How Many points for Championship Survival? and How do we get them?

Chris_from_Sidcup said:

Leftfootforward said:

Sheff Weds have taken points off the opposition in nearly 1 in 4 games, they are not the pushovers most think .. added motivation for them to get out of minus points 

0 wins in 36 league games.
0 home wins all season.
6 points in their last 28 games.
Yesterday was their first clean sheet in 2026.

They are not pushovers in the sense they don't go and get battered 4 or 5-0 every week, but they are by far the worst team this division has ever seen. 

Very honestly if we go and lose there then we deserve to get relegated.

But they have no pressure so they play with no fear and Charlton will go into the game with their trouser legs flapping. 

After 35 years of supporting Charlton I know for a fact that this has got banana skin written all over it. 

Crispywood said:

fattmatt said:

Chris_from_Sidcup said:

Leftfootforward said:

Sheff Weds have taken points off the opposition in nearly 1 in 4 games, they are not the pushovers most think .. added motivation for them to get out of minus points 

0 wins in 36 league games.
0 home wins all season.
6 points in their last 28 games.
Yesterday was their first clean sheet in 2026.

They are not pushovers in the sense they don't go and get battered 4 or 5-0 every week, but they are by far the worst team this division has ever seen. 

Very honestly if we go and lose there then we deserve to get relegated.

But they have no pressure so they play with no fear and Charlton will go into the game with their trouser legs flapping. 

After 35 years of supporting Charlton I know for a fact that this has got banana skin written all over it. 

They’ve had no pressure or fear all season and they still have 1 win in 42 games. I don’t get why people automatically assume this is a tough game for us but Oxford who are just as crap have automatically picked up. 3 points 

I do. We are Charlton. 

Referring to the Sheff Weds game -

@Chris_from_Sidcup says 

Very honestly if we go and lose there then we deserve to get relegated.

which I agree with btw … post gets 3 likes.

@AberystwythAddick says similar 

golfaddick said:

alan dugdale said:

I’m surprised a few on here have been so confident that we’ve been safe for a couple of weeks, some even insulting anyone who dare offer a different view.
Results in sports are often affected by momentum and form - we have neither whilst others believe us are picking up points.
It’s ok saying so and so have top teams to play so they’re bound to lose but football doesn’t work like that especially in this league.
I’d say we are in a spot of bother if we fail to win next Saturday.

I think a lot of people felt confident (me included) when we got to 48 points with 8 games to go. 50 points is statistically the survival level but I felt 52 would be more realistic.

Most punters would expect a team to pick up 2-4 points over those last 8 matches, esp when 5 were at home. 

In fact we've played 4 of those 8 matches, 3 being at home, and we've only picked up a solitary point (which was away from home). 

Agreed, most of us were confident at that point but we still weren’t safe then. Even now with 1 point from 12, 2 from 15, some are complacent. I also agree with 52 making us safe too.

DamoNorthStand said:

Referring to the Sheff Weds game -

@Chris_from_Sidcup says 

Very honestly if we go and lose there then we deserve to get relegated.

which I agree with btw … post gets 3 likes.

@AberystwythAddick says similar 

Lose to Wednesday and we will be relegated. We will deserve it too 

And gets lol’d

Too many times responses on this forum are angled at who’s posting it and not what they are actually saying.

KingKinsella said:

I'm not a fan of NJ, the footballs been dreadful for the entire time he's been here.
However he is incapable of doing anything different to what he's done in the past- and he's had plenty of chances to change but hasn't.
Therefore our best chance of staying up is some grim defensive performances against the remaining opposition.Even Sheff Weds.
Four no-score or low score draws should do it.
Just wish I didn't have to watch them.

Plenty of chances to change but hasn’t think he proved that last year at Northampton away. He hasn’t done it this season because he hasn’t got the team to play any other way that will yield better results than what we are doing  

I don’t understand setting a random points target.

You’re either mathematically safe or you take it one game at a time. Anything else is just noise. 

-

We're 5 points clear of the drop zone, but we're at the bottom of the 5 game form table (for non-relegated teams). It just wouldn't be Charlton to operate any other way!

CaptainRobbo said:

Have a horrible feeling we will be 2 points clear of Oxford going into the last game.
Not expecting Millwall to put in much of a performance against them.

We might need to hope they still need points to secure top 4 and a home second leg.

If not then they'll probably rest players.

se9addick said:

msomerton said:

I reckon now it is 56pts

That’s ridiculous. It’s probably 51/52

Could even be less than that not sure I’d back Oxford to pick up 4 points from Millwall and Derby away and Wrexham at home all 3 with a lot to play for 

Garrymanilow said:

msomerton said:

I reckon now it is 56pts

56 points to survive. Considering Wednesday are down and Leicester can't get 56 points that means you are expecting Oxford to get 4 wins from their remaining 4 and hopefully have a worse goal difference, Portsmouth to get at least 3 wins and a draws from their next 5, West Brom to get 3 wins from their next 4 and Blackburn to get at least 2 wins and a draw from their next 4. Because all of those things have to happen in order for 56 to be the required number for survival. It would be a points total record in the Championship and require all of those teams to go on a run of form that they have not achieved at any point this season. I think that might be a bit of a tough ask.

Both Portsmouth and Oxford have only one once in the last five games each. There's only any panic because both of them just so happened to win at the same time (and it also happened to be a week that we lost.)

I'd much prefer us to have hit a bit of form and be comfortable already of course I would but realistically even if both Oxford and Portsmouth DO hit miraculous form at the last second we'd still have to be worse than not only both of them but also Blackburn and West Brom before we actually get overhauled and dragged into a relegation spot.

I'm not for one minute saying our performances and our form are any good - they are not. But we're still very much in the driving seat when it comes to securing survival, even if it is a bit tighter than we'd like.

thenewbie said:

Garrymanilow said:

msomerton said:

I reckon now it is 56pts

56 points to survive. Considering Wednesday are down and Leicester can't get 56 points that means you are expecting Oxford to get 4 wins from their remaining 4 and hopefully have a worse goal difference, Portsmouth to get at least 3 wins and a draws from their next 5, West Brom to get 3 wins from their next 4 and Blackburn to get at least 2 wins and a draw from their next 4. Because all of those things have to happen in order for 56 to be the required number for survival. It would be a points total record in the Championship and require all of those teams to go on a run of form that they have not achieved at any point this season. I think that might be a bit of a tough ask.

Both Portsmouth and Oxford have only one once in the last five games each. There's only any panic because both of them just so happened to win at the same time (and it also happened to be a week that we lost.)

I'd much prefer us to have hit a bit of form and be comfortable already of course I would but realistically even if both Oxford and Portsmouth DO hit miraculous form at the last second we'd still have to be worse than not only both of them but also Blackburn and West Brom before we actually get overhauled and dragged into a relegation spot.

I'm not for one minute saying our performances and our form are any good - they are not. But we're still very much in the driving seat when it comes to securing survival, even if it is a bit tighter than we'd like.

Now that’s enough of this level headed talk.

the whole teams just roll over is a myth we have struggled against side with "nothing" to play for. 

closer than I would like but realistically we are 1 win away from championship football again next season. 

knowing us we will beat ipswich at home and lose to sheff weds