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The General Election - June 8th 2017
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Lamb a good hold for the lib dems.0
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Prague wil be pleasedCallumcafc said:Ed Davey re-elected in Kingston.
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Walsall North - First CON GAIN FROM LAB0
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Begs the question what's the point of the polls?SDAddick said:
I didn't see that, but as someone who watches polling closely, this would indicate that the Exit Polls were VERY closeseriously_red said:
Somewhat different to the model suggested by @newyorkaddick ?Callumcafc said:NEW FORECAST:
CON 318
LAB 267
SNP 32
LD 11
PC 3
GRN 10 -
LAB gain Derby North from CON.0
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A 20 point gain (~19% swing), that's insane.Callumcafc said:1 -
BOOOOOOOOC_A_F_C said:Walsall North - First CON GAIN FROM LAB
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Sturgeon, speaking on the SNP's performance: "Let's not forget this our second best result in Westminster".
Kinda like spotty 16 year old teenager lasting 10 seconds the second time he has sex, and saying "Let's not forget this is the second longest I've lasted in bed".5 -
What moron decided that a descendent of the odious John Selwyn Gummer would have sufficient nous to draft a manifesto?LuckyReds said:The muppet responsible for the manifesto (Ben Gummer) has lost his seat. Good.
Bit like running a campaign focusing on personality when you're a spineless personality void
Who is making the decisions in government? They need a good slap2 - Sponsored links:
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Labour hold Hammersmith.
This was one of the ones the Conservative's were targeting specifically. (A bit optimistic, as I couldn't see them grabbing anything extra in London... I thought that was pretty obvious!)0 -
Ok
Off to bed.
11 days until the brexit negotistions start.0 -
Wow, who is the Conservative candidate for Vauxhall?
Edit: It's Dolly Theis.
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There is an argument for them being banned as they influence voting intention.newyorkaddick said:
Begs the question what's the point of the polls?SDAddick said:
I didn't see that, but as someone who watches polling closely, this would indicate that the Exit Polls were VERY closeseriously_red said:
Somewhat different to the model suggested by @newyorkaddick ?Callumcafc said:NEW FORECAST:
CON 318
LAB 267
SNP 32
LD 11
PC 3
GRN 1
The methodology is very outdated and the data tends to focus on politically engaged voters, which skews when you compare to the nation. Especially in an election with, what looks like, an unprecedented make up of turn out like this one. In this day and age who answers a land line for fear of a PPI call or answers the door?
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Friday. A day of sunshine, hugs, and a friendly raise-a-glass. Chin, chin.
Patronage and spivs OUT.
Love and hope IN.
And, Tories, please choke on your spew. We've choked for decades on yours, and the taste is truly siiiiiick.
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Right I'm off to bed. Good night one and all.1
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Sounds like Amber could be hanging on by the skin of her teeth.0
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The most interesting development is clearly the escort tactics of the police as they bring Theresa May back to London. (if you're watching Sky News)
Pretty nifty watching the police block off roads and navigate different junctions to be fair. Think I'm beginning to wind down a bit now, struggling to fight off the yawning.0 - Sponsored links:
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Huge surge for Labour who massively outperform leads to...Boris Johnson as the new Prime Minister? That'd be a real kick in the bollocks.1
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I know it's getting late there but can't we have just one thread that doesn't turn sex pest?LuckyReds said:Wow, who is the Conservative candidate for Vauxhall?
Edit: It's Dolly Theis.
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Very interesting to hear the DUP woman on Sky too, saying she'd find it very difficult to work with Corbyn due to his past.
Even more ironic considering Gerry Adams earlier was interviewed, and it was pointed out that Sinn Fein's refusal to sit their candidates in Westminster could indeed prove important when it comes to the Conservative party making a majority.0 -
Hang on, to be fair as I said earlier their raw numbers were quite good, it was their skewing that messed things up.mcgrandall said:
There is an argument for them being banned as they influence voting intention.newyorkaddick said:
Begs the question what's the point of the polls?SDAddick said:
I didn't see that, but as someone who watches polling closely, this would indicate that the Exit Polls were VERY closeseriously_red said:
Somewhat different to the model suggested by @newyorkaddick ?Callumcafc said:NEW FORECAST:
CON 318
LAB 267
SNP 32
LD 11
PC 3
GRN 1
The methodology is very outdated and the data tends to focus on politically engaged voters, which skews when you compare to the nation. Especially in an election with, what looks like, an unprecedented make up of turn out like this one. In this day and age who answers a land line for fear of a PPI call or answers the door?
To their credit, British pollsters are very good about "showing their work" in terms of how they go from raw to predicted. This kind of sets them up to take a beating.
Also, entirely possible this will end up within margin of error.0 -
The only thing I will say is if BoJo is PM - it will become rapidly clear that comparisons to Diane Abbott were wide of the mark
Not that that's saying much
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Jim Davidson was campaigning for the Conservatives there.Callumcafc said:LAB gain Derby North from CON.
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The numbers make no sense now?
Cons 215, Lab 218, LD 10, UKIP 0, SNP 29, oth 20.
Then
Cons 320, Lab 261, LD 16, UKIP 0, SNP 31,Oth 220 -
LAB set to gain Warrington South from CON.1
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Possibly the first time I've ever laughed at Jim Davidson.C_A_F_C said:
Jim Davidson was campaigning for the Conservatives there.Callumcafc said:LAB gain Derby North from CON.
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This discussion has been closed.
