jones, Berry and Small return and start for all three games and there are no other absences to that core starting eleven then I’d be confident we will win promotion, more so because the rest of the squad have been getting game time of late.
  • edited May 4
    If we can go into all games with our first choice fit starting XI then we must be favourites.

    couldn’t of hand picked ourselves a more favourable semi final.

    at Wembley I’d fancy us. No way do either Stockport or Orient sell 35k tickets 

    Godden will be the difference….
  • Big loss for Wycombe before our play off games. Terrible injury for player and hope he recovers well, but adds to our chances of getting to Wembley. 


  • With the question of “will we make the playoffs?” definitively answered, I thought it’d be worth starting a new thread to discuss runners, riders, and results in the post season. 

    League form can go out of the window in the famously unpredictable EFL promotion playoffs, but if you’re looking for something to provide a bit of a confidence boost - here is a mini league table based on the 2024/25 regular season matches between the four playoff teams. It looks even better when you consider some of these matches happened before the Northampton epiphany. 


    The GD of Stockport and Wycombe was throwing me, considering how good defensively Stockport are and how we just beat Wycombe 4-0. 

    Completely forgot Wycombe actually won 5-0 at Stockport earlier in the season. 
  • Bookies have Stockport as slim favourites.
  • JaShea99 said:
    Bookies have Stockport as slim favourites.
    Personally I would have us as slight favourites as I think Wycombe are the weakest out of the 4.

    I really fancy us to get through, and would be disappointed if we didn’t. 

    IMO I would prefer to us to play Orient in the final as they would sell more tickets than Stockport. Always dilutes the final when you see 20k empty seats at Wembley. 

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  • One of the 4 have to win it, why not us? 

    If you expand that league table further to include the 2 promoted teams, I suspect the form is even greater in our favour compared to the other playoff sides
  • Stockport are the standout favourites which suits us down to the ground
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  • I think it will be us and Stockport in the final. That is probably as tight as it gets if it happens.
  • Stockport are the standout favourites which suits us down to the ground
    Not sure that would feel true on day. Finished 2 points ahead, but having come up from L2. Lost their most influential player in January. Not long ago they were non-league. Stepping out at Wembley in front of 40,000 Charlton fans & what, 15-25,000 Stockport fans? Ex Premier League club, Charlton. A club no one can dispute is playing below their level, despite the last 15 years. I think Stockport would be able to easily see themselves as underdogs, and the media will portray it that way too. Rising from the ashes to take on fallen PL side for a shot at the Championship. 
  • I think this favourite vs underdog mentality is more us fans thinking. The work NJ has done on this groups mentality is phenomenal and they will filled with the belief (rightly) that they can beat anyone in the playoffs. 

    Shut out any media or fan narrative and just focus on winning each game as we are more than capable of doing it, the rest is just noise.
  • Woodwork said:
    Stockport are the standout favourites which suits us down to the ground
    Not sure that would feel true on day. Finished 2 points ahead, but having come up from L2. Lost their most influential player in January. Not long ago they were non-league. Stepping out at Wembley in front of 40,000 Charlton fans & what, 15-25,000 Stockport fans? Ex Premier League club, Charlton. A club no one can dispute is playing below their level, despite the last 15 years. I think Stockport would be able to easily see themselves as underdogs, and the media will portray it that way too. Rising from the ashes to take on fallen PL side for a shot at the Championship. 
    Not sure the media will be coming up for narratives for a match between Charlton & Stockport!

    It will be interesting though if we get to Wembley. You’d assume that it will be a borderline home match for us given the massive disparity in the number of fans from each side. 
  • Charlton vs Stockport on pens at Wembley i reckon
  • Stockport are the team that worries me the most, and think if I had to pick a side to achieve it, other than us... It would be them
  • edited May 4
    IanJRO said:
    I think this favourite vs underdog mentality is more us fans thinking. The work NJ has done on this groups mentality is phenomenal and they will filled with the belief (rightly) that they can beat anyone in the playoffs. 

    Shut out any media or fan narrative and just focus on winning each game as we are more than capable of doing it, the rest is just noise.
    True. But my point is that they are human. And they are lower league footballers. Stepping out at Wembley & seeing a sea of red & white willing you on will have an impact, at least on some of them. Charlton are playing below their level as a club.

    The pressure is on Jones & the players to change that. So he will be earning his money getting them to approach Wembley as just another game. And I am sure some of the players will step up to that challenge. I was just saying that personally, I think it does play a part in these big games at this level (how often do you see players for big clubs like Leeds and Wednesday struggle to live up to expectations when they have been in L1). 

    Besides, we are getting ahead of ourselves. A wounded Wycombe are the first test. No doubt they have a lot to prove to their fans and themselves. 

    Gonna be exciting & tense whatever happens! 
  • se9addick said:
    Woodwork said:
    Stockport are the standout favourites which suits us down to the ground
    Not sure that would feel true on day. Finished 2 points ahead, but having come up from L2. Lost their most influential player in January. Not long ago they were non-league. Stepping out at Wembley in front of 40,000 Charlton fans & what, 15-25,000 Stockport fans? Ex Premier League club, Charlton. A club no one can dispute is playing below their level, despite the last 15 years. I think Stockport would be able to easily see themselves as underdogs, and the media will portray it that way too. Rising from the ashes to take on fallen PL side for a shot at the Championship. 
    Not sure the media will be coming up for narratives for a match between Charlton & Stockport!

    It will be interesting though if we get to Wembley. You’d assume that it will be a borderline home match for us given the massive disparity in the number of fans from each side. 
    Not the national sporting press, I doubt that they could care less about League One. I meant the Sky Sports view will be plucky Stockport/Orient v ex PL Charlton. This was in reply to someone saying Stockport will be clear favourites. I just can’t see that in any sense. They just came up & lost their best player in January. And were non league not long ago. Given how it has all panned out, surely people will have Charlton as favourites, as have an out of form Wycombe in Semis! 
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