Going with Balthazar King win, Royale Knight and Spring Heeled both e/w
Now off to Hillsborough to drink some cheap beer.
Oddschecker showing them both as N/R but I can't see anything about them on the web and nothing yet on Morning Line. Confused.
EDIT Scrap that - oddschecker now have them back as runners.
Sorry to lump the expectation on you Peanuts but who have you settled on this year?
No worries Chief. Wouldn't be the first time I'm horribly humiliated if they are flop.
They did have rain overnight but not huge amount and they'd reduced watering to accommodate. So I suspect that the going will be about like last year. However they describe it, that was GOOD.
So, my model's ratings for GOOD:
• Chance Du Roy • First Lieutenant / The Druids Nephew • Oscar Time / Monbeg Dude / Rocky Creek • Portrait King / Royale Knight / Soll • Dolatulo / Saint Are • Godsmejudge / Alvarado / Balthazar King • Al Co / Rubi Light
Though the DUDE and PK would have preferred it softer, I'm happy with my betting slip (earlier post) but if I were compiling it this morning:
MUST HAVES:
CHANCE DU ROY e/w OSCAR TIME e/w FIRST LIEUTENANT e/w THE DRUIDS NEPHEW (at his current odds WIN only - good case to say he either wins or fails to complete [probably going early])
OPTIONS FOR SERIOUS WIN CANDIDATES:
I've gone with the DUDE (and am happy with him as an out and out stayer) but the ground may be too quick for him to make an impact.
ROCKY CREEK and SOLL are both big dangers but on GOOD, GN returnees tend not to Win and I believe that, given a clear run [a big IF in the GN], CDR has Rocky Creek's measure, even if RC has improved from last year. However, he is big threat.
I think SOLL will be fine on the ground (some think he wants it soft) and if I were abandoning the DUDE I would opt for SOLL.
OPTIONS FOR PLACE POTENTIAL BIG PRICES:
Again, I'm happy with PK as the long price place potential selection but he would have preferred softer going to help stay in touch - if he avoids trouble (a big IF) hopefully he'll be staying on past tiring horses at the finish. If it is truly GOOD ground, DOLATULO could go a LOT better at 80/1 6 places than the experts think (I might even add him to my slip to replace Baileys Concerto - he could get pushed out to 100+ before the Off though)
missus picked out Oscar Time last night and told me to back it, I had already done so but insisted I put a bet on for her WITH MY FECKIN MONEY
Same with my Mrs. Just do what I intend to do - keep the money when it wins - that'll teach her ;-)
And then quote the great Sir Clement Freud to her - "a bet's not a bet unless it's going to hurt when it loses." And as it's not going to hurt her when it loses (because it's not her money) then it's not her bet.
I would rather the horse did lose however. I couldn't stand the "see I know nothing about horse racing and won but you, with all your wealth of experience, lost!"
Backed all of mine at Jennings Bet in a shop, on Wednesday when they said they pay 5 places, I see on line this morning they say they are paying 6 places, how will that effect my bet ?
Backed all of mine at Jennings Bet in a shop, on Wednesday when they said they pay 5 places, I see on line this morning they say they are paying 6 places, how will that effect my bet ?
Going with Balthazar King win, Royale Knight and Spring Heeled both e/w
Now off to Hillsborough to drink some cheap beer.
Oddschecker showing them both as N/R but I can't see anything about them on the web and nothing yet on Morning Line. Confused.
EDIT Scrap that - oddschecker now have them back as runners.
Sorry to lump the expectation on you Peanuts but who have you settled on this year?
No worries Chief. Wouldn't be the first time I'm horribly humiliated if they are flop.
They did have rain overnight but not huge amount and they'd reduced watering to accommodate. So I suspect that the going will be about like last year. However they describe it, that was GOOD.
So, my model's ratings for GOOD:
• Chance Du Roy • First Lieutenant / The Druids Nephew • Oscar Time / Monbeg Dude / Rocky Creek • Portrait King / Royale Knight / Soll • Dolatulo / Saint Are • Godsmejudge / Alvarado / Balthazar King • Al Co / Rubi Light
Though the DUDE and PK would have preferred it softer, I'm happy with my betting slip (earlier post) but if I were compiling it this morning:
MUST HAVES:
CHANCE DU ROY e/w OSCAR TIME e/w FIRST LIEUTENANT e/w THE DRUIDS NEPHEW (at his current odds WIN only - good case to say he either wins or fails to complete [probably going early])
OPTIONS FOR SERIOUS WIN CANDIDATES:
I've gone with the DUDE (and am happy with him as an out and out stayer) but the ground may be too quick for him to make an impact.
ROCKY CREEK and SOLL are both big dangers but on GOOD, GN returnees tend not to Win and I believe that, given a clear run [a big IF in the GN], CDR has Rocky Creek's measure, even if RC has improved from last year. However, he is big threat.
I think SOLL will be fine on the ground (some think he wants it soft) and if I were abandoning the DUDE I would opt for SOLL.
OPTIONS FOR PLACE POTENTIAL BIG PRICES:
Again, I'm happy with PK as the long price place potential selection but he would have preferred softer going to help stay in touch - if he avoids trouble (a big IF) hopefully he'll be staying on past tiring horses at the finish. If it is truly GOOD ground, DOLATULO could go a LOT better at 80/1 6 places than the experts think (I might even add him to my slip to replace Baileys Concerto - he could get pushed out to 100+ before the Off though)
Brilliant work as usual Peanuts. Thanks from a complete horseracing numpty.
Cheers Bournemouth - too kind. I could look a complete numpty by 4.24pm. Actually, when I pressed the pause on the selector thingy it came up SOLL (!) - may have to have a saver!!
All the unfancied will go bigger with the flood of money for AP, Rocky Creek et al. Obviously money for Oscar Time after yesterday (daft reason). Chance Du Roy now 50s 6 places.
It won't surprise you PM to learn the name of the horse to the ones you have put up - Alvarado. I just couldn't bear it if PM (now there's a coincidence!) ended up winning it this year after all those years of frustration with him.
Yup, win or lose your analysis and insight is fantastic Peanuts. Looking forward to an afternoon switching between Soccer Saturday and Channel 4 with Betfair on the Ipad :0)
Comments
They did have rain overnight but not huge amount and they'd reduced watering to accommodate.
So I suspect that the going will be about like last year. However they describe it, that was GOOD.
So, my model's ratings for GOOD:
• Chance Du Roy
• First Lieutenant / The Druids Nephew
• Oscar Time / Monbeg Dude / Rocky Creek
• Portrait King / Royale Knight / Soll
• Dolatulo / Saint Are
• Godsmejudge / Alvarado / Balthazar King
• Al Co / Rubi Light
Though the DUDE and PK would have preferred it softer, I'm happy with my betting slip (earlier post) but if I were compiling it this morning:
MUST HAVES:
CHANCE DU ROY e/w
OSCAR TIME e/w
FIRST LIEUTENANT e/w
THE DRUIDS NEPHEW (at his current odds WIN only - good case to say he either wins or fails to complete [probably going early])
OPTIONS FOR SERIOUS WIN CANDIDATES:
I've gone with the DUDE (and am happy with him as an out and out stayer) but the ground may be too quick for him to make an impact.
ROCKY CREEK and SOLL are both big dangers but on GOOD, GN returnees tend not to Win and I believe that, given a clear run [a big IF in the GN], CDR has Rocky Creek's measure, even if RC has improved from last year. However, he is big threat.
I think SOLL will be fine on the ground (some think he wants it soft) and if I were abandoning the DUDE I would opt for SOLL.
OPTIONS FOR PLACE POTENTIAL BIG PRICES:
Again, I'm happy with PK as the long price place potential selection but he would have preferred softer going to help stay in touch - if he avoids trouble (a big IF) hopefully he'll be staying on past tiring horses at the finish. If it is truly GOOD ground, DOLATULO could go a LOT better at 80/1 6 places than the experts think (I might even add him to my slip to replace Baileys Concerto - he could get pushed out to 100+ before the Off though)
And then quote the great Sir Clement Freud to her - "a bet's not a bet unless it's going to hurt when it loses." And as it's not going to hurt her when it loses (because it's not her money) then it's not her bet.
I would rather the horse did lose however. I couldn't stand the "see I know nothing about horse racing and won but you, with all your wealth of experience, lost!"
Actually, when I pressed the pause on the selector thingy it came up SOLL (!) - may have to have a saver!!
Obviously money for Oscar Time after yesterday (daft reason).
Chance Du Roy now 50s 6 places.
I've backed Druids Nephew (win) and Chance du Roy (e/w), and Alvarado (win) and Oscar Time (e/w) for Mrs D.
All the best.
Good luck today.
First LT
Monbeg dude
Rocky creek
Druids nephew
Shutthefrontdoor come on ap sign off today
Saint Are e/w
Night in Milan e/w
As dee mee
Nicolas canyon
Parlour games
205
Art mauresque
Solar impulse
1450
Jetson
Zarkandar
1525
Wonderful charm
Duke lucca