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General Election 2015 official thread

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  • Never ever ever do I want labour again.
  • Wonder how many views and comments this thread will have by midnight on the eve of Election Day? In fact will it survive through to Election Day?

    I think it will survive, it will have at least 130,000 views and 2,300 comments.
  • Wonder how many views and comments this thread will have by midnight on the eve of Election Day? In fact will it survive through to Election Day?

    I think it will survive, it will have at least 130,000 views and 2,300 comments.

    Well, you won't catch me commenting on it.
  • They saw de-regulation of financial services as a get rich quick strategy to boost tax revenues.

    Did the conservatives oppose that at the time?
    The Tories said Labour hadn't de-regulated enough. What point are you making, Labour aren't to blame for actually doing it? Or an error isn't an error on the basis that your opponents encouraged it or didn't criticise it?

    I was talking about the fact, excuses blaming the opposition for it does little to advance Labour's credibility, but accept it might give an excuse for not changing allegiances.

  • edited March 2015
    So basically if the Conservatives had been in charge when we had Labour through the crash, we'd have been in even deeper brown stuff?
  • they are all a bunch of self serVing bstds, there is no alternative party that actually could make a difference
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  • http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/23/opinion/paul-krugman-britains-terrible-no-good-economic-discourse.html?smid=fb-share&_r=0

    This is an interesting commentary on austerity, it is from the New York Times which I believe is to the right of centre.

    Very good opinion piece and I think he's been reading Charlton Life!
  • The fact of the matter is that some people will never , ever stray from their party political allegiances as we have see on this thread.
    Same old Left Wing , right Wing Bullshit gets banded around by the same old faces ( and i'm just as guilty being a died in the wool socialist ) when the fact is that it's not all as black and white as some people like to portray .

    This reminded me of one of my long-standing frustrations with British politics- the lack of a coherent party of the Centre. A vote for Merkel's CDU for example would be a centre party vote in UK terms. The largest non-left wing bloc in the European parliament is led by CDU. This was the bloc that Cameron pulled the Tories out of, thus instantly removing Britain's influence with reasonable, broadly pro -business Euroepan politicians.

    I started voting Lib Dem by accident in 1997, to kick the Tories out tactically in Surbiton; of course at the time I didn't know anything about Ed Davey (he was only 30), and had some doubts about the Lib Dem heritage. But since then, living in continental Europe, I've become more and more interested in the politics of "the centre". All across Northern Europe the centre is strong and I think many British people seek such a party in vain. Instead any policy they endorse gets labelled by others as "right wing/Tory" or "Socialist". I think this echoes what you are talking about, Beds.
  • They saw de-regulation of financial services as a get rich quick strategy to boost tax revenues.

    Did the conservatives oppose that at the time?
    The Tories said Labour hadn't de-regulated enough. What point are you making, Labour aren't to blame for actually doing it? Or an error isn't an error on the basis that your opponents encouraged it or didn't criticise it?

    I was talking about the fact, excuses blaming the opposition for it does little to advance Labour's credibility, but accept it might give an excuse for not changing allegiances.

    Sounds like an error from both sides. If the conservatives at critised at the time they may have some creditability when blaming Labour for messing up the country.

  • They saw de-regulation of financial services as a get rich quick strategy to boost tax revenues.

    Did the conservatives oppose that at the time?
    The Tories said Labour hadn't de-regulated enough. What point are you making, Labour aren't to blame for actually doing it? Or an error isn't an error on the basis that your opponents encouraged it or didn't criticise it?

    I was talking about the fact, excuses blaming the opposition for it does little to advance Labour's credibility, but accept it might give an excuse for not changing allegiances.

    Sounds like an error from both sides. If the conservatives at critised at the time they may have some creditability when blaming Labour for messing up the country.

    It wasn't just the legislation. Gordon's direct instructions to the FSA (as was) was for a light touch regulation. There was stuff that the FSA could have acted upon under the rules but which Gordon actively prevented.
  • edited March 2015
    Has anyone heard or seen anything by any party on the UK's woeful productivity figures? They bear down heavily on the prospects for strong economic growth. But I guess no one wants to tell us we've all got to work harder. Banning Charlton Life would be a good place to start....

    ETA: Here's a recent significant paper discussing the issue, if anyone wants to get a headache - bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/quarterlybulletin/2014/qb14q201.pdf
  • As labour and tory policies have the same aim, labour will not mess up the economy. The difference will be where some of the money comes from and pace. Labour did not mess up the economy when they were last in power. There was a global crash. Up until then, labour were serving their third term as the economy was in rude health. I dont see how anybody can really argue with this.
  • Here's another graph. I don't think we would be in a noticeably different situation if Labour were in government over the last term. There's been some great spin.
    image
  • As labour and tory policies have the same aim, labour will not mess up the economy. The difference will be where some of the money comes from and pace. Labour did not mess up the economy when they were last in power. There was a global crash. Up until then, labour were serving their third term as the economy was in rude health. I dont see how anybody can really argue with this.

    Apart from Ed Balls then, who said he was deeply sorry for Labour's failings.
  • edited March 2015
    Couple more graphs from well known lefty and Spectator editor Fraser Nelson

    @JohnRentoul pic.twitter.com/Lczgsf2haS

    — Fraser Nelson (@FraserNelson) March 29, 2015

    Cameron again mentions deficit reduction on @BBCr4today - his record on this is nothing to boast about (pic). pic.twitter.com/VuMFXDOs2b

    — Fraser Nelson (@FraserNelson) March 31, 2015
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  • http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/23/opinion/paul-krugman-britains-terrible-no-good-economic-discourse.html?smid=fb-share&_r=0

    This is an interesting commentary on austerity, it is from the New York Times which I believe is to the right of centre.

    Very good opinion piece and I think he's been reading Charlton Life!
    Agreed .. and there is also a very good article reachable from the same page: 'Mornings in blue America' .. thanks for the heads up @Cordoban Addick
  • Rob me and you have 30+ days to form a party save the country from abyss and get that giraffe living in ten downing street
  • holyjo said:

    But the fact that we have a Tory led government when they only have one MP in Scotland is OK ?

    It clearly is. They had a vote last year and were happy with the current situation.
    So if Scotland votes SNP ( as is likely )_ and fills the House of Commons with SNP members that will be good too. Great glad we got that one sorted
  • Will vote Tory for the 1st time in my life. The sole reason being they look as though they are getting the economy back on track after the Blair & Brown fiasco.

    I'm in the same boat as a 1st time Tory voter. Don't like myself for doing it but I think we've got to let them finish the job on the course that's set. Once that's done then we, as a country, can afford more social policies.

    Don't agree that they have had to clear up a Blair/Brown mess. It was predominately a global financial crisis caused by bad lending.

  • http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/23/opinion/paul-krugman-britains-terrible-no-good-economic-discourse.html?smid=fb-share&_r=0

    This is an interesting commentary on austerity, it is from the New York Times which I believe is to the right of centre.

    Paul Krugman, however, is definitely left-of-centre and is a rather infamous economic commentator who has a very narrow-minded view on how national economies operate. He is completely wedded to Keynes' original vision and regularly denounces those who deviate from classical Keynesian economics. No surprise that Gordon Brown, himself a good old fashioned Keynesian, is one of his favourite politicians.

    The problem with being a dogmatic Keynesian is that if you refuse to depart from what is purely theoretical Keynesian economics, you have to make some interesting assumptions as to how the global economy operates. For example, that there is no cost of borrowing money in the long-term. Krugman's argument that instead of imposing present term austerity, we should have just borrowed what we needed as according to Keynesian theory there are no long-term effects of prolonged periods of high levels of borrowing is frankly ludicrous. As our GDP-to-debt ratio increased, our creditors would start imposing sharper interest rates or investors would start demanding higher rates of return on gilts. Eventually someone somewhere is going to have to pay off that money.

    Krugman also believes that high levels of government spending have no effect on levels of investment. This is demonstrably false. High levels of government spending usually goes hand in hand with markets becoming less efficient, rising inflation and investment falling as private investors find themselves crowded out by government spending. Also for those who think that having a high debt-to-GDP ratio or deficit-to-GDP ratio doesn't matter, these are actually requirements of our EU membership that should we exceed set levels (which we currently are) we need to take remedial steps to return to normality.

    Paul Krugman is the favoured economist of choice for those who know nothing about economics because he simplifies things and sticks to dogmatic theory with uncomplicated assumptions. Unfortunately he has been proven wrong time and time again on his predictions of high unemployment, high inflation and high structural deficit - indeed all of these things have fallen over the course of this Parliament. Google 'Krugman wrong' and you'll find plenty of articles disproving Krugman's predictions, including in the Guardian.
  • edited March 2015

    Winds me up big time that people think you can criticise someone for going to private school. Have you ever considered why they were in a position to go there? Money doesn't just land out of nowhere into a families lap. Once, at least via a certain past generation, someone in that family would have worked hard and delivered in some way to bring success to that family to benefit their future generations.

    I work hard and will be sending both my children to private school. I am certainly not 'rich'. What if, in generations to come, my children or grandchildren ran for govt? Are they 'out of touch' because they went to private school? Not if I can help it. Even now, my oldest has learnt he won't get anything on a plate. If he wants pocket money then he has to do chores or help his mummy when I am at work. If he works hard and does his spellings and reading after school (how well he does is irrelevant) then he will get rewarded.

    I hate the sense that the world owes you a living in any walk of life. And I hate the way that some people think it's ok to talk people down for being successful.

    It's a combination of the above that means I am conservative through and through.

    You don't have to have a government that is 'in touch' with the working class. You just need a country of people that will work to be the best they can. And just accept that, as in any society, some will be more successful than others. It's life. As long as we have a benefits system that helps those really in need (and not those who think they are) then that's ok.

  • I'll nail my colours here: I don't like Miliband, something about him is very false and he is a man who gives the impression that he will do and/or say most anything to get his own way .. the same could be said of Cameron-Clegg of course .. BUT, so far as Labour 'promises' go, they are the party which is promising to do things for the younger people in this country: Apprenticeships, reduced tuition fees, control on immigration, NHS spending which will encourage more employment in public services
    .. now, Labour might well renege on these policies if and when they get elected to run the country ... However, I am prepared to give them a go at changing things more in favour of the young .. if Labour does make another mess of things, at least we have the Tories to fall back on in 2020 to give us another dose of the lash
    .. older people have had quite a a good run under the coalition, younger people need their crack of the whip as well. Reluctantly I am voting Labour in May, I pray that my vote is not wasted and that my hopes for the future go some way to being fulfilled
  • Years ago we used to know where we were with the two main political parties.
    In a nutshell.
    Tories - vote for them if you are wealthy and want to remain wealthy.
    Labour - The party for the working class man, protecting workers rights.

    However, there doesn't seem to be a political party for me, supporting or even aligned with my opinions....

    A decent health service, with more hospitals being built.
    A cap on immigration (the country is too bloody full)
    A shift in the wealth ownership of this country (I thinks its something like 10% own 90% of the wealth, how can this be right?)
    A referendum on Europe.
    A cut in child benefit to only benefit for the first child.
    The abolishment of positive discrimination. The best person for the job (regardless of sex, creed or colour)
    Proper (and enforced) regulation of the banks and bonuses.
    The abolishment of zero hours contracts (the appalling law that has massaged the job figures in favour of the Tories)

    I could go on.......

    My point is, that I can't see any one party who can even tick 3 of the above, so as at the last election I shall spoil and write 'None of the above'. Its kinda sad really.
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Roland Out Forever!