Norwich City
Played: 32
Points: 66
Points Per Game: 2.06
Points Left Available: 42
Points Needed:
to guarentee the Championship: 26 (1.86)
to guarentee Automatic Promotion: 22 (1.57)
to potentially get Automatic Promotion: 19 (1.36)
to guarentee a Play Off Place: 15 (1.07)
to potentially get a Play Off Place: 9 (0.64)
to Stay Up: -14 (Norwich cant go down)
Leeds United
Played: 31
Points: 63
Points Per Game: 2.03
Points Left Available: 45
Points Needed:
to guarentee the Championship: 29 (1.93)
to guarentee Automatic Promotion: 25 (1.67)
to potentially get Automatic Promotion: 22 (1.47)
to guarentee a Play Off Place: 18 (1.20)
to potentially get a Play Off Place: 12 (0.80)
to Stay Up: -11 (Leeds cant go down)
Charlton Athletic
Played: 32
Points: 60
Points Per Game: 1.88
Points Left Available: 42
Points Needed:
to guarentee the Championship: 32 (2.29)
to guarentee Automatic Promotion: 28 (2.00)
to potentially get Automatic Promotion: 25 (1.79)
to guarentee a Play Off Place: 21 (1.50)
to potentially get a Play Off Place: 15 (1.07)
to Stay Up: -8 (Charlton cant go down)
Colchester United
Played: 32
Points: 62
Points Per Game: 1.94
Points Left Available: 42
Points Needed:
to guarentee the Championship: 30 (2.14)
to guarentee Automatic Promotion: 26 (1.86)
to potentially get Automatic Promotion: 23 (1.64)
to guarentee a Play Off Place: 19 (1.36)
to potentially get a Play Off Place: 13 (0.93)
to Stay Up: -10 (Colchester cant go down)
Swindon Town
Played: 30
Points: 56
Points Per Game: 1.87
Points Left Available: 48
Points Needed:
to guarentee the Championship: 36 (2.25)
to guarentee Automatic Promotion: 32 (2.00)
to potentially get Automatic Promotion: 29 (1.81)
to guarentee a Play Off Place: 25 (1.56)
to potentially get a Play Off Place: 19 (1.19)
to Stay Up: -4 (Swindon cant go down)
Millwall
Played: 31
Points: 52
Points Per Game: 1.68
Points Left Available: 45
Points Needed:
to guarentee the Championship: 40 (2.67)
to guarentee Automatic Promotion: 36 (2.40)
to potentially get Automatic Promotion: 33 (2.20)
to guarentee a Play Off Place: 29 (1.93)
to potentially get a Play Off Place: 23 (1.53)
to Stay Up: 0 (Millwall cant go down)
Huddersfield Town
Played: 31
Points: 54
Points Per Game: 1.74
Points Left Available: 45
Points Needed:
to guarentee the Championship: 38 (2.53)
to guarentee Automatic Promotion: 34 (2.27)
to potentially get Automatic Promotion: 31 (2.07)
to guarentee a Play Off Place: 27 (1.80)
to potentially get a Play Off Place: 21 (1.40)
to Stay Up: -2 (Huddersfield cant go down)
MK Dons
Played: 31
Points: 49
Points Per Game: 1.58
Points Left Available: 45
Points Needed:
to guarentee the Championship: 43 (2.87)
to guarentee Automatic Promotion: 39 (2.60)
to potentially get Automatic Promotion: 36 (2.40)
to guarentee a Play Off Place: 32 (2.13)
to potentially get a Play Off Place: 26 (1.73)
to Stay Up: 3 (0.20)
edit; updating
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Comments
65
64
63 - Leeds +28 (1)
62 - Colchester +18
61
60 - Charlton +21
59
58
57
56 - Swindon +12 (2)
55
54 - Huddersfield +23 (1)
53
52 - Millwall +12 (1)
51
50
49 - MK Dons +3 (1)
In saying that, League 1 this year could be another outlier
I think 10 wins and 2 draws from our last 14 games will see us up. As to whether we'll get 10 wins and 2 draws.....
From 8 of the last 10 league seasons,
The Champions
Highest Points Total: 100
Lowest Points Total: 82
Average Points Total: 92.6
Guarenteed Points Total: 92
Automatic Promotion
Highest Points Total: 91
Lowest Points Total: 79
Average Points Total: 85
Guarenteed Points Total: 88
Third Place
Highest Points Total: 87
Lowest Points Total: 76
Average Points Total: 82
Guarenteed Points Total: 85
Fourth Place
Highest Points Total: 84
Lowest Points Total: 73
Average Points Total: 79.1
Guarenteed Points Total: 83
Fifth Place
Highest Points Total: 82
Lowest Points Total: 72
Average Points Total: 76.7
Guarenteed Points Total: 82
Sixth Place
Highest Points Total: 81
Lowest Points Total: 71
Average Points Total: 75.1
Guarenteed Points Total: 81
WE ARE SAFE!!!!!
We can stop playing now...
Where's Jake and his graphs?
We're more likely to get 2 wins and 10 draws!
This leaves 7 games where ideally we should be picking up maximum points to compensate for ones potentially lost against better teams. Of course we won't win them all but we need to be looking at 18+ points (at least 6 wins) to slightly cushion ourselves in the tougher games.
Any team should be as scared of us as we are of them, we are where we are in the league for a reason. It appears a difficult task when you play with the numbers, but it's still very possible that we could be sitting in the top two at the end of the season.