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EFL Play-Offs 2024/25

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Comments

  • sam3110
    sam3110 Posts: 21,293
    Off the back of the head!
  • ForeverAddickted
    ForeverAddickted Posts: 94,455
    edited May 10
    That'll teach you not to take your chances... I do like the theme of how all the Away teams are putting up a good showing in these first legs, the teams that "should" be getting results, are doing so.

    So no pressure Charlton :)
  • DyerConsequences
    DyerConsequences Posts: 2,630
    Poor defending. Completely free header from that close.
  • DyerConsequences
    DyerConsequences Posts: 2,630
    Off the post by County. That would have been a great response.
  • sam3110
    sam3110 Posts: 21,293
    County fans calling for absolutely everything in the box now
  • Covered End
    Covered End Posts: 52,015
    Eric10 said:
    On the halfway line at Meadow Lane. Back home at 05:30, then up at 11:00 to go to Adams Park tomorrow.

    Not sure what folk are seeing on TV, but they have given Wimbledon a little over half of the east stand and have the other half of the stand completely empty. I was expecting Notts County fans in there. Their south stand is also practically empty. It's quite disappointing how few tickets they have managed to sell for a playoff semi-final on a Saturday.
    Are you walking home?
  • CAFCTrev
    CAFCTrev Posts: 5,982
    Surprised how empty it looks, didnt County set a bunch of records when they were in the national league with their big attendances?
  • Eric10
    Eric10 Posts: 92
    They just announced 12,385.
  • ForeverAddickted
    ForeverAddickted Posts: 94,455
    Notts County are not scoring tonight... Not after that clearance :D
  • Karim_myBagheri
    Karim_myBagheri Posts: 12,731
    poor attendance. Probably all jumped across the river to the more successful team in Nottingham. 

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  • DyerConsequences
    DyerConsequences Posts: 2,630
    Got to score. Plenty of missed chances by County tonight.
  • DyerConsequences
    DyerConsequences Posts: 2,630
    McGoldrick off injured, now Jatta sent off. All going wrong.
  • CAFCTrev
    CAFCTrev Posts: 5,982
    He didnt do himself any favours going in two footed, but a straight red?
  • sam3110
    sam3110 Posts: 21,293
    Goodman is a very decent keeper isn't he? Shame he's Palarse
  • Er_Be_Ab_Pl_Wo_Wo_Ch
    Er_Be_Ab_Pl_Wo_Wo_Ch Posts: 1,789
    DyerConsequences said:
    McGoldrick off injured, now Jatta sent off. All going wrong.
    Very unprofessional of Jatta, completely lost his head. One rush of blood and their top scorer is out of the playoffs.
  • Eric10
    Eric10 Posts: 92
    CAFCTrev said:
    He didnt do himself any favours going in two footed, but a straight red?
    I was a little surprised it was a straight red too, but that's the risk you take when you make such a challenge. There only has to be intent.
  • LargeAddick
    LargeAddick Posts: 32,593
    Can’t go in like that and not expect to get a red. Deserves one anyway for his antics afterwards, completely lost his head.
  • Braziliance
    Braziliance Posts: 8,360
    Bit concerned none of the home teams have had a win as it feels one of them has to. Hopefully Chesterfield will beat Walsall (which I think they will) so that's one less law of average to worry about.
  • fenaddick
    fenaddick Posts: 11,190
    Braziliance said:
    Bit concerned none of the home teams have had a win as it feels one of them has to. Hopefully Chesterfield will beat Walsall (which I think they will) so that's one less law of average to worry about.
    Maybe it’ll average out with lots of 2nd leg home wins!
  • MartinCAFC
    MartinCAFC Posts: 3,224
    ForeverAddickted said:
    That'll teach you not to take your chances... I do like the theme of how all the Away teams are putting up a good showing in these first legs, the teams that "should" be getting results, are doing so.

    So no pressure Charlton :)
    Last time we were in the play offs weren't we the only team to progress to Wembley with home advantage in the 2nd leg? 

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  • killerandflash
    killerandflash Posts: 69,881
    Braziliance said:
    Bit concerned none of the home teams have had a win as it feels one of them has to. Hopefully Chesterfield will beat Walsall (which I think they will) so that's one less law of average to worry about.
    ???

    The home teams in the first leg are the weaker ones, so you'd expect them to struggle to win.
  • Braziliance
    Braziliance Posts: 8,360
    killerandflash said:
    Braziliance said:
    Bit concerned none of the home teams have had a win as it feels one of them has to. Hopefully Chesterfield will beat Walsall (which I think they will) so that's one less law of average to worry about.
    ???

    The home teams in the first leg are the weaker ones, so you'd expect them to struggle to win.
    Not necessarily. 1 point separated Notts and Wimbledon tonight, hardly a weaker team. 

    You still expect at least a few of the teams in the home legs to avoid defeat or pick up a win. 

    So far 3 losses and a draw. Hopefully that patterns stays the same tomorrow. 
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,786
    edited May 11
    Since all fans were allowed back in to stadiums post-Covid (no reduced home crowds)

    2024 season first legs: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins (Bolton, Doncaster)

    2023 season first legs: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins

    2022 season first legs: 4 home wins, 1 draw, 1 away win (Forest)



    2025 season first legs so far: 0 home wins, 1 draw, 3 away wins (Sheff Utd, Sunderland, Wimbledon)


    This season’s away winners (3 of 4) have already matched the total number of away winners from the last three seasons combined (3 of 18). It’s traditionally quite hard to win that first leg away from home.
  • ForeverAddickted
    ForeverAddickted Posts: 94,455
    MartinCAFC said:
    ForeverAddickted said:
    That'll teach you not to take your chances... I do like the theme of how all the Away teams are putting up a good showing in these first legs, the teams that "should" be getting results, are doing so.

    So no pressure Charlton :)
    Last time we were in the play offs weren't we the only team to progress to Wembley with home advantage in the 2nd leg? 
    Yes we were, well remembered that
  • Braziliance
    Braziliance Posts: 8,360
    Callumcafc said:
    Since all fans were allowed back in to stadiums post-Covid (no reduced home crowds)

    2024 season first legs: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins (Bolton, Doncaster)

    2023 season first legs: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins

    2022 season first legs: 4 home wins, 1 draw, 1 away win (Forest)



    2025 season first legs so far: 0 home wins, 1 draw, 3 away wins (Sheff Utd, Sunderland, Wimbledon)


    This season’s away winners (3 of 4) have already matched the total number of away winners from the last three seasons combined (3 of 18). It’s traditionally quite hard to win that first leg away from home.

  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,786
    edited May 11
    The thing with law of averages / law of large numbers is that they are pretty much irrelevant to singular upcoming events.

    Home win, draw and away win are still on the table today. As they are in any one off event.

    The conversation here is much like “we just had three tails in a row so it’s got to be heads next”. Humans look for patterns but it doesn’t work that way. Each event is independent of the others.


    If anything, if you want to feel better, the prior three years of 10 home wins out of 18 might be considered an over performance of the home sides (better than “odds on” at home?) and this year is when the “correction” or balancing out is occurring. But even 18 is a small, not large, number.
  • ForeverAddickted
    ForeverAddickted Posts: 94,455
    Asiimwe starts for Walsall @ Chesterfield for a 3:30pm KO

    image
  • ForeverAddickted
    ForeverAddickted Posts: 94,455
    edited May 11
    Decent cross from Asiimwe, first time he's really managed to get forward but their Striker was penalised for a foul... I do wonder if he MIGHT be Small's replacement if we dont go up.
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,786
    Penalty to Walsall
  • Karim_myBagheri
    Karim_myBagheri Posts: 12,731
    penalty 

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