Attention: Please take a moment to consider our terms and conditions before posting.

The General Election - June 8th 2017

1250251253255256320

Comments

  • edited June 2017

    LuckyReds said:

    Forecast amended from 318 to 316 Tories.

    316 Tories and 10 DUP only just makes the 326.

    The effective majority required is actually 322, as you need to remove the Sinn Fein empty seats (currently 7) from the total number of seats (650).

    Either way, a failure for May and ridiculously tight considering she was sitting in charge of a majority government 36 hours ago.
    I heard Corbyn's on the phone to his old mate Gerry Adams trying to make a deal............
    Hah, you joke - but the DUP spokeswoman (not entirely sure who it was) being interviewed earlier was very clear about her views on Corbyn, and why she would be open to doing as much as oppose him.

    I remember thinking at the time, it would be very ironic if Sinn Fein refusing to take their seats allowed the DUP to prop up a Tory government. Gerry Adams made it clear that they would treat this election as any other, and leave their seats empty. An incredibly strange time!
  • On a personal level, disappointed to see Naomi Long fail in East Belfast, not my constituency, but always happy to see the sectarian headcount undermined.

    Also, really fecking hacked off at missing the coverage - I'd booked today off specially, but stuff came up at work, and I'm on the commute now, I don't think an all-nighter would have been advisable.
  • Labour hold Southampton. Hung Parliament confirmed.
  • Bedtime
  • On a personal level, disappointed to see Naomi Long fail in East Belfast, not my constituency, but always happy to see the sectarian headcount undermined.

    Also, really fecking hacked off at missing the coverage - I'd booked today off specially, but stuff came up at work, and I'm on the commute now, I don't think an all-nighter would have been advisable.

    I meant to ask, Norn - how common is it that a SF seat falls to UUP, or vice-versa? I'm sure I saw that pop up earlier (South Tyrone), and thought that seemed like an absurd switch for an area?
  • Forecast now gone back again to 318/262/35/13.
  • LuckyReds said:

    LuckyReds said:

    Forecast amended from 318 to 316 Tories.

    316 Tories and 10 DUP only just makes the 326.

    The effective majority required is actually 322, as you need to remove the Sinn Fein empty seats (currently 7) from the total number of seats (650).

    Either way, a failure for May and ridiculously tight considering she was sitting in charge of a majority government 36 hours ago.
    I heard Corbyn's on the phone to his old mate Gerry Adams trying to make a deal............
    Hah, you joke - but the DUP spokeswoman (not entirely sure who it was) being interviewed earlier was very clear about her views on Corbyn, and why she would be open to doing as much as oppose him.

    I remember thinking at the time, it would be very ironic if Sinn Fein refusing to take their seats allowed the DUP to prop up a Tory government. Gerry Adams made it clear that they would treat this election as any other, and leave their seats empty. An incredibly strange time!
    Members of both the House of Commons and the House of Lords are required to take an oath of allegiance to the Crown before they take their seats in Parliament after a general election or by-election and after the death of the monarch
  • edited June 2017

    LuckyReds said:

    LuckyReds said:

    Forecast amended from 318 to 316 Tories.

    316 Tories and 10 DUP only just makes the 326.

    The effective majority required is actually 322, as you need to remove the Sinn Fein empty seats (currently 7) from the total number of seats (650).

    Either way, a failure for May and ridiculously tight considering she was sitting in charge of a majority government 36 hours ago.
    I heard Corbyn's on the phone to his old mate Gerry Adams trying to make a deal............
    Hah, you joke - but the DUP spokeswoman (not entirely sure who it was) being interviewed earlier was very clear about her views on Corbyn, and why she would be open to doing as much as oppose him.

    I remember thinking at the time, it would be very ironic if Sinn Fein refusing to take their seats allowed the DUP to prop up a Tory government. Gerry Adams made it clear that they would treat this election as any other, and leave their seats empty. An incredibly strange time!
    Members of both the House of Commons and the House of Lords are required to take an oath of allegiance to the Crown before they take their seats in Parliament after a general election or by-election and after the death of the monarch
    I understand that*, and I understand their reluctance (given their position) to do so. I haven't made a faux pas or caused unintended offence by simplifying it by stating that they "leave their seats empty", have I? If so, there was no intention - other than it seemed like the easiest way of saying that they abstain from taking the seats that they gain via election.

    *Well I say I understand it, it had never actually occurred to me that this was the reason. I always assumed it was an ideological one, but not specifically relating to the obvious oath to the Crown!
  • LuckyReds said:

    LuckyReds said:

    Forecast amended from 318 to 316 Tories.

    316 Tories and 10 DUP only just makes the 326.

    The effective majority required is actually 322, as you need to remove the Sinn Fein empty seats (currently 7) from the total number of seats (650).

    Either way, a failure for May and ridiculously tight considering she was sitting in charge of a majority government 36 hours ago.
    I heard Corbyn's on the phone to his old mate Gerry Adams trying to make a deal............
    Hah, you joke - but the DUP spokeswoman (not entirely sure who it was) being interviewed earlier was very clear about her views on Corbyn, and why she would be open to doing as much as oppose him.

    I remember thinking at the time, it would be very ironic if Sinn Fein refusing to take their seats allowed the DUP to prop up a Tory government. Gerry Adams made it clear that they would treat this election as any other, and leave their seats empty. An incredibly strange time!
    Members of both the House of Commons and the House of Lords are required to take an oath of allegiance to the Crown before they take their seats in Parliament after a general election or by-election and after the death of the monarch
    Quite, and SF won't take that oath so they leave their seats empty - as Lucky Reds said.
  • Sponsored links:


  • edited June 2017
    LuckyReds said:

    On a personal level, disappointed to see Naomi Long fail in East Belfast, not my constituency, but always happy to see the sectarian headcount undermined.

    Also, really fecking hacked off at missing the coverage - I'd booked today off specially, but stuff came up at work, and I'm on the commute now, I don't think an all-nighter would have been advisable.

    I meant to ask, Norn - how common is it that a SF seat falls to UUP, or vice-versa? I'm sure I saw that pop up earlier (South Tyrone), and thought that seemed like an absurd switch for an area?
    Fermanagh South Tyrone is a classic knife edge constituency. In recent times, barring UUP/DUP pacts (not the "pants" that my phone wants to allege), it's been Sinn Fein, but never by that much. There are not many, but you will have others, like South Belfast, which can move between Nationalist and Unionist.

    In fairness to Michelle Gildernew, she is effective as an MP (if you discount the non-voting thing), and has been successful in that SF sounding reasonable media training way.

    But, in general, you would be fairly certain of electing a donkey (and in many constituencies we have), provided they're in the "right" party.

    It looks worryingly as if the FPTP electoral system will wipe out more centrist NI parties from Westminster representation for a generation or so, or worse; even with PR in the Assembly, they are far behind.

    It is interesting to note that Sinn Fein won all the border constituencies.
  • Submarine May yet to resurface.
  • If I lose just six seats I will lose this election and Jeremy Corbyn will be sitting down to negotiate with Europe: https://t.co/OwbfDseOJh

    — Theresa May (@theresa_may) May 20, 2017
  • LuckyReds said:

    LuckyReds said:

    LuckyReds said:

    Forecast amended from 318 to 316 Tories.

    316 Tories and 10 DUP only just makes the 326.

    The effective majority required is actually 322, as you need to remove the Sinn Fein empty seats (currently 7) from the total number of seats (650).

    Either way, a failure for May and ridiculously tight considering she was sitting in charge of a majority government 36 hours ago.
    I heard Corbyn's on the phone to his old mate Gerry Adams trying to make a deal............
    Hah, you joke - but the DUP spokeswoman (not entirely sure who it was) being interviewed earlier was very clear about her views on Corbyn, and why she would be open to doing as much as oppose him.

    I remember thinking at the time, it would be very ironic if Sinn Fein refusing to take their seats allowed the DUP to prop up a Tory government. Gerry Adams made it clear that they would treat this election as any other, and leave their seats empty. An incredibly strange time!
    Members of both the House of Commons and the House of Lords are required to take an oath of allegiance to the Crown before they take their seats in Parliament after a general election or by-election and after the death of the monarch
    I understand that*, and I understand their reluctance (given their position) to do so. I haven't made a faux pas or caused unintended offence by simplifying it by stating that they "leave their seats empty", have I? If so, there was no intention - other than it seemed like the easiest way of saying that they abstain from taking the seats that they gain via election.

    *Well I say I understand it, it had never actually occurred to me that this was the reason. I always assumed it was an ideological one, but not specifically relating to the obvious oath to the Crown!
    Eamonn de Valera had the same scruples about sitting in the Free State Dail (because, until 1948 the Irish Free State was part of the Commonwealth), until he changed his mind in the 1930s.

    He got around it by taking the oath in an off hand way (I always picture him speaking like a pissed-off teenager).

    Sinn Fein could, if they wanted, do something similar, only for the purpose of a Brexit vote (leaving the Commons again after), and I think their supporters would accept that.

    I almost suggested that they should use silly voices, but I'm not sure if anyone would notice.
    They could get those out of work voice over actors that they used to use.
  • edited June 2017
    Sterling. Spot the exit poll

    image
  • Fife North East, SNP hold on by 2 votes.
  • Sponsored links:


  • MrOneLung said:

    Can older people now slag off young voters in a reversal of post brexit vote?

    And can I blame "irresponsible and idiotic" Labour voters for the fact a pint of beer will cost me a few extra pence when I go to France next month?

    Also, just to check, with the Conservatives being the larger party but not having a majority, will the familiar protests at democracy be taking place in Parliament Square/Westminster today?
  • How the hell does Amber Rudd seemingly lose her seat, said to be in tears, then after a reported 2-3 recounts suddenly find an extra 300+ votes to win

    Looked like she was loitering around the counters just before I went to bed last night.
  • And conveniently the recounts stopped once she was declared the winner!
  • Huskaris said:

    MrOneLung said:

    Can older people now slag off young voters in a reversal of post brexit vote?

    And can I blame "irresponsible and idiotic" Labour voters for the fact a pint of beer will cost me a few extra pence when I go to France next month?

    Also, just to check, with the Conservatives being the larger party but not having a majority, will the familiar protests at democracy be taking place in Parliament Square/Westminster today?
    If one can afford to go to France then I'm sure one can afford a couple of extra pence on a pint. Alternatively, one could, of course, stay here and spend that money in one of the many family run micro pubs in this country instead!
  • Some very glum faces on the 06.12 train from my 20,000 CON majority Rayleigh and Wickford constituency :)

    Have to applaud Labour and Corbyn on a great campaign, I actually predicted they would do better so not surprised at all with the result

    Where do we go from here eh?

  • blimey, what a night - labour making gains, hung parliament - SCOTLAND!

    A hung parliament is bad news for the country, think i'd rather Labour had won outright.

    Hold your noses on the markets this morning it's going to be a bumpy ride........

    See you all in about 9 months at the next election :wink:
  • Wonder what our amazing press will be saying about Corbyn now, he's made them look pretty stupid.
This discussion has been closed.

Roland Out Forever!