Major implications regionally and especially in terms of Iraq and Syria. If the coup is successful I would expext major Turkish incursions into both.
I'm not sure that I'd agree. While the military could very easily move across their border, it's equally likely that there will be a reduction of Turkish activity.
For example, Erdogan's government has been very keen on supporting a range of rebel groups in Syria (some/many of which are not a million miles away from Nusrah/ISIS in ideology), the military may wish to pull back from this position. Though, in fairness, Turkish forces are already in Iraq, on a "training" mission, and they guard a mausoleum in Syria (there are allegations of Special Forces with rebel groups.
In addition, the military have been sucked back into a counter-terrorist conflict against the Kurds, in a conflict that has largely been restarted because of Erdogan's need to regain political supremacy in the face of a concerted challenge in the last few years, with the growth of the HDP (he had taken for granted support for the AKP).
I could see a situation where both military and PKK (depending on personnel) could take a step back; with the military concentrating instead on sealing the border to ISIS.
However, the coup has a long way to go before it succeeds...
I don't think the Nice attack has any connection to this.
John Kerry hasn't exactly stood up for the Erdogan government. Speaking from Moscow, he hopes for "peace and stability". I've read that in Egypt, the Obama administration didn't condemn the coup and instead publicly supported "democracy", which turned out to be the military dictatorship.
Watching some crazy scenes on tv at moment of people trying to break through the barricades on the Bosphorus bridge and getting shot at by soldiers. They seem to be trying to get a bus through now.
Major health warning on anything from Turkish media is that Erdogan has gutted the opposition media there so most of them will be pro-Erdogan anyway.
However, from videos of Ankara and Istanbul shared on social media, it appears that this coup will not succeed. If he returns, Erdogan will likely become more autocratic than before.
Comments
He's calling for the public to take to the streets. Desperate.
Has he applied for asylum in Germany? Has the application been rejected?
Very confusing. Very worrying. Can't see any good coming from this
Iran are already scrambling jets to "protect" there borders
Also turkey is a nato member so this shit just got real!
Laugh all you want WW3 started years ago!
; )
Why would anyone ever believe anything that mug says?
Must be well past your bedtime.
This looks very odd to me.
There's probably more to come on this. Proximity of action to the French attacks could be incidental.
My tin hat order arrives soon.
For example, Erdogan's government has been very keen on supporting a range of rebel groups in Syria (some/many of which are not a million miles away from Nusrah/ISIS in ideology), the military may wish to pull back from this position. Though, in fairness, Turkish forces are already in Iraq, on a "training" mission, and they guard a mausoleum in Syria (there are allegations of Special Forces with rebel groups.
In addition, the military have been sucked back into a counter-terrorist conflict against the Kurds, in a conflict that has largely been restarted because of Erdogan's need to regain political supremacy in the face of a concerted challenge in the last few years, with the growth of the HDP (he had taken for granted support for the AKP).
I could see a situation where both military and PKK (depending on personnel) could take a step back; with the military concentrating instead on sealing the border to ISIS.
However, the coup has a long way to go before it succeeds...
John Kerry hasn't exactly stood up for the Erdogan government. Speaking from Moscow, he hopes for "peace and stability". I've read that in Egypt, the Obama administration didn't condemn the coup and instead publicly supported "democracy", which turned out to be the military dictatorship.
No problem though because Boris will be able to provide valuable guidance as foreign minister.
Xx
However, from videos of Ankara and Istanbul shared on social media, it appears that this coup will not succeed. If he returns, Erdogan will likely become more autocratic than before.