Rain forecast from early on Boxing Day. The old boy Thistlecrack's written off too soon IMO given the likely conditions. I'll take him at 18s e/w to outstay at least 4 of his younger rivals.
Elegant Escape tops the card for the Chepstow marathon tomorrow so no change in the weights at decs. Just 17 to line up, including all 3 I've already backed (The Two Amigos, Prime Venture and Pobbles Bay) and the sole Irish-trained runner, Space Cadet. He'll be 4lbs O/H but Mountainous won it first time 5lbs wrong and plenty of others O/H have been placed down the years. He ticks the boxes and, with rain there throughout today, I've added him to my slip at 40s for 5 places. From the family of Scot Nat winner Baronet, hopefully he'll still be in range entering the home straight to stay on and make the frame. EDIT - Connections win the opener at Leopardstown today pob lwc
Roll again was my big bet of Xmas fell 4 out when cruising - summed up the day usually go kempton today but am on a train into work as got the next 5 days off - swings and roundabouts.
Officially Heavy (Soft places) at Chepstow this morning after yesterday's rain. Extra furlong to race and fence to jump. As tough a stamina test as there is in the calendar.
Stat filter worked well enough - 4 of 6 filling first 6 home
- and turned a reasonable profit but same-old-same-old: I ditch the
winner
Que sera sera.
Happy 2020 all.
good day for the Taffs .. part owned by a Welsh R U international, trained in Wales and ridden by a 17 year old Jack Tudor .. must be a descendant of Henry Vlll and Lizzie l lol
Sandown 3.00 As I mentioned a few months back Anthony Honeyball had this race targeted with three horses sadly one of those horses myself and Alan Dugdale were involved with suffered a career ending injury last month on his impressive comeback run at Plumpton,the other is now going for the Grand National and that leaves......... Jepeck who has been hurdle racing this season to protect his mark for today’s race
Sandown 3.00 As I mentioned a few months back Anthony Honeyball had this race targeted with three horses sadly one of those horses myself and Alan Dugdale were involved with suffered a career ending injury last month on his impressive comeback run at Plumpton,the other is now going for the Grand National and that leaves......... Jepeck who has been hurdle racing this season to protect his mark for today’s race
Sandown 3.00 As I mentioned a few months back Anthony Honeyball had this race targeted with three horses sadly one of those horses myself and Alan Dugdale were involved with suffered a career ending injury last month on his impressive comeback run at Plumpton,the other is now going for the Grand National and that leaves......... Jepeck who has been hurdle racing this season to protect his mark for today’s race
Won it well in the end, thought he was going to be taken out by the loose horse before the last fence.
Gonna chuck in an antepost thought for Cheltenham:
Supreme Novices' Hurdle - SHISHKIN @ 33/1 (Bet365, thank you Bob!). Have heard from some very well-connected and reliable friends that he looks to be a monster for Nicky Henderson this year and is on fire in the yard. He did this a few days after the Festival this year:
Gonna chuck in an antepost thought for Cheltenham:
Supreme Novices' Hurdle - SHISHKIN @ 33/1 (Bet365, thank you Bob!). Have heard from some very well-connected and reliable friends that he looks to be a monster for Nicky Henderson this year and is on fire in the yard. He did this a few days after the Festival this year:
You love to see it. Now best priced 16s for the Supreme.
No idea what's been said or done to see an even more dramatic price collapse since the 15th, as Shishkin has not run in that time, but he is now 4/1 across the board for the Supreme.
A friend with a cashout facility informs me that £10 each way (£20 total) is now available to cash out for around £85 with Bob's lot. I wouldn't recommend doing so, of course - let it ride. That's the point of antepost!
But still, very good signs. I'm also pleased to have Paisley Park for the Stayers again (albeit at - by antepost standards - a very skinny 9/4), as he has now moved odds-on.
As for another suggestion, I'm rolling with Don Poli for the Foxhunter Chase at 20/1 (Bob's lot specifically, 1/5 1-3). A grand old horse who has done well in two recent point to points, and who I can see qualifying and being entered under new ownership.
So if your mate had put £1000 ew on they would be offering £8500 cash out that right
If it's scaled like that, yes. But I assume Bet365 would offer slightly less - or any customer allowed that much (if there are any!) would have to negotiate the cashout.
Comments
The old boy Thistlecrack's written off too soon IMO given the likely conditions. I'll take him at 18s e/w to outstay at least 4 of his younger rivals.
Just 17 to line up, including all 3 I've already backed (The Two Amigos, Prime Venture and Pobbles Bay) and the sole Irish-trained runner, Space Cadet. He'll be 4lbs O/H but Mountainous won it first time 5lbs wrong and plenty of others O/H have been placed down the years. He ticks the boxes and, with rain there throughout today, I've added him to my slip at 40s for 5 places. From the family of Scot Nat winner Baronet, hopefully he'll still be in range entering the home straight to stay on and make the frame.
EDIT - Connections win the opener at Leopardstown today
pob lwc
Extra furlong to race and fence to jump. As tough a stamina test as there is in the calendar.
Backing your call.
7 places up for grabs from sponsors PP, also got a shilling e/w on Solomn Grundy at 22s.
Huge price (66/1) but could run for a place - definitely fit and the going suits to a tee.
Nice e/w call and my fella paid off with PP in 7th.
Triffic Welsh GN if anyone missed it. All the first 6 deserve a lot of credit - a very worthy winner.
1 Potters Corner
2 Truckers Lodge 1.75L
3 Yala Enki 2.75L
4 Prime Venture 4.25L
5 The 2 Amigos 10L
6 Elegant Escape 11L
Stat filter worked well enough - 4 of 6 filling first 6 home - and turned a reasonable profit but same-old-same-old: I ditch the winner
Que sera sera.
Happy 2020 all.
As I mentioned a few months back Anthony Honeyball had this race targeted with three horses sadly one of those horses myself and Alan Dugdale were involved with suffered a career ending injury last month on his impressive comeback run at Plumpton,the other is now going for the Grand National and that leaves.........
Jepeck who has been hurdle racing this season to protect his mark for today’s race
Know how you're feeling.
You love to see it. Now best priced 16s for the Supreme.
https://www.civilsociety.co.uk/news/animal-charities-and-environmental-organisations-listed-on-a-counter-terrorism-police-guide.html
But still, very good signs. I'm also pleased to have Paisley Park for the Stayers again (albeit at - by antepost standards - a very skinny 9/4), as he has now moved odds-on.
As for another suggestion, I'm rolling with Don Poli for the Foxhunter Chase at 20/1 (Bob's lot specifically, 1/5 1-3). A grand old horse who has done well in two recent point to points, and who I can see qualifying and being entered under new ownership.