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2013 US Masters - Betting

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  • Macronate
    Macronate Posts: 12,944
    just caught the end of it.

    what was he blubbing about?
  • masicat
    masicat Posts: 5,017
    He wanted his mum to call him Kevin. Said being called Bubba was like being in a Johnny Cash song.
  • AFKABartram
    AFKABartram Posts: 58,119
    Macronate said:

    just caught the end of it.

    what was he blubbing about?

    He was asked about what the best thing he did with the green jacket since winning and he tried to say about going home and wrapping his adopted baby in it, but he kept breaking down

  • Riviera
    Riviera Posts: 8,167
    edited April 2013
    How queer?
  • boogica
    boogica Posts: 2,321
    Betfred just reimbursed my £5 on goosen at 100-1 he aint even playing hopefully thats an omen.
  • 2011 - Mcilroy @33/1 - Breakdown final day
    2012 - Oostheisen @66/1 - lost play off.
    2013 - gonna put my mockers on Garcia 40/1

    My luck is poxed.
  • Absurdistan
    Absurdistan Posts: 8,024
    william hills doing 6-1 on tiger
  • CAFCBourne
    CAFCBourne Posts: 3,815
    Luke Donald for me I think going ou with Tiger first will raise his game 31's
  • Elthamaddick
    Elthamaddick Posts: 15,945

    william hills doing 6-1 on tiger

    perfect, thanks

  • DA1
    DA1 Posts: 182
    Henrik Stenson - 60-1 e/w cant go wrong.

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  • meldrew66
    meldrew66 Posts: 2,576
    DA1...................err, actually, you can if 6 people score better than him over 4 days! lol
  • meldrew66
    meldrew66 Posts: 2,576
    Although I am no 'Peanuts', taking into account the current order of merit and the past 3 years' Masters records + adding a resurgent Tiger Woods into the mix, my top 10 tips for the Masters this year are;

    1. Tiger Woods, 2. Justin Rose, 3. Adam Scott, 4. Lee Westwood 5. Ian Poulter 6. Hunter Mahan 7. Matt Kuchar 8. KJ Coi 9. Keegan Bradley 10. Geoff Ogilvy

    For me, betting on golf is much less reliable than on horse racing given the fine margins of accuracy that apply which make or break a score. My biggest success was having a £5 e/w on Cabrera @ 150-1 but that was more a hunch than from following a model.

    For the record, I believe Tiger is back to his usual, focussed best and will walk away with this tournament. I have a feeling about Rose and Scott to so that's where my money's going this year; each way bets with the best odds/places is a must. Paddypower doing 6 places but not had a chance to check what else is available out there and how their odds compare.

    If you have a punt, good luck all! Once again, please be clear that I am only offering my views rather than outputs from any 'model'. Buyer/Betters beware!
  • Frontline9
    Frontline9 Posts: 764
    addick16 said:

    my inside pick = keegan bradley. His high ball flight game suits augusta and he has tons of confidence right now.
    my outside pick = Scott Piercy. Hes taken a lot of time off lately, but he was playing very very well early in the season.

    Have also got Scott Piercy @ 320's
  • oldbloke
    oldbloke Posts: 931
    6-1 on tiger and you can lay on betfair for less???? that wont last.
  • chazza
    chazza Posts: 243
    Westwood, Scott, Bradley and Garcia are my tips in various bets.
  • meldrew66
    meldrew66 Posts: 2,576
    Update: Following further analysis of the past 3 years and current order of merit, I have reviewed the expected order of finish if history and form are the main factors. On that basis, Phil Mickelson is a key player.

    For the record, the top 10 is based on net and under par scoring over the past 3 years at the Masters with the current form and world ranking factored in. Here's the Masters/Current Form top 6:

    1. Tiger Woods - current world number 1 and in blistering form. Had a bad 2012 tournament (+5) but is net 21 under par for the 2 previous years, finishing top 4 on both occasions
    2. Lee Westwood - 3 year Masters score of 26 under par is the best of anyone else in the tournament this year. He is one of only 4 players who have scored under par in all 3 years. Finished 2nd, 3rd and 11th and is current world number 13. Now living in Florida to focus on winning a Major. Could this be the one?
    3. Phil Mickelson - Current world no. 9. Is 1 of only 4 players to score under par over the last 3 years; total -25. Former winner with other placings of joint 3rd but also 27th. Not sure he is in particularly great form but has a proven record at the Masters and should be up there.
    4. Adam Scott - World number 7. Is one of only 4 players to be under par in all 3 of the past years; -17. His -17 score over the past 2 years is the best of the current field. Has finished 2nd, 8th and 18th.
    5. Ian Poulter - world number 12. Is one of only 4 men to score under par in the last 3 years; -11. Has finished 7th, 10th and 27th.
    6. Justin Rose - current world number 3. Net 9 under par over the last 2 years. Previous finishes of 8th and 11th cannot be ignored for an e/w bet.

    Others to consider;

    7. KJ Choi - had a bad 2012 but scored -8 and -11 in previous years in finishing 8th and 4th respectively.
    8. Matt Kuchar - current world number 10. Scored -8 last year, finishing 3rd. Has not scored over par at Augusta.
    9. Hunter Mahan - always a danger. Scored -7 in 2010 and also -2 in 2012.
    10(a) Rory McIlroy - world number 2 but with a 'best' score of -4 at Augusta which is not great.
    10(b) KJ Choi - low scoring in 2011 and 2010 (-8 and -11) suggests a threat to the leaders. A good each way bet.

    Hope this save someone some time researching history @ Augusta.
  • meldrew66
    meldrew66 Posts: 2,576
    oops, duplicated KJ Choi by mistake.
  • PeanutsMolloy
    PeanutsMolloy Posts: 6,737
    Sorry to interject on a non-golf matter but since this is the "live" betting thread, is anyone else having problems with the Racing Post website (viz being extremely slow and needing to be recovered frequently) since yesterday. I recently did some kind of Java update and I'm trying to work out if my PC has a problem or if it's the RP website.
    Any comments much appreciated.
  • Red_in_SE8
    Red_in_SE8 Posts: 5,961
    Think it is between Woods and Mcllroy. I really hope Woods wins. I am firmly in the camp that he is the greatest sportsman of all time. I feel really let down by one of my other sporting heroes, Lance Armstrong, but my appreciation and respect for Tiger Woods continues to grow. As a young man he liked to have sex with lots of women! Even after he was married. So what? How he chose to live his private life is no concern of mine. The only people who have the right to be disappointed in him and to judge him are his wife, children and other close friends and relatives.
  • So agree with ur comments on woods. Big time tea party political agenda against the man!

    So laid my first selection

    Mahan top 20 @ 6/4 boyle sports
    Colsearts top 20 @ 3/1 boyle

    And randomly

    Couples in top 5 after round 1. 31.25/1 (125/1
    At a quarter of the odds) ladbrokes

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  • philcafc
    philcafc Posts: 3,928
    I've done Woods as well as i think he's definitely the man to beat this week. I also like Brandt Snedeker at around 35-1. I know he's had a few injury problems lately but he's got the ideal game for Augusta, probably the best putter out there. I also think Bill Haas is overpriced at 80-1.
  • Red_in_SE8
    Red_in_SE8 Posts: 5,961
    My outside bet is Ricki Fowler. Think he is due a 'breakthough' win.
  • Croydon
    Croydon Posts: 12,872
    I'm going with Harrington ew at 66/1 on betvictor,woods to win with my free bet
  • addick16
    addick16 Posts: 1,018

    addick16 said:

    my inside pick = keegan bradley. His high ball flight game suits augusta and he has tons of confidence right now.
    my outside pick = Scott Piercy. Hes taken a lot of time off lately, but he was playing very very well early in the season.

    Have also got Scott Piercy @ 320's
    good choice, he is a real good outside chance

  • meldrew66
    meldrew66 Posts: 2,576
    Woods now 9/2 (at best) with all the bookies. 6/1 long gone @ William Hill. Paddypower's 6 places makes them the best option for a Woods bet. I've had £5 e/w on Westwood, Mickelson, Poulter & Rose.
  • Lincsaddick
    Lincsaddick Posts: 32,475

    Sorry to interject on a non-golf matter but since this is the "live" betting thread, is anyone else having problems with the Racing Post website (viz being extremely slow and needing to be recovered frequently) since yesterday. I recently did some kind of Java update and I'm trying to work out if my PC has a problem or if it's the RP website.
    Any comments much appreciated.

    I go onto RP regularly at all hours and never have much of a problem, sometimes it's slow on Saturday a.m, I guess due to heavy traffic. I only use the free, and not the members areas ... mostly just use the 'racing cards' option which is a VERY good free facility
  • PeanutsMolloy
    PeanutsMolloy Posts: 6,737
    Cheers Lincs, come to the conclusion that this Java update may be to blame. A job for my IT buddy I fear.
  • Stone
    Stone Posts: 3,026
    Here are my youngest son's bets he done on Monday and he never wins so avoid these...........

    Keegan Bradley 28/1 £9
    Loui Oostuizen 28/1 £8
    Lee Westwood 28/1 £9
    Rickie Fowler 50/1 £5
    Steve Stricker 55/1 £5
    Jim Furyk 70/1 £4e/w
    Russel Henley 150/1 £2e/w
    Brian Gay 300/1 £1e/w
  • Anyone feeling matt kuchar?
  • AFKABartram
    AFKABartram Posts: 58,119
    Cheeky