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Micah Mbick - 20/1/2026 The Athletic reporting Brighton have had 2 bids for him rejected (p12)
Comments
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Strikers are the most difficult in any transfer window - cost a fortune or could make you a fortune. The trick is to grow your own (and keep them long enough that they are worth a fortune) or uncover / develop the rough diamonds - but the likes of Ian Wright and Jamie Vardy from non-league are pretty much once in a generation.Think about our best strikers in recent memory? Mendonca - bargain from lower league at an older age, career cut short by injury. Darren Bent converted / developed from a wide player - and sold (thanks to relegation) at his peak. Kermorgant rescued from scrap heap by SCP and could have done so much more for us but for Roland’s stupidity. Lookman sold for a lot of money / potential. May and Godden both older / towards end of careers so affordable and capable of delivering for us. Just shows the difficulty and challenges though. How many others have we tried and failed with??Defoe slipped through our fingers. Mbick is already on the England talent list so I’m hoping we can either profit directly from his goals in the next couple of years or profit way more substantially than £5M.20
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Because some people have the ability to look beyond what a player is right now and see what they could potentially become if they develop their attributes. Brighton would be buying Mbick for his potential, not to play him now.Sword65pf said:Not sure how anyone can confidently say keeping or selling Mbick is a good decision or not until he’s had games in the championship. From what I’ve seen so far I have doubts he would do any better than what we have playing now.0 -
then no sale was done, just the froth of social media.Alwaysneil said:As Micah was not going to play for Brighton this season, why do they need to transfer his contract to Brighton in the transfer window. Why can't they just agree terms with the window shut, like a pre-contract? 😂0 -
Do those same people also have the ability to see what he might not become?Exiled_Addick said:
Because some people have the ability to look beyond what a player is right now and see what they could potentially become if they develop their attributes. Brighton would be buying Mbick for his potential, not to play him now.Sword65pf said:Not sure how anyone can confidently say keeping or selling Mbick is a good decision or not until he’s had games in the championship. From what I’ve seen so far I have doubts he would do any better than what we have playing now.3 -
Think he may be announced in the morning my question is if we have had 2M to spend on a player why did we not wrap up Sichenje at the start rather than at the end when we had identified him as a summer target origninallt must have come from somewhere0
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Driving a taxi.Chunes said:
People are talking about £5 million being a good deal... How would that fund a rise up the table next year...lolwray said:
Or could it be the catalyst for a rise up the table next year with the budget for stronger more experienced championship players.? I am sure Mbick would want to go in the same way that someone like Lee Bowyer would have wanted to go to Leeds ..we spent that money wisely.He really is totally unproven at any level above league 2 and although I share your cynicism to a degree it's just where we are now as we were in the LB instance..you have cited examples above with the club being on a downward curve ..provided we avoid relegation the cash we get for him could change us for the better and keep us on the up.PragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…
I can totally understand valuing seasoned pros by what level they have played at. But Mbick is nineteen... And he is rag-dolling seasoned pros at that level. What will he be doing in five years' time?0 -
I think there was a bit of money put aside in case we needed to buy Bree, we then didn't and made relatively cheap loan deals (on the whole). That and our defensive injury issues then convinced the owners to let us spend an extra £1mish. In the end most of the "extra" money gets covered by the Lookman transferCrispywood said:Think he may be announced in the morning my question is if we have had 2M to spend on a player why did we not wrap up Sichenje at the start rather than at the end when we had identified him as a summer target origninallt must have come from somewhere0 -
What if that (or league one) turns out to be his level though?Chunes said:
People are talking about £5 million being a good deal... How would that fund a rise up the table next year...lolwray said:
Or could it be the catalyst for a rise up the table next year with the budget for stronger more experienced championship players.? I am sure Mbick would want to go in the same way that someone like Lee Bowyer would have wanted to go to Leeds ..we spent that money wisely.He really is totally unproven at any level above league 2 and although I share your cynicism to a degree it's just where we are now as we were in the LB instance..you have cited examples above with the club being on a downward curve ..provided we avoid relegation the cash we get for him could change us for the better and keep us on the up.PragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…
I can totally understand valuing seasoned pros by what level they have played at. But Mbick is nineteen... And he is rag-dolling seasoned pros at that level. What will he be doing in five years' time?
What if we play him in the championship next season and he struggles?
What if he gets a bad injury between now and the summer?
It's all well and good the fans saying we should keep him (and yes i'd prefer it if we did), but the above are all very valid questions the board will probably be weighing up. 5m (if it is that) is not a small sum for a club like us.
You might sell him for 5m, he goes on to be the next Drogba and Brighton sell him to Chelsea for 75m in 3 years time.
You might sell him for 5m, he disappoints in a couple of loan spells and Brighton quietly sell him to a league one club in 3 years time.
It's impossible to say either way.1 -
I'd argue that 5m for a kid who's never scored above league two level is not 'giving him away'.PragueAddick said:
i’m talking about the business model as many fans think it is. Its not the model pursued by Sunderland (post Methven) or Ipswich to get them promoted from this division. People talk about “investing” the fee in supposedly more seasoned players. They forget that such players also come with seasoned salary demands. And then there is the Academy itself. M’bick is easily the most promising product through there since Lookman. If we give him away now for £5m -or probably less - you cant say the Academy earns its keep, if you then blow the money on afenaddick said:
Far too early to see with these owners if it is a business model or not. They’ve rejected offers for players before, it just doesn’t he spoken about. They aren’t selling at the first offer like TS. He might not even be gone. I’d save your anger until it’s confirmed and we have a vague idea of the feePragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…
modestly talented Championship player, which is all we’d get if you amortise the salary on top of say a £3m fee. And as for the line about no guarantees that he will fulfil his promise; there were no guarantees with Olaofe, Apter, or Kelman either. Yet very few minded that we were paying sizeable transfer fees to bring them in. Pity nobody insisted on a money-back guarantee for them!
Are there many other examples of fees that high for players who've only scored at that level?2 -
Leaburn must be worth about £50m based on his 100+ appearances and 20+ goals at League 1 level and above.2
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Ollie Watkins £7.25 millionChris_from_Sidcup said:
I'd argue that 5m for a kid who's never scored above league two level is not 'giving him away'.PragueAddick said:
i’m talking about the business model as many fans think it is. Its not the model pursued by Sunderland (post Methven) or Ipswich to get them promoted from this division. People talk about “investing” the fee in supposedly more seasoned players. They forget that such players also come with seasoned salary demands. And then there is the Academy itself. M’bick is easily the most promising product through there since Lookman. If we give him away now for £5m -or probably less - you cant say the Academy earns its keep, if you then blow the money on afenaddick said:
Far too early to see with these owners if it is a business model or not. They’ve rejected offers for players before, it just doesn’t he spoken about. They aren’t selling at the first offer like TS. He might not even be gone. I’d save your anger until it’s confirmed and we have a vague idea of the feePragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…
modestly talented Championship player, which is all we’d get if you amortise the salary on top of say a £3m fee. And as for the line about no guarantees that he will fulfil his promise; there were no guarantees with Olaofe, Apter, or Kelman either. Yet very few minded that we were paying sizeable transfer fees to bring them in. Pity nobody insisted on a money-back guarantee for them!
Are there many other examples of fees that high for players who've only scored at that level?2 -
Leaburn without injuries probably wouldn't be playing for is now and around £20m value as an experienced championship strikerWSS said:Leaburn must be worth about £50m based on his 100+ appearances and 20+ goals at League 1 level and above.3 -
You joke, but Leaburn has improved in the last few months, his hold up play is better, he’s fitter and pressing more effectively, he retains possession more often. He’s been winning plenty of headers all season.WSS said:Leaburn must be worth about £50m based on his 100+ appearances and 20+ goals at League 1 level and above.
If Clarke and Chambers can get more dangerous crosses in as they did vs Leicester then Leaburn will add goals to the above.
Do that and he’ll attract interest and be worth a big fee.
Colchester fans have often commented on Mbick’s hold up play, how he’s playing like an experienced target man. It is only L2, but it’s a role players usually grow into right into their late 20s and early 30s. Leaburn wasn’t consistently doing that at the same age (admittedly one division above), and that I imagine is a big reason Brighton are so keen. It’s not normal for a young striker to play that role so effectively, it shows a combination of technical ability, intelligence and physicality - they’ll be imagining what he could be in years to come.10 -
On the surface that’s a reasonable question, but IMO too crude a way to value a player. If you take Lookman, the one player for whom we got fair value at the time. Lookman basically had 12 months as a first team player here. In that time he scored 7 goals according to FotMob stats. Everton are said to have paid £7,5m up front with addons taking the fee to £11m. According to a detailed answer from Claude AI Everton’s revenues have risen 54% from that season to the 23/24 season. Everton of course are an under-achiever in the FAPL, and the bigger clubs have seen revenue rise by far more, due to big increases from European competitions. So that gives you a conservative benchmark of what Mbick might be worth if he stays with us a full season: £12m plus add-ons.Chris_from_Sidcup said:
I'd argue that 5m for a kid who's never scored above league two level is not 'giving him away'.PragueAddick said:
i’m talking about the business model as many fans think it is. Its not the model pursued by Sunderland (post Methven) or Ipswich to get them promoted from this division. People talk about “investing” the fee in supposedly more seasoned players. They forget that such players also come with seasoned salary demands. And then there is the Academy itself. M’bick is easily the most promising product through there since Lookman. If we give him away now for £5m -or probably less - you cant say the Academy earns its keep, if you then blow the money on afenaddick said:
Far too early to see with these owners if it is a business model or not. They’ve rejected offers for players before, it just doesn’t he spoken about. They aren’t selling at the first offer like TS. He might not even be gone. I’d save your anger until it’s confirmed and we have a vague idea of the feePragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…
modestly talented Championship player, which is all we’d get if you amortise the salary on top of say a £3m fee. And as for the line about no guarantees that he will fulfil his promise; there were no guarantees with Olaofe, Apter, or Kelman either. Yet very few minded that we were paying sizeable transfer fees to bring them in. Pity nobody insisted on a money-back guarantee for them!
Are there many other examples of fees that high for players who've only scored at that level?This of course will trigger people saying that Mbick isn’t as good as Lookman, etc. However they may first want to remind themselves what people on here wrote about Lookman at various stages during his 12 months in the squad.2 -
Lookman played for us in the Championship and then half a season in league one, so that's not really comparable to Mbick.PragueAddick said:
On the surface that’s a reasonable question, but IMO too crude a way to value a player. If you take Lookman, the one player for whom we got fair value at the time. Lookman basically had 12 months as a first team player here. In that time he scored 7 goals according to FotMob stats. Everton are said to have paid £7,5m up front with addons taking the fee to £11m. According to a detailed answer from Claude AI Everton’s revenues have risen 54% from that season to the 23/24 season. Everton of course are an under-achiever in the FAPL, and the bigger clubs have seen revenue rise by far more, due to big increases from European competitions. So that gives you a conservative benchmark of what Mbick might be worth if he stays with us a full season: £12m plus add-ons.Chris_from_Sidcup said:
I'd argue that 5m for a kid who's never scored above league two level is not 'giving him away'.PragueAddick said:
i’m talking about the business model as many fans think it is. Its not the model pursued by Sunderland (post Methven) or Ipswich to get them promoted from this division. People talk about “investing” the fee in supposedly more seasoned players. They forget that such players also come with seasoned salary demands. And then there is the Academy itself. M’bick is easily the most promising product through there since Lookman. If we give him away now for £5m -or probably less - you cant say the Academy earns its keep, if you then blow the money on afenaddick said:
Far too early to see with these owners if it is a business model or not. They’ve rejected offers for players before, it just doesn’t he spoken about. They aren’t selling at the first offer like TS. He might not even be gone. I’d save your anger until it’s confirmed and we have a vague idea of the feePragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…
modestly talented Championship player, which is all we’d get if you amortise the salary on top of say a £3m fee. And as for the line about no guarantees that he will fulfil his promise; there were no guarantees with Olaofe, Apter, or Kelman either. Yet very few minded that we were paying sizeable transfer fees to bring them in. Pity nobody insisted on a money-back guarantee for them!
Are there many other examples of fees that high for players who've only scored at that level?This of course will trigger people saying that Mbick isn’t as good as Lookman, etc. However they may first want to remind themselves what people on here wrote about Lookman at various stages during his 12 months in the squad.4 -
£20 Mill for Leaburn turn it in3
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This isn't strictly true. They ended up getting a decent amount but not immediately.Red_Chester said:
Ollie Watkins £7.25 millionChris_from_Sidcup said:
I'd argue that 5m for a kid who's never scored above league two level is not 'giving him away'.PragueAddick said:
i’m talking about the business model as many fans think it is. Its not the model pursued by Sunderland (post Methven) or Ipswich to get them promoted from this division. People talk about “investing” the fee in supposedly more seasoned players. They forget that such players also come with seasoned salary demands. And then there is the Academy itself. M’bick is easily the most promising product through there since Lookman. If we give him away now for £5m -or probably less - you cant say the Academy earns its keep, if you then blow the money on afenaddick said:
Far too early to see with these owners if it is a business model or not. They’ve rejected offers for players before, it just doesn’t he spoken about. They aren’t selling at the first offer like TS. He might not even be gone. I’d save your anger until it’s confirmed and we have a vague idea of the feePragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…
modestly talented Championship player, which is all we’d get if you amortise the salary on top of say a £3m fee. And as for the line about no guarantees that he will fulfil his promise; there were no guarantees with Olaofe, Apter, or Kelman either. Yet very few minded that we were paying sizeable transfer fees to bring them in. Pity nobody insisted on a money-back guarantee for them!
Are there many other examples of fees that high for players who've only scored at that level?
"Watkins was sold to Brentford for an initial fee of £1.8 million.
When Watkins moved from Brentford to Aston Villa for a fee of £28 million (potentially rising to £33 million), Exeter City received approximately £4 million as a result of their 15% sell-on clause on the profit.
Subsequent performance-related bonuses (such as his England debut and further appearances) brought in an additional £450,000 to £750,000, bringing the total received to just over £6 million."
So they got 1.8m + add-ons.
I suspect if we can get around 4-5m + decent add-ons then we'll have done well comparative to the level he's played at.0 -
It’s quite clear Prague, that this lot don’t have the money we were led to believe. Look at this transfer window. Loans and freebies.PragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…3 -
Watkins had also played 3 full seasons (two at league two, and one at conference south) by that time - so really once again, hardly comparable to Mbick.Chris_from_Sidcup said:
This isn't strictly true. They ended up getting a decent amount but not immediately.Red_Chester said:
Ollie Watkins £7.25 millionChris_from_Sidcup said:
I'd argue that 5m for a kid who's never scored above league two level is not 'giving him away'.PragueAddick said:
i’m talking about the business model as many fans think it is. Its not the model pursued by Sunderland (post Methven) or Ipswich to get them promoted from this division. People talk about “investing” the fee in supposedly more seasoned players. They forget that such players also come with seasoned salary demands. And then there is the Academy itself. M’bick is easily the most promising product through there since Lookman. If we give him away now for £5m -or probably less - you cant say the Academy earns its keep, if you then blow the money on afenaddick said:
Far too early to see with these owners if it is a business model or not. They’ve rejected offers for players before, it just doesn’t he spoken about. They aren’t selling at the first offer like TS. He might not even be gone. I’d save your anger until it’s confirmed and we have a vague idea of the feePragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…
modestly talented Championship player, which is all we’d get if you amortise the salary on top of say a £3m fee. And as for the line about no guarantees that he will fulfil his promise; there were no guarantees with Olaofe, Apter, or Kelman either. Yet very few minded that we were paying sizeable transfer fees to bring them in. Pity nobody insisted on a money-back guarantee for them!
Are there many other examples of fees that high for players who've only scored at that level?
"Watkins was sold to Brentford for an initial fee of £1.8 million.
When Watkins moved from Brentford to Aston Villa for a fee of £28 million (potentially rising to £33 million), Exeter City received approximately £4 million as a result of their 15% sell-on clause on the profit.
Subsequent performance-related bonuses (such as his England debut and further appearances) brought in an additional £450,000 to £750,000, bringing the total received to just over £6 million."
So they got 1.8m + add-ons.
I suspect if we can get around 4-5m + decent add-ons then we'll have done well comparative to the level he's played at.
Conveniently ignoring Sichenje?The Red Robin said:
It’s quite clear Prague, that this lot don’t have the money we were led to believe. Look at this transfer window. Loans and freebies.PragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…6 -
I think this just comes down to personal risk tolerance. But our owners are finance people and complex investors. They understand risk versus projected value.Chris_from_Sidcup said:
What if that (or league one) turns out to be his level though?Chunes said:
People are talking about £5 million being a good deal... How would that fund a rise up the table next year...lolwray said:
Or could it be the catalyst for a rise up the table next year with the budget for stronger more experienced championship players.? I am sure Mbick would want to go in the same way that someone like Lee Bowyer would have wanted to go to Leeds ..we spent that money wisely.He really is totally unproven at any level above league 2 and although I share your cynicism to a degree it's just where we are now as we were in the LB instance..you have cited examples above with the club being on a downward curve ..provided we avoid relegation the cash we get for him could change us for the better and keep us on the up.PragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…
I can totally understand valuing seasoned pros by what level they have played at. But Mbick is nineteen... And he is rag-dolling seasoned pros at that level. What will he be doing in five years' time?
What if we play him in the championship next season and he struggles?
What if he gets a bad injury between now and the summer?
It's all well and good the fans saying we should keep him (and yes i'd prefer it if we did), but the above are all very valid questions the board will probably be weighing up. 5m (if it is that) is not a small sum for a club like us.
You might sell him for 5m, he goes on to be the next Drogba and Brighton sell him to Chelsea for 75m in 3 years time.
You might sell him for 5m, he disappoints in a couple of loan spells and Brighton quietly sell him to a league one club in 3 years time.
It's impossible to say either way.
I'm sure they would sell an asset at £5 million if there was no realistic path to it being worth £15 million in a few years.
But I don't think investors like them will rush to cash out high-growth assets just because outcomes are uncertain. It's the uncertainty that creates the upside in the first place.
If they believe there's credible upside beyond that, the rational play is to hold.
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I am hoping the thread title which mentions bids rejected is a bit of an indicator in all this.
If Mbick is so rubbish, so unproven, so inexperienced, then either that is a wrong judgement or a lot of people recognise his quality and potential, or the two rejected bids were fifty pence, and a pound.0 -
Wonder if he's been promised a new deal and place in the matchday squad next season?1
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He signed a new deal last summer but we'll have a space in the squad for a target man with Dykes contract coming to an end, so I wouldn't rule him being part of the first team next season.WSS said:Wonder if he's been promised a new deal and place in the matchday squad next season?
I don't think this is necessarily the end of Brighton's interest. May also be other clubs having a look if he continues improving at Colchester.2 -
It is a - conservative- benchmark for his value if he stays with us next season and performs as well as Lookman did.Chris_from_Sidcup said:
Lookman played for us in the Championship and then half a season in league one, so that's not really comparable to Mbick.PragueAddick said:
On the surface that’s a reasonable question, but IMO too crude a way to value a player. If you take Lookman, the one player for whom we got fair value at the time. Lookman basically had 12 months as a first team player here. In that time he scored 7 goals according to FotMob stats. Everton are said to have paid £7,5m up front with addons taking the fee to £11m. According to a detailed answer from Claude AI Everton’s revenues have risen 54% from that season to the 23/24 season. Everton of course are an under-achiever in the FAPL, and the bigger clubs have seen revenue rise by far more, due to big increases from European competitions. So that gives you a conservative benchmark of what Mbick might be worth if he stays with us a full season: £12m plus add-ons.Chris_from_Sidcup said:
I'd argue that 5m for a kid who's never scored above league two level is not 'giving him away'.PragueAddick said:
i’m talking about the business model as many fans think it is. Its not the model pursued by Sunderland (post Methven) or Ipswich to get them promoted from this division. People talk about “investing” the fee in supposedly more seasoned players. They forget that such players also come with seasoned salary demands. And then there is the Academy itself. M’bick is easily the most promising product through there since Lookman. If we give him away now for £5m -or probably less - you cant say the Academy earns its keep, if you then blow the money on afenaddick said:
Far too early to see with these owners if it is a business model or not. They’ve rejected offers for players before, it just doesn’t he spoken about. They aren’t selling at the first offer like TS. He might not even be gone. I’d save your anger until it’s confirmed and we have a vague idea of the feePragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…
modestly talented Championship player, which is all we’d get if you amortise the salary on top of say a £3m fee. And as for the line about no guarantees that he will fulfil his promise; there were no guarantees with Olaofe, Apter, or Kelman either. Yet very few minded that we were paying sizeable transfer fees to bring them in. Pity nobody insisted on a money-back guarantee for them!
Are there many other examples of fees that high for players who've only scored at that level?This of course will trigger people saying that Mbick isn’t as good as Lookman, etc. However they may first want to remind themselves what people on here wrote about Lookman at various stages during his 12 months in the squad.It’s conservative because the revenues of the Big 6 have moved up far more than the rest, and revenues of European clubs have also generally greatly improved, (France being an exception when you take Plastic Saint-Germain out of the analysis). All of this inflation filters down the English pyramid. However revenues in the Championship have not gone up to match this inflation, due to us surrendering control of TV money to FAPL club owners since 1991. That is why the Championship is rated by club finance directors as the biggest financial basket case of the lot. You have to pay £2m or more for strikers who cannot manage to score more than 3 goals by February. And that is why it does my head in that we are prepared to let young talent go at the first whiff of money.
All that said, he hasn’t gone. Maybe I have once again under-estimated Big Jim. I hope so. I also hope he doesnt read CL, since I would very much like to see Mbick scoring in front of the Covered End. Is that really such a big ask?1 -
It makes no sense. We get kids in at 9 years old and spend the next 9 years looking after them for what they may become. Then, as you say, as soon as money is offered, some posters flip to what they may not become.PragueAddick said:
It is a - conservative- benchmark for his value if he stays with us next season and performs as well as Lookman did.GChris_from_Sidcup said:
Lookman played for us in the Championship and then half a season in league one, so that's not really comparable to Mbick.PragueAddick said:
On the surface that’s a reasonable question, but IMO too crude a way to value a player. If you take Lookman, the one player for whom we got fair value at the time. Lookman basically had 12 months as a first team player here. In that time he scored 7 goals according to FotMob stats. Everton are said to have paid £7,5m up front with addons taking the fee to £11m. According to a detailed answer from Claude AI Everton’s revenues have risen 54% from that season to the 23/24 season. Everton of course are an under-achiever in the FAPL, and the bigger clubs have seen revenue rise by far more, due to big increases from European competitions. So that gives you a conservative benchmark of what Mbick might be worth if he stays with us a full season: £12m plus add-ons.Chris_from_Sidcup said:
I'd argue that 5m for a kid who's never scored above league two level is not 'giving him away'.PragueAddick said:
i’m talking about the business model as many fans think it is. Its not the model pursued by Sunderland (post Methven) or Ipswich to get them promoted from this division. People talk about “investing” the fee in supposedly more seasoned players. They forget that such players also come with seasoned salary demands. And then there is the Academy itself. M’bick is easily the most promising product through there since Lookman. If we give him away now for £5m -or probably less - you cant say the Academy earns its keep, if you then blow the money on afenaddick said:
Far too early to see with these owners if it is a business model or not. They’ve rejected offers for players before, it just doesn’t he spoken about. They aren’t selling at the first offer like TS. He might not even be gone. I’d save your anger until it’s confirmed and we have a vague idea of the feePragueAddick said:
And no apologies for it. I thought we finally had serious owners, and maybe we do but they are listening to Rodwell. This is not the “business model” you and others think it is. With the exception of Lookman, it is the dismal pattern of our post FAPL demise: Gomez, Konsa, Shelvey all sold at least a season too soon and for no positive “business” result. I’m so sick of it.WSS said:You seem unusually very emotional about this Prague…
modestly talented Championship player, which is all we’d get if you amortise the salary on top of say a £3m fee. And as for the line about no guarantees that he will fulfil his promise; there were no guarantees with Olaofe, Apter, or Kelman either. Yet very few minded that we were paying sizeable transfer fees to bring them in. Pity nobody insisted on a money-back guarantee for them!
Are there many other examples of fees that high for players who've only scored at that level?This of course will trigger people saying that Mbick isn’t as good as Lookman, etc. However they may first want to remind themselves what people on here wrote about Lookman at various stages during his 12 months in the squad.It’s conservative because the revenues of the Big 6 have moved up far more than the rest, and revenues of European clubs have also generally greatly improved, (France being an exception when you take Plastic Saint-Germain out of the analysis). All of this inflation filters down the English pyramid. However revenues in the Championship have not gone up to match this inflation, due to us surrendering control of TV money to FAPL club owners since 1991. That is why the Championship is rated by club finance directors as the biggest financial basket case of the lot. You have to pay £2m or more for strikers who cannot manage to score more than 3 goals by February. And that is why it does my head in that we are prepared to let young talent go at the first whiff of money.
All that said, he hasn’t gone. Maybe I have once again under-estimated Big Jim. I hope so. I also hope he doesnt read CL, since I would very much like to see Mbick scoring in front of the Covered End. Is that really such a big ask?
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I think the Dykes deal made sense for both player and club. Dykes has the World Cup approaching and can't prepare for that rotting in Birmingham's reserves and I suspect they decided to do the right thing for him. We have quite a few striking options that could easily kick into place next season.3
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We had a similar discussion about Burstow when we sold him to Chelsea. He is 22 now and is back to playing in League 1, on loan at Bolton, having been sold by Chelsea to Hull. He has 8 goals this season from 35 appearances of which one has come in his last 23 matches. Had we not sold him, he still wouldn't have been playing for us now in the Championship.
There really aren't that many English strikers who make it as an international or even in the PL. For every Toney or Watkins there are loads who don't kick on. Look at Cameron Archer - Southampton paid £15m for him - he scored two goals in a whole season in the PL and has another two in the Championship so far to make it four goals in 54 appearances. And he's 24 now.
£5m would be decent but the key for me is that sell-on clause. Something like 30% could be very big but if turns out not to be that much then the probability is that Mbick turned out to be not as good as we had hoped he would.7 -
The sell-on clause for Joe Gomez hasn't done us much good!
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By the time he leaves Liverpool I suspect it will be on a free transfer, a reward for his loyalty!2
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Gomez is a bit of an exception though. How many players these days stay more than a decade at the same club? More to the point, how many other players that we've sold in the last 30 or so years to a team above us and worth anything meaningful have done that? I'm struggling to think of any.Chunes said:The sell-on clause for Joe Gomez hasn't done us much good!
Burstow, Konsa. Grant, Lookman, Aribo, Cousins, Pope, Poyet, Ajayi, Jenkinson, Elliot, Shelvey, Konchesky and Parker were all either moved on within a few years or didn't turn out to be as good as we thought they were going to be.1














