Sturgeon, speaking on the SNP's performance: "Let's not forget this our second best result in Westminster".
Kinda like spotty 16 year old teenager lasting 10 seconds the second time he has sex, and saying "Let's not forget this is the second longest I've lasted in bed".
This was one of the ones the Conservative's were targeting specifically. (A bit optimistic, as I couldn't see them grabbing anything extra in London... I thought that was pretty obvious!)
Somewhat different to the model suggested by @newyorkaddick ?
I didn't see that, but as someone who watches polling closely, this would indicate that the Exit Polls were VERY close
Begs the question what's the point of the polls?
There is an argument for them being banned as they influence voting intention.
The methodology is very outdated and the data tends to focus on politically engaged voters, which skews when you compare to the nation. Especially in an election with, what looks like, an unprecedented make up of turn out like this one. In this day and age who answers a land line for fear of a PPI call or answers the door?
The most interesting development is clearly the escort tactics of the police as they bring Theresa May back to London. (if you're watching Sky News)
Pretty nifty watching the police block off roads and navigate different junctions to be fair. Think I'm beginning to wind down a bit now, struggling to fight off the yawning.
Very interesting to hear the DUP woman on Sky too, saying she'd find it very difficult to work with Corbyn due to his past.
Even more ironic considering Gerry Adams earlier was interviewed, and it was pointed out that Sinn Fein's refusal to sit their candidates in Westminster could indeed prove important when it comes to the Conservative party making a majority.
Somewhat different to the model suggested by @newyorkaddick ?
I didn't see that, but as someone who watches polling closely, this would indicate that the Exit Polls were VERY close
Begs the question what's the point of the polls?
There is an argument for them being banned as they influence voting intention.
The methodology is very outdated and the data tends to focus on politically engaged voters, which skews when you compare to the nation. Especially in an election with, what looks like, an unprecedented make up of turn out like this one. In this day and age who answers a land line for fear of a PPI call or answers the door?
Hang on, to be fair as I said earlier their raw numbers were quite good, it was their skewing that messed things up.
To their credit, British pollsters are very good about "showing their work" in terms of how they go from raw to predicted. This kind of sets them up to take a beating.
Also, entirely possible this will end up within margin of error.
Comments
Kinda like spotty 16 year old teenager lasting 10 seconds the second time he has sex, and saying "Let's not forget this is the second longest I've lasted in bed".
Bit like running a campaign focusing on personality when you're a spineless personality void
Who is making the decisions in government? They need a good slap
This was one of the ones the Conservative's were targeting specifically. (A bit optimistic, as I couldn't see them grabbing anything extra in London... I thought that was pretty obvious!)
Off to bed.
11 days until the brexit negotistions start.
Edit: It's Dolly Theis.
The methodology is very outdated and the data tends to focus on politically engaged voters, which skews when you compare to the nation. Especially in an election with, what looks like, an unprecedented make up of turn out like this one. In this day and age who answers a land line for fear of a PPI call or answers the door?
Patronage and spivs OUT.
Love and hope IN.
And, Tories, please choke on your spew. We've choked for decades on yours, and the taste is truly siiiiiick.
Pretty nifty watching the police block off roads and navigate different junctions to be fair. Think I'm beginning to wind down a bit now, struggling to fight off the yawning.
Even more ironic considering Gerry Adams earlier was interviewed, and it was pointed out that Sinn Fein's refusal to sit their candidates in Westminster could indeed prove important when it comes to the Conservative party making a majority.
To their credit, British pollsters are very good about "showing their work" in terms of how they go from raw to predicted. This kind of sets them up to take a beating.
Also, entirely possible this will end up within margin of error.
Not that that's saying much
Cons 215, Lab 218, LD 10, UKIP 0, SNP 29, oth 20.
Then
Cons 320, Lab 261, LD 16, UKIP 0, SNP 31,Oth 22