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Sandgaard ownership discussion 2022-3 onwards (Meeting with CAST p138)

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  • Sandgaard has obviously had enough and is clearly trying to cut his losses. He is not going to fund a promotion charge and by January it will too late anyway. I doubt it matters to him whether we get relegated or not because in L1 or L2 the losses will continue to mount. So I wouldn't be surprised if any player with value will be sold in January to recover what he can and then he will write off the rest of the debt and sell to anybody who will take us on without any assets.
  • The silence from Sangaard is deafening. I do appreciate that he doesn't need to say anything but disappointed that he has almost ceased to engage with the fans :(.
  • While these accounts are interesting, they're not very representative of a normal season. 20/21, because of the lockdowns, was a financial disaster zone across sport.

    21/22 will give us a better idea about the ongoing losses in a normal season, as it's that year which seems to have made TS change his whole way of running the club, from big ambitions to consolidation and indeed contraction.
  • Kieran Maguire also has a podcast, The Price of Football. Next one will be worth a listen. He may answer any questions too if you send them in. 
  • DOUCHER said:
    I reckon TS had the funds but has got pissed off with the fans, the academy system, agents, his own fuck ups and has just decided to shut up shop and cut costs - happened when he sacked jacko I’d say - probably told him he’d bought a load of crap and he thought right, might as well get the cheapest manager in the league - and he was available - and gamble on him unearthing some  league 2 gems - if that don’t work then he’s off - that’s my theory anyway - let’s just hope whoever’s next isn’t another disaster 
    Garner was one year into his contract at Swindon. He also had play off matches going into May and then, apparently, went off on holiday (how dare he! disgraceful conduct). TS could have opted to employ any out of work manager, so If there was a change of approach,  including in how he handled social media, it happened later.

    Not much though, for it might well have stemmed from the saga surrounding Garner's drawn out appointment, involving a lot of negative publicity. I remember it well as I'd only just signed up to CL.  Don't blame me though as my posts back then we're broadly supportive of him

    Anyway, that night have been the last straw given the other things you mention. I could be wrong of course, in which case, "understand that not to be  correct".
  • I suspect it was the drop off of season ticket sales resulting in lower revenue and more losses that was the point he started to realize this is a bottomless pit he no longer wished to throw money at in the same way he had previously.  Combined with the fact that those players we paid money for have generally been poor business (Kirk, DJ, Stockley, Schwartz, Aneke) from an economic perspective.

    Genuinely astounded though that he paid £1.15M for us and +£600K for the women's team.  Nimer/Southall can't have believed their luck.
  • th0rryy said:
    Ultimately, I believe that TS could invest in the club if he wanted to. If he truly cared about success on the pitch, he would have invested in the players we needed in the last window. You cannot get out of this league on the cheap. The other teams are too good for that. I find the fact that he took this fan loan as generally quite astonishing.

    Instead, we find ourselves treading water and being in a worse place as a result. Taking the approach of trying to break even is fine, as Lauren says, but you can’t do that in this league with the commitments we already have. Growth is intrinsically linked to success on the pitch, which requires investment. It’s a vicious circle that doesn’t have positive outcomes for anyone. You cannot just say we’re not going to spend until we are breaking even when the incomes will just reduce without investment.

    Chasing Championship promotion through continued investment is expensive, but I think TS has enough personal funds to do that (if Google-able data about his net worth is even close to accurate). If success was truly something he wanted, he’d have brought in the players Garner wanted in time. Trying to run everything within his family circle, without experience of running a football club and treating it like a US business entity is not going to get us up the leagues. The ignorance and stubborn nature of this man to not have experienced counsel on the football business is effectively negligent.

    It's not like we were chasing the PL promised land. That’s the insane money. The very reasonable expectation for fans is top-end competitive for L1, which for a club of our size, is still even slightly below where we should be. Everything is earned on the pitch, but that’s what we should be aiming for to reach for the break-even objective. If you invest no transfer fees in a summer window, this is what you get.

    It’s utterly infuriating. If he cared, he’d put his hand in his pocket.
    Its not about caring, its about prudence.

    As I see it he is already sinking c£8m a year to keep us going. He then thinks that a number of academy players can keep us afloat in this league rather than having to pay fees for players ( currently Chin, Leaburn, Henry & Clayden) and if one of them can sparkle & he gets a return on them (latest one being Burstow) then jobs a good 'un. 

    To my mind you need to speculate to accumulate. Teams like Ipswich & Sheffield Wed have pushed the boat our this season and for the former it's working. And I don't think TS needed to spend that much in the summer. Maybe £500k -£700k combined on a striker & a left back. 

    But currently there appears not to be much money in the CAFC coffers if Golfie Jnr's exploits are to go by. He's still waiting to get paid for the 3 stints he's done in the sound booth on matchdays. Almost a month gone by & till no sign of any money. 
  • Bailey said:
    I would like to ask a question and I ask this simply because I feel impotent, yes bring on the one liners lol, while watching our club slide into the quicksand of debt. The question is 'What ideas would lifers have to reduce the debt of the club ? A couple of rules though, it doesn't have to guarantee success on the playing field but it must have some feasibility. I think there are enough Brains on here to come up with some answers. 
    Employ professional business management with relevant experience and let them manage?
    No brainer. Like needing a football person as CEO.
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  • Zynex currently have 17% of their shares sold short. Someone has a very large bet that his company isn't worth the $9 a share it's currently trading at. 
  • Redhenry said:
    supaclive said:
    Redhenry said:
    Redhenry said:
    supaclive said:
    "expect to pay him back" is not "of course he will be paid back"

    Why does our owner need a £350,000 loan.... well, I will tell you why... he doesn't have enough cash in the bank to run CAFC properly.

    We're not unlike other clubs in that regard.   Football is a crazily expensive business to be in.   The issue is TS is not a fan and has no allegiance to us. 

    Our future looks bottom half of division 3 and downwards right now I am afraid.
    Source?
    for what? if you mean the 350k its been confirmed by TS himself. 
    Of course not! The statement that he doesn't have enough cash in the bank to run CAFC properly. 
    And got a load of likes.
    He is cutting staff left, right and centre
    The squad added free transfers in the close season
    The club shop doesn't have anything in it
    He borrowed £350k from a fan

    If you have enough cash to properly run the club, you don't do that.  Nothing is cheaper than your own cash.

    We are losing millions 
    It's a crazy business

    You have focused on one part of my post

    TS is NOT a fan
    He won't put his hand in his pocket like a fan would to give their club a chance of competing 

    We will not be able to compete in this division if our current owner continues operating like this 
    Not saying you are wrong, but none of those reasons imo signify that he doesn’t have enough cash in the bank to run CAFC as an ongoing concern. 
    This

    I'm fed up with people saying he hasn't got money as a matter of fact. Simply not true.
    Whether he wants to invest anymore is another matter.

    What's worse, that he doesn't have the money or that he isn't arsed to invest the amount required for success?
  • Southbank said:
    The sensible, if immoral, thing to do would be to pay Sandgaard his £1 for the club and then put it into administration thus wiping out all the debts. Then buy it out of administration debt free. That at least would mean the new owners would be able to use any money they had investing in decent players.
    This would not solve the ownership of the ground issue, which will stay until Duchatelet or his family decide to sell. But the example of the Glikstens might warn us that that could on for thirty years or more.
    The £7m debt would not be wiped by administration because it is secured as the first charge over the freehold assets as well as the football club. It ranks above Sandgaard’s loans to the club, too. 

    Either it would fall back on RD as the freeholder or Sandgaard would be liable for it because he has entered into some private arrangement over it, although the latter is pure speculation. 
    Making it fall back on RD would be a good thing tho, surely. Might it make him think about liquidating the asset?
  • How much is Roland 'worth'? At his age of 75, he might be happy to play games with £7m to still 'get us back' for the protests etc. 
  • edited October 2022
    Southbank said:
    Southbank said:
    The sensible, if immoral, thing to do would be to pay Sandgaard his £1 for the club and then put it into administration thus wiping out all the debts. Then buy it out of administration debt free. That at least would mean the new owners would be able to use any money they had investing in decent players.
    This would not solve the ownership of the ground issue, which will stay until Duchatelet or his family decide to sell. But the example of the Glikstens might warn us that that could on for thirty years or more.
    The £7m debt would not be wiped by administration because it is secured as the first charge over the freehold assets as well as the football club. It ranks above Sandgaard’s loans to the club, too. 

    Either it would fall back on RD as the freeholder or Sandgaard would be liable for it because he has entered into some private arrangement over it, although the latter is pure speculation. 
    Making it fall back on RD would be a good thing tho, surely. Might it make him think about liquidating the asset?
    According to Sandgaard previously, Duchatelet was anxious about this in September 2020 and that was one reason he was able to do a deal. It’s why I think RD would have been forced to the table with others if TS hadn’t turned up, because it was a more immediate prospect than any realisation of the notional development value of The Valley ever was.
  • I don't believe TS has the cash to run us
    Some here say he won't spend it running us
    Either way, it isn't great 
    Hence my mid table mediocrity comment 
    And that's actually a positive on where we currently sit.

    Until we get an owner willing to spend probably £15m+ of their own cash on salaries and transfer fees, and quickly, we won't get promoted
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  • supaclive said:
    I don't believe TS has the cash to run us
    Some here say he won't spend it running us
    Either way, it isn't great 
    Hence my mid table mediocrity comment 
    And that's actually a positive on where we currently sit.

    Until we get an owner willing to spend probably £15m+ of their own cash on salaries and transfer fees, and quickly, we won't get promoted
    Think everyone and their dog agrees with all that tbh mate. The only thing a couple took issue with in some earlier comments was the stating as fact, that TS was obviously skint. He could well be, but all we really know at this point is that funds are drying up.

    Even though the effect on the Club is bassically the same, I personal think there's a big difference between being skint and refusing to make any more substantial investment. The later being more concerning and frustrating.

    It'll go the same way as most of these things do on here though; if you take a wild guess at something 6, 8, 10 months in advance and the conspiracy kind of comes to fruition, you'll get a pat on the back. But, if you keep an open mind until genuine facts emerge, you're nieve and gullible. 
  • Most clubs make losses, what I’d like to know for balance is if there was a table of all 72 EFL clubs making the most losses with 1st being closest to administration then how high would we be?
    I'm scratching my head about all these figures, and I don't understand financial statements, but I think your answer isn't related to these. It comes down to the wealth of the backer and their willingness/desire to carry on funding a club. The wealth is in black and white somewhere in bank statements- but what goes on between the owners ears is unknowable for most fans. Maybe a business partner or partner may know. You can  make a league table from  Sunday Times Rich List but the bit between the ears is a missing factor.
  • swordfish said:
    DOUCHER said:
    I reckon TS had the funds but has got pissed off with the fans, the academy system, agents, his own fuck ups and has just decided to shut up shop and cut costs - happened when he sacked jacko I’d say - probably told him he’d bought a load of crap and he thought right, might as well get the cheapest manager in the league - and he was available - and gamble on him unearthing some  league 2 gems - if that don’t work then he’s off - that’s my theory anyway - let’s just hope whoever’s next isn’t another disaster 
    Garner was one year into his contract at Swindon. He also had play off matches going into May and then, apparently, went off on holiday (how dare he! disgraceful conduct). TS could have opted to employ any out of work manager, so If there was a change of approach,  including in how he handled social media, it happened later.

    Not much though, for it might well have stemmed from the saga surrounding Garner's drawn out appointment, involving a lot of negative publicity. I remember it well as I'd only just signed up to CL.  Don't blame me though as my posts back then we're broadly supportive of him

    Anyway, that night have been the last straw given the other things you mention. I could be wrong of course, in which case, "understand that not to be  correct".
    Ok but if rumour is right, he was and is on a very low wage - lowest in the league allegedly -  plausible as Swindon were in big trouble and he had failed at his first management job at Bristol Rovers - anyway, point is, cheap option and cost cutting now appears the only strategy which can only indicate a desire to sell up in my opinion 
  • I suspect it was the drop off of season ticket sales resulting in lower revenue and more losses that was the point he started to realize this is a bottomless pit he no longer wished to throw money at in the same way he had previously.  Combined with the fact that those players we paid money for have generally been poor business (Kirk, DJ, Stockley, Schwartz, Aneke) from an economic perspective.

    Genuinely astounded though that he paid £1.15M for us and +£600K for the women's team.  Nimer/Southall can't have believed their luck.
    It’s not a big amount really if you are rich and want to own a substantial London football club which is why you have to question the motives of all these other allegedly interested parties who won’t buy without the land 
  • edited October 2022
    Southbank said:
    Southbank said:
    The sensible, if immoral, thing to do would be to pay Sandgaard his £1 for the club and then put it into administration thus wiping out all the debts. Then buy it out of administration debt free. That at least would mean the new owners would be able to use any money they had investing in decent players.
    This would not solve the ownership of the ground issue, which will stay until Duchatelet or his family decide to sell. But the example of the Glikstens might warn us that that could on for thirty years or more.
    The £7m debt would not be wiped by administration because it is secured as the first charge over the freehold assets as well as the football club. It ranks above Sandgaard’s loans to the club, too. 

    Either it would fall back on RD as the freeholder or Sandgaard would be liable for it because he has entered into some private arrangement over it, although the latter is pure speculation. 
    Making it fall back on RD would be a good thing tho, surely. Might it make him think about liquidating the asset?
    According to Sandgaard previously, Duchatelet was anxious about this in September 2020 and that was one reason he was able to do a deal. It’s why I think RD would have been forced to the table with others if TS hadn’t turned up, because it was a more immediate prospect than any realisation of the notional development value of The Valley ever was.
    Yes, I keep asking why RD bothered striking a deal with TS if his plan was to ruin us. Deluded old fool he maybe, but he's got to a position of having cash inflows instead of outs and is protected by owning the assets, his only liability potentially that £7M. Why  would he want to kill his cash cow?

    When he famously said "enjoy the moment" on selling up, I believe he meant just that, and only that, as he knew we had been wanting him out. Although our protests annoyed him, I doubt he gives a toss about all that now. He  wouldn't let it cloud his judgement and drive his decision making.

    He'll continue to sit pretty getting paid monthly with no immediate liabilities. If and when TS goes, he'll try to strike a similar deal with another, or sell the assets if he can find a mug to pay much more than they're worth then.

    However, judging by some of his actions to date* it might seem that he doesn't really want to sell those. I suppose that's why so many believe he has a long term vision of property development at the Valley.

    * Upping the asking price with the Aussies and ESI, although ESI accepted it, and refusing to engage with Barclay & Co.
  • edited October 2022
    Something changed. In the beginning he was happy to spunk money on dubious spends, then suddenly he stopped. It is obvious that a big reason we missed out on a striker was we had to free up money elsewhere first but couldn't. It begs the question why we brought in so many midfielders if we knew it was spending all the budget. I would say it is either because Garner is an idiot or the budget changed. My money is on the latter.

    Now I think Garner was not a disasterous appointment, but a big issue with it is he is less able to be openly critical in the same way as Adkins. It is about being more willing to toe the line. I know some will disagree with me but I don't think we are that far off with the squad. We could improve defensively but a decent striker for the level would make a significant difference to us. I think there are two issues, one I know, and the first is Sandgaard doesn't understand why. The other is whether Sandgaard has the money or indeed has decided not to spend. I don't know which of those applies.
  • As others have concluded he has been hoisted by his own petard. I genuinely believe that he believed in himself and his own business acumen to the extent that he thought above all else that would be enough for us succeed. I also believe he is that arrogant if you asked him he would maintain that he hasn't really done that much wrong.

    I think the point has now come though when he has realised, which he should have known from the start that without shed loads of investment we can only tread water as a club. The thing that baffled me most is that he has become so disengaged with the fans which has lead to falling numbers and a such toxic feel at the moment, you would have hoped when he first took over with all the bravado that would have been the least of his problems
  • edited October 2022
    supaclive said:
    Until we get an owner willing to spend probably £15m+ of their own cash on salaries and transfer fees, and quickly, we won't get promoted
    Looking at the last few years of promotions, is that how Wycombe, Blackpool, Coventry, Peterborough and Rotherham did it? 
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