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Now this is very anorack!

13

Comments

  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    Callumcafc said:

    Party time!!! 1 in 9 chance of going down is looking a lot healthier!

    And just like that.....1 in 4
  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    Updated....

    Yeovil - 95.4%
    Barnsley - 91.9%
    Blackpool - 38.9%
    Doncaster - 27.3%
    Charlton - 25.8%
    Millwall - 17.1%
    Birmingham - 3.6%
  • sm
    sm Posts: 2,958
    Mendonca In Asdas said:

    image

    Someone didn't get the sea of red message.

  • Halix
    Halix Posts: 2,237
    I'll think you'll find, hopefully without being too pedantic har har, that Anorack is spelt Anorak (well thats what it says in all 37 of mine!).
  • doronron
    doronron Posts: 817
    Halix said:

    I'll think you'll find, hopefully without being too pedantic har har, that Anorack is spelt Anorak (well thats what it says in all 37 of mine!).

    Well spotted,that was very Anorak of you

  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    This is looking rather sexy now.....yes, we are only 2 points ahead of others but it would take 4 or 5 teams all picking up a couple of points to send us down.

    Yeovil - 100% - (well 99.967% to be exact)
    Barnsley - 97.4%
    Blackpool - 35.7%
    Doncaster - 26.7%
    Millwall - 25%
    Birmingham - 10.8%
    Charlton - 4.5%
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,764
    Mega like!
  • MrOneLung
    MrOneLung Posts: 26,853
    Halix said:

    I'll think you'll find, hopefully without being too pedantic har har, that Anorack is spelt Anorak (well thats what it says in all 37 of mine!).

    Think you will find har har is spelt ha ha. Smiley face thingy.
  • cafcfan
    cafcfan Posts: 11,198
    I thought anorak was spelt cagoule....
    Hey, look our very own periodical:
    anorakmagazine.com/
    or there's anorakonline.co.uk/
    Can we get our erstwhile midfielder's name changed to Scott Parka?
  • Mundell Fleming
    Mundell Fleming Posts: 854
    stackitsteve said:

    This is looking rather sexy now.....yes, we are only 2 points ahead of others but it would take 4 or 5 teams all picking up a couple of points to send us down.

    Yeovil - 100% - (well 99.967% to be exact)
    Barnsley - 97.4%
    Blackpool - 35.7%
    Doncaster - 26.7%
    Millwall - 25%
    Birmingham - 10.8%
    Charlton - 4.5%

    Doesn't feel like it does it, but we are now less likely to be relegated than at any time this season, including before we kicked off against Bournemouth on the opening day.
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  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,764
    edited April 2014
    Taking our fixtures out of the equation:

    CAFC relegated on 45 points: 32.9% chance.
    CAFC relegated on 46 points: 7.2% chance.
    CAFC relegated on 47 points: 0.6% chance.
    CAFC relegated on 48 points: 0.0% chance.
    CAFC relegated on 49 points: 0.0% chance.

    Relegation on 50+ points is impossible this season.
  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    I wonder why I was so keen to update this? ;-)

    Birmingham 59.4%
    Doncaster 35.7%
    Millwall 4.6%
    Blackpool 0.3%

    oh and......Charlton 0.0%
  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    They have finally added this years table to what is one of my favourite sites...

    For what it's worth at this early stage we are currently 8.1% chance of promotion and 0.7 chance of relegation.
    53% to finish between 6th and 12th inclusive.

    Before tonight's draw with Fulham, Blackpools relegation percentage was 92.2
  • Oggy Red
    Oggy Red Posts: 44,955
    stackitsteve said:


    For what it's worth at this early stage we are currently 8.1% chance of promotion and 0.7 chance of relegation.
    53% to finish between 6th and 12th inclusive.

    That not what Ooaah says.

    ;o)
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,764
    Love this. Glad it's back!
  • JakeCAFC_94
    JakeCAFC_94 Posts: 660
    Bump.

    http://www.sportsclubstats.com/England/ChampionshipLeague.html

    7.2% chance of the drop before today's game. Wonder where we will stand after the update.
  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    http://www.sportsclubstats.com/England/ChampionshipLeague.html

    Relegation chances down to 1.0%
  • Absurdistan
    Absurdistan Posts: 8,024
    If we win the next 14 games will be on 81 points = 0.8% of winning the championship but 29.4% chance of promotion. COYA's
  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    14 points from our remaining 14 games
    Would mean less than 0.1% chance of going down.

    http://www.sportsclubstats.com/England/Charlton.html
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,764
    According to this site we have a 1/29,500 chance of being promoted and a 1/444 chance of being relegated. :-)

    The stats say 11th to 14th is most likely (around 47% chance).
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  • Salad
    Salad Posts: 10,189
    edited March 2015
    I can't see what it reckons our chances of making the play-offs are but I think this site is now saying we have a 0.00178% chance of promotion ... so probably about 1 in 15000 chance of making the play-offs ... game on!

    (Millwall 96% chance of relegation)
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,764
    If we win all 7 of our games, it says we have a 5% chance of making the play-offs.
  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    Thought I'd bump this as our chances of survival are now at the much loved figure of 2%

    2.1% to be exact...
    http://www.sportsclubstats.com/England/Championship.html
  • SDAddick
    SDAddick Posts: 14,467
    This is beautiful, it's the FiveThirtyEight of footy.

    The American Approves.
  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    Now 99.1% chance of relegation.
    To have a greater than 50% chance of survival we would need 48 points.
  • Fiiish
    Fiiish Posts: 7,998
    edited March 2016
    stackitsteve said:

    Now 99.1% chance of relegation.
    To have a greater than 50% chance of survival we would need 48 points.

    image
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,764
    Depressing as it is, I still love this site.
  • Salad
    Salad Posts: 10,189
    it's getting better, down to 98.1% chance of relegation : http://www.sportsclubstats.com/England/CharltonAthletic.html
    i.e. chance of survival has more than doubled ffrom 0.9% 10 1.9% ;-)
  • elthamaddict
    elthamaddict Posts: 41
    Let's round to whole numbers .2 percent chance of survival and we all associate with that percentage. ..
  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    Need 4 wins from our last 7 games to have a better than 50% chance of survival.

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