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The playoff race

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  • SouthWest_Addicks
    SouthWest_Addicks Posts: 6,307
    CAFCTrev said:

    What was the last "big game" we won? I feel like it could be Huddersfield at home in 2011?

    Watford at home at the end of the 2013/4 season
  • palarsehater
    palarsehater Posts: 12,296
    CAFCTrev said:

    What was the last "big game" we won? I feel like it could be Huddersfield at home in 2011?

    sheff weds away when johnnie's free kick shut there northern pie holes up
  • eaststandmike
    eaststandmike Posts: 14,956
    their :smile:
  • palarsehater
    palarsehater Posts: 12,296
    eaststandmike said:

    their :smile:

    oh feck off
  • addick05
    addick05 Posts: 2,348
    First leg play-offs at Ipswich - especially when we were down to 10 men. Atmosphere was amazing.
  • golfaddick
    golfaddick Posts: 33,628
    MuttleyCAFC said:

    A loss would make it much harder, but we would still have a chance if we win our last two.

    I think the key elements we need are Fosu and Mav fit for all three games!

    No way is 71 points going to be enough. 72 very minimum and seeing as we can't get 73 then 74 it will have to be.
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,765
    edited April 2018
    golfaddick said:

    MuttleyCAFC said:

    A loss would make it much harder, but we would still have a chance if we win our last two.

    I think the key elements we need are Fosu and Mav fit for all three games!

    No way is 71 points going to be enough. 72 very minimum and seeing as we can't get 73 then 74 it will have to be.
    71 gives us a decent chance. It means Scunthorpe need seven from four games and Plymouth need eight from five. Plus they have to play each other.

    That's why I want Plymouth to win that game. Seven from three would be much tougher for Scunny than eight from four for Plymouth.
  • MuttleyCAFC
    MuttleyCAFC Posts: 47,728
    Callumcafc said:

    golfaddick said:

    MuttleyCAFC said:

    A loss would make it much harder, but we would still have a chance if we win our last two.

    I think the key elements we need are Fosu and Mav fit for all three games!

    No way is 71 points going to be enough. 72 very minimum and seeing as we can't get 73 then 74 it will have to be.
    71 gives us a decent chance. It means Scunthorpe need seven from four games and Plymouth need eight from five. Plus they have to play each other.

    That's why I want Plymouth to win that game. Seven from three would be much tougher for Scunny than eight from four for Plymouth.
    That is the way I look at it. Of course no guarantees but if gives us a slightly better than evens chance I think. Would rather not test that though!
  • Manicmania
    Manicmania Posts: 1,594
    edited April 2018
    Scunthorpe are pretty crap at the moment - should have been up with rotherham/shrews but they've fallen apart - they beat us, ok.. but other than that they can't hit a barn door lately.. they are not world beaters all of a sudden. I 100% think they will slip up
  • cafcfan1990
    cafcfan1990 Posts: 12,811
    golfaddick said:

    MuttleyCAFC said:

    A loss would make it much harder, but we would still have a chance if we win our last two.

    I think the key elements we need are Fosu and Mav fit for all three games!

    No way is 71 points going to be enough. 72 very minimum and seeing as we can't get 73 then 74 it will have to be.
    I think 72 would be enough, 71 would see us miss out on goal difference to Scunny. Don't think Portsmouth will quite get there.

    One thing is for sure, lose tomorrow and it's all over.
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  • johnnybev1987
    johnnybev1987 Posts: 11,412
    edited April 2018
    Manicmania said:

    Scunthorpe are pretty crap at the moment - should have been up with rotherham/shrews but they've fallen apart - they beat us, ok.. but other than that they can't hit a barn door lately.. they are not world beaters all of a sudden. I 100% think they will slip up

    easiest run-in so feel they will do enough, us/plymouth/portsmouth for final place, win this weekend and we should give us the advantage.
  • palarsehater
    palarsehater Posts: 12,296
    win or bust for us tomorrow, must win
  • Dazzler21
    Dazzler21 Posts: 51,344
    If results went our way (they won't) we could lose all 3 and still make play offs.

    Realistically we need to break the 70 barrier.
  • eaststandmike
    eaststandmike Posts: 14,956
    Dazzler21 said:

    If results went our way (they won't) we could lose all 3 and still make play offs.

    Realistically we need to break the 70 barrier.

    How are were fairing against your prediction Daz? I have not seen an update for a while.
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,195
    Dazzler21 said:

    If results went our way (they won't) we could lose all 3 and still make play offs.

    Realistically we need to break the 70 barrier.

    There's no better way to prepare for the playoffs than winning one out of seven.
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,765
    edited April 2018
    wrong thread lol
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,765
    image
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,765
    Opponents in the top nine of the league highlighted in bold:

    Charlton: Blackburn (H), Rochdale (A) (1/2)

    Scunthorpe: MK Dons (A), Plymouth (H), Bradford (H) (1/3)

    Plymouth: Rochdale (A), Rotherham (H), Scunthorpe (A), Gillingham (A) (2/4)

    Portsmouth: Bury (A), Peterborough (H) (1/2)

    Peterborough: Shrewsbury (A), Fleetwood (H), Portsmouth (A) (2/3)
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,195
    Had a look at the Plymouth forum earlier. They are very very unconfident. A couple of significant injuries apparently.
  • covered_end_junior
    covered_end_junior Posts: 4,522
    Here's hoping Plymouth play as poorly as they did today at Northampton. The fans on their message board don't seem particularly confident.
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  • blackpool72
    blackpool72 Posts: 23,677
    Uboat said:

    Had a look at the Plymouth forum earlier. They are very very unconfident. A couple of significant injuries apparently.

    Good
  • ForeverAddickted
    ForeverAddickted Posts: 94,318
    Seems like Plymouth peaked a bit too early
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,195
    edited April 2018
    ForeverAddickted said:

    Seems like Plymouth peaked a bit too early

    We've all been there.
  • ShootersHillGuru
    ShootersHillGuru Posts: 50,619
    Think Scunthorpe will finish fifth with us sixth on goal difference from Plymouth but we will need that win at Rochdale. Can’t see any points against Blackburn. Think Argyle will get two wins and a draw.
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,195
    ShootersHillGuru said:

    Think Scunthorpe will finish fifth with us sixth on goal difference from Plymouth but we will need that win at Rochdale. Can’t see any points against Blackburn. Think Argyle will get two wins and a draw.

    And their fourth game?
  • ShootersHillGuru
    ShootersHillGuru Posts: 50,619
    Uboat said:

    ShootersHillGuru said:

    Think Scunthorpe will finish fifth with us sixth on goal difference from Plymouth but we will need that win at Rochdale. Can’t see any points against Blackburn. Think Argyle will get two wins and a draw.

    And their fourth game?
    A loss obviously

  • ForeverAddickted
    ForeverAddickted Posts: 94,318
    ShootersHillGuru said:

    Think Scunthorpe will finish fifth with us sixth on goal difference from Plymouth but we will need that win at Rochdale. Can’t see any points against Blackburn. Think Argyle will get two wins and a draw.

    Dunno... I think we'll get something from Blackburn whilst I see Scunthorpe potentially slipping up (yet not enough to drop out of the Play-Offs)
  • Chris_from_Sidcup
    Chris_from_Sidcup Posts: 36,014
    covered end junior said:

    Here's hoping Plymouth play as poorly as they did today at Northampton. The fans on their message board don't seem particularly confident.

    I wonder if any Plymouth fans looked on here after the Scunthorpe game. If they win at Rochdale they're well in it.

    I think we need Scunthorpe to beat Plymouth for us to make the play offs.

    Pompey and Peterborough are gone.
  • el-pietro
    el-pietro Posts: 611
    edited April 2018
    I think we want Scunthorpe to beat Plymouth and for Rotherham to do the same. That would mean Plymouth finishing on a max of 70. We would only need one win to surpass that. If we can beat both Blackburn and Rochdale then I think we've made the playoffs with 74 as depending on the Plymouth/Scunthorpe result the max those two can finish on would be
    Scunthorpe 76 Plymouth 73 or Plymouth 76 Scunthorpe 73. If they draw then the max they can finish on is 74 each and we'd most likely beat Plymouth on GD, and could potentially catch Scunthorpe. I think best case scenario we're playing Shrewsbury. I can't see us finishing 5th.
    It looks like the Rochdale game is meaningful at least. I was worried I was going to a nothing game!
  • blackpool72
    blackpool72 Posts: 23,677
    Uboat said:

    ForeverAddickted said:

    Seems like Plymouth peaked a bit too early

    We've all be there.
    Speak for yourself.

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