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World Cup 2026 - USA/Canada/Mexico

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  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 66,476
    edited June 25
    Callumcafc said:
    Callumcafc said:
    As it stands, the likely round of 32:

    Germany v Paraguay
    France v Sweden
    South Korea v Switzerland
    Morocco v Netherlands

    Croatia v Portugal
    Spain v Austria
    USA v Bosnia
    Belgium v Czechia

    Brazil v Japan
    Ivory Coast v Norway
    Mexico v Scotland
    England v DR Congo

    Argentina v Uruguay
    Australia v Egypt
    Canada v Algeria
    Colombia v Ghana
    Now everyone has played twice, and running thousands of simulations based on Betfair Exchange odds for the final group games, here are the most likely R32 fixtures:

    Germany v Paraguay (46.5% likely)
    France v Sweden (50.2%)
    South Korea v Switzerland (49.9%)
    Netherlands v Morocco (53.5%)

    Colombia v Croatia (23.2%)
    Spain v Austria (61.3%)
    USA v Bosnia (69.3%)
    Egypt v Czechia (13.4%)

    Brazil v Japan (39.7%)
    Ivory Coast v Norway (78.1%)
    Mexico v Scotland (49.8%)
    England v DR Congo (44.6%)

    Argentina v Cape Verde (55.0%)
    Australia v Belgium (36.5%)
    Canada v Algeria (17.3%)
    Portugal v Ghana (27.7%)

    Teams in bold are confirmed in position as group winners.



    Following the completion of Groups A, B and C:

    Germany v Paraguay (46.1%)
    France v Sweden (39.9%)
    South Africa v Canada (100%)
    Netherlands v Morocco (80.7%)

    Portugal v Croatia (23.0%)
    Spain v Austria (61.6%)
    USA v Bosnia (99.9%)
    Egypt v South Korea (50.2%)

    Brazil v Japan (61.8%)
    Ivory Coast v Norway (78.4%)
    Mexico v Scotland (23.5%)
    England v DR Congo (45.0%)

    Argentina v Cape Verde (55.6%)
    Australia v Belgium (35.6%)
    Switzerland v Algeria (42.6%)
    Colombia v Ghana (28.0%)

    Teams in bold locked in position. Simulation cannot make up its mind on which ties Colombia and Portugal end up in - a true coin toss scenario. 

    Other than that, it looks like Scotland are the most vulnerable with Mexico having numerous possible opponents.
  • MrOneLung
    MrOneLung Posts: 27,816
    i still think Scotland gonna get through
  • letthegoodtimesroll
    letthegoodtimesroll Posts: 11,413
    Chunes said:
    I'd like to know where this famous Scottish fighting spirit is... 
    the local bars ran out of it…

    Dykes should have started those last two games. He spent half a season up front for Charlton where he had to let the opposition defence know he was there. He would have given them a backbone from the start.
  • MrLargo
    MrLargo Posts: 8,067
    MrOneLung said:
    i still think Scotland gonna get through
    Thanks to South Africa winning last night, they need a minor miracle for that to happen.
  • MrOneLung
    MrOneLung Posts: 27,816
    the super computer was giving them 47% chance this morning 
  • ForeverAddickted
    ForeverAddickted Posts: 100,137
    Cabo Verde / Belgium are the two obvious ones you'd be worried about as a Scotland fan
    But in Cabo Verde's Group are Uruguay who are only on 2-pts themselves and face Spain so could save them
    Even then DR Congo could knock them out, as they've got Uzbekistan to end with
  • Chunes
    Chunes Posts: 18,459
    edited June 25
    Suprised by how poor South Korea have been. There's a lot of technical ability in that team but they seem to be playing an ugly brand of football. I notice they've kept the same manager on from their 2014 WC disaster. 
  • AndyG
    AndyG Posts: 6,389
    Just had a look at the as it stands knockout rounds, if things go as predicted England if they get themselves into gear will never have a better chance to get to the final. 
  • Chris_from_Sidcup
    Chris_from_Sidcup Posts: 37,457
    edited June 25
    MrOneLung said:
    i still think Scotland gonna get through
    Group A - done
    Group B - done
    Group C - Scotland have -3 GD
    Group D - a Paraguay win by no more than 3, a draw or Australia win by just 1 goal, puts them both above Scotland.
    Group E - Scotland need Germany and Ivory Coast to win (or 2 draws)
    Group F - if Sweden don't lose by more than 3 they will be above Scotland
    Group G - Belgium should beat NZ, which means they need Egypt to beat Iran.
    Group H - If Spain beat Uruguay, then 3rd in this group cannot finish above Scotland.
    Group I - a Senegal win v Iraq puts them above Scotland
    Group J - a draw, Austria win by no more than 1 goal, or Algeria win by no more than 3 puts them above Scotland.
    Group K - a Congo win v Uzbekistan puts them above Scotland
    Group L - a Croatia win or draw and any 3rd placed side is above Scotland.

    I'd say that Groups E & H are probably the most likely to go in their favour.
    F, I, K & L seem unlikely to go their way.

    Which basically means they are quite likely praying for 2 groups out of D, G & J to go their way.
  • conker
    conker Posts: 81
    letthegoodtimesroll said:
    Swindon_Addick said:
    North Lower Neil said:
    lordromford said:
    North Lower Neil said:
    Head to head records being ahead of goal difference is so crap.  There's less jeopardy and drama in the group stage anyway with 3 teams going through in 8 groups, but H2H means even more has already been decided before the last games.
    I have a theory that they made the group stage of this World Cup as stupid as they possibly could so that they can expand it to 64 teams next time, safe in the knowledge that everyone will just be happy it’s not this shitshow again.
    They would’ve got a lot of backlash if they’d expanded from 32 to 64 in one step, so this was their next best option.
    64 is far too big in my opinion, but at least it would work properly and would make sense.
    Italy might even qualify in a 64 team one.
    Italy must surely be looking at Bosnia having qualified from their group and wondering how on earth things worked out this way.

    The reason, of course, being that it happened because Italy were unable to beat Bosnia in a playoff.
    Italy shouldn’t be relying upon the play offs in the first place. To those of us of a certain generation it’s unbelievable how they can repeatedly be so shit. Funny, but unbelievable.
    .

    For 2018 Italy were in a qualifying group with Spain.

    I would not laugh at them too much with UEFAs new idea for qualifying groups the top teams are going to have to play some other top teams. With Englands record against other top teams we could end up in the play offs.

    And any team can lose a one off play-off match.

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  • sam3110
    sam3110 Posts: 23,450
    Germany score within 2 mins
  • Elthamaddick
    Elthamaddick Posts: 16,401
    High foot surely, be disappointed if that was allowed to stand against us 
  • Talal
    Talal Posts: 11,851
    Not sure how that hasn't been ruled out. VAR is odd.
  • Off_it
    Off_it Posts: 29,368
    edited June 25
    Elthamaddick said:
    High foot surely, be disappointed if that was allowed to stand against us 
    You will never see a higher foot than that. I mean, fair play to him for getting it that high, but it's a free kick all day long.

    Only it's not, apparently.
  • guinnessaddick
    guinnessaddick Posts: 30,520
    Off_it said:
    Elthamaddick said:
    High foot surely, be disappointed if that was allowed to stand against us 
    You will never see a higher foot than that!
    Normal for a German.
  • sam3110
    sam3110 Posts: 23,450
    Must say Germany are looking a different beast to a few years ago
  • KBslittlesis
    KBslittlesis Posts: 9,104
    Get in!!!!!!!!
  • McBobbin
    McBobbin Posts: 12,181
    That was an absolute zinger 
  • McBobbin
    McBobbin Posts: 12,181
    guinnessaddick said:
    Off_it said:
    Elthamaddick said:
    High foot surely, be disappointed if that was allowed to stand against us 
    You will never see a higher foot than that!
    Normal for a German.
    Got Basil Fawlty in my head now
  • EugenesAxe
    EugenesAxe Posts: 4,751
    awful defending NJ woulda done his nut

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  • philcafc
    philcafc Posts: 4,129
    Looks like this might be a good one.
  • fenaddick
    fenaddick Posts: 19,493
    A shame Curacao conceded early, made an interesting game slightly less interesting 
  • EugenesAxe
    EugenesAxe Posts: 4,751
    this ref likes the sound of her own whistle
  • ForeverAddickted
    ForeverAddickted Posts: 100,137
    Could really do with Ecuador winning this, so they end up 3rd on 4-pts ;)
  • Addick Addict
    Addick Addict Posts: 42,357
    Didn't have four Sunderland players scoring in this World Cup on my bingo card
  • EugenesAxe
    EugenesAxe Posts: 4,751
    Is there German who's name translates as sausage?
  • AndyG
    AndyG Posts: 6,389
    I know they are cruising having already qualified but so far this German team haven’t looked like they will pose any threat to the top teams. Saying that watch them knock France out lol
  • McBobbin
    McBobbin Posts: 12,181
    EugenesAxe said:
    Is there German who's name translates as sausage?
    Sadly it's wirtz rather than wurst... Though apparently it does mean "innkeeper"
  • Shag
    Shag Posts: 4,593
     Schweinsteiger means pig mounter 
  • WSS
    WSS Posts: 25,423
    Kuntz

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