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CHARLTON 75/1 WITH BETFAIR

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  • johnnybev1987
    johnnybev1987 Posts: 11,460
    SouthWest_Addicks said:
    johnnybev1987 said:
    Personally i think its a good bet, we have only really just got our team together so i expect an swift up turn in results. After a couple of games i did lump £25 EW on us for the title, think it was 25/1 irrc, i dont actually think we will romp it but could be close and top 3 seems a decent bet and still think that
    I know we've only played 4 matches, but think we are already too far behind to win the title IMO. We have three matches next week and we would need to hit the ground running against Wigan and build some form immediately.

    Back in 2018/9 I thought we were the best team in the division and much better than Luton & Barnsley. Only thing stopped us winning the title was not getting our squad ready to 6th match. Not having a proper back up left back for when Page got injured and penny pitching in a replacement for Grant. Even with all the good players we had we weren't able to overtake them two.  

    Probably need 90+ points to win the title, would probably mean only another 5 defeats out of next 42. A very hard task. I hope I am wrong but 25/1 is a good price.



    You make some valid points, however 4 games in its a bit silly to say we are too far behind already. Although the next couple of games could be key and potential tricky, its a long season other teams will drop points. 90 points is probably more for the win but top 3 probably fewer, all guess work really. But we are not out of it already lol 
  • SouthWest_Addicks
    SouthWest_Addicks Posts: 6,313
    edited October 2020
    johnnybev1987 said:
    SouthWest_Addicks said:
    johnnybev1987 said:
    Personally i think its a good bet, we have only really just got our team together so i expect an swift up turn in results. After a couple of games i did lump £25 EW on us for the title, think it was 25/1 irrc, i dont actually think we will romp it but could be close and top 3 seems a decent bet and still think that
    I know we've only played 4 matches, but think we are already too far behind to win the title IMO. We have three matches next week and we would need to hit the ground running against Wigan and build some form immediately.

    Back in 2018/9 I thought we were the best team in the division and much better than Luton & Barnsley. Only thing stopped us winning the title was not getting our squad ready to 6th match. Not having a proper back up left back for when Page got injured and penny pitching in a replacement for Grant. Even with all the good players we had we weren't able to overtake them two.  

    Probably need 90+ points to win the title, would probably mean only another 5 defeats out of next 42. A very hard task. I hope I am wrong but 25/1 is a good price.



    You make some valid points, however 4 games in its a bit silly to say we are too far behind already. Although the next couple of games could be key and potential tricky, its a long season other teams will drop points. 90 points is probably more for the win but top 3 probably fewer, all guess work really. But we are not out of it already lol 
    From a betting and maths perspective I would argue it's not silly. Personally I think the 5/2 for top 6 is a much smarter bet. Charlton are 14/1 to win the play offs would be a better punt that us to win the league at 25/1.

    I am aware that Sheffield United & Luton came from about 16th after 7 matches to win the titles, but they both had a striker who scored 25+ a season, at the moment I do not believe we have that.
  • CAFCsayer
    CAFCsayer Posts: 10,288
    Top half is a license to print money, just checked and max bet is 375 quid though
  • SouthWest_Addicks
    SouthWest_Addicks Posts: 6,313
    CAFCsayer said:
    Top half is a license to print money, just checked and max bet is 375 quid though
    Professional bet. Wish I had the money to have a proper bet on that and get my season ticket paid for next season.
  • Covered End
    Covered End Posts: 52,221
    CAFCsayer said:
    Top half is a license to print money, just checked and max bet is 375 quid though
    I backed us top half with Sky & PP.
  • Addick Addict
    Addick Addict Posts: 40,379
    Essex_Al said:
    SouthWest_Addicks said:
    johnnybev1987 said:
    Personally i think its a good bet, we have only really just got our team together so i expect an swift up turn in results. After a couple of games i did lump £25 EW on us for the title, think it was 25/1 irrc, i dont actually think we will romp it but could be close and top 3 seems a decent bet and still think that
    I know we've only played 4 matches, but think we are already too far behind to win the title IMO. We have three matches next week and we would need to hit the ground running against Wigan and build some form immediately.

    Back in 2018/9 I thought we were the best team in the division and much better than Luton & Barnsley. Only thing stopped us winning the title was not getting our squad ready to 6th match. Not having a proper back up left back for when Page got injured and penny pitching in a replacement for Grant. Even with all the good players we had we weren't able to overtake them two.  

    Probably need 90+ points to win the title, would probably mean only another 5 defeats out of next 42. A very hard task. I hope I am wrong but 25/1 is a good price.



    Yeh, you're probably right, only 126 points left to fight for, damn!
    And how many games have these played together?

    Amos

    Gunter
    Inniss
    Famewo
    Maatsen

    Levitt
    Watson
    Gilbey

    Maddison
    Bogle
    Washington

    Once we make our final couple of signings, something like 15 or 16 players will have started less than half a dozen games for us. Do you think it's easy to hit the road running especially in defence where any misunderstanding is going to be punished most? 

    I would love us to win the league and the prices available are seemingly attractive. But they are almost certainly right and if we manage to make the play offs then that will be a magnificent achievement.
  • StrikerFirmani
    StrikerFirmani Posts: 2,756
    Arry Addick said:
    Athletico Charlton said:
    William Hill at 8/11 for a top half finish looks decent value
    4/6 on SkyBet.....gotta be worth a score surely?
    Have you got a link to sky bet page for this ?  I can't seem to find odds for us apart from Wigan game. 
  • Arry Addick
    Arry Addick Posts: 1,173
    StrikerFirmani said:
    Arry Addick said:
    Athletico Charlton said:
    William Hill at 8/11 for a top half finish looks decent value
    4/6 on SkyBet.....gotta be worth a score surely?
    Have you got a link to sky bet page for this ?  I can't seem to find odds for us apart from Wigan game. 
    https://m.skybet.com/football/sky-bet-league-one/event/26235893
  • StrikerFirmani
    StrikerFirmani Posts: 2,756
    Arry Addick said:
    StrikerFirmani said:
    Arry Addick said:
    Athletico Charlton said:
    William Hill at 8/11 for a top half finish looks decent value
    4/6 on SkyBet.....gotta be worth a score surely?
    Have you got a link to sky bet page for this ?  I can't seem to find odds for us apart from Wigan game. 
    https://m.skybet.com/football/sky-bet-league-one/event/26235893
    thanks for that.
  • oohaahmortimer
    oohaahmortimer Posts: 34,366
    Told my mate 8/11 us top half buying  money , he could get £82.50 off with betfair sports book , all minges these bookies 

    I’d come out of betting retirement if there was a bookies that would lay a proper bet,  anywhere near that price is a gimme .

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  • clb74
    clb74 Posts: 10,836
    11/4 still top 6
  • SouthWest_Addicks
    SouthWest_Addicks Posts: 6,313
    clb74 said:
    11/4 still top 6
    I make us one of eight.  

    Hull/Ipswich/Posh/Sunderland/Lincoln/Doncaster & Pompey. Think that 11/4 is a great price. 

    Three of the bottom 6 in next couple of matches. 7 points from them and I think we will be close to 6/4. 
  • shine166
    shine166 Posts: 13,983
    edited October 2020
    I like this one, £325 is the max you can bet @Athletico Charlton
  • shine166
    shine166 Posts: 13,983
    or this one
  • Siv_in_Norfolk
    Siv_in_Norfolk Posts: 4,088
    edited October 2020
    Arry Addick said:
    StrikerFirmani said:
    Arry Addick said:
    Athletico Charlton said:
    William Hill at 8/11 for a top half finish looks decent value
    4/6 on SkyBet.....gotta be worth a score surely?
    Have you got a link to sky bet page for this ?  I can't seem to find odds for us apart from Wigan game. 
    https://m.skybet.com/football/sky-bet-league-one/event/26235893
    Lumped on at 4/7

    Max bet seems to be based on max £250 profit. Still, I'll take it. 

    I then used the £250 for top 6, promotion and outright bets. 

    As long as we finish top half I'm covered. Do better and I'm winning 

    Thanks all
  • clb74
    clb74 Posts: 10,836
    22s still available 
    Top 6 15/8
    Promotion 11/2
    Top 12 4/9
  • shine166
    shine166 Posts: 13,983



    Just placed this on at Betfair 
  • Bedsaddick
    Bedsaddick Posts: 24,952
    I can't see Luton finishing in the top half. 
  • MillwallFan
    MillwallFan Posts: 3,412
    Bedsaddick said:
    I can't see Luton finishing in the top half. 
    Same. Very iffy that bet IMO. 2/1 isn’t generous at all. 
    They had a good couple of games at the start but are a very ordinary team for championship level. 
  • cafcsinger
    cafcsinger Posts: 5,604
    Luton top half?! Yes maybe in league one next season (my own betting record is dire so should come in )

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  • redman
    redman Posts: 5,314
    clb74 said:
    22s still available 
    Top 6 15/8
    Promotion 11/2
    Top 12 4/9
    pleased with myself at the moment. got 13/5 for top 6 yesterday. 
  • CAFCsayer
    CAFCsayer Posts: 10,288
    Got 

    75 at 20s
    50 at 28s
    75 at 20s
    68.18 at 22s


    Keep the faith! 
  • meldrew66
    meldrew66 Posts: 2,576
    Got £300 riding with Skybet for us to finish top half at 4/5 that was only placed 3 weeks ago. Looks very good value now.
  • shine166
    shine166 Posts: 13,983
    Bedsaddick said:
    I can't see Luton finishing in the top half. 
    If it comes in I've got 2 free Season tickets for next year, if not I've spent a nights worth of beer.. worth a punt 
  • SouthWest_Addicks
    SouthWest_Addicks Posts: 6,313
    Took the 11/2 for promotion today & 12/1 to win the play offs. Still concerned about the lack of clear chances we create but think we are ridiculously over priced. 
  • Athletico Charlton
    Athletico Charlton Posts: 14,404
    edited October 2020
    Leicester, Forest, Charlton and Salford top half
    4.85/1.  £25

    Leicester, Blackburn, Charlton, Exeter top half
    2.75/1.   £25

    Leeds, Forest, Charlton, Wallsall. Top half.
    9.5/1.   £25

    WestBrom, Rotherham, Rochdale, Oldham.  Bottom half.   
    0.75/1.   £100
  • sam3110
    sam3110 Posts: 21,581
    Forest? Not with Judas up top
  • Athletico Charlton
    Athletico Charlton Posts: 14,404
    sam3110 said:
    Forest? Not with Judas up top
    Hughton manager and plenty of cash so they will spend again in Jan.  The risk was worth the enhanced odds they gave.
  • clb74
    clb74 Posts: 10,836
    Bump
  • ValleyGary
    ValleyGary Posts: 38,178
    shine166 said:



    Just placed this on at Betfair 
    Good win for Luton today 

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