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Betting on Charlton

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  • Addick Addict
    Addick Addict Posts: 41,752
    No.1 in South London said:
    Quinn Bet 2.7 to win a two horse race.......................... against Millwall  >:)
    2.75 with Bet365
  • Valiantphil
    Valiantphil Posts: 6,473
    AndyG said:
    Addick Addict said:
    Wasn't sure where to put this but, as much as I'm trying to take my bias hat off, I have to say that I have been impressed with the quality of signings to date culminating with this morning's announcement of Kelman. Whatever your opinion, these are the current best prices available for -

    Winner - 100/1 (various 1/4 odds top 3)
    Top 2 Finish - 50/1 (numerous)
    Top 3 Finish - 20/1 (Unibet, BETMGM)
    Top 6 Finish - 12/1 (numerous)
    Top Half - 11/4 (William Hill)
    Promotion - 33/1 (BetVictor)
    Relegation - 3/1 (BetVictor)
    To Finish Bottom - 11/1 (Bet365)
    Handicap - 18/1 (Bet365 +34 points, 1/4 odds, top 4)

    You pays your money and takes your choice.

    Perhaps the most intriguing one for me is each way in that Handicap market. For those that aren't familiar with this market, every side is allocated a certain number of points - scratch or zero is Ipswich so we would have to finish 33 points behind them or less to finish above them, our nearest and dearest, Millwall, are +24 so we would have to finish 9 points or less behind them to beat them etc etc. Last season the top 4 (actual points + handicap points) achieved 106, 106, 100 & 96 points. So, a team having a 34 point start would have needed 73 points to win the handicap and 63 points to finish in the top 4. Is this side capable of getting around 63 points?

    That said, 58 points last season would have been sufficient to finish in the top half last season so the 11/4 might be the value.




    Every year since Sanguard arrived I put £500 on us getting promoted! I was obviously in a big hole lol last year got me out of the hole and I swore I wouldn’t do it again but I’m very tempted at playoffs lol
    I’m backing us 3/1 for a top half finish. (Hills and Paddy). 
  • Covered End
    Covered End Posts: 52,742
    I think our odds are rubbish on all bets.
  • Athletico Charlton
    Athletico Charlton Posts: 14,862
    edited July 2025
    Covered End said:
    I think our odds are rubbish on all bets.
    Agreed. Better value out there. 
  • philcafc
    philcafc Posts: 4,089
    I've done us on the Handicap +34 points with 365 now at 20-1
  • swords_alive
    swords_alive Posts: 4,847
    General consensus is usually never bet on Charlton as they will find a way to let you down. But now there are many mentions across the forum of betting against Charlton as we head towards an historic and possibly disastrous relegation.

    If you're one of the punters that have backed us to go down you might not feel it is appropriate to brag about it should the worst happen. There will be angry sorts on here giving grief to anyone who cashed in on the misery whatever their reasons, (silver lining, insurance, anger the football gods, etc). So i thought this thread was worth a resurrection to get the "told you so"'s in early, and those who want to dish out abuse can get that out their systems early too.

    For myself, i have a small bet and a larger one and managed to get 50/1 and 20/1 respectively.

    Some richer folk have staked a lot more. I wish them the worst of luck too.







  • se9addick
    se9addick Posts: 32,760
    There are almost literally untold things you can bet on. Betting on your own team to fail is a disgrace however you dress it up. 
  • MrOneLung
    MrOneLung Posts: 27,542
    se9addick said:
    There are almost literally untold things you can bet on. Betting on your own team to fail is a disgrace however you dress it up. 
    behave, it is not like you are wishing them to fail


    I got 25/1 with Bob's lot last week
  • soapboxsam
    soapboxsam Posts: 23,834
    It sounds like there will be crocodile tears if the worse scenario takes place.
    I don't know any Punter who would say put £50 pound on at 66/1 and not want the bet to come to fruition.

    By the sound of it some got bigger prices than 66/1 as it was 200/1 after the Middlesbrough win.

    I just feel gutted that with 2 games to go we could still drop.
  • LenGlover
    LenGlover Posts: 31,907
    Bob’s lot no longer appear to be taking bets on relegation from the Championship when I looked a few minutes ago.

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  • Siv_in_Norfolk
    Siv_in_Norfolk Posts: 4,216
    £30 at 66/1

    Hope I lose every penny

    Will travel hundreds of miles to games to roar the team to safety until we are safe
  • philcafc
    philcafc Posts: 4,089
    I'll admit i put a little on at 33/1, but like others it's a bet i don't want to win.
  • elbiglad
    elbiglad Posts: 238
    To each their own, but I really don’t like the concept of betting against your own team. 
  • Stewart
    Stewart Posts: 2,478
    Guilty. I placed £10 on 50/1 when we beat Birmingham. Obviously I hope the bet doesn’t come through but will soften to blow a little bit.  It will pay for next seasons season ticket. 
  • R0TW
    R0TW Posts: 1,903
    Remember yesteryear sold my season ticket to a Liverpool supporter for £100, which covered the following years price.
  • Dave Rudd
    Dave Rudd Posts: 3,030
    edited April 23
    Those of you who are criticising those of us who have bet on our team being relegated miss the point.

    Imagine this scenario ...

    ... The Great Decider of All Things says "Give me £20 and I will ensure that your team avoids relegation."

    Would you refuse?  I wouldn't.  And I would gratefully give a lot more.  I see it as show of support.  At odds of 66/1, I am a mug.  Who the hell bets on such things?  But I don't care.  It's money down the drain on insurance because I love my Club.

    I will wave my betting slip around at the Hull City game and I will joyfully tear it to shreds when that final point is gained. 

    And I will be flinging away a cool £1320 ... joyfully.
  • DICKIE PLUMB
    DICKIE PLUMB Posts: 204
    Very guilty. Over a period of a few weeks I have put a total of £120 on with various bookies and will win over £5,000 if we go down. It is the only way I can handle the stress and worry of our current situation. I hope with every fibre of my being to lose the bets. 
  • Arthur_Trudgill
    Arthur_Trudgill Posts: 568
    I've been betting on Charlton not winning (I.e. 'double chance': opposition to win or a draw), as we drifted towards a relegation battle.

    I've lost a few £10 pounds along the way but the last £10 has compounded to £170.

    I put £40 from that on Hull to win; hopefully they won't, and then I can stop and use the rest of the money to pay for Valley Gold (so that I can get tickets against Spurs 😊) and/or towards Richard Crawley's substack.
  • Bedsaddick
    Bedsaddick Posts: 25,332
    edited April 23
    I bet on us a few weeks ago and stand to make several hundred pounds if it comes in . All this “never bet against your own team” is nonsense. It’s the best way to make money because you have the knowledge of how bad or good we are playing at any given time . Better than any bookie . Doesn’t mean you want Charlton to lose . 
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,491
    I’ve insured my house, but I still hope it doesn’t burn down. I bet against Charlton all the time, but I call it ‘disappointment insurance’. I’ll win a few hundred quid if we go down and not for one second have I hoped it would happen. 

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  • Dave Rudd
    Dave Rudd Posts: 3,030
    Hopefully the last few posts give people the idea.  And I especially like Uboat's offering.

    We pay to insure many things ... with the hope that we will never need to cash in.
  • elbiglad
    elbiglad Posts: 238
    edited April 23
    Yes you’re right, betting against the team you support is exactly the same as house insurance. 

    For me it’s the idea that when we lose there is still a small part of you that goes ‘not the end of the world though… I won some money’. I don’t like the idea of taking any joy out of us not performing well. To each their own, as I said. 
  • Dave Rudd
    Dave Rudd Posts: 3,030
    elbiglad said:
    Yes you’re right, betting against the team you support is exactly the same as house insurance. 

    For me it’s the idea that when we lose there is still a small part of you that goes ‘not the end of the world though… I won some money’. I don’t like the idea of taking any joy out of us not performing well. To each their own, as I said. 

    Let's try health insurance.

    Oh, great.  I'm ill.  Not the end of the World though ... at least I can pay for my potentially life-saving treatment.

    Maybe you don't like the idea of preserving Hope by a little upfront investment.

    To each their own anyway.
  • swords_alive
    swords_alive Posts: 4,847
    Following Bob munroe's example on a different thread, for anyone looking for a decent price for the 'unthinkable', singles will still get you to over 30/1, based on a couple of assumptions;

    Hull win - 6/4
    Oxford win v SWFC- 2/5
    Estimate for Oxford win at Millwall- 7/2
    Estimated Swansea win - 6/4 

    You'd need to be disciplined to take any winnings from Saturday and re-invest them when those estimated prices become available
  • Nicholas
    Nicholas Posts: 7,812
    swords_alive said:
    Following Bob munroe's example on a different thread, for anyone looking for a decent price for the 'unthinkable', singles will still get you to over 30/1, based on a couple of assumptions;

    Hull win - 6/4
    Oxford win v SWFC- 2/5
    Estimate for Oxford win at Millwall- 7/2
    Estimated Swansea win - 6/4 

    You'd need to be disciplined to take any winnings from Saturday and re-invest them when those estimated prices become available
    It's a risk though, if Ipswich win there next 2 games, Millwall cant go up in 2nd. Which leaves us fucked as Millwall will then more then likely play a reserve team as Soton wont be able to catch them, it would only be potentially Middlesbrough but cant see them beating Wrexham away last game.
  • swords_alive
    swords_alive Posts: 4,847
    Nicholas said:
    swords_alive said:
    Following Bob munroe's example on a different thread, for anyone looking for a decent price for the 'unthinkable', singles will still get you to over 30/1, based on a couple of assumptions;

    Hull win - 6/4
    Oxford win v SWFC- 2/5
    Estimate for Oxford win at Millwall- 7/2
    Estimated Swansea win - 6/4 

    You'd need to be disciplined to take any winnings from Saturday and re-invest them when those estimated prices become available
    It's a risk though, if Ipswich win there next 2 games, Millwall cant go up in 2nd. Which leaves us fucked as Millwall will then more then likely play a reserve team as Soton wont be able to catch them, it would only be potentially Middlesbrough but cant see them beating Wrexham away last game.
    Yes, but if Oxford's chances of winning at Millwall improve, then that 7/2 estimate would be reduced just a touch, maybe to 3/1. 
    Putting 3/1 into oddschecker still produces 34/1. 
  • Siv_in_Norfolk
    Siv_in_Norfolk Posts: 4,216
    swords_alive said:
    Following Bob munroe's example on a different thread, for anyone looking for a decent price for the 'unthinkable', singles will still get you to over 30/1, based on a couple of assumptions;

    Hull win - 6/4
    Oxford win v SWFC- 2/5
    Estimate for Oxford win at Millwall- 7/2
    Estimated Swansea win - 6/4 

    You'd need to be disciplined to take any winnings from Saturday and re-invest them when those estimated prices become available
    What thread was it?
  • swords_alive
    swords_alive Posts: 4,847
    Siv_in_Norfolk said:
    swords_alive said:
    Following Bob munroe's example on a different thread, for anyone looking for a decent price for the 'unthinkable', singles will still get you to over 30/1, based on a couple of assumptions;

    Hull win - 6/4
    Oxford win v SWFC- 2/5
    Estimate for Oxford win at Millwall- 7/2
    Estimated Swansea win - 6/4 

    You'd need to be disciplined to take any winnings from Saturday and re-invest them when those estimated prices become available
    What thread was it?


    https://forum.charltonlife.com/discussion/101159/how-many-points-for-championship-survival-and-how-do-we-get-them/p28
  • fattmatt
    fattmatt Posts: 654
    edited April 24
    .
  • bobmunro
    bobmunro Posts: 21,620
    edited April 24
    swords_alive said:
    Following Bob munroe's example on a different thread, for anyone looking for a decent price for the 'unthinkable', singles will still get you to over 30/1, based on a couple of assumptions;

    Hull win - 6/4
    Oxford win v SWFC- 2/5
    Estimate for Oxford win at Millwall- 7/2
    Estimated Swansea win - 6/4 

    You'd need to be disciplined to take any winnings from Saturday and re-invest them when those estimated prices become available

    Your arithmetic is correct, but just to clarify it wouldn't be singles in betting terms - it would require a double on tomorrow's games and if we lose and Oxford win then all of the returns would become the stake on a subsequent double for the final games.

    E.g. £10 double at 6/4 and 2/5 returns £35 - then a £35 double at 7/2 and 6/4

    Return on second double = £393.75 so overall the price on us to be relegated would be 38.375/1

    Just a caveat though, as I said in my previous post, the estimated price for Oxford to beat Millwall would be significantly reduced if there is nothing in the game for Millwall (e.g. Ipswich win their next two games).

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